CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:CAKE • US1630721017

61.82 USD
+2 (+3.34%)
At close: Feb 4, 2026
62.0907 USD
+0.27 (+0.44%)
After Hours: 2/4/2026, 8:06:52 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall CAKE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated CAKE against 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of CAKE while its profitability can be described as average. CAKE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CAKE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CAKE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years CAKE 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CAKE had a positive operating cash flow.
CAKE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCAKE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M -200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • CAKE has a better Return On Assets (4.96%) than 67.42% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of CAKE (37.81%) is better than 87.12% of its industry peers.
  • CAKE has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.99%. This is in the better half of the industry: CAKE outperforms 60.61% of its industry peers.
  • CAKE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.05%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.39%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (6.99%) for CAKE is above the 3 year average (5.05%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.96%
ROE 37.81%
ROIC 6.99%
ROA(3y)3.43%
ROA(5y)0.39%
ROE(3y)27.33%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)5.05%
ROIC(5y)N/A
CAKE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCAKE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • CAKE has a Profit Margin of 4.33%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CAKE outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CAKE has declined.
  • CAKE has a Operating Margin of 5.89%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CAKE outperforms 42.42% of its industry peers.
  • CAKE's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • CAKE has a better Gross Margin (78.13%) than 91.67% of its industry peers.
  • CAKE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.89%
PM (TTM) 4.33%
GM 78.13%
OM growth 3Y8.38%
OM growth 5Y1.18%
PM growth 3Y37.68%
PM growth 5Y-3.11%
GM growth 3Y-0.08%
GM growth 5Y0.03%
CAKE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCAKE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CAKE is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CAKE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CAKE has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for CAKE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CAKE Yearly Shares OutstandingCAKE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
CAKE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCAKE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.48 indicates that CAKE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CAKE has a better Altman-Z score (2.48) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CAKE is 3.97, which is a good value as it means it would take CAKE, 3.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CAKE (3.97) is better than 79.55% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.32 is on the high side and indicates that CAKE has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CAKE (1.32) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.32
Debt/FCF 3.97
Altman-Z 2.48
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC8.05%
CAKE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCAKE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that CAKE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CAKE has a Current ratio of 0.55. This is in the lower half of the industry: CAKE underperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.47 indicates that CAKE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CAKE has a Quick ratio of 0.47. This is in the lower half of the industry: CAKE underperforms 74.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.47
CAKE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCAKE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 19.06% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, CAKE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.68% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, CAKE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.90% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, CAKE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.61% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)19.06%
EPS 3Y17.14%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%17.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.9%
Revenue growth 3Y6.95%
Revenue growth 5Y7.61%
Sales Q2Q%4.82%

3.2 Future

  • CAKE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.12% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.87% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.35%
EPS Next 2Y8.95%
EPS Next 3Y9.7%
EPS Next 5Y10.12%
Revenue Next Year4.64%
Revenue Next 2Y4.64%
Revenue Next 3Y5.36%
Revenue Next 5Y4.87%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CAKE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCAKE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
CAKE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCAKE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CAKE is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.23.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CAKE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CAKE is cheaper than 78.79% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CAKE to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.25), we can say CAKE is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.14 indicates a correct valuation of CAKE.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CAKE is valued a bit cheaper than 75.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CAKE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.50.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.23
Fwd PE 15.14
CAKE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCAKE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CAKE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CAKE is cheaper than 61.36% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CAKE is valued a bit cheaper than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.46
EV/EBITDA 10.52
CAKE Per share dataCAKE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of CAKE may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.43
PEG (5Y)2.86
EPS Next 2Y8.95%
EPS Next 3Y9.7%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • CAKE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.85%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.25, CAKE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • CAKE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.85%

5.2 History

  • CAKE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CAKE has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
CAKE Yearly Dividends per shareCAKE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • CAKE pays out 32.74% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP32.74%
EPS Next 2Y8.95%
EPS Next 3Y9.7%
CAKE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCAKE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M
CAKE Dividend Payout.CAKE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CAKE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE

NASDAQ:CAKE (2/4/2026, 8:06:52 PM)

After market: 62.0907 +0.27 (+0.44%)

61.82

+2 (+3.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-28
Earnings (Next)02-18
Inst Owners115.59%
Inst Owner Change-0.37%
Ins Owners8.01%
Ins Owner Change-1.78%
Market Cap3.08B
Revenue(TTM)3.71B
Net Income(TTM)160.81M
Analysts73.79
Price Target60.77 (-1.7%)
Short Float %22.32%
Short Ratio8.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.85%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP32.74%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.64%
Min EPS beat(2)6.79%
Max EPS beat(2)10.48%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.14%
Min EPS beat(4)6.79%
Max EPS beat(4)12.08%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)10.57%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.94%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.87%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.56%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.92%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.31%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.26%
PT rev (1m)0.89%
PT rev (3m)-6.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.7%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.23
Fwd PE 15.14
P/S 0.83
P/FCF 19.46
P/OCF 9.62
P/B 7.24
P/tB 17.79
EV/EBITDA 10.52
EPS(TTM)3.81
EY6.16%
EPS(NY)4.08
Fwd EY6.61%
FCF(TTM)3.18
FCFY5.14%
OCF(TTM)6.43
OCFY10.4%
SpS74.46
BVpS8.53
TBVpS3.48
PEG (NY)1.43
PEG (5Y)2.86
Graham Number27.05
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.96%
ROE 37.81%
ROCE 8.84%
ROIC 6.99%
ROICexc 7.57%
ROICexgc 8.51%
OM 5.89%
PM (TTM) 4.33%
GM 78.13%
FCFM 4.27%
ROA(3y)3.43%
ROA(5y)0.39%
ROE(3y)27.33%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)5.05%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)5.24%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)5.93%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.39%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y10.35%
ROICexgc growth 5Y5.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y11%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.1%
OM growth 3Y8.38%
OM growth 5Y1.18%
PM growth 3Y37.68%
PM growth 5Y-3.11%
GM growth 3Y-0.08%
GM growth 5Y0.03%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.32
Debt/FCF 3.97
Debt/EBITDA 1.72
Cap/Depr 151.71%
Cap/Sales 4.37%
Interest Coverage 19.27
Cash Conversion 98.5%
Profit Quality 98.47%
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 2.48
F-Score7
WACC8.05%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)148.68%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.13%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.45%
Profit Quality(3y)81.91%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)19.06%
EPS 3Y17.14%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%17.24%
EPS Next Y11.35%
EPS Next 2Y8.95%
EPS Next 3Y9.7%
EPS Next 5Y10.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.9%
Revenue growth 3Y6.95%
Revenue growth 5Y7.61%
Sales Q2Q%4.82%
Revenue Next Year4.64%
Revenue Next 2Y4.64%
Revenue Next 3Y5.36%
Revenue Next 5Y4.87%
EBIT growth 1Y23.32%
EBIT growth 3Y15.92%
EBIT growth 5Y8.87%
EBIT Next Year77.06%
EBIT Next 3Y27.57%
EBIT Next 5Y21.97%
FCF growth 1Y101.98%
FCF growth 3Y-9.76%
FCF growth 5Y-5.64%
OCF growth 1Y50.06%
OCF growth 3Y8%
OCF growth 5Y4.17%

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE / CAKE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CAKE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CAKE.


What is the valuation status for CAKE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CAKE stock?

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) is 16.23 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 7.24.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CAKE stock?

The dividend rating of CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 32.74%.