BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:BURL - US1220171060 - Common Stock
281.54 USD
+2.78 (+1%)
281.54 USD
0 (0%)
BURL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. BURL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. BURL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BURL was profitable.
In the past year BURL had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years BURL 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years BURL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.84%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL has a better Return On Equity (36.70%) than 88.62% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.85%, BURL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BURL is significantly below the industry average of 12.17%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.84%) for BURL is below the current ROIC(7.85%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.84% | ||
| ROE | 36.7% | ||
| ROIC | 7.85% |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of BURL (5.01%) is better than 75.61% of its industry peers.
BURL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
BURL has a Operating Margin of 7.02%. This is in the better half of the industry: BURL outperforms 74.80% of its industry peers.
BURL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
BURL's Gross Margin of 43.71% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 65.04% of its industry peers.
BURL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.01% | ||
| GM | 43.71% |
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BURL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BURL has less shares outstanding
BURL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, BURL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
BURL has an Altman-Z score of 3.06. This indicates that BURL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.06, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.36% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.32 is on the high side and indicates that BURL has dependencies on debt financing.
BURL has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.32) than 62.60% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.06 |
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC9.46%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.21 indicates that BURL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of BURL (1.21) is worse than 60.16% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Quick Ratio of 1.21. This is a bad value and indicates that BURL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.46, BURL is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.72% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BURL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 16.75%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past 5 years, BURL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 1.94% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.80% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, BURL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.86% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.75%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%16.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.8%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%6.93%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, BURL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.41% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, BURL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.23% on average per year.
EPS Next Y21.74%
EPS Next 2Y17.27%
EPS Next 3Y18.22%
EPS Next 5Y16.41%
Revenue Next Year7.95%
Revenue Next 2Y8.81%
Revenue Next 3Y9.05%
Revenue Next 5Y8.23%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 31.08 indicates a quite expensive valuation of BURL.
BURL's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
BURL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.61.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 25.06, which means the current valuation is very expensive for BURL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BURL is on the same level as its industry peers.
BURL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 24.01.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as BURL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.32 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
BURL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.22% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.43
PEG (5Y)15.98
EPS Next 2Y17.27%
EPS Next 3Y18.22%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BURL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
281.54
+2.78 (+1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners110.39%
Inst Owner Change-2.8%
Ins Owners0.46%
Ins Owner Change-0.39%
Market Cap17.72B
Revenue(TTM)11.20B
Net Income(TTM)560.54M
Analysts84.17
Price Target341.98 (21.47%)
Short Float %4.12%
Short Ratio2.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.85%
Min EPS beat(2)7.64%
Max EPS beat(2)18.07%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.7%
Min EPS beat(4)6.08%
Max EPS beat(4)18.07%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)12.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)10.75%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)7.47%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.72%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.56%
Max Revenue beat(4)0%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.37%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.35%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.38%
PT rev (1m)-3.64%
PT rev (3m)-4.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.74%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.06 | ||
| P/S | 1.58 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 21.17 | ||
| P/B | 11.6 | ||
| P/tB | 14.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.32 |
EPS(TTM)9.06
EY3.22%
EPS(NY)11.24
Fwd EY3.99%
FCF(TTM)-5.7
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)13.3
OCFY4.72%
SpS177.92
BVpS24.27
TBVpS19.74
PEG (NY)1.43
PEG (5Y)15.98
Graham Number70.34
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.84% | ||
| ROE | 36.7% | ||
| ROCE | 10.63% | ||
| ROIC | 7.85% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.89% | ||
| OM | 7.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.01% | ||
| GM | 43.71% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.13%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.43%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.77%
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.17
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 316.81% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.97 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.94% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.06 |
F-Score7
WACC9.46%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)193.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.75%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%16.13%
EPS Next Y21.74%
EPS Next 2Y17.27%
EPS Next 3Y18.22%
EPS Next 5Y16.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.8%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%6.93%
Revenue Next Year7.95%
Revenue Next 2Y8.81%
Revenue Next 3Y9.05%
Revenue Next 5Y8.23%
EBIT growth 1Y15.2%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.94%
EBIT Next Year75.99%
EBIT Next 3Y32.91%
EBIT Next 5Y22.99%
FCF growth 1Y-180.71%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-2.33%
OCF growth 3Y1.19%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%
BURLINGTON STORES INC / BURL FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for BURL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BURL.
What is the valuation status of BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of BURL stock?
BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of BURLINGTON STORES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) is 31.08 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 11.6.
What is the expected EPS growth for BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) is expected to grow by 21.74% in the next year.