CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:CBRL - US22410J1060 - Common Stock
29.09 USD
-2.67 (-8.41%)
29.18 USD
+0.09 (+0.31%)
Taking everything into account, CBRL scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CBRL was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of CBRL while its profitability can be described as average. CBRL is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CBRL was profitable.
In the past year CBRL had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years CBRL has been profitable.
In the past 5 years CBRL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
CBRL's Return On Assets of 2.15% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 46.21% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Return On Equity of 10.05% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
CBRL has a Return On Invested Capital (3.86%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CBRL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.46%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.94%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.05% | ||
| ROIC | 3.86% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of CBRL (1.33%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CBRL has declined.
CBRL has a worse Operating Margin (2.16%) than 73.48% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
CBRL has a better Gross Margin (68.97%) than 84.85% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 68.97% |
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CBRL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, CBRL has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for CBRL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.09 indicates that CBRL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CBRL has a Altman-Z score of 2.09. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CBRL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
CBRL has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.11. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as CBRL would need 8.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 8.11, CBRL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.42% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.73 indicates that CBRL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.73, CBRL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.09 |
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC6.92%
2.3 Liquidity
CBRL has a Current Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that CBRL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.50, CBRL is not doing good in the industry: 74.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CBRL has a Quick Ratio of 0.50. This is a bad value and indicates that CBRL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CBRL (0.21) is worse than 90.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CBRL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -15.78%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.47% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
CBRL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.37%.
Measured over the past years, CBRL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.78%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-24.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-2.95%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CBRL will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -4.57% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.07% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-70.09%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-4.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.15%
Revenue Next 2Y0.42%
Revenue Next 3Y1.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 9.23, which indicates a very decent valuation of CBRL.
CBRL's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CBRL is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
CBRL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.87.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CBRL is on the same level as its industry peers.
CBRL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 33.61.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.87 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CBRL is valued cheaper than 90.15% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CBRL is cheaper than 89.39% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.84 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.84 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
CBRL's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.57% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.8
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-4.57%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.22%, CBRL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
In the last 3 months the price of CBRL has falen by -53.22%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
CBRL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.43. CBRL pays more dividend than 84.85% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.22% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CBRL decreases each year by -23.48%.
CBRL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
CBRL pays out 49.80% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The Dividend Rate of CBRL has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP49.8%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-4.57%
29.09
-2.67 (-8.41%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners116.96%
Inst Owner Change0.22%
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner Change1.31%
Market Cap647.83M
Revenue(TTM)3.48B
Net Income(TTM)46.38M
Analysts50.67
Price Target47.3 (62.6%)
Short Float %22.51%
Short Ratio3.09
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.22% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
DP49.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)41.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(2)91.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)34.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(4)91.37%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)15.03%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)8.7%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)7.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.33%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.54%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.69%
PT rev (1m)-1.33%
PT rev (3m)-15.9%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-248.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)-32.71%
EPS NY rev (3m)-72.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.72%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.87 | ||
| P/S | 0.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.84 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.96 | ||
| P/B | 1.4 | ||
| P/tB | 1.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.84 |
EPS(TTM)3.15
EY10.83%
EPS(NY)0.94
Fwd EY3.24%
FCF(TTM)2.68
FCFY9.22%
OCF(TTM)9.83
OCFY33.79%
SpS156.43
BVpS20.73
TBVpS19.64
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.8
Graham Number38.33
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.05% | ||
| ROCE | 4.89% | ||
| ROIC | 3.86% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.03% | ||
| OM | 2.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 68.97% | ||
| FCFM | 1.72% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
ROICexc(3y)4.53%
ROICexc(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc(3y)4.6%
ROICexgc(5y)5.51%
ROCE(3y)5.64%
ROCE(5y)6.64%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.61
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.11 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.7 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 130.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 110.93% | ||
| Profit Quality | 128.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.09 |
F-Score7
WACC6.92%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)122.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.5%
Profit Quality(3y)117.63%
Profit Quality(5y)104.91%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.78%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-24.49%
EPS Next Y-70.09%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-4.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-2.95%
Revenue Next Year-2.15%
Revenue Next 2Y0.42%
Revenue Next 3Y1.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.12%
EBIT growth 5Y5.51%
EBIT Next Year93.36%
EBIT Next 3Y34.77%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y46.87%
FCF growth 3Y-17.63%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y29.54%
OCF growth 3Y2.17%
OCF growth 5Y6.34%
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY / CBRL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CBRL.
Can you provide the valuation status for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
The financial health rating of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CBRL stock?
The dividend rating of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.8%.