BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:BURL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US1220171060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall BURL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated BURL against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. BURL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. BURL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BURL was profitable.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years BURL 4 years were profitable.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of BURL (6.15%) is better than 74.59% of its industry peers.
BURL has a better Return On Equity (38.90%) than 90.98% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of BURL (8.17%) is better than 69.67% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BURL is significantly below the industry average of 12.95%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.84%) for BURL is below the current ROIC(8.17%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.15% | ||
| ROE | 38.9% | ||
| ROIC | 8.17% |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
BURL has a better Profit Margin (4.88%) than 76.23% of its industry peers.
BURL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
BURL has a better Operating Margin (6.78%) than 75.41% of its industry peers.
BURL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 43.40%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.57% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BURL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.78% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.88% | ||
| GM | 43.4% |
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BURL is destroying value.
BURL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
BURL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, BURL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.16 indicates that BURL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
BURL has a better Altman-Z score (3.16) than 71.31% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
BURL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.21 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BURL is outperformed by 60.66% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.16 |
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC9.4%
2.3 Liquidity
BURL has a Current Ratio of 1.06. This is a normal value and indicates that BURL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BURL's Current ratio of 1.06 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BURL is outperformed by 71.31% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Quick Ratio of 1.06. This is a bad value and indicates that BURL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of BURL (0.39) is worse than 61.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BURL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 27.77%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.94% on average over the past years.
BURL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.29%.
Measured over the past years, BURL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.86% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.77%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%18.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.29%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%6.22%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 23.81% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.37% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y15.19%
EPS Next 2Y17.16%
EPS Next 3Y17.95%
EPS Next 5Y23.81%
Revenue Next Year7.94%
Revenue Next 2Y8.83%
Revenue Next 3Y9.37%
Revenue Next 5Y9.37%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 29.92 indicates a quite expensive valuation of BURL.
BURL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
BURL is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.46, the valuation of BURL can be described as rather expensive.
BURL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.58. BURL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.92 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.46 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of BURL is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.02 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates BURL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
BURL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 17.95% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)15.39
EPS Next 2Y17.16%
EPS Next 3Y17.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BURL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
251.9
-3.98 (-1.56%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners117.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change4.96%
Market Cap15.89B
Analysts85.6
Price Target324.04 (28.64%)
Short Float %5.46%
Short Ratio2.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.55%
Min EPS beat(2)6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)11.03%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(4)23.93%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)13.45%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)11.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)8.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.64%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.1%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.59%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.86%
PT rev (1m)-0.19%
PT rev (3m)-5.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.52%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.61%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.92 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.46 | ||
| P/S | 1.47 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 20.24 | ||
| P/B | 11.75 | ||
| P/tB | 14.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.02 |
EPS(TTM)8.42
EY3.34%
EPS(NY)11.21
Fwd EY4.45%
FCF(TTM)-5.38
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)12.44
OCFY4.94%
SpS170.82
BVpS21.43
TBVpS16.91
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)15.39
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.15% | ||
| ROE | 38.9% | ||
| ROCE | 11.08% | ||
| ROIC | 8.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.66% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.08% | ||
| OM | 6.78% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.88% | ||
| GM | 43.4% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.13%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.43%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-5.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.77%
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 314.72% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.51 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.17% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.16 |
F-Score6
WACC9.4%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)193.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.77%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%18.52%
EPS Next Y15.19%
EPS Next 2Y17.16%
EPS Next 3Y17.95%
EPS Next 5Y23.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.29%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%6.22%
Revenue Next Year7.94%
Revenue Next 2Y8.83%
Revenue Next 3Y9.37%
Revenue Next 5Y9.37%
EBIT growth 1Y23.28%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.94%
EBIT Next Year70.4%
EBIT Next 3Y32.76%
EBIT Next 5Y27.08%
FCF growth 1Y-233.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y13.67%
OCF growth 3Y1.19%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%