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BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:BAER - Nasdaq - US96812F1021 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

2.04  -0.07 (-3.32%)

After market: 2.12 +0.08 (+3.92%)

Fundamental Rating

2

BAER gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 84 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. Both the profitability and financial health of BAER have multiple concerns. BAER does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BAER had negative earnings in the past year.
BAER had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
BAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -24.21%, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 89.02% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Equity value of -173.88%, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 89.02% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -24.21%
ROE -173.88%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-33.26%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-128.88%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 41.77%, BAER is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
BAER does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 41.77%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
BAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400 -600

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BAER does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, BAER has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for BAER is higher compared to a year ago.
BAER Yearly Shares OutstandingBAER Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
BAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

BAER has an Altman-Z score of -1.85. This is a bad value and indicates that BAER is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -1.85, BAER is doing worse than 85.37% of the companies in the same industry.
BAER has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.19. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
BAER has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (5.19) than 90.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -1.85
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.35%
BAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.56 indicates that BAER should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BAER has a Current ratio of 1.56. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BAER outperforms 52.44% of its industry peers.
BAER has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that BAER is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BAER's Quick ratio of 1.53 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BAER outperforms 65.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 1.53
BAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

BAER shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -1725.61%.
BAER shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 459.15%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1725.61%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%39.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)459.15%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%12%

3.2 Future

BAER is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -82.26% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 38.86% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y-864.86%
EPS Next 2Y-82.26%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year41.9%
Revenue Next 2Y38.86%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

BAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
BAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BAER. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BAER. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BAER Per share dataBAER EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1 -1.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as BAER's earnings are expected to decrease with -82.26% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-82.26%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BAER!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD

NASDAQ:BAER (2/21/2025, 8:02:37 PM)

After market: 2.12 +0.08 (+3.92%)

2.04

-0.07 (-3.32%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-11 2024-11-11/amc
Earnings (Next)03-17 2025-03-17
Inst Owners30.6%
Inst Owner Change7.5%
Ins Owners35.04%
Ins Owner Change2.31%
Market Cap110.55M
Analysts82.86
Price Target6.12 (200%)
Short Float %4.5%
Short Ratio0.69
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)4.35%
PT rev (3m)14.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)12.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.51
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 27.13
P/B 2.82
P/tB 13.62
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.53
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.14
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.09
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.08
OCFY3.69%
SpS1.35
BVpS0.72
TBVpS0.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -24.21%
ROE -173.88%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 41.77%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-33.26%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-128.88%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 93.75%
Cap/Sales 12.01%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z -1.85
F-Score4
WACC10.35%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)461.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1725.61%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%39.14%
EPS Next Y-864.86%
EPS Next 2Y-82.26%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)459.15%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%12%
Revenue Next Year41.9%
Revenue Next 2Y38.86%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y68.95%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year170.97%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-540.34%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y652%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A