27.83 USD
-0.55 (-1.94%)
27.94 USD
+0.11 (+0.4%)
CBRL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 131 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. CBRL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. CBRL is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CBRL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CBRL had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years CBRL has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CBRL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
CBRL has a Return On Assets (2.15%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 10.05%, CBRL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.70% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL has a Return On Invested Capital (3.86%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CBRL is significantly below the industry average of 10.43%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.05% | ||
| ROIC | 3.86% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of CBRL (1.33%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CBRL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
CBRL has a Operating Margin of 2.16%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CBRL underperforms 74.05% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of CBRL (68.97%) is better than 85.50% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 68.97% |
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CBRL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
CBRL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
CBRL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
CBRL has an Altman-Z score of 2.06. This is not the best score and indicates that CBRL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CBRL has a Altman-Z score (2.06) which is in line with its industry peers.
CBRL has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.11. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as CBRL would need 8.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CBRL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 8.11. This is in the better half of the industry: CBRL outperforms 67.18% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.73 indicates that CBRL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of CBRL (0.73) is better than 64.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.06 |
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.39%
2.3 Liquidity
CBRL has a Current Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that CBRL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CBRL has a Current ratio of 0.50. This is in the lower half of the industry: CBRL underperforms 77.10% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.21 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CBRL (0.21) is worse than 92.37% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for CBRL have decreased strongly by -15.78% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, CBRL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.47% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, CBRL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.37% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.78%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-24.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-2.95%
3.2 Future
CBRL is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -8.52% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.71% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-72.35%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.26%
Revenue Next 2Y0.31%
Revenue Next 3Y0.71%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
CBRL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.83.
93.13% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CBRL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CBRL to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.49), we can say CBRL is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 31.96, CBRL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CBRL is on the same level as its industry peers.
CBRL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.69.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.96 |
4.2 Price Multiples
CBRL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CBRL is cheaper than 91.60% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CBRL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.37% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
CBRL's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.52% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.77
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.52%, CBRL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
In the last 3 months the price of CBRL has falen by -47.30%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.84, CBRL pays a better dividend. On top of this CBRL pays more dividend than 90.84% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, CBRL pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.52% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CBRL decreases each year by -23.48%.
CBRL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
CBRL pays out 49.80% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
CBRL's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP49.8%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
27.83
-0.55 (-1.94%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners107.54%
Inst Owner Change-5.3%
Ins Owners0.97%
Ins Owner Change2.52%
Market Cap619.77M
Revenue(TTM)3.48B
Net Income(TTM)46.38M
Analysts50.67
Price Target41.69 (49.8%)
Short Float %21.21%
Short Ratio3.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.52% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
DP49.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)41.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(2)91.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)34.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(4)91.37%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)15.03%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)8.7%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)7.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.33%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.54%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.69%
PT rev (1m)-11.86%
PT rev (3m)-25.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.61%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-253.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)-74.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.59%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.84%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.96 | ||
| P/S | 0.18 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.37 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.83 | ||
| P/B | 1.34 | ||
| P/tB | 1.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.4 |
EPS(TTM)3.15
EY11.32%
EPS(NY)0.87
Fwd EY3.13%
FCF(TTM)2.68
FCFY9.64%
OCF(TTM)9.83
OCFY35.32%
SpS156.43
BVpS20.73
TBVpS19.64
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.77
Graham Number38.33
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.05% | ||
| ROCE | 4.89% | ||
| ROIC | 3.86% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.03% | ||
| OM | 2.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 68.97% | ||
| FCFM | 1.72% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
ROICexc(3y)4.53%
ROICexc(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc(3y)4.6%
ROICexgc(5y)5.51%
ROCE(3y)5.64%
ROCE(5y)6.64%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.61
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.11 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.7 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 130.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 110.93% | ||
| Profit Quality | 128.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.06 |
F-Score7
WACC7.39%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)122.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.5%
Profit Quality(3y)117.63%
Profit Quality(5y)104.91%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.78%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-24.49%
EPS Next Y-72.35%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-2.95%
Revenue Next Year-2.26%
Revenue Next 2Y0.31%
Revenue Next 3Y0.71%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.12%
EBIT growth 5Y5.51%
EBIT Next Year88.23%
EBIT Next 3Y31.4%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y46.87%
FCF growth 3Y-17.63%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y29.54%
OCF growth 3Y2.17%
OCF growth 5Y6.34%
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY / CBRL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CBRL.
Can you provide the valuation status for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
The financial health rating of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CBRL stock?
The dividend rating of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.8%.