27.33 USD
-0.9 (-3.19%)
27.49 USD
+0.16 (+0.59%)
Taking everything into account, CBRL scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CBRL was compared to 131 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of CBRL while its profitability can be described as average. CBRL has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CBRL had positive earnings in the past year.
CBRL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CBRL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years CBRL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
CBRL has a Return On Assets of 2.15%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CBRL outperforms 48.85% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Return On Equity of 10.05% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 68.70% of its industry peers.
CBRL has a Return On Invested Capital (3.86%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CBRL is significantly below the industry average of 10.42%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.05% | ||
| ROIC | 3.86% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
1.3 Margins
CBRL has a Profit Margin (1.33%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CBRL has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.16%, CBRL is doing worse than 74.05% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
CBRL has a Gross Margin of 68.97%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CBRL outperforms 85.50% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 68.97% |
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CBRL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has more shares outstanding
CBRL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CBRL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.07 indicates that CBRL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CBRL's Altman-Z score of 2.07 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 58.02% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CBRL is 8.11, which is on the high side as it means it would take CBRL, 8.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CBRL's Debt to FCF ratio of 8.11 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 67.18% of its industry peers.
CBRL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.73. This is a neutral value indicating CBRL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CBRL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.73 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 64.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.07 |
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.4%
2.3 Liquidity
CBRL has a Current Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that CBRL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.50, CBRL is doing worse than 77.10% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL has a Quick Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that CBRL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CBRL's Quick ratio of 0.21 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL is outperformed by 92.37% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CBRL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -15.78%.
Measured over the past years, CBRL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.47% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.37% in the past year.
CBRL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.67% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.78%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-24.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-2.95%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CBRL will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -8.52% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.71% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-72.35%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.26%
Revenue Next 2Y0.31%
Revenue Next 3Y0.71%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.68, the valuation of CBRL can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CBRL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.13% of the companies are valued more expensively.
CBRL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 31.38, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CBRL.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CBRL.
CBRL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.78.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.38 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CBRL indicates a rather cheap valuation: CBRL is cheaper than 92.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CBRL indicates a rather cheap valuation: CBRL is cheaper than 92.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.44 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as CBRL's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.52% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.76
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.54%, CBRL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
The stock price of CBRL dropped by -46.59% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.58, CBRL pays a better dividend. On top of this CBRL pays more dividend than 91.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, CBRL pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.54% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CBRL decreases each year by -23.48%.
CBRL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
49.80% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CBRL. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The Dividend Rate of CBRL has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP49.8%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
27.33
-0.9 (-3.19%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners107.54%
Inst Owner Change-5.3%
Ins Owners0.97%
Ins Owner Change2.52%
Market Cap608.64M
Revenue(TTM)3.48B
Net Income(TTM)46.38M
Analysts50.67
Price Target41.69 (52.54%)
Short Float %21.21%
Short Ratio3.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.54% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
DP49.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)41.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(2)91.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)34.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(4)91.37%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)15.03%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)8.7%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)7.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.33%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.54%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.69%
PT rev (1m)-11.86%
PT rev (3m)-25.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.61%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-253.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)-74.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.59%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.84%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.38 | ||
| P/S | 0.17 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.19 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.78 | ||
| P/B | 1.32 | ||
| P/tB | 1.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.44 |
EPS(TTM)3.15
EY11.53%
EPS(NY)0.87
Fwd EY3.19%
FCF(TTM)2.68
FCFY9.82%
OCF(TTM)9.83
OCFY35.97%
SpS156.43
BVpS20.73
TBVpS19.64
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.76
Graham Number38.33
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.05% | ||
| ROCE | 4.89% | ||
| ROIC | 3.86% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.03% | ||
| OM | 2.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 68.97% | ||
| FCFM | 1.72% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
ROICexc(3y)4.53%
ROICexc(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc(3y)4.6%
ROICexgc(5y)5.51%
ROCE(3y)5.64%
ROCE(5y)6.64%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.61
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.11 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.7 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 130.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 110.93% | ||
| Profit Quality | 128.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.07 |
F-Score7
WACC7.4%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)122.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.5%
Profit Quality(3y)117.63%
Profit Quality(5y)104.91%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.78%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-24.49%
EPS Next Y-72.35%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-2.95%
Revenue Next Year-2.26%
Revenue Next 2Y0.31%
Revenue Next 3Y0.71%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.12%
EBIT growth 5Y5.51%
EBIT Next Year88.23%
EBIT Next 3Y31.4%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y46.87%
FCF growth 3Y-17.63%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y29.54%
OCF growth 3Y2.17%
OCF growth 5Y6.34%
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY / CBRL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CBRL.
Can you provide the valuation status for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
The financial health rating of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CBRL stock?
The dividend rating of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.8%.