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BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BURL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US1220171060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

249.33  +6.53 (+2.69%)

After market: 249.33 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, BURL scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BURL was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. BURL has an average financial health and profitability rating. BURL has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BURL was profitable.
In the past year BURL had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years BURL 4 years were profitable.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BURL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBURL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.57%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 41.02%, BURL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.68% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.21%. This is in the better half of the industry: BURL outperforms 69.49% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BURL is significantly below the industry average of 14.04%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.82%) for BURL is below the current ROIC(8.21%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.57%
ROE 41.02%
ROIC 8.21%
ROA(3y)4.45%
ROA(5y)3.69%
ROE(3y)38.93%
ROE(5y)31.65%
ROIC(3y)7.82%
ROIC(5y)N/A
BURL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBURL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 400 -400

1.3 Margins

BURL has a better Profit Margin (4.49%) than 74.58% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BURL has declined.
BURL's Operating Margin of 6.51% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 73.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BURL has declined.
BURL's Gross Margin of 43.29% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 66.10% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BURL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.51%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 43.29%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-10.9%
GM growth 3Y3.58%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
BURL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBURL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BURL is destroying value.
BURL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BURL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
BURL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
BURL Yearly Shares OutstandingBURL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
BURL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBURL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

BURL has an Altman-Z score of 3.07. This indicates that BURL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.07, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.03% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.42. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as BURL would need 8.42 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 8.42, BURL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.24% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.35 is on the high side and indicates that BURL has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.35, BURL is doing worse than 61.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.35
Debt/FCF 8.42
Altman-Z 3.07
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC9.88%
BURL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBURL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

BURL has a Current Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that BURL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.17, BURL is doing worse than 66.95% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL has a Quick Ratio of 1.17. This is a bad value and indicates that BURL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of BURL (0.54) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.17
Quick Ratio 0.54
BURL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBURL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 44.24% over the past year.
BURL shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.17% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 12.18% in the past year. This is quite good.
BURL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.84% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-1.17%
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.18%
Revenue growth 3Y19.06%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.77%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.35% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
BURL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y32.67%
EPS Next 2Y25.78%
EPS Next 3Y24.62%
EPS Next 5Y22.35%
Revenue Next Year9.37%
Revenue Next 2Y9.47%
Revenue Next 3Y9.59%
Revenue Next 5Y9.16%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
BURL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBURL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
BURL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBURL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10 15 20

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 32.13, BURL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of BURL is on the same level as its industry peers.
BURL is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.92, BURL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as BURL.
BURL is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.66, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.13
Fwd PE 25.92
BURL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBURL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

BURL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as BURL.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 77.78
EV/EBITDA 16.26
BURL Per share dataBURL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of BURL may justify a higher PE ratio.
BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 24.62% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.78%
EPS Next 3Y24.62%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BURL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

BURLINGTON STORES INC

NYSE:BURL (2/28/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 249.33 0 (0%)

249.33

+6.53 (+2.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-26 2024-11-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-28 2025-05-28/bmo
Inst Owners114.64%
Inst Owner Change5.97%
Ins Owners0.38%
Ins Owner Change4.95%
Market Cap15.83B
Analysts84.29
Price Target338.33 (35.7%)
Short Float %3.01%
Short Ratio2.47
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.43%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(2)23.93%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)14.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(4)26.6%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)10.77%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)6.39%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.1%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.1%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.16%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.61%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.15%
PT rev (1m)-0.96%
PT rev (3m)6.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.19%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.35%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.14%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.13
Fwd PE 25.92
P/S 1.51
P/FCF 77.78
P/OCF 17.23
P/B 13.81
P/tB 18.37
EV/EBITDA 16.26
EPS(TTM)7.76
EY3.11%
EPS(NY)9.62
Fwd EY3.86%
FCF(TTM)3.21
FCFY1.29%
OCF(TTM)14.47
OCFY5.8%
SpS165.16
BVpS18.06
TBVpS13.57
PEG (NY)0.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.57%
ROE 41.02%
ROCE 11.11%
ROIC 8.21%
ROICexc 9.54%
ROICexgc 10.09%
OM 6.51%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 43.29%
FCFM 1.94%
ROA(3y)4.45%
ROA(5y)3.69%
ROE(3y)38.93%
ROE(5y)31.65%
ROIC(3y)7.82%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.29%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)10.58%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-22.68%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-10.9%
GM growth 3Y3.58%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.35
Debt/FCF 8.42
Debt/EBITDA 1.5
Cap/Depr 208.28%
Cap/Sales 6.82%
Interest Coverage 7.75
Cash Conversion 89.56%
Profit Quality 43.26%
Current Ratio 1.17
Quick Ratio 0.54
Altman-Z 3.07
F-Score8
WACC9.88%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)155.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)149.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.65%
Profit Quality(3y)97.69%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-1.17%
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y32.67%
EPS Next 2Y25.78%
EPS Next 3Y24.62%
EPS Next 5Y22.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.18%
Revenue growth 3Y19.06%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.77%
Revenue Next Year9.37%
Revenue Next 2Y9.47%
Revenue Next 3Y9.59%
Revenue Next 5Y9.16%
EBIT growth 1Y38.19%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-0.57%
EBIT Next Year93.7%
EBIT Next 3Y38.31%
EBIT Next 5Y28.33%
FCF growth 1Y193.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y1.81%
OCF growth 1Y291.96%
OCF growth 3Y58.25%
OCF growth 5Y6.31%