BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:BURL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US1220171060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall BURL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated BURL against 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. There are concerns on the financial health of BURL while its profitability can be described as average. BURL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
BURL had positive earnings in the past year.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
BURL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
BURL has a better Return On Assets (5.74%) than 71.90% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 36.75%, BURL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.43% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of BURL (8.12%) is better than 67.77% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BURL is significantly below the industry average of 14.45%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.12%) for BURL is above the 3 year average (6.84%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.74% | ||
| ROE | 36.75% | ||
| ROIC | 8.12% |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of BURL (4.74%) is better than 76.86% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BURL has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 6.72%, BURL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 43.34%, BURL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.94% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.74% | ||
| GM | 43.34% |
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
BURL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BURL has less shares outstanding
BURL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, BURL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
BURL has an Altman-Z score of 2.92. This is not the best score and indicates that BURL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
BURL has a better Altman-Z score (2.92) than 71.07% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.12 is on the high side and indicates that BURL has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.12, BURL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.32% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.92 |
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC8.92%
2.3 Liquidity
BURL has a Current Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that BURL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BURL has a Current ratio of 1.16. This is in the lower half of the industry: BURL underperforms 64.46% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Quick Ratio of 1.16. This is a bad value and indicates that BURL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.61, BURL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.68% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BURL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 34.38%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.94% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, BURL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.33% in the last year.
BURL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.86% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.38%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%11.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%4.82%
3.2 Future
BURL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 20.48% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, BURL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.61%
EPS Next 2Y18.63%
EPS Next 3Y20.48%
EPS Next 5Y20.48%
Revenue Next Year8.6%
Revenue Next 2Y9.11%
Revenue Next 3Y9.87%
Revenue Next 5Y8.73%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 27.72, BURL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
BURL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of BURL to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.29), we can say BURL is valued inline with the index average.
BURL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.77.
BURL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
BURL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 21.08.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.77 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as BURL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.1 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of BURL may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 20.48% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)14.26
EPS Next 2Y18.63%
EPS Next 3Y20.48%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BURL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
226.48
+0.16 (+0.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners114.64%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners0.38%
Ins Owner Change2.33%
Market Cap14.27B
Analysts85.19
Price Target342.5 (51.23%)
Short Float %3.92%
Short Ratio2.22
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.5%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(2)6.08%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)13.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(4)26.6%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)10.73%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)8.88%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.64%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.1%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.66%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.98%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.38%
PT rev (1m)1.4%
PT rev (3m)2.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-18.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.96%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.89%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.77 | ||
| P/S | 1.34 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 16.52 | ||
| P/B | 10.41 | ||
| P/tB | 13.14 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.1 |
EPS(TTM)8.17
EY3.61%
EPS(NY)9.53
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)-0.27
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)13.71
OCFY6.05%
SpS168.83
BVpS21.76
TBVpS17.23
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)14.26
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.74% | ||
| ROE | 36.75% | ||
| ROCE | 11% | ||
| ROIC | 8.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.59% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.11% | ||
| OM | 6.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.74% | ||
| GM | 43.34% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.13%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.43%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-5.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.77%
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.21
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 253.29% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.28% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.45 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.25% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.92 |
F-Score8
WACC8.92%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)193.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.38%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%11.2%
EPS Next Y16.61%
EPS Next 2Y18.63%
EPS Next 3Y20.48%
EPS Next 5Y20.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%4.82%
Revenue Next Year8.6%
Revenue Next 2Y9.11%
Revenue Next 3Y9.87%
Revenue Next 5Y8.73%
EBIT growth 1Y30.45%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.94%
EBIT Next Year71.76%
EBIT Next 3Y34.11%
EBIT Next 5Y27.08%
FCF growth 1Y-104.52%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-0.62%
OCF growth 3Y1.19%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%