30.01 USD
-0.14 (-0.46%)
29.5321 USD
-0.48 (-1.59%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to CBRL. CBRL was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. CBRL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. CBRL has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CBRL was profitable.
In the past year CBRL had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years CBRL has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CBRL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.79%, CBRL is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.86% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL has a Return On Equity of 3.94%. This is in the better half of the industry: CBRL outperforms 60.15% of its industry peers.
CBRL has a worse Return On Invested Capital (1.93%) than 66.92% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CBRL is significantly below the industry average of 10.34%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.79% | ||
| ROE | 3.94% | ||
| ROIC | 1.93% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 0.49%, CBRL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.60% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
CBRL's Operating Margin of 1.11% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL is outperformed by 74.44% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CBRL has remained more or less at the same level.
CBRL's Gross Margin of 68.84% is amongst the best of the industry. CBRL outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.49% | ||
| GM | 68.84% |
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CBRL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for CBRL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CBRL has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
CBRL has an Altman-Z score of 2.00. This is not the best score and indicates that CBRL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CBRL has a Altman-Z score of 2.00. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CBRL outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CBRL is 38.79, which is on the high side as it means it would take CBRL, 38.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CBRL's Debt to FCF ratio of 38.79 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 43.61% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.93 indicates that CBRL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CBRL has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.93) than 60.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.93 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 38.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC7.41%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.51 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.51, CBRL is doing worse than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.16 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CBRL has a Quick ratio of 0.16. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CBRL underperforms 92.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CBRL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -46.74%.
Measured over the past years, CBRL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.47% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -1.61% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.74%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-264.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
3.2 Future
CBRL is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -25.06% yearly.
CBRL is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.01% yearly.
EPS Next Y-131.84%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.31 indicates a correct valuation of CBRL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CBRL indicates a rather cheap valuation: CBRL is cheaper than 81.20% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CBRL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.19.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.68, CBRL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CBRL.
CBRL is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.92, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CBRL is valued cheaper than 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CBRL is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 47.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.5 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as CBRL's earnings are expected to decrease with -25.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.33
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.32%, CBRL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
In the last 3 months the price of CBRL has falen by -23.72%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.32, CBRL pays a better dividend. On top of this CBRL pays more dividend than 89.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, CBRL pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.32% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CBRL decreases each year by -23.48%.
CBRL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
CBRL pays out 137.54% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
CBRL's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP137.54%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
30.01
-0.14 (-0.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.51%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.97%
Ins Owner Change-11.24%
Market Cap668.32M
Revenue(TTM)3.44B
Net Income(TTM)16.91M
Analysts50.67
Price Target32 (6.63%)
Short Float %23.2%
Short Ratio2.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.32% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
DP137.54%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.48%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(2)8.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(4)91.37%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)20.14%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)11.05%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)7.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.68%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.4%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.63%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.81%
PT rev (1m)-23.24%
PT rev (3m)-33.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-144.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-139.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-215.19%
EPS NY rev (3m)-171.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.68 | ||
| P/S | 0.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 47.11 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.93 | ||
| P/B | 1.56 | ||
| P/tB | 1.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.5 |
EPS(TTM)1.96
EY6.53%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY3.06%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY2.12%
OCF(TTM)7.63
OCFY25.42%
SpS154.28
BVpS19.25
TBVpS18.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.33
Graham Number29.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.79% | ||
| ROE | 3.94% | ||
| ROCE | 2.44% | ||
| ROIC | 1.93% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.94% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.97% | ||
| OM | 1.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.49% | ||
| GM | 68.84% | ||
| FCFM | 0.41% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
ROICexc(3y)4.53%
ROICexc(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc(3y)4.6%
ROICexgc(5y)5.51%
ROCE(3y)5.64%
ROCE(5y)6.64%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.93 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 38.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.49 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 126.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.53% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 105.32% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.88% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
F-Score6
WACC7.41%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)122.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.5%
Profit Quality(3y)117.63%
Profit Quality(5y)104.91%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.74%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-264.44%
EPS Next Y-131.84%
EPS Next 2Y-46.01%
EPS Next 3Y-25.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-45.02%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.12%
EBIT growth 5Y5.51%
EBIT Next Year2.25%
EBIT Next 3Y28.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-86.53%
FCF growth 3Y-17.63%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.8%
OCF growth 3Y2.17%
OCF growth 5Y6.34%
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY / CBRL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CBRL.
What is the valuation status for CBRL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 15.31 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.56.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CBRL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is expected to decline by -131.84% in the next year.