CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:CBRL - US22410J1060 - Common Stock
35.56 USD
-0.69 (-1.9%)
35.7 USD
+0.14 (+0.39%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to CBRL. CBRL was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of CBRL while its profitability can be described as average. CBRL has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CBRL had positive earnings in the past year.
CBRL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CBRL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years CBRL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
CBRL's Return On Assets of 2.15% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 47.37% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 10.05%, CBRL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.92% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of CBRL (3.86%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CBRL is significantly below the industry average of 10.67%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.05% | ||
| ROIC | 3.86% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 1.33%, CBRL is not doing good in the industry: 60.90% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CBRL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.16%, CBRL is doing worse than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
CBRL has a better Gross Margin (68.97%) than 84.21% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CBRL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 68.97% |
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CBRL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has more shares outstanding
CBRL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.13 indicates that CBRL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CBRL has a Altman-Z score (2.13) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CBRL is 8.11, which is on the high side as it means it would take CBRL, 8.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 8.11, CBRL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.17% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.73. This is a neutral value indicating CBRL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CBRL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.73 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 63.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.13 |
ROIC/WACC0.54
WACC7.18%
2.3 Liquidity
CBRL has a Current Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that CBRL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CBRL has a worse Current ratio (0.50) than 75.19% of its industry peers.
CBRL has a Quick Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that CBRL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.21, CBRL is doing worse than 92.48% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for CBRL have decreased strongly by -15.78% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.47% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.37% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, CBRL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.78%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-24.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-2.95%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.58% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.07% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-65.95%
EPS Next 2Y-7.2%
EPS Next 3Y-4.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.89%
Revenue Next 2Y0.61%
Revenue Next 3Y1.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.29, the valuation of CBRL can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CBRL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.72% of the companies are valued more expensively.
CBRL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.08.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.16, the valuation of CBRL can be described as expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CBRL.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CBRL to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.09), we can say CBRL is valued slightly more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.16 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CBRL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.22% of the companies are valued more expensively.
CBRL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CBRL is cheaper than 86.47% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
CBRL's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.58% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.98
EPS Next 2Y-7.2%
EPS Next 3Y-4.58%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CBRL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.72%.
In the last 3 months the price of CBRL has falen by -39.76%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
CBRL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.90. CBRL pays more dividend than 82.71% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.30.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.72% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CBRL decreases each year by -23.48%.
CBRL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
49.80% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CBRL. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The Dividend Rate of CBRL has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP49.8%
EPS Next 2Y-7.2%
EPS Next 3Y-4.58%
35.56
-0.69 (-1.9%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners116.96%
Inst Owner Change0.12%
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner Change7.26%
Market Cap791.92M
Revenue(TTM)3.48B
Net Income(TTM)46.38M
Analysts50.67
Price Target47.94 (34.81%)
Short Float %22.51%
Short Ratio3.09
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.72% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
DP49.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)41.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(2)91.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)34.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(4)91.37%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)15.03%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)8.7%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)7.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.33%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.54%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.69%
PT rev (1m)-15.21%
PT rev (3m)-14.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-231.83%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-240.73%
EPS NY rev (1m)-23.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)-68.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.45%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.16 | ||
| P/S | 0.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.25 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.62 | ||
| P/B | 1.72 | ||
| P/tB | 1.81 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.35 |
EPS(TTM)3.15
EY8.86%
EPS(NY)1.07
Fwd EY3.02%
FCF(TTM)2.68
FCFY7.55%
OCF(TTM)9.83
OCFY27.64%
SpS156.43
BVpS20.73
TBVpS19.64
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.98
Graham Number38.33
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.05% | ||
| ROCE | 4.89% | ||
| ROIC | 3.86% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.03% | ||
| OM | 2.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 68.97% | ||
| FCFM | 1.72% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
ROICexc(3y)4.53%
ROICexc(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc(3y)4.6%
ROICexgc(5y)5.51%
ROCE(3y)5.64%
ROCE(5y)6.64%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.61
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.11 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.7 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 130.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 110.93% | ||
| Profit Quality | 128.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.13 |
F-Score7
WACC7.18%
ROIC/WACC0.54
Cap/Depr(3y)122.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.5%
Profit Quality(3y)117.63%
Profit Quality(5y)104.91%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.78%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-24.49%
EPS Next Y-65.95%
EPS Next 2Y-7.2%
EPS Next 3Y-4.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-2.95%
Revenue Next Year-1.89%
Revenue Next 2Y0.61%
Revenue Next 3Y1.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.12%
EBIT growth 5Y5.51%
EBIT Next Year93.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.5%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y46.87%
FCF growth 3Y-17.63%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y29.54%
OCF growth 3Y2.17%
OCF growth 5Y6.34%
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY / CBRL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CBRL.
Can you provide the valuation status for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
How financially healthy is CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
The financial health rating of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CBRL stock?
The dividend rating of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.8%.