30.15 USD
+1.82 (+6.42%)
29.9575 USD
-0.19 (-0.64%)
Taking everything into account, CBRL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CBRL was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. CBRL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. CBRL has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CBRL was profitable.
CBRL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years CBRL has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years CBRL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.79%, CBRL is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.86% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 3.94%, CBRL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.15% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL's Return On Invested Capital of 1.93% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL is outperformed by 66.92% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CBRL is significantly below the industry average of 10.39%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.79% | ||
| ROE | 3.94% | ||
| ROIC | 1.93% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
1.3 Margins
CBRL's Profit Margin of 0.49% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 40.60% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
CBRL has a worse Operating Margin (1.11%) than 75.19% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
CBRL has a better Gross Margin (68.84%) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.49% | ||
| GM | 68.84% |
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CBRL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for CBRL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CBRL has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
CBRL has an Altman-Z score of 2.00. This is not the best score and indicates that CBRL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of CBRL (2.00) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CBRL has a debt to FCF ratio of 38.79. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CBRL would need 38.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CBRL has a Debt to FCF ratio (38.79) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CBRL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.93. This is a neutral value indicating CBRL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CBRL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.93. This is in the better half of the industry: CBRL outperforms 60.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.93 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 38.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC7.4%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.51 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of CBRL (0.51) is worse than 73.68% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.16 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CBRL (0.16) is worse than 92.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CBRL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -46.74%.
CBRL shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 11.47% yearly.
CBRL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.61%.
Measured over the past years, CBRL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.74%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-264.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -25.06% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
CBRL is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.01% yearly.
EPS Next Y-131.84%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.38 indicates a correct valuation of CBRL.
80.45% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CBRL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
CBRL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.00, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
CBRL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.83.
CBRL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
CBRL is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.83 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CBRL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.95% of the companies are valued more expensively.
CBRL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 47.33 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.52 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
CBRL's earnings are expected to decrease with -25.06% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.34
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CBRL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.94%.
The stock price of CBRL dropped by -23.36% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.94, CBRL pays a better dividend. On top of this CBRL pays more dividend than 93.23% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.94, CBRL pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.94% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CBRL decreases each year by -23.48%.
CBRL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
137.54% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CBRL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
CBRL's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP137.54%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
30.15
+1.82 (+6.42%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.51%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.97%
Ins Owner Change-9.67%
Market Cap671.44M
Revenue(TTM)3.44B
Net Income(TTM)16.91M
Analysts50.67
Price Target32 (6.14%)
Short Float %23.2%
Short Ratio2.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.94% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
DP137.54%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.48%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(2)8.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(4)91.37%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)20.14%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)11.05%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)7.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.68%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.4%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.63%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.81%
PT rev (1m)-32.34%
PT rev (3m)-33.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-144.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-139.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-215.19%
EPS NY rev (3m)-171.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.83 | ||
| P/S | 0.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 47.33 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.95 | ||
| P/B | 1.57 | ||
| P/tB | 1.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.52 |
EPS(TTM)1.96
EY6.5%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY3.05%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY2.11%
OCF(TTM)7.63
OCFY25.3%
SpS154.28
BVpS19.25
TBVpS18.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.34
Graham Number29.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.79% | ||
| ROE | 3.94% | ||
| ROCE | 2.44% | ||
| ROIC | 1.93% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.94% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.97% | ||
| OM | 1.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.49% | ||
| GM | 68.84% | ||
| FCFM | 0.41% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
ROICexc(3y)4.53%
ROICexc(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc(3y)4.6%
ROICexgc(5y)5.51%
ROCE(3y)5.64%
ROCE(5y)6.64%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.93 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 38.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.49 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 126.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.53% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 105.32% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.88% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
F-Score6
WACC7.4%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)122.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.5%
Profit Quality(3y)117.63%
Profit Quality(5y)104.91%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.74%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-264.44%
EPS Next Y-131.84%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-45.02%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.12%
EBIT growth 5Y5.51%
EBIT Next Year2.25%
EBIT Next 3Y28.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-86.53%
FCF growth 3Y-17.63%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.8%
OCF growth 3Y2.17%
OCF growth 5Y6.34%
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY / CBRL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CBRL.
What is the valuation status for CBRL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 15.38 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.57.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CBRL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is expected to decline by -131.84% in the next year.