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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BBAI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US08975B1098 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

7.11  +2.2 (+44.81%)

After market: 7.2796 +0.17 (+2.39%)

Fundamental Rating

2

BBAI gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 82 industry peers in the IT Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of BBAI have multiple concerns. BBAI has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BBAI has reported negative net income.
BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 -20M -40M -60M -80M -100M

1.2 Ratios

BBAI has a worse Return On Assets (-48.10%) than 91.14% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of BBAI (-173.03%) is worse than 84.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -48.1%
ROE -173.03%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-41.59%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 -100 200 300

1.3 Margins

BBAI's Gross Margin of 26.99% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 68.35% of its industry peers.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for BBAI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 26.99%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
BBAI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
BBAI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

BBAI has an Altman-Z score of 1.26. This is a bad value and indicates that BBAI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
BBAI's Altman-Z score of 1.26 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 68.35% of its industry peers.
BBAI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.99. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of BBAI (1.99) is worse than 79.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.26
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC11.45%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.06 indicates that BBAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
BBAI has a Current ratio of 2.06. This is in the better half of the industry: BBAI outperforms 67.09% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.06 indicates that BBAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 2.06, BBAI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.09% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.06
Quick Ratio 2.06
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

BBAI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.76%, which is quite good.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.08% in the past year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.76%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-266.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.08%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%22.12%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.69% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
BBAI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y-81.54%
EPS Next 2Y23.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.96%
EPS Next 5Y16.69%
Revenue Next Year9.72%
Revenue Next 2Y12.97%
Revenue Next 3Y16.7%
Revenue Next 5Y13.38%

3.3 Evolution

BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.2 -0.2 0.4 -0.4 0.6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 12.96% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.96%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BBAI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (2/5/2025, 7:21:05 PM)

After market: 7.2796 +0.17 (+2.39%)

7.11

+2.2 (+44.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)11-05 2024-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners8.51%
Inst Owner Change1.86%
Ins Owners1.79%
Ins Owner Change-2.04%
Market Cap1.78B
Analysts78.18
Price Target2.68 (-62.31%)
Short Float %20.55%
Short Ratio0.88
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)25.77%
Min EPS beat(2)21.57%
Max EPS beat(2)29.97%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-86.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-243.14%
Max EPS beat(4)29.97%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-76.24%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-505.55%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-16.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-11.6%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-15.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-25.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-6.99%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-9.39%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.79%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.6%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 11.5
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 18.1
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.45
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.2
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.13
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.09
OCFYN/A
SpS0.62
BVpS0.39
TBVpS-0.56
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -48.1%
ROE -173.03%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 26.99%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-41.59%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 82.05%
Cap/Sales 5.67%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.06
Quick Ratio 2.06
Altman-Z 1.26
F-Score4
WACC11.45%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)22.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.76%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-266.67%
EPS Next Y-81.54%
EPS Next 2Y23.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.96%
EPS Next 5Y16.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.08%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%22.12%
Revenue Next Year9.72%
Revenue Next 2Y12.97%
Revenue Next 3Y16.7%
Revenue Next 5Y13.38%
EBIT growth 1Y-34.81%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year97.59%
EBIT Next 3Y27.73%
EBIT Next 5Y22.5%
FCF growth 1Y43.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y58.16%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A