BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:BURL - US1220171060 - Common Stock
266.09 USD
-3.29 (-1.22%)
266.09 USD
0 (0%)
Overall BURL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated BURL against 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. There are concerns on the financial health of BURL while its profitability can be described as average. While showing a medium growth rate, BURL is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
BURL had positive earnings in the past year.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
BURL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years BURL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of BURL (5.84%) is better than 73.55% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 36.70%, BURL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.26% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.85%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BURL is significantly below the industry average of 12.26%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.84%) for BURL is below the current ROIC(7.85%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.84% | ||
| ROE | 36.7% | ||
| ROIC | 7.85% |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
BURL's Profit Margin of 5.01% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 75.21% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BURL has declined.
BURL has a better Operating Margin (7.02%) than 74.38% of its industry peers.
BURL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of BURL (43.71%) is better than 66.94% of its industry peers.
BURL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.01% | ||
| GM | 43.71% |
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BURL is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for BURL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, BURL has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, BURL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
BURL has an Altman-Z score of 3.02. This indicates that BURL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of BURL (3.02) is better than 72.73% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.32. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.32, BURL is doing worse than 61.16% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC9.53%
2.3 Liquidity
BURL has a Current Ratio of 1.21. This is a normal value and indicates that BURL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BURL has a Current ratio of 1.21. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BURL outperforms 41.32% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Quick Ratio of 1.21. This is a bad value and indicates that BURL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BURL has a Quick ratio (0.46) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BURL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 16.75%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.94% on average over the past years.
BURL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.80%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.86% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.75%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%16.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.8%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%6.93%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, BURL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.41% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, BURL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.23% on average per year.
EPS Next Y21.74%
EPS Next 2Y17.27%
EPS Next 3Y18.22%
EPS Next 5Y16.41%
Revenue Next Year7.95%
Revenue Next 2Y8.81%
Revenue Next 3Y9.05%
Revenue Next 5Y8.23%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 29.37, the valuation of BURL can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BURL is valued a bit cheaper than 61.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.54, BURL is valued at the same level.
BURL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.68.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BURL is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BURL to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.78), we can say BURL is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as BURL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
BURL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.22% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.35
PEG (5Y)15.1
EPS Next 2Y17.27%
EPS Next 3Y18.22%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BURL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
266.09
-3.29 (-1.22%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners110.39%
Inst Owner Change-2.8%
Ins Owners0.46%
Ins Owner Change-0.41%
Market Cap16.75B
Revenue(TTM)11.20B
Net Income(TTM)560.54M
Analysts84.17
Price Target341.98 (28.52%)
Short Float %4.22%
Short Ratio2.5
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.85%
Min EPS beat(2)7.64%
Max EPS beat(2)18.07%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.7%
Min EPS beat(4)6.08%
Max EPS beat(4)18.07%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)12.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)10.75%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)7.47%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.72%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.56%
Max Revenue beat(4)0%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.37%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.35%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.38%
PT rev (1m)-3.64%
PT rev (3m)-4.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.24%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.68 | ||
| P/S | 1.5 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 20.01 | ||
| P/B | 10.96 | ||
| P/tB | 13.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.82 |
EPS(TTM)9.06
EY3.4%
EPS(NY)11.24
Fwd EY4.22%
FCF(TTM)-5.7
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)13.3
OCFY5%
SpS177.92
BVpS24.27
TBVpS19.74
PEG (NY)1.35
PEG (5Y)15.1
Graham Number70.34
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.84% | ||
| ROE | 36.7% | ||
| ROCE | 10.63% | ||
| ROIC | 7.85% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.89% | ||
| OM | 7.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.01% | ||
| GM | 43.71% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.13%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.43%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.77%
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.17
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 316.81% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.97 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.94% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.02 |
F-Score7
WACC9.53%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)193.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.75%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%16.13%
EPS Next Y21.74%
EPS Next 2Y17.27%
EPS Next 3Y18.22%
EPS Next 5Y16.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.8%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%6.93%
Revenue Next Year7.95%
Revenue Next 2Y8.81%
Revenue Next 3Y9.05%
Revenue Next 5Y8.23%
EBIT growth 1Y15.2%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.94%
EBIT Next Year75.99%
EBIT Next 3Y32.91%
EBIT Next 5Y22.99%
FCF growth 1Y-180.71%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-2.33%
OCF growth 3Y1.19%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%
BURLINGTON STORES INC / BURL FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for BURL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BURL.
What is the valuation status of BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of BURL stock?
BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of BURLINGTON STORES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) is 29.37 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 10.96.
What is the expected EPS growth for BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) is expected to grow by 21.74% in the next year.