CARRIER GLOBAL CORP (CARR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CARR • US14448C1045
Current stock price
58.55 USD
-6.11 (-9.45%)
At close:
58.72 USD
+0.17 (+0.29%)
Pre-Market:
This CARR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CARR Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- CARR had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year CARR had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years CARR has been profitable.
- CARR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- CARR has a Return On Assets (3.99%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 10.75%, CARR is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- CARR has a worse Return On Invested Capital (5.06%) than 69.05% of its industry peers.
- CARR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.56%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.89%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.99% | ||
| ROE | 10.75% | ||
| ROIC | 5.06% |
ROA(3y)7.69%
ROA(5y)8.6%
ROE(3y)22.03%
ROE(5y)27.25%
ROIC(3y)5.56%
ROIC(5y)8.12%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 6.82%, CARR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- CARR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- CARR's Operating Margin of 10.01% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CARR outperforms 45.24% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CARR has declined.
- The Gross Margin of CARR (26.05%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- CARR's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.82% | ||
| GM | 26.05% |
OM growth 3Y-22.02%
OM growth 5Y-1.52%
PM growth 3Y-26.67%
PM growth 5Y-9.68%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-2.38%
2. CARR Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CARR is destroying value.
- CARR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for CARR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CARR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- CARR has an Altman-Z score of 2.54. This is not the best score and indicates that CARR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of CARR (2.54) is worse than 61.90% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CARR is 5.65, which is a neutral value as it means it would take CARR, 5.65 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- CARR has a Debt to FCF ratio (5.65) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82 indicates that CARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- CARR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.82 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CARR is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.82 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.65 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC9.49%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.20 indicates that CARR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.20, CARR is doing worse than 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- CARR has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a bad value and indicates that CARR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.85, CARR is not doing good in the industry: 80.95% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.2 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. CARR Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for CARR have decreased by -7.86% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.22% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- CARR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -24.14%.
- Measured over the past years, CARR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.49% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
EPS 3Y3.46%
EPS 5Y9.22%
EPS Q2Q%-37.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-24.14%
Revenue growth 3Y2.12%
Revenue growth 5Y4.49%
Sales Q2Q%-6.04%
3.2 Future
- CARR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.99% yearly.
- CARR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.95% yearly.
EPS Next Y9.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y12.84%
EPS Next 5Y15.99%
Revenue Next Year0.2%
Revenue Next 2Y2.75%
Revenue Next 3Y3.69%
Revenue Next 5Y6.95%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. CARR Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.69, CARR is valued on the expensive side.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CARR is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CARR to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.38), we can say CARR is valued inline with the index average.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.70 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CARR.
- CARR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.20. CARR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.69 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.7 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- CARR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CARR is more expensive than 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
- CARR's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- CARR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.84% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.35
PEG (5Y)2.46
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y12.84%
5. CARR Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- CARR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.56%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.72, CARR pays a better dividend. On top of this CARR pays more dividend than 85.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, CARR has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.56% |
5.2 History
- CARR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- CARR pays out 52.02% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP52.02%
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y12.84%
CARR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
58.55
-6.11 (-9.45%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryBuilding Products
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-23 2026-04-23/bmo
Inst Owners90.82%
Inst Owner Change-0.04%
Ins Owners6.15%
Ins Owner Change10.47%
Market Cap48.91B
Revenue(TTM)21.75B
Net Income(TTM)1.48B
Analysts78.06
Price Target73.08 (24.82%)
Short Float %2.59%
Short Ratio2.84
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.56% |
Yearly Dividend0.9
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP52.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date01-20 2026-01-20 (0.24)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.47%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.37%
Max EPS beat(2)15.31%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.37%
Max EPS beat(4)15.31%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.01%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.17%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.81%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.31%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.11%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.21%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.61%
PT rev (1m)-0.56%
PT rev (3m)-0.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.69 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.7 | ||
| P/S | 2.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.34 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.66 | ||
| P/B | 3.54 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.16 |
EPS(TTM)2.58
EY4.41%
EPS(NY)2.83
Fwd EY4.83%
FCF(TTM)2.51
FCFY4.29%
OCF(TTM)2.98
OCFY5.09%
SpS26.03
BVpS16.52
TBVpS-9.6
PEG (NY)2.35
PEG (5Y)2.46
Graham Number30.9705 (-47.1%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.99% | ||
| ROE | 10.75% | ||
| ROCE | 7.24% | ||
| ROIC | 5.06% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.75% | ||
| OM | 10.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.82% | ||
| GM | 26.05% | ||
| FCFM | 9.64% |
ROA(3y)7.69%
ROA(5y)8.6%
ROE(3y)22.03%
ROE(5y)27.25%
ROIC(3y)5.56%
ROIC(5y)8.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.22%
ROICexc(5y)10.08%
ROICexgc(3y)26.77%
ROICexgc(5y)32.8%
ROCE(3y)7.94%
ROCE(5y)11.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.73%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.37%
ROICexc growth 3Y-33.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y-7.35%
OM growth 3Y-22.02%
OM growth 5Y-1.52%
PM growth 3Y-26.67%
PM growth 5Y-9.68%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-2.38%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.58
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.82 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.65 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 30.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.8% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.12% | ||
| Profit Quality | 141.24% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.2 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
F-Score4
WACC9.49%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)54.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)71.4%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.96%
Profit Quality(3y)100.42%
Profit Quality(5y)90.87%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
EPS 3Y3.46%
EPS 5Y9.22%
EPS Q2Q%-37.04%
EPS Next Y9.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y12.84%
EPS Next 5Y15.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-24.14%
Revenue growth 3Y2.12%
Revenue growth 5Y4.49%
Sales Q2Q%-6.04%
Revenue Next Year0.2%
Revenue Next 2Y2.75%
Revenue Next 3Y3.69%
Revenue Next 5Y6.95%
EBIT growth 1Y-13.55%
EBIT growth 3Y-20.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.91%
EBIT Next Year23.68%
EBIT Next 3Y13.99%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y475.82%
FCF growth 3Y14.67%
FCF growth 5Y8.72%
OCF growth 1Y181.77%
OCF growth 3Y12.59%
OCF growth 5Y8.02%
CARRIER GLOBAL CORP / CARR Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CARRIER GLOBAL CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CARR.
Can you provide the valuation status for CARRIER GLOBAL CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CARRIER GLOBAL CORP (CARR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CARRIER GLOBAL CORP?
CARRIER GLOBAL CORP (CARR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
How financially healthy is CARRIER GLOBAL CORP?
The financial health rating of CARRIER GLOBAL CORP (CARR) is 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for CARRIER GLOBAL CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CARRIER GLOBAL CORP (CARR) is expected to grow by 9.65% in the next year.