PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:BTU - US7045511000 - Common Stock
32.8 USD
+0.64 (+1.99%)
33.5 USD
+0.7 (+2.13%)
Overall BTU gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated BTU against 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While BTU seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. BTU has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
BTU had negative earnings in the past year.
BTU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years BTU 4 years were profitable.
Of the past 5 years BTU 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
BTU has a worse Return On Assets (-0.57%) than 69.71% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -0.92%, BTU is not doing good in the industry: 68.27% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.14%, BTU is not doing good in the industry: 73.08% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BTU is significantly below the industry average of 21.28%.
The 3 year average ROIC (13.63%) for BTU is well above the current ROIC(0.14%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.57% | ||
| ROE | -0.92% | ||
| ROIC | 0.14% |
ROA(3y)14.03%
ROA(5y)1.86%
ROE(3y)23.91%
ROE(5y)-21.79%
ROIC(3y)13.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BTU has declined.
The Operating Margin of BTU (0.23%) is worse than 74.04% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BTU has grown nicely.
BTU's Gross Margin of 13.70% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BTU is outperformed by 68.27% of its industry peers.
BTU's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.7% |
OM growth 3Y-7.61%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y-6.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.91%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), BTU is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BTU has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for BTU has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
BTU has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.26 indicates that BTU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of BTU (2.26) is better than 72.60% of its industry peers.
BTU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
BTU has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.09) than 78.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.26 |
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC8.4%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.99 indicates that BTU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.99, BTU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.88% of the companies in the same industry.
BTU has a Quick Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that BTU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BTU's Quick ratio of 1.49 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BTU outperforms 72.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.49 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BTU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -101.92%.
Measured over the past years, BTU shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -8.71% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -8.88% in the past year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.92%
EPS 3Y-8.71%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-178.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.88%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.73%
Sales Q2Q%-6.98%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.08% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, BTU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.84% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-124.93%
EPS Next 2Y10.59%
EPS Next 3Y11.08%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.98%
Revenue Next 2Y4.28%
Revenue Next 3Y3.84%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BTU. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.77, which indicates a correct valuation of BTU.
BTU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
BTU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.70.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.77 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of BTU is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.34 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y10.59%
EPS Next 3Y11.08%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BTU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.01%.
BTU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 3.96.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.01, BTU pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.94.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.01% |
5.2 History
BTU has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
BTU has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of BTU are negative and hence is the payout ratio. BTU will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-111.93%
EPS Next 2Y10.59%
EPS Next 3Y11.08%
32.8
+0.64 (+1.99%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.82%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner Change0.06%
Market Cap3.99B
Revenue(TTM)3.96B
Net Income(TTM)-32.70M
Analysts80
Price Target35.96 (9.63%)
Short Float %13.97%
Short Ratio5.37
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.01% |
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-111.93%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1073.47%
Min EPS beat(2)-2015.91%
Max EPS beat(2)-131.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-412.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-2015.91%
Max EPS beat(4)527.6%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-201.49%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-130.3%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-91.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.71%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.87%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.71%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.85%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.2%
PT rev (1m)0.82%
PT rev (3m)66.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2060%
EPS NQ rev (3m)80.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-763.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.77 | ||
| P/S | 1.01 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 10.36 | ||
| P/B | 1.13 | ||
| P/tB | 1.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.34 |
EPS(TTM)-0.06
EYN/A
EPS(NY)2.57
Fwd EY7.83%
FCF(TTM)-0.26
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.17
OCFY9.65%
SpS32.58
BVpS29.11
TBVpS29.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.57% | ||
| ROE | -0.92% | ||
| ROCE | 0.19% | ||
| ROIC | 0.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.16% | ||
| OM | 0.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.7% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)14.03%
ROA(5y)1.86%
ROE(3y)23.91%
ROE(5y)-21.79%
ROIC(3y)13.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)17.74%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)17.74%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)17.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.96%
OM growth 3Y-7.61%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y-6.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.91%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.82 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 109.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 98.59% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.26 |
F-Score3
WACC8.4%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)98.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.62%
Profit Quality(3y)73.07%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.92%
EPS 3Y-8.71%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-178.38%
EPS Next Y-124.93%
EPS Next 2Y10.59%
EPS Next 3Y11.08%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.88%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.73%
Sales Q2Q%-6.98%
Revenue Next Year-8.98%
Revenue Next 2Y4.28%
Revenue Next 3Y3.84%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-98.28%
EBIT growth 3Y0.23%
EBIT growth 5Y3.11%
EBIT Next Year-8.42%
EBIT Next 3Y19.96%
EBIT Next 5Y10.14%
FCF growth 1Y-102.82%
FCF growth 3Y-4.68%
FCF growth 5Y-12.14%
OCF growth 1Y-72.94%
OCF growth 3Y13.03%
OCF growth 5Y-2.19%
PEABODY ENERGY CORP / BTU FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PEABODY ENERGY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to BTU.
Can you provide the valuation status for PEABODY ENERGY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for PEABODY ENERGY CORP?
PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for BTU stock?
The financial health rating of PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) is 4 / 10.
Is the dividend of PEABODY ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of PEABODY ENERGY CORP (BTU) is 1 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -111.93%.