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BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY LTD (BIR.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:BIR - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0906971035 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

5.2  -0.01 (-0.19%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, BIR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BIR was compared to 221 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of BIR get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. BIR has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BIR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year BIR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: BIR reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years BIR 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
BIR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBIR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

BIR has a Return On Assets of 0.46%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BIR outperforms 50.23% of its industry peers.
BIR has a Return On Equity of 0.70%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BIR outperforms 50.68% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of BIR (0.48%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BIR is in line with the industry average of 7.70%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.48%) for BIR is well below the 3 year average (8.92%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that BIR had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.46%
ROE 0.7%
ROIC 0.48%
ROA(3y)10.47%
ROA(5y)5.43%
ROE(3y)14.58%
ROE(5y)7.28%
ROIC(3y)8.92%
ROIC(5y)6.21%
BIR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBIR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

BIR has a Profit Margin (2.50%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
BIR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
BIR has a Operating Margin (3.68%) which is in line with its industry peers.
BIR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 84.24%, BIR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.93% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BIR has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.68%
PM (TTM) 2.5%
GM 84.24%
OM growth 3Y24.41%
OM growth 5Y-6.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-39.19%
GM growth 3Y0.25%
GM growth 5Y0.45%
BIR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBIR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60 80

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BIR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
There is no outstanding debt for BIR. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
BIR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingBIR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BIR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBIR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

BIR has an Altman-Z score of 1.19. This is a bad value and indicates that BIR is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.19, BIR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.61% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that BIR is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.27, BIR is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.19
ROIC/WACC0.06
WACC7.48%
BIR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBIR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.01 indicates that BIR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.01, BIR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.99% of the companies in the same industry.
BIR has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that BIR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.01, BIR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.01
Quick Ratio 1.01
BIR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBIR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 396.93% over the past year.
The earnings per share for BIR have been decreasing by -44.13% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)396.93%
EPS 3Y-44.13%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%743.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-14.22%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BIR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 37.33% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -63.79% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y164.22%
EPS Next 2Y107.21%
EPS Next 3Y52.28%
EPS Next 5Y37.33%
Revenue Next Year14.66%
Revenue Next 2Y-63.79%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
BIR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBIR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
BIR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBIR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 26.00, the valuation of BIR can be described as expensive.
BIR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
BIR is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.90, which indicates a very decent valuation of BIR.
BIR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. BIR is cheaper than 61.99% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.10, BIR is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26
Fwd PE 9.9
BIR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBIR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of BIR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: BIR is cheaper than 68.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.62
BIR.CA Per share dataBIR.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

BIR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
BIR's earnings are expected to grow with 52.28% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y107.21%
EPS Next 3Y52.28%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BIR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.30%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.64, BIR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, BIR has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.3%

5.2 History

The dividend of BIR is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 44.06%!
BIR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of BIR decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)44.06%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
BIR.CA Yearly Dividends per shareBIR.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

873.24% of the earnings are spent on dividend by BIR. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of BIR is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP873.24%
EPS Next 2Y107.21%
EPS Next 3Y52.28%
BIR.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBIR.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M -600M
BIR.CA Dividend Payout.BIR.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BIR.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY LTD

TSX:BIR (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

5.2

-0.01 (-0.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-12 2025-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)05-13 2025-05-13/amc
Inst Owners16.52%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.41B
Analysts74.67
Price Target7.33 (40.96%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.3%
Yearly Dividend0.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)44.06%
DP873.24%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-14 2025-03-14 (0.03)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)314.52%
Min EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Max EPS beat(2)661.06%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-145.96%
Min EPS beat(4)-1088.12%
Max EPS beat(4)661.06%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-29.37%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.32%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)12.66%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-20.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.74%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-20.63%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.23%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.93%
PT rev (3m)11.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-66.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.64%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)45.75%
Revenue NY rev (3m)45.75%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26
Fwd PE 9.9
P/S 2.3
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.96
P/B 0.65
P/tB 0.65
EV/EBITDA 7.62
EPS(TTM)0.2
EY3.85%
EPS(NY)0.53
Fwd EY10.1%
FCF(TTM)-0.13
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.87
OCFY16.79%
SpS2.26
BVpS8.03
TBVpS8.03
PEG (NY)0.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.46%
ROE 0.7%
ROCE 0.7%
ROIC 0.48%
ROICexc 0.48%
ROICexgc 0.48%
OM 3.68%
PM (TTM) 2.5%
GM 84.24%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)10.47%
ROA(5y)5.43%
ROE(3y)14.58%
ROE(5y)7.28%
ROIC(3y)8.92%
ROIC(5y)6.21%
ROICexc(3y)8.92%
ROICexc(5y)6.21%
ROICexgc(3y)8.92%
ROICexgc(5y)6.21%
ROCE(3y)12.93%
ROCE(5y)9%
ROICexcg growth 3Y32.06%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-5.31%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.06%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.31%
OM growth 3Y24.41%
OM growth 5Y-6.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-39.19%
GM growth 3Y0.25%
GM growth 5Y0.45%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.23
Cap/Depr 112.73%
Cap/Sales 44.38%
Interest Coverage 2.24
Cash Conversion 89.56%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.01
Quick Ratio 1.01
Altman-Z 1.19
F-Score4
WACC7.48%
ROIC/WACC0.06
Cap/Depr(3y)137.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)137.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)33.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)40.87%
Profit Quality(3y)113.34%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)396.93%
EPS 3Y-44.13%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%743.86%
EPS Next Y164.22%
EPS Next 2Y107.21%
EPS Next 3Y52.28%
EPS Next 5Y37.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-14.22%
Revenue Next Year14.66%
Revenue Next 2Y-63.79%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-90.46%
EBIT growth 3Y37.06%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.78%
EBIT Next Year359.23%
EBIT Next 3Y106.1%
EBIT Next 5Y58.87%
FCF growth 1Y-105.92%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.51%
OCF growth 1Y-73.57%
OCF growth 3Y19.42%
OCF growth 5Y-0.24%