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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BBAI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US08975B1098 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.34  -0.86 (-20.48%)

After market: 3.36 +0.02 (+0.6%)

Fundamental Rating

2

BBAI gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 81 industry peers in the IT Services industry. BBAI may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. BBAI has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BBAI had negative earnings in the past year.
BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative net income.
BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 -20M -40M -60M -80M -100M

1.2 Ratios

BBAI has a worse Return On Assets (-48.10%) than 87.65% of its industry peers.
BBAI's Return On Equity of -173.03% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 81.48% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -48.1%
ROE -173.03%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-41.59%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 -100 200 300

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of BBAI (26.99%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for BBAI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 26.99%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
There is no outstanding debt for BBAI. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

BBAI has an Altman-Z score of 0.35. This is a bad value and indicates that BBAI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
BBAI's Altman-Z score of 0.35 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 76.54% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.99 is on the high side and indicates that BBAI has dependencies on debt financing.
BBAI has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.99) than 79.01% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.35
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.34%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.06 indicates that BBAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
BBAI's Current ratio of 2.06 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI outperforms 69.14% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.06 indicates that BBAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
BBAI has a Quick ratio of 2.06. This is in the better half of the industry: BBAI outperforms 69.14% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.06
Quick Ratio 2.06
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 16.67% over the past year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%8.05%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.21% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.63% on average per year.
EPS Next Y43.17%
EPS Next 2Y15.31%
EPS Next 3Y22.21%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.32%
Revenue Next 2Y20.35%
Revenue Next 3Y14.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

BBAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.2 -0.2 0.4 -0.4 0.6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 22.21% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.31%
EPS Next 3Y22.21%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BBAI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (3/7/2025, 8:06:45 PM)

After market: 3.36 +0.02 (+0.6%)

3.34

-0.86 (-20.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)03-06 2025-03-06/amc
Earnings (Next)04-30 2025-04-30/amc
Inst Owners41.79%
Inst Owner Change326.4%
Ins Owners1.49%
Ins Owner Change-5.38%
Market Cap840.18M
Analysts78.18
Price Target3.83 (14.67%)
Short Float %20.66%
Short Ratio0.57
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)25.77%
Min EPS beat(2)21.57%
Max EPS beat(2)29.97%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-86.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-243.14%
Max EPS beat(4)29.97%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-76.24%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-505.55%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-16.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-11.6%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-15.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-25.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-6.99%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-9.39%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.79%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)42.86%
PT rev (3m)42.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.31%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 5.42
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 8.54
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.35
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.2
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.13
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.09
OCFYN/A
SpS0.62
BVpS0.39
TBVpS-0.55
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -48.1%
ROE -173.03%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 26.99%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-41.59%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 82.05%
Cap/Sales 5.67%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.06
Quick Ratio 2.06
Altman-Z 0.35
F-Score4
WACC10.34%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)22.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.43%
EPS Next Y43.17%
EPS Next 2Y15.31%
EPS Next 3Y22.21%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%8.05%
Revenue Next Year16.32%
Revenue Next 2Y20.35%
Revenue Next 3Y14.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-34.81%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year97.59%
EBIT Next 3Y27.73%
EBIT Next 5Y22.5%
FCF growth 1Y43.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y58.16%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A