PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:BTU - US7045511000 - Common Stock
27.42 USD
+1.55 (+5.99%)
26.88 USD
-0.54 (-1.97%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to BTU. BTU was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. No worries on liquidiy or solvency for BTU as it has an excellent financial health rating, but there are worries on the profitability. BTU does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
BTU had negative earnings in the past year.
BTU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
BTU had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years BTU 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.41%, BTU is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.50% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 3.83%, BTU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.19% of the companies in the same industry.
BTU's Return On Invested Capital of 2.31% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BTU is outperformed by 66.99% of its industry peers.
BTU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.63%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.72%.
The 3 year average ROIC (13.63%) for BTU is well above the current ROIC(2.31%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.41% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROIC | 2.31% |
ROA(3y)14.03%
ROA(5y)1.86%
ROE(3y)23.91%
ROE(5y)-21.79%
ROIC(3y)13.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
BTU has a Profit Margin of 3.43%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BTU outperforms 41.63% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BTU has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 3.80%, BTU is not doing good in the industry: 67.94% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BTU has grown nicely.
BTU has a worse Gross Margin (16.44%) than 66.99% of its industry peers.
BTU's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.8% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.43% | ||
| GM | 16.44% |
OM growth 3Y-7.61%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y-6.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.91%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BTU is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BTU has less shares outstanding
BTU has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BTU is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
BTU has an Altman-Z score of 2.21. This is not the best score and indicates that BTU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.21, BTU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.77% of the companies in the same industry.
BTU has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.54. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.54 years to pay back of all of its debts.
BTU has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.54) than 86.12% of its industry peers.
BTU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
BTU has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.09) than 76.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.54 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.21 |
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC8.29%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.21 indicates that BTU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
BTU has a better Current ratio (2.21) than 77.03% of its industry peers.
BTU has a Quick Ratio of 1.64. This is a normal value and indicates that BTU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BTU's Quick ratio of 1.64 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BTU outperforms 73.68% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.64 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BTU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -101.92%.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -8.71% on average over the past years.
The Revenue for BTU has decreased by -14.35% in the past year. This is quite bad
BTU shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.92%
EPS 3Y-8.71%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-178.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.35%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.73%
Sales Q2Q%-6.98%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.17% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, BTU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.22% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-108.4%
EPS Next 2Y5.29%
EPS Next 3Y6.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-10.86%
Revenue Next 2Y2.1%
Revenue Next 3Y2.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
BTU reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.78, the valuation of BTU can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BTU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: BTU is cheaper than 64.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.52. BTU is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.78 |
4.2 Price Multiples
BTU's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. BTU is cheaper than 70.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BTU is valued a bit cheaper than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.29%
EPS Next 3Y6.17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BTU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.11%.
BTU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 6.13.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.11, BTU pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.35.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.11% |
5.2 History
BTU has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
BTU has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
26.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by BTU. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP26.53%
EPS Next 2Y5.29%
EPS Next 3Y6.17%
27.42
+1.55 (+5.99%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.54%
Inst Owner Change0.34%
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap3.33B
Revenue(TTM)4.24B
Net Income(TTM)138.70M
Analysts78.18
Price Target32.3 (17.8%)
Short Float %14.95%
Short Ratio3.39
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.11% |
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP26.53%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)198.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-131.02%
Max EPS beat(2)527.6%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)97.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-131.02%
Max EPS beat(4)527.6%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)48.3%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)39.72%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)13.84%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.12%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.27%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.53%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.86%
PT rev (1m)5.66%
PT rev (3m)20.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-489.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-191.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)-128.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.91%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.44%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.64%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.63%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.78 | ||
| P/S | 0.83 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.89 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.35 | ||
| P/B | 0.92 | ||
| P/tB | 0.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.59 |
EPS(TTM)-0.06
EYN/A
EPS(NY)2.33
Fwd EY8.49%
FCF(TTM)1.84
FCFY6.72%
OCF(TTM)5.12
OCFY18.68%
SpS33.21
BVpS29.81
TBVpS29.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.41% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROCE | 3.05% | ||
| ROIC | 2.31% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.62% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.62% | ||
| OM | 3.8% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.43% | ||
| GM | 16.44% | ||
| FCFM | 5.54% |
ROA(3y)14.03%
ROA(5y)1.86%
ROE(3y)23.91%
ROE(5y)-21.79%
ROIC(3y)13.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)17.74%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)17.74%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)17.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.96%
OM growth 3Y-7.61%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y-6.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.91%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.7
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.54 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 109.05% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 9.88% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 119.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.21 |
F-Score4
WACC8.29%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)98.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.62%
Profit Quality(3y)73.07%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.92%
EPS 3Y-8.71%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-178.38%
EPS Next Y-108.4%
EPS Next 2Y5.29%
EPS Next 3Y6.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.35%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.73%
Sales Q2Q%-6.98%
Revenue Next Year-10.86%
Revenue Next 2Y2.1%
Revenue Next 3Y2.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-73.29%
EBIT growth 3Y0.23%
EBIT growth 5Y3.11%
EBIT Next Year-11.2%
EBIT Next 3Y17.4%
EBIT Next 5Y10.14%
FCF growth 1Y-86.21%
FCF growth 3Y-4.68%
FCF growth 5Y-12.14%
OCF growth 1Y-67.29%
OCF growth 3Y13.03%
OCF growth 5Y-2.19%
PEABODY ENERGY CORP / BTU FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PEABODY ENERGY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BTU.
What is the valuation status for BTU stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of BTU stock?
PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for PEABODY ENERGY CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) is expected to decline by -108.4% in the next year.