CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:CAKE • US1630721017

64.78 USD
-0.3 (-0.46%)
At close: Feb 27, 2026
64.29 USD
-0.49 (-0.76%)
After Hours: 2/27/2026, 8:00:02 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall CAKE gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated CAKE against 126 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While CAKE is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. CAKE has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CAKE was profitable.
  • CAKE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CAKE has been profitable.
  • CAKE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CAKE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCAKE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • CAKE has a Return On Assets of 4.96%. This is in the better half of the industry: CAKE outperforms 68.25% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 37.81%, CAKE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.08%, CAKE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.96%
ROE 37.81%
ROIC 8.08%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CAKE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCAKE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of CAKE (4.33%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CAKE has grown nicely.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 5.89%, CAKE is not doing good in the industry: 61.11% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • CAKE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 78.13%, CAKE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CAKE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.89%
PM (TTM) 4.33%
GM 78.13%
OM growth 3Y33.21%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y44.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.26%
GM growth 5Y0.34%
CAKE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCAKE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CAKE is creating some value.
  • CAKE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
CAKE Yearly Shares OutstandingCAKE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
CAKE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCAKE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.53 indicates that CAKE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.53, CAKE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CAKE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.97. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as CAKE would need 3.97 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CAKE (3.97) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.32 is on the high side and indicates that CAKE has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.32, CAKE is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.32
Debt/FCF 3.97
Altman-Z 2.53
ROIC/WACC1.03
WACC7.85%
CAKE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCAKE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that CAKE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CAKE has a worse Current ratio (0.55) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.47 indicates that CAKE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.47, CAKE is not doing good in the industry: 78.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.47
CAKE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCAKE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • CAKE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 9.59%, which is quite good.
  • CAKE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 35.36% yearly.
  • CAKE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.75%.
  • CAKE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.60% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.59%
EPS 3Y35.36%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.75%
Revenue growth 3Y4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y13.6%
Sales Q2Q%4.41%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CAKE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.30% on average per year.
  • CAKE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.64% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.56%
EPS Next 2Y9.81%
EPS Next 3Y10.3%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.67%
Revenue Next 2Y5.67%
Revenue Next 3Y5.46%
Revenue Next 5Y4.64%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CAKE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCAKE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
CAKE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCAKE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.18 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CAKE.
  • CAKE's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CAKE is cheaper than 72.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CAKE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.10.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.83, CAKE is valued correctly.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CAKE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CAKE is cheaper than 72.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CAKE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.06.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.18
Fwd PE 15.83
CAKE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCAKE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CAKE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 72.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CAKE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.39
EV/EBITDA 11.32
CAKE Per share dataCAKE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CAKE does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • CAKE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.81%
EPS Next 3Y10.3%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • CAKE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.84%.
  • CAKE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.09.
  • CAKE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.80.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.84%

5.2 History

  • CAKE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of CAKE decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
CAKE Yearly Dividends per shareCAKE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • CAKE pays out 32.74% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP32.74%
EPS Next 2Y9.81%
EPS Next 3Y10.3%
CAKE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCAKE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M -200M
CAKE Dividend Payout.CAKE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CAKE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE

NASDAQ:CAKE (2/27/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 64.29 -0.49 (-0.76%)

64.78

-0.3 (-0.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners115.59%
Inst Owner Change-36.09%
Ins Owners8.01%
Ins Owner Change27.26%
Market Cap3.23B
Revenue(TTM)3.75B
Net Income(TTM)160.81M
Analysts73.79
Price Target66.36 (2.44%)
Short Float %20.64%
Short Ratio7.95
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.84%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP32.74%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.64%
Min EPS beat(2)6.79%
Max EPS beat(2)10.48%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.14%
Min EPS beat(4)6.79%
Max EPS beat(4)12.08%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)10.57%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.94%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.87%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.56%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.92%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.31%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.26%
PT rev (1m)1.17%
PT rev (3m)1.78%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.13%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.18
Fwd PE 15.83
P/S 0.87
P/FCF 20.39
P/OCF 10.08
P/B 7.59
P/tB 18.64
EV/EBITDA 11.32
EPS(TTM)3.77
EY5.82%
EPS(NY)4.09
Fwd EY6.32%
FCF(TTM)3.18
FCFY4.9%
OCF(TTM)6.43
OCFY9.92%
SpS74.46
BVpS8.53
TBVpS3.48
PEG (NY)2.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number26.91
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.96%
ROE 37.81%
ROCE 8.84%
ROIC 8.08%
ROICexc 8.76%
ROICexgc 9.85%
OM 5.89%
PM (TTM) 4.33%
GM 78.13%
FCFM 4.27%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y33.21%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y44.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.26%
GM growth 5Y0.34%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.32
Debt/FCF 3.97
Debt/EBITDA 1.72
Cap/Depr 151.71%
Cap/Sales 4.37%
Interest Coverage 19.27
Cash Conversion 98.5%
Profit Quality 98.47%
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 2.53
F-Score7
WACC7.85%
ROIC/WACC1.03
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.59%
EPS 3Y35.36%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3.85%
EPS Next Y8.56%
EPS Next 2Y9.81%
EPS Next 3Y10.3%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.75%
Revenue growth 3Y4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y13.6%
Sales Q2Q%4.41%
Revenue Next Year4.67%
Revenue Next 2Y5.67%
Revenue Next 3Y5.46%
Revenue Next 5Y4.64%
EBIT growth 1Y23.32%
EBIT growth 3Y38.99%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year60.34%
EBIT Next 3Y23.54%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y132.35%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y32.26%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE / CAKE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CAKE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CAKE.


What is the valuation status for CAKE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CAKE stock?

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) is 17.18 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 7.59.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CAKE stock?

The dividend rating of CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 32.74%.