32.46 USD
+2.45 (+8.16%)
32.45 USD
-0.01 (-0.03%)
CBRL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While CBRL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. CBRL has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CBRL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CBRL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years CBRL has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CBRL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.79%, CBRL is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.86% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of CBRL (3.94%) is better than 60.15% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.93%, CBRL is doing worse than 66.92% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CBRL is significantly below the industry average of 10.34%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.79% | ||
| ROE | 3.94% | ||
| ROIC | 1.93% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
1.3 Margins
CBRL has a Profit Margin of 0.49%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CBRL outperforms 40.60% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CBRL has declined.
The Operating Margin of CBRL (1.11%) is worse than 74.44% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
CBRL has a better Gross Margin (68.84%) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.49% | ||
| GM | 68.84% |
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CBRL is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for CBRL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
CBRL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
CBRL has an Altman-Z score of 2.00. This is not the best score and indicates that CBRL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CBRL has a Altman-Z score (2.00) which is in line with its industry peers.
CBRL has a debt to FCF ratio of 38.79. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CBRL would need 38.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CBRL's Debt to FCF ratio of 38.79 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 43.61% of its industry peers.
CBRL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.93. This is a neutral value indicating CBRL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CBRL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.93. This is in the better half of the industry: CBRL outperforms 60.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.93 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 38.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC7.23%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.51 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.51, CBRL is not doing good in the industry: 73.68% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.16 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.16, CBRL is not doing good in the industry: 92.48% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CBRL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -46.74%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.47% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
CBRL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.61%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.74%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-264.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -25.06% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
CBRL is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.01% yearly.
EPS Next Y-131.84%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 16.56 indicates a correct valuation of CBRL.
81.20% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CBRL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.25. CBRL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
CBRL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 35.35.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CBRL.
CBRL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.98.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 35.35 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CBRL is valued cheaper than 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CBRL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 50.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.5 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as CBRL's earnings are expected to decrease with -25.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.44
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CBRL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.32%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
CBRL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 6.32. CBRL pays more dividend than 89.47% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, CBRL pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.32% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CBRL decreases each year by -23.48%.
CBRL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
137.54% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CBRL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of CBRL has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP137.54%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
32.46
+2.45 (+8.16%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.51%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.97%
Ins Owner Change-11.24%
Market Cap722.88M
Revenue(TTM)3.44B
Net Income(TTM)16.91M
Analysts50.67
Price Target32 (-1.42%)
Short Float %23.2%
Short Ratio2.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.32% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
DP137.54%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.48%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(2)8.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(4)91.37%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)20.14%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)11.05%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)7.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.68%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.4%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.63%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.81%
PT rev (1m)-23.24%
PT rev (3m)-33.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-144.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-139.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-215.19%
EPS NY rev (3m)-171.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 35.35 | ||
| P/S | 0.21 | ||
| P/FCF | 50.96 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.26 | ||
| P/B | 1.69 | ||
| P/tB | 1.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.5 |
EPS(TTM)1.96
EY6.04%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY2.83%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY1.96%
OCF(TTM)7.63
OCFY23.5%
SpS154.28
BVpS19.25
TBVpS18.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.44
Graham Number29.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.79% | ||
| ROE | 3.94% | ||
| ROCE | 2.44% | ||
| ROIC | 1.93% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.94% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.97% | ||
| OM | 1.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.49% | ||
| GM | 68.84% | ||
| FCFM | 0.41% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
ROICexc(3y)4.53%
ROICexc(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc(3y)4.6%
ROICexgc(5y)5.51%
ROCE(3y)5.64%
ROCE(5y)6.64%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.93 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 38.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.49 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 126.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.53% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 105.32% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.88% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
F-Score6
WACC7.23%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)122.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.5%
Profit Quality(3y)117.63%
Profit Quality(5y)104.91%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.74%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-264.44%
EPS Next Y-131.84%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-45.02%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.12%
EBIT growth 5Y5.51%
EBIT Next Year2.25%
EBIT Next 3Y28.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-86.53%
FCF growth 3Y-17.63%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.8%
OCF growth 3Y2.17%
OCF growth 5Y6.34%
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY / CBRL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CBRL.
What is the valuation status for CBRL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 16.56 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.69.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CBRL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is expected to decline by -131.84% in the next year.