27.33 USD
-0.9 (-3.19%)
27.5794 USD
+0.25 (+0.91%)
Taking everything into account, CBRL scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CBRL was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While CBRL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. CBRL is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CBRL was profitable.
In the past year CBRL had a positive cash flow from operations.
CBRL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
CBRL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
CBRL has a Return On Assets (2.15%) which is in line with its industry peers.
CBRL has a Return On Equity of 10.05%. This is in the better half of the industry: CBRL outperforms 68.94% of its industry peers.
CBRL has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.86%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CBRL outperforms 41.67% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CBRL is significantly below the industry average of 10.42%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.05% | ||
| ROIC | 3.86% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
1.3 Margins
CBRL has a Profit Margin of 1.33%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CBRL outperforms 43.18% of its industry peers.
CBRL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.16%, CBRL is doing worse than 74.24% of the companies in the same industry.
CBRL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 68.97%, CBRL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.61% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CBRL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 68.97% |
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CBRL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has more shares outstanding
CBRL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.06 indicates that CBRL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.06, CBRL is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CBRL is 8.11, which is on the high side as it means it would take CBRL, 8.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CBRL has a better Debt to FCF ratio (8.11) than 67.42% of its industry peers.
CBRL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.73. This is a neutral value indicating CBRL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CBRL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.73. This is in the better half of the industry: CBRL outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.06 |
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.43%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.50 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.50, CBRL is doing worse than 76.52% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.21 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CBRL (0.21) is worse than 91.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CBRL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -46.74%.
CBRL shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 11.47% yearly.
CBRL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.37%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.74%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-264.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
3.2 Future
CBRL is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -8.52% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, CBRL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.71% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-72.35%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.26%
Revenue Next 2Y0.31%
Revenue Next 3Y0.71%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.94, which indicates a correct valuation of CBRL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CBRL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CBRL is cheaper than 79.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.56, CBRL is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.66, the valuation of CBRL can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CBRL indicates a rather cheap valuation: CBRL is cheaper than 87.88% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.79, CBRL is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CBRL indicates a rather cheap valuation: CBRL is cheaper than 91.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CBRL is valued cheaper than 92.42% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.34 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
CBRL's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.52% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.22
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CBRL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.66%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
The stock price of CBRL dropped by -46.59% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.48, CBRL pays a better dividend. On top of this CBRL pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CBRL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.66% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CBRL decreases each year by -23.48%.
CBRL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
49.80% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CBRL. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The Dividend Rate of CBRL has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP49.8%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
27.33
-0.9 (-3.19%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners107.54%
Inst Owner Change-5.3%
Ins Owners0.97%
Ins Owner Change-2.45%
Market Cap608.64M
Revenue(TTM)3.48B
Net Income(TTM)46.38M
Analysts50.67
Price Target41.69 (52.54%)
Short Float %21.21%
Short Ratio3.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.66% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.48%
DP49.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)41.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(2)91.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)34.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.97%
Max EPS beat(4)91.37%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)15.03%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)8.7%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)7.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.33%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.54%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.69%
PT rev (1m)-11.86%
PT rev (3m)-26.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.61%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-244.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)-74.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.59%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.92%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.66 | ||
| P/S | 0.17 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.19 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.78 | ||
| P/B | 1.32 | ||
| P/tB | 1.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.34 |
EPS(TTM)1.96
EY7.17%
EPS(NY)2.56
Fwd EY9.38%
FCF(TTM)2.68
FCFY9.82%
OCF(TTM)9.83
OCFY35.97%
SpS156.43
BVpS20.73
TBVpS19.64
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.22
Graham Number30.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.05% | ||
| ROCE | 4.89% | ||
| ROIC | 3.86% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.03% | ||
| OM | 2.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 68.97% | ||
| FCFM | 1.72% |
ROA(3y)2.83%
ROA(5y)4.98%
ROE(3y)13.27%
ROE(5y)20.79%
ROIC(3y)4.46%
ROIC(5y)5.25%
ROICexc(3y)4.53%
ROICexc(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc(3y)4.6%
ROICexgc(5y)5.51%
ROCE(3y)5.64%
ROCE(5y)6.64%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y-22.79%
OM growth 5Y-1.08%
PM growth 3Y-30.9%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.54%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.61
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.11 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.7 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 130.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 110.93% | ||
| Profit Quality | 128.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.06 |
F-Score7
WACC7.43%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)122.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.5%
Profit Quality(3y)117.63%
Profit Quality(5y)104.91%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.74%
EPS 3Y-19.73%
EPS 5Y11.47%
EPS Q2Q%-264.44%
EPS Next Y-72.35%
EPS Next 2Y-9.78%
EPS Next 3Y-8.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y2.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
Revenue Next Year-2.26%
Revenue Next 2Y0.31%
Revenue Next 3Y0.71%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.12%
EBIT growth 5Y5.51%
EBIT Next Year88.23%
EBIT Next 3Y31.4%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y46.87%
FCF growth 3Y-17.63%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y29.54%
OCF growth 3Y2.17%
OCF growth 5Y6.34%
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY / CBRL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CBRL.
Can you provide the valuation status for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY?
The financial health rating of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CBRL stock?
The dividend rating of CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.8%.