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BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC (BJRI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:BJRI - Nasdaq - US09180C1062 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

38.05  +2.31 (+6.46%)

After market: 38 -0.05 (-0.13%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall BJRI gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated BJRI against 135 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While BJRI seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. BJRI does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BJRI had positive earnings in the past year.
BJRI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years BJRI reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years BJRI 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
BJRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBJRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M

1.2 Ratios

BJRI has a Return On Assets (2.88%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of BJRI (7.98%) is better than 63.36% of its industry peers.
BJRI has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.64%. This is in the lower half of the industry: BJRI underperforms 69.47% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.88%
ROE 7.98%
ROIC 2.64%
ROA(3y)0.63%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)1.83%
ROE(5y)0.27%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BJRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBJRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

BJRI has a Profit Margin (2.24%) which is in line with its industry peers.
BJRI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
BJRI's Operating Margin of 2.14% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BJRI is outperformed by 70.23% of its industry peers.
BJRI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 37.59%, BJRI is doing worse than 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
BJRI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.14%
PM (TTM) 2.24%
GM 37.59%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-21.52%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-20.17%
GM growth 3Y1.42%
GM growth 5Y-0.91%
BJRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBJRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30 40

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BJRI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
BJRI has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
BJRI Yearly Shares OutstandingBJRI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M 20M
BJRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBJRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

BJRI has an Altman-Z score of 2.38. This is not the best score and indicates that BJRI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
BJRI has a better Altman-Z score (2.38) than 64.89% of its industry peers.
BJRI has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.76. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as BJRI would need 2.76 years to pay back of all of its debts.
BJRI's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.76 is amongst the best of the industry. BJRI outperforms 83.21% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18 indicates that BJRI is not too dependend on debt financing.
BJRI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.18 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BJRI outperforms 79.39% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.18
Debt/FCF 2.76
Altman-Z 2.38
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC9.4%
BJRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBJRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.35 indicates that BJRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of BJRI (0.35) is worse than 84.73% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.28 indicates that BJRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
BJRI has a worse Quick ratio (0.28) than 86.26% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.35
Quick Ratio 0.28
BJRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBJRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 66.27% over the past year.
BJRI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -6.78% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)66.27%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.78%
EPS Q2Q%38.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%6.4%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BJRI will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.41% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, BJRI will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.51% on average per year.
EPS Next Y9.01%
EPS Next 2Y10.41%
EPS Next 3Y6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y3.39%
Revenue Next 3Y2.82%
Revenue Next 5Y4.51%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
BJRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBJRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B
BJRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBJRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 -1 2 -2

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

BJRI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 27.57.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BJRI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.07% of the companies are valued more expensively.
BJRI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 29.63.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.29, BJRI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as BJRI.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.68. BJRI is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.57
Fwd PE 25.29
BJRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBJRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BJRI is valued a bit cheaper than 78.63% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BJRI is valued a bit cheaper than 61.83% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 35.97
EV/EBITDA 8.58
BJRI Per share dataBJRI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates BJRI does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)3.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y10.41%
EPS Next 3Y6.41%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BJRI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC

NASDAQ:BJRI (2/21/2025, 8:03:35 PM)

After market: 38 -0.05 (-0.13%)

38.05

+2.31 (+6.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-20 2025-02-20/amc
Earnings (Next)04-30 2025-04-30/amc
Inst Owners101.19%
Inst Owner Change0.29%
Ins Owners1.7%
Ins Owner Change5.26%
Market Cap868.30M
Analysts73.75
Price Target40.36 (6.07%)
Short Float %6.1%
Short Ratio5.42
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.14%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-333.11%
Min EPS beat(2)-704.03%
Max EPS beat(2)37.81%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-140.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-704.03%
Max EPS beat(4)83.9%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)-295.84%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-248.45%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-192.92%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.4%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.03%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.91%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.63%
PT rev (1m)1.14%
PT rev (3m)-0.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.34%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.57
Fwd PE 25.29
P/S 0.65
P/FCF 35.97
P/OCF 8.51
P/B 2.31
P/tB 2.34
EV/EBITDA 8.58
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY3.63%
EPS(NY)1.5
Fwd EY3.95%
FCF(TTM)1.06
FCFY2.78%
OCF(TTM)4.47
OCFY11.76%
SpS58.57
BVpS16.48
TBVpS16.28
PEG (NY)3.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.88%
ROE 7.98%
ROCE 3.34%
ROIC 2.64%
ROICexc 2.69%
ROICexgc 2.71%
OM 2.14%
PM (TTM) 2.24%
GM 37.59%
FCFM 1.81%
ROA(3y)0.63%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)1.83%
ROE(5y)0.27%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-26.14%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-26.08%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-21.52%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-20.17%
GM growth 3Y1.42%
GM growth 5Y-0.91%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.18
Debt/FCF 2.76
Debt/EBITDA 0.66
Cap/Depr 108.22%
Cap/Sales 5.83%
Interest Coverage 6.12
Cash Conversion 101.4%
Profit Quality 80.45%
Current Ratio 0.35
Quick Ratio 0.28
Altman-Z 2.38
F-Score7
WACC9.4%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)102.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)96.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)66.27%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.78%
EPS Q2Q%38.24%
EPS Next Y9.01%
EPS Next 2Y10.41%
EPS Next 3Y6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%6.4%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y3.39%
Revenue Next 3Y2.82%
Revenue Next 5Y4.51%
EBIT growth 1Y35.78%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-18.7%
EBIT Next Year528.23%
EBIT Next 3Y92.91%
EBIT Next 5Y62.91%
FCF growth 1Y249.92%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-37.38%
OCF growth 1Y96.68%
OCF growth 3Y37.74%
OCF growth 5Y-4.45%