BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:BLBD - Nasdaq - US0953061068 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall BLBD gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated BLBD against 128 industry peers in the Machinery industry. BLBD has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. BLBD scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. These ratings would make BLBD suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
BLBD had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year BLBD had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: BLBD reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years BLBD reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 19.89%, BLBD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.22% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 56.80%, BLBD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.66% of the companies in the same industry.
BLBD has a better Return On Invested Capital (28.98%) than 98.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.89% | ||
| ROE | 56.8% | ||
| ROIC | 28.98% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
BLBD's Profit Margin of 7.97% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BLBD outperforms 61.72% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
BLBD has a Operating Margin of 9.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BLBD outperforms 51.56% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of BLBD (19.18%) is worse than 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.97% | ||
| GM | 19.18% |
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BLBD is creating value.
BLBD has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BLBD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
BLBD has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.03 indicates that BLBD is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.03, BLBD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.03% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BLBD is 1.07, which is an excellent value as it means it would take BLBD, only 1.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
BLBD has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.07. This is amongst the best in the industry. BLBD outperforms 85.16% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
BLBD has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.46) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.03 |
ROIC/WACC2.93
WACC9.89%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.45 indicates that BLBD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BLBD's Current ratio of 1.45 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BLBD is outperformed by 78.13% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a Quick Ratio of 1.45. This is a bad value and indicates that BLBD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.73, BLBD is not doing good in the industry: 82.81% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.45 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BLBD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 22.76%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, BLBD shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 16.38% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, BLBD shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.57% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, BLBD shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.74% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.76%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%7.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.57%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%3.74%
3.2 Future
BLBD is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.83% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, BLBD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.99% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.4%
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.16%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5Y6.99%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
BLBD is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.81.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BLBD is valued cheaper than 88.28% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of BLBD to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.45), we can say BLBD is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.75, which indicates a very decent valuation of BLBD.
89.84% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BLBD, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.90. BLBD is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BLBD is valued cheaper than 80.47% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BLBD is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.22% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
BLBD's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
BLBD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.12
PEG (5Y)0.78
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BLBD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
45.6
+0.15 (+0.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners118.16%
Inst Owner Change-69.43%
Ins Owners0.58%
Ins Owner Change1.73%
Market Cap1.44B
Analysts83.08
Price Target52.6 (15.35%)
Short Float %16.5%
Short Ratio12.77
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(2)10.53%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(4)74.11%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)53.29%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)-95.09%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-86.39%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.57%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.87%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.08%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.72%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.68%
PT rev (1m)-2.7%
PT rev (3m)-2.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.65%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.75%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.75 | ||
| P/S | 1.06 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.03 | ||
| P/B | 7.56 | ||
| P/tB | 11.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.51 |
EPS(TTM)3.56
EY7.81%
EPS(NY)4.24
Fwd EY9.31%
FCF(TTM)2.76
FCFY6.06%
OCF(TTM)3.5
OCFY7.68%
SpS42.96
BVpS6.03
TBVpS4.08
PEG (NY)1.12
PEG (5Y)0.78
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.89% | ||
| ROE | 56.8% | ||
| ROCE | 41.65% | ||
| ROIC | 28.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 49.31% | ||
| ROICexgc | 73.58% | ||
| OM | 9.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.97% | ||
| GM | 19.18% | ||
| FCFM | 6.44% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y220.13%
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.5%
ROICexc growth 3Y207.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.73%
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover2.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 152.12% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.71% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.82 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.01% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.71% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.45 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.03 |
F-Score8
WACC9.89%
ROIC/WACC2.93
Cap/Depr(3y)67.41%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.33%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.76%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%7.87%
EPS Next Y11.4%
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.57%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%3.74%
Revenue Next Year9.16%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5Y6.99%
EBIT growth 1Y7.72%
EBIT growth 3Y177.79%
EBIT growth 5Y26.04%
EBIT Next Year39.1%
EBIT Next 3Y15.18%
EBIT Next 5Y14.15%
FCF growth 1Y249.42%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y36.54%
OCF growth 1Y248.76%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y14.81%