BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL)
US1220171060 - Common Stock
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to BURL. BURL was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. BURL has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. BURL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BURL was profitable.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
BURL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years BURL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.57%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.83% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL has a Return On Equity of 41.02%. This is amongst the best in the industry. BURL outperforms 90.83% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.21%. This is in the better half of the industry: BURL outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BURL is below the industry average of 12.29%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.82%) for BURL is below the current ROIC(8.21%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.57% | ||
| ROE | 41.02% | ||
| ROIC | 8.21% |
ROA(3y)4.45%
ROA(5y)3.69%
ROE(3y)38.93%
ROE(5y)31.65%
ROIC(3y)7.82%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
BURL has a better Profit Margin (4.49%) than 76.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BURL has declined.
BURL's Operating Margin of 6.51% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BURL has declined.
BURL has a Gross Margin of 43.29%. This is in the better half of the industry: BURL outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
BURL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.51% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.49% | ||
| GM | 43.29% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-10.9%
GM growth 3Y3.58%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
BURL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BURL has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, BURL has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, BURL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.28 indicates that BURL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of BURL (3.28) is better than 73.33% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BURL is 8.42, which is on the high side as it means it would take BURL, 8.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
BURL's Debt to FCF ratio of 8.42 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 55.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.35 is on the high side and indicates that BURL has dependencies on debt financing.
BURL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.35. This is in the lower half of the industry: BURL underperforms 61.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.28 |
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC10.11%
2.3 Liquidity
BURL has a Current Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that BURL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.17, BURL is doing worse than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.54 indicates that BURL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.54, BURL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.17% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.54 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 44.24% over the past year.
BURL shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.17% yearly.
BURL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.18%.
Measured over the past years, BURL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.84% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-1.17%
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.18%
Revenue growth 3Y19.06%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.77%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.35% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, BURL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y32.59%
EPS Next 2Y25.31%
EPS Next 3Y24.27%
EPS Next 5Y22.35%
Revenue Next Year10.28%
Revenue Next 2Y9.6%
Revenue Next 3Y9.66%
Revenue Next 5Y9.16%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 37.25, BURL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as BURL.
BURL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 27.54.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.28, the valuation of BURL can be described as expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as BURL.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.99. BURL is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
BURL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of BURL is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 90.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.72 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
BURL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 24.27% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.31%
EPS Next 3Y24.27%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BURL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
BURLINGTON STORES INC
NYSE:BURL (12/24/2024, 7:59:29 PM)
After market: 289.04 0 (0%)289.04
+5.34 (+1.88%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.01%
Inst Owner Change-1.83%
Ins Owners0.39%
Ins Owner Change-0.74%
Market Cap18.35B
Analysts83.57
Price Target332.49 (15.03%)
Short Float %2.94%
Short Ratio2.17
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.43%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(2)23.93%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)14.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(4)26.6%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)10.77%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)6.39%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.1%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.1%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.16%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.61%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.15%
PT rev (1m)4.45%
PT rev (3m)16.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.89%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.28 | ||
| P/S | 1.75 | ||
| P/FCF | 90.17 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.97 | ||
| P/B | 16 | ||
| P/tB | 21.3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.72 |
EPS(TTM)7.76
EY2.68%
EPS(NY)9.55
Fwd EY3.3%
FCF(TTM)3.21
FCFY1.11%
OCF(TTM)14.47
OCFY5.01%
SpS165.16
BVpS18.06
TBVpS13.57
PEG (NY)1.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.57% | ||
| ROE | 41.02% | ||
| ROCE | 11.11% | ||
| ROIC | 8.21% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.54% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.09% | ||
| OM | 6.51% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.49% | ||
| GM | 43.29% | ||
| FCFM | 1.94% |
ROA(3y)4.45%
ROA(5y)3.69%
ROE(3y)38.93%
ROE(5y)31.65%
ROIC(3y)7.82%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.29%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)10.58%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-22.68%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-10.9%
GM growth 3Y3.58%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 208.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 89.56% | ||
| Profit Quality | 43.26% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.54 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.28 |
F-Score8
WACC10.11%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)155.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)149.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.65%
Profit Quality(3y)97.69%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-1.17%
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y32.59%
EPS Next 2Y25.31%
EPS Next 3Y24.27%
EPS Next 5Y22.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.18%
Revenue growth 3Y19.06%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.77%
Revenue Next Year10.28%
Revenue Next 2Y9.6%
Revenue Next 3Y9.66%
Revenue Next 5Y9.16%
EBIT growth 1Y38.19%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-0.57%
EBIT Next Year90.86%
EBIT Next 3Y38.62%
EBIT Next 5Y28.17%
FCF growth 1Y193.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y1.81%
OCF growth 1Y291.96%
OCF growth 3Y58.25%
OCF growth 5Y6.31%