30.01 USD
-0.14 (-0.46%)
29.5321 USD
-0.48 (-1.59%)
Taking everything into account, CBRL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CBRL was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While CBRL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. CBRL has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CBRL was profitable.
CBRL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CBRL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years CBRL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
CBRL has a Return On Assets (0.79%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CBRL (3.94%) is better than 60.15% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 1.93%, CBRL is not doing good in the industry: 66.92% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CBRL is significantly below the industry average of 10.39%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.79% | ||
| ROE | 3.94% | ||
| ROIC | 1.93% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 0.49%, CBRL is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.60% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CBRL has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 1.11%, CBRL is not doing good in the industry: 75.19% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CBRL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
CBRL's Gross Margin of 68.84% is amongst the best of the industry. CBRL outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CBRL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.49% | ||
| GM | 68.84% |
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CBRL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for CBRL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CBRL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
CBRL has an Altman-Z score of 2.00. This is not the best score and indicates that CBRL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.00, CBRL is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CBRL is 38.79, which is on the high side as it means it would take CBRL, 38.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CBRL has a Debt to FCF ratio (38.79) which is in line with its industry peers.
CBRL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.93. This is a neutral value indicating CBRL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.93, CBRL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.93 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 38.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC7.41%
2.3 Liquidity
CBRL has a Current Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that CBRL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.51, CBRL is doing worse than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL has a Quick Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that CBRL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CBRL has a Quick ratio of 0.16. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CBRL underperforms 92.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CBRL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -46.74%.
Measured over the past years, CBRL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.47% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, CBRL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.61% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, CBRL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.74%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-264.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
3.2 Future
CBRL is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -25.06% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, CBRL will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.01% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-131.84%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
CBRL is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.31.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CBRL is valued cheaper than 80.45% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
CBRL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.68.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CBRL is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.88, CBRL is valued a bit more expensive.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
CBRL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CBRL is cheaper than 81.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CBRL is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 47.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.52 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as CBRL's earnings are expected to decrease with -25.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.33
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CBRL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.32%.
In the last 3 months the price of CBRL has falen by -23.72%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
CBRL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.94. CBRL pays more dividend than 93.23% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.94.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.32% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CBRL decreases each year by -23.48%.
CBRL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
137.54% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CBRL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of CBRL has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP137.54%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
30.01
-0.14 (-0.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.51%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.97%
Ins Owner Change-9.67%
Market Cap668.32M
Revenue(TTM)3.44B
Net Income(TTM)16.91M
Analysts50.67
Price Target32 (6.63%)
Short Float %23.2%
Short Ratio2.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.32% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
DP137.54%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.48%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(2)8.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(4)91.37%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)20.14%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)11.05%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)7.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.68%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.4%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.63%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.81%
PT rev (1m)-32.34%
PT rev (3m)-33.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-144.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-139.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-215.19%
EPS NY rev (3m)-171.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.68 | ||
| P/S | 0.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 47.11 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.93 | ||
| P/B | 1.56 | ||
| P/tB | 1.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.52 |
EPS(TTM)1.96
EY6.53%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY3.06%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY2.12%
OCF(TTM)7.63
OCFY25.42%
SpS154.28
BVpS19.25
TBVpS18.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.33
Graham Number29.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.79% | ||
| ROE | 3.94% | ||
| ROCE | 2.44% | ||
| ROIC | 1.93% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.94% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.97% | ||
| OM | 1.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.49% | ||
| GM | 68.84% | ||
| FCFM | 0.41% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
ROICexc(3y)4.53%
ROICexc(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc(3y)4.6%
ROICexgc(5y)5.51%
ROCE(3y)5.64%
ROCE(5y)6.64%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.93 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 38.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.49 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 126.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.53% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 105.32% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.88% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
F-Score6
WACC7.41%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)122.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.5%
Profit Quality(3y)117.63%
Profit Quality(5y)104.91%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.74%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-264.44%
EPS Next Y-131.84%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-45.02%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.12%
EBIT growth 5Y5.51%
EBIT Next Year2.25%
EBIT Next 3Y28.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-86.53%
FCF growth 3Y-17.63%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.8%
OCF growth 3Y2.17%
OCF growth 5Y6.34%
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY / CBRL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CBRL.
What is the valuation status for CBRL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 15.31 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.56.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CBRL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is expected to decline by -131.84% in the next year.