CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:CAKE • US1630721017

57.96 USD
-0.55 (-0.93%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
57.85 USD
-0.11 (-0.19%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall CAKE gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated CAKE against 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While CAKE is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. CAKE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CAKE was profitable.
  • In the past year CAKE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years CAKE 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CAKE had a positive operating cash flow.
CAKE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCAKE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M -200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.96%, CAKE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CAKE's Return On Equity of 37.81% is amongst the best of the industry. CAKE outperforms 87.12% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.99%, CAKE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CAKE is significantly below the industry average of 10.38%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (6.99%) for CAKE is above the 3 year average (5.05%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.96%
ROE 37.81%
ROIC 6.99%
ROA(3y)3.43%
ROA(5y)0.39%
ROE(3y)27.33%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)5.05%
ROIC(5y)N/A
CAKE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCAKE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of CAKE (4.33%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CAKE has declined.
  • CAKE has a Operating Margin (5.89%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CAKE has remained more or less at the same level.
  • CAKE has a Gross Margin of 78.13%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CAKE outperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CAKE has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.89%
PM (TTM) 4.33%
GM 78.13%
OM growth 3Y8.38%
OM growth 5Y1.18%
PM growth 3Y37.68%
PM growth 5Y-3.11%
GM growth 3Y-0.08%
GM growth 5Y0.03%
CAKE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCAKE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CAKE is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CAKE has more shares outstanding
  • CAKE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CAKE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CAKE Yearly Shares OutstandingCAKE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
CAKE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCAKE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • CAKE has an Altman-Z score of 2.46. This is not the best score and indicates that CAKE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CAKE has a Altman-Z score of 2.46. This is in the better half of the industry: CAKE outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CAKE is 3.97, which is a good value as it means it would take CAKE, 3.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.97, CAKE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.32 is on the high side and indicates that CAKE has dependencies on debt financing.
  • CAKE has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.32) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.32
Debt/FCF 3.97
Altman-Z 2.46
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC7.98%
CAKE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCAKE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that CAKE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.55, CAKE is doing worse than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.47 indicates that CAKE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CAKE has a Quick ratio of 0.47. This is in the lower half of the industry: CAKE underperforms 74.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.47
CAKE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCAKE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 19.06% over the past year.
  • CAKE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.68% yearly.
  • CAKE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.90%.
  • CAKE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.61% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)19.06%
EPS 3Y17.14%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%17.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.9%
Revenue growth 3Y6.95%
Revenue growth 5Y7.61%
Sales Q2Q%4.82%

3.2 Future

  • CAKE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.12% yearly.
  • CAKE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.87% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.35%
EPS Next 2Y8.95%
EPS Next 3Y9.7%
EPS Next 5Y10.12%
Revenue Next Year4.64%
Revenue Next 2Y4.64%
Revenue Next 3Y5.36%
Revenue Next 5Y4.87%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CAKE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCAKE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
CAKE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCAKE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 15.21, the valuation of CAKE can be described as correct.
  • 81.06% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CAKE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.32. CAKE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • CAKE is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.19.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CAKE is valued a bit cheaper than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.57, CAKE is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.21
Fwd PE 14.19
CAKE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCAKE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 62.88% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CAKE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • CAKE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CAKE is cheaper than 74.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.24
EV/EBITDA 10.23
CAKE Per share dataCAKE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CAKE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.34
PEG (5Y)2.68
EPS Next 2Y8.95%
EPS Next 3Y9.7%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • CAKE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.85%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.25, CAKE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • CAKE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.85%

5.2 History

  • CAKE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CAKE has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
CAKE Yearly Dividends per shareCAKE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 32.74% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CAKE. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP32.74%
EPS Next 2Y8.95%
EPS Next 3Y9.7%
CAKE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCAKE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M
CAKE Dividend Payout.CAKE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CAKE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE / CAKE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CAKE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CAKE.


What is the valuation status for CAKE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CAKE stock?

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) is 15.21 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.79.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CAKE stock?

The dividend rating of CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 32.74%.