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BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BURL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US1220171060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

289.95  -1.9 (-0.65%)

Premarket: 291.55 +1.6 (+0.55%)

Fundamental Rating

5

BURL gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 119 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. BURL has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. BURL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BURL was profitable.
In the past year BURL had a positive cash flow from operations.
BURL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years BURL had a positive operating cash flow.
BURL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBURL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.57%, BURL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.69% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL has a Return On Equity of 41.02%. This is amongst the best in the industry. BURL outperforms 90.52% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of BURL (8.21%) is better than 68.97% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BURL is below the industry average of 12.39%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.21%) for BURL is above the 3 year average (7.82%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.57%
ROE 41.02%
ROIC 8.21%
ROA(3y)4.45%
ROA(5y)3.69%
ROE(3y)38.93%
ROE(5y)31.65%
ROIC(3y)7.82%
ROIC(5y)N/A
BURL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBURL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 400 -400

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 4.49%, BURL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.86% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BURL has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 6.51%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.14% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BURL has declined.
BURL has a Gross Margin of 43.29%. This is in the better half of the industry: BURL outperforms 66.38% of its industry peers.
BURL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.51%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 43.29%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-10.9%
GM growth 3Y3.58%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
BURL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBURL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), BURL is destroying value.
BURL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BURL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
BURL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
BURL Yearly Shares OutstandingBURL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
BURL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBURL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.28 indicates that BURL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.28, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.28% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BURL is 8.42, which is on the high side as it means it would take BURL, 8.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
BURL has a Debt to FCF ratio (8.42) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
BURL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.35. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
BURL has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.35) than 62.07% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.35
Debt/FCF 8.42
Altman-Z 3.28
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC10.08%
BURL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBURL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.17 indicates that BURL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BURL has a worse Current ratio (1.17) than 66.38% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Quick Ratio of 1.17. This is a bad value and indicates that BURL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BURL has a Quick ratio (0.54) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.17
Quick Ratio 0.54
BURL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBURL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

BURL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 44.24%, which is quite impressive.
BURL shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.17% yearly.
BURL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.18%.
BURL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.84% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-1.17%
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.18%
Revenue growth 3Y19.06%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.77%

3.2 Future

BURL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 22.35% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.16% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y32.59%
EPS Next 2Y25.31%
EPS Next 3Y24.27%
EPS Next 5Y22.35%
Revenue Next Year9.65%
Revenue Next 2Y9.6%
Revenue Next 3Y9.7%
Revenue Next 5Y9.16%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
BURL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBURL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
BURL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBURL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10 15 20

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 37.36 indicates a quite expensive valuation of BURL.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as BURL.
BURL is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
BURL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.37.
BURL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 91.29. BURL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.36
Fwd PE 30.37
BURL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBURL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 100 200 300

4.2 Price Multiples

BURL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
BURL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 90.45
EV/EBITDA 18.78
BURL Per share dataBURL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

BURL's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of BURL may justify a higher PE ratio.
BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 24.27% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.31%
EPS Next 3Y24.27%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BURL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

BURLINGTON STORES INC

NYSE:BURL (1/29/2025, 8:08:02 PM)

Premarket: 291.55 +1.6 (+0.55%)

289.95

-1.9 (-0.65%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-26 2024-11-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners112.01%
Inst Owner Change-0.22%
Ins Owners0.39%
Ins Owner Change-0.69%
Market Cap18.41B
Analysts83.57
Price Target334.1 (15.23%)
Short Float %4.1%
Short Ratio2.98
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.43%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(2)23.93%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)14.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(4)26.6%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)10.77%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)6.39%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.1%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.1%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.16%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.61%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.15%
PT rev (1m)0.48%
PT rev (3m)5.9%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.57%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.67%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.36
Fwd PE 30.37
P/S 1.76
P/FCF 90.45
P/OCF 20.03
P/B 16.05
P/tB 21.37
EV/EBITDA 18.78
EPS(TTM)7.76
EY2.68%
EPS(NY)9.55
Fwd EY3.29%
FCF(TTM)3.21
FCFY1.11%
OCF(TTM)14.47
OCFY4.99%
SpS165.16
BVpS18.06
TBVpS13.57
PEG (NY)1.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.57%
ROE 41.02%
ROCE 11.11%
ROIC 8.21%
ROICexc 9.54%
ROICexgc 10.09%
OM 6.51%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 43.29%
FCFM 1.94%
ROA(3y)4.45%
ROA(5y)3.69%
ROE(3y)38.93%
ROE(5y)31.65%
ROIC(3y)7.82%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.29%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)10.58%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-22.68%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-10.9%
GM growth 3Y3.58%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.35
Debt/FCF 8.42
Debt/EBITDA 1.5
Cap/Depr 208.28%
Cap/Sales 6.82%
Interest Coverage 7.75
Cash Conversion 89.56%
Profit Quality 43.26%
Current Ratio 1.17
Quick Ratio 0.54
Altman-Z 3.28
F-Score8
WACC10.08%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)155.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)149.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.65%
Profit Quality(3y)97.69%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-1.17%
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y32.59%
EPS Next 2Y25.31%
EPS Next 3Y24.27%
EPS Next 5Y22.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.18%
Revenue growth 3Y19.06%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.77%
Revenue Next Year9.65%
Revenue Next 2Y9.6%
Revenue Next 3Y9.7%
Revenue Next 5Y9.16%
EBIT growth 1Y38.19%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-0.57%
EBIT Next Year93.52%
EBIT Next 3Y38.31%
EBIT Next 5Y28.33%
FCF growth 1Y193.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y1.81%
OCF growth 1Y291.96%
OCF growth 3Y58.25%
OCF growth 5Y6.31%