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BAE SYSTEMS PLC (BSP.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:BSP - Deutsche Boerse Ag - GB0002634946 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

18.955  -0.82 (-4.12%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, BSP scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BSP was compared to 41 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. BSP has an average financial health and profitability rating. BSP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BSP was profitable.
In the past year BSP had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years BSP has been profitable.
BSP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BSP.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBSP.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

BSP's Return On Assets of 4.94% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BSP outperforms 78.95% of its industry peers.
BSP has a better Return On Equity (16.34%) than 63.16% of its industry peers.
BSP has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.78%. This is in the better half of the industry: BSP outperforms 60.53% of its industry peers.
BSP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.62%. This is in line with the industry average of 8.91%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.94%
ROE 16.34%
ROIC 7.78%
ROA(3y)5.33%
ROA(5y)5.43%
ROE(3y)16.2%
ROE(5y)20.05%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.6%
BSP.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBSP.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 7.49%, BSP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.32% of the companies in the same industry.
BSP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 9.64%, BSP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.79% of the companies in the same industry.
BSP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
BSP has a Gross Margin of 70.27%. This is amongst the best in the industry. BSP outperforms 89.47% of its industry peers.
BSP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.64%
PM (TTM) 7.49%
GM 70.27%
OM growth 3Y-1.32%
OM growth 5Y-0.72%
PM growth 3Y-6.19%
PM growth 5Y-1.61%
GM growth 3Y0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
BSP.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBSP.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BSP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
BSP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
BSP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BSP is higher compared to a year ago.
BSP.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingBSP.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B
BSP.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBSP.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

BSP has an Altman-Z score of 2.36. This is not the best score and indicates that BSP is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
BSP's Altman-Z score of 2.36 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BSP outperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BSP is 5.42, which is a neutral value as it means it would take BSP, 5.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 5.42, BSP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.26% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.87 indicates that BSP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
BSP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.87. This is in the lower half of the industry: BSP underperforms 60.53% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.87
Debt/FCF 5.42
Altman-Z 2.36
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC9.92%
BSP.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBSP.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.03 indicates that BSP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BSP has a worse Current ratio (1.03) than 63.16% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.91 indicates that BSP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.91, BSP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.03
Quick Ratio 0.91
BSP.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBSP.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.01% over the past year.
BSP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 6.80% yearly.
BSP shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 14.01%.
BSP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.53% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.01%
EPS 3Y5.38%
EPS 5Y6.8%
EPS Q2Q%13.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.01%
Revenue growth 3Y10.46%
Revenue growth 5Y7.53%
Sales Q2Q%25.09%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BSP will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.53% on average per year.
BSP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.50% yearly.
EPS Next Y12.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.5%
EPS Next 3Y10.11%
EPS Next 5Y11.53%
Revenue Next Year9.3%
Revenue Next 2Y7.8%
Revenue Next 3Y6.97%
Revenue Next 5Y6.5%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
BSP.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBSP.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 10B 20B 30B
BSP.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBSP.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 24.94, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of BSP.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BSP is valued a bit cheaper than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
BSP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 29.35.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.79, BSP is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BSP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: BSP is cheaper than 68.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
BSP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.10.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.94
Fwd PE 20.79
BSP.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBSP.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of BSP is on the same level as its industry peers.
76.32% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BSP, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.03
EV/EBITDA 17
BSP.DE Per share dataBSP.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates BSP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
BSP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)3.67
EPS Next 2Y11.5%
EPS Next 3Y10.11%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BSP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.02%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.20, BSP pays a better dividend. On top of this BSP pays more dividend than 92.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, BSP has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.02%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of BSP grows each year by 6.50%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.5%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
BSP.DE Yearly Dividends per shareBSP.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

BSP pays out 49.51% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
BSP's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP49.51%
EPS Next 2Y11.5%
EPS Next 3Y10.11%
BSP.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBSP.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
BSP.DE Dividend Payout.BSP.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BSP.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

BAE SYSTEMS PLC

FRA:BSP (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

18.955

-0.82 (-4.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30
Inst Owners70.53%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap56.99B
Analysts77.5
Price Target18.5 (-2.4%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.02%
Yearly Dividend0.37
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.5%
DP49.51%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)4.78%
PT rev (3m)3.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.39%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.84%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.94
Fwd PE 20.79
P/S 1.95
P/FCF 24.03
P/OCF 15.8
P/B 4.26
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 17
EPS(TTM)0.76
EY4.01%
EPS(NY)0.91
Fwd EY4.81%
FCF(TTM)0.79
FCFY4.16%
OCF(TTM)1.2
OCFY6.33%
SpS9.71
BVpS4.45
TBVpS-1.89
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)3.67
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.94%
ROE 16.34%
ROCE 9.1%
ROIC 7.78%
ROICexc 8.79%
ROICexgc 28.95%
OM 9.64%
PM (TTM) 7.49%
GM 70.27%
FCFM 8.12%
ROA(3y)5.33%
ROA(5y)5.43%
ROE(3y)16.2%
ROE(5y)20.05%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.6%
ROICexc(3y)10.37%
ROICexc(5y)10.33%
ROICexgc(3y)36.39%
ROICexgc(5y)39.39%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)10.07%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-7.69%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.08%
OM growth 3Y-1.32%
OM growth 5Y-0.72%
PM growth 3Y-6.19%
PM growth 5Y-1.61%
GM growth 3Y0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.87
Debt/FCF 5.42
Debt/EBITDA 3.01
Cap/Depr 115.19%
Cap/Sales 4.23%
Interest Coverage 5.65
Cash Conversion 92.75%
Profit Quality 108.37%
Current Ratio 1.03
Quick Ratio 0.91
Altman-Z 2.36
F-Score5
WACC9.92%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)105.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.94%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.33%
Profit Quality(3y)142.34%
Profit Quality(5y)118.6%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.01%
EPS 3Y5.38%
EPS 5Y6.8%
EPS Q2Q%13.62%
EPS Next Y12.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.5%
EPS Next 3Y10.11%
EPS Next 5Y11.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.01%
Revenue growth 3Y10.46%
Revenue growth 5Y7.53%
Sales Q2Q%25.09%
Revenue Next Year9.3%
Revenue Next 2Y7.8%
Revenue Next 3Y6.97%
Revenue Next 5Y6.5%
EBIT growth 1Y2.64%
EBIT growth 3Y9.01%
EBIT growth 5Y6.75%
EBIT Next Year37.17%
EBIT Next 3Y16.1%
EBIT Next 5Y11.8%
FCF growth 1Y-32.64%
FCF growth 3Y11.64%
FCF growth 5Y19.64%
OCF growth 1Y-20.81%
OCF growth 3Y17.06%
OCF growth 5Y19.7%