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BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE-PRF (BMW3.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:BMW3 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - DE0005190037 - Currency: EUR

71.35  -1.6 (-2.19%)

Fundamental Rating

4

BMW3 gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 29 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While BMW3 is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. BMW3 has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BMW3 was profitable.
In the past year BMW3 had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years BMW3 has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years BMW3 had a positive operating cash flow.
BMW3.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBMW3.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

BMW3 has a Return On Assets (3.12%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.02%, BMW3 is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.14%, BMW3 is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.85% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BMW3 is in line with the industry average of 8.71%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.12%
ROE 9.02%
ROIC 6.14%
ROA(3y)5.72%
ROA(5y)4.21%
ROE(3y)16.61%
ROE(5y)12.87%
ROIC(3y)7.08%
ROIC(5y)5.52%
BMW3.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBMW3.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

BMW3's Profit Margin of 5.49% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BMW3 outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
BMW3's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of BMW3 (9.43%) is better than 70.37% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BMW3 has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 17.01%, BMW3 is not doing good in the industry: 77.78% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BMW3 has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.43%
PM (TTM) 5.49%
GM 17.01%
OM growth 3Y34.07%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y23.94%
PM growth 5Y0.17%
GM growth 3Y11.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.11%
BMW3.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBMW3.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), BMW3 is creating some value.
BMW3 has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
BMW3 has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
BMW3 has about the same debt/assets ratio as last year.
BMW3.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingBMW3.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
BMW3.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBMW3.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.44, we must say that BMW3 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
BMW3 has a Altman-Z score (1.44) which is in line with its industry peers.
BMW3 has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67. This is a neutral value indicating BMW3 is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
BMW3 has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.67. This is in the better half of the industry: BMW3 outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.44
ROIC/WACC1.38
WACC4.45%
BMW3.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBMW3.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.10 indicates that BMW3 should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.10, BMW3 is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that BMW3 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.78, BMW3 is doing worse than 74.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.1
Quick Ratio 0.78
BMW3.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBMW3.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

BMW3 shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -25.10%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.53% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, BMW3 shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.05% in the last year.
BMW3 shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.93% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-25.1%
EPS 3Y45.56%
EPS 5Y10.53%
EPS Q2Q%-84.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.05%
Revenue growth 3Y16.25%
Revenue growth 5Y9.93%
Sales Q2Q%-15.74%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BMW3 will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.84% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, BMW3 will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.29% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-27.88%
EPS Next 2Y-13.55%
EPS Next 3Y-7.83%
EPS Next 5Y-0.84%
Revenue Next Year-3.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 5Y1.29%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
BMW3.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBMW3.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 50B 100B 150B
BMW3.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBMW3.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5 10 15 20 25

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 5.50, the valuation of BMW3 can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BMW3 is valued a bit cheaper than 70.37% of the companies in the same industry.
BMW3's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.47.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.40 indicates a rather cheap valuation of BMW3.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, BMW3 is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 92.74, BMW3 is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.5
Fwd PE 5.4
BMW3.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBMW3.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as BMW3.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.69
BMW3.DE Per share dataBMW3.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as BMW3's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.83% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.52
EPS Next 2Y-13.55%
EPS Next 3Y-7.83%

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6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BMW3 has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.51%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.70, BMW3 has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
BMW3's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.51%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of BMW3 grows each year by 22.01%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.01%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

BMW3 pays out 84.53% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of BMW3 has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP84.53%
EPS Next 2Y-13.55%
EPS Next 3Y-7.83%
BMW3.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBMW3.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B
BMW3.DE Dividend Payout.BMW3.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BMW3.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE-PRF

FRA:BMW3 (2/5/2025, 3:41:29 PM)

71.35

-1.6 (-2.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners21.73%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners48.56%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap45.57B
Analysts72.26
Price Target82.21 (15.22%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.51%
Yearly Dividend10.81
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.01%
DP84.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-29.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-57.28%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.31%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.57%
Min EPS beat(4)-57.28%
Max EPS beat(4)2.37%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-9.92%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.11%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)2.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.16%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.87%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.18%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.39%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.08%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.59%
PT rev (1m)1.02%
PT rev (3m)-4.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.95%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.5
Fwd PE 5.4
P/S 0.31
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.24
P/B 0.5
P/tB 0.64
EV/EBITDA 5.69
EPS(TTM)12.98
EY18.19%
EPS(NY)13.21
Fwd EY18.51%
FCF(TTM)-11.04
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.66
OCFY12.14%
SpS233.17
BVpS142.04
TBVpS111.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.52
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.12%
ROE 9.02%
ROCE 8.17%
ROIC 6.14%
ROICexc 6.98%
ROICexgc 8.03%
OM 9.43%
PM (TTM) 5.49%
GM 17.01%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)5.72%
ROA(5y)4.21%
ROE(3y)16.61%
ROE(5y)12.87%
ROIC(3y)7.08%
ROIC(5y)5.52%
ROICexc(3y)8.18%
ROICexc(5y)6.36%
ROICexgc(3y)9.41%
ROICexgc(5y)7.25%
ROCE(3y)9.56%
ROCE(5y)7.46%
ROICexcg growth 3Y50.97%
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y48.71%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.39%
OM growth 3Y34.07%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y23.94%
PM growth 5Y0.17%
GM growth 3Y11.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.11%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.65
Cap/Depr 144.06%
Cap/Sales 8.45%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 24.3%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.1
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 1.44
F-Score2
WACC4.45%
ROIC/WACC1.38
Cap/Depr(3y)109.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)108.74%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.43%
Profit Quality(3y)71.64%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-25.1%
EPS 3Y45.56%
EPS 5Y10.53%
EPS Q2Q%-84.76%
EPS Next Y-27.88%
EPS Next 2Y-13.55%
EPS Next 3Y-7.83%
EPS Next 5Y-0.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.05%
Revenue growth 3Y16.25%
Revenue growth 5Y9.93%
Sales Q2Q%-15.74%
Revenue Next Year-3.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 5Y1.29%
EBIT growth 1Y-20.1%
EBIT growth 3Y55.85%
EBIT growth 5Y15.36%
EBIT Next Year24.63%
EBIT Next 3Y11.64%
EBIT Next 5Y4.85%
FCF growth 1Y-154.63%
FCF growth 3Y-1.79%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-73.29%
OCF growth 3Y9.97%
OCF growth 5Y28.44%