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BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:BAER - Nasdaq - US96812F1021 - Common Stock

2.905  -0.08 (-2.52%)

After market: 2.9 0 (-0.17%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to BAER. BAER was compared to 83 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. BAER has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. BAER does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BAER has reported negative net income.
BAER had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
BAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -24.21%, BAER is doing worse than 89.02% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -173.88%, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 89.02% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -24.21%
ROE -173.88%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-33.26%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-128.88%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

With a decent Gross Margin value of 41.77%, BAER is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for BAER so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 41.77%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
BAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400 -600

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BAER does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
BAER has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, BAER has a worse debt to assets ratio.
BAER Yearly Shares OutstandingBAER Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
BAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.73, we must say that BAER is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
BAER's Altman-Z score of -1.73 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BAER is outperformed by 86.59% of its industry peers.
BAER has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.19. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 5.19, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 90.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -1.73
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.88%
BAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.56 indicates that BAER should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BAER has a Current ratio of 1.56. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BAER outperforms 52.44% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.53 indicates that BAER should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.53, BAER is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 1.53
BAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

BAER shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -1725.61%.
BAER shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 459.15%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1725.61%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%39.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)459.15%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%12%

3.2 Future

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
Based on estimates for the next years, BAER will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 35.79% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-817.64%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year41.9%
Revenue Next 2Y35.79%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
BAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
BAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BAER. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year BAER is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BAER Per share dataBAER EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1 -1.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BAER!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD

NASDAQ:BAER (1/21/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 2.9 0 (-0.17%)

2.905

-0.08 (-2.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-11 2024-11-11/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners27.98%
Inst Owner Change-0.39%
Ins Owners40.49%
Ins Owner Change2.31%
Market Cap157.42M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.87 (102.07%)
Short Float %2.64%
Short Ratio0.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)9.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)12.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 2.15
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 38.64
P/B 4.01
P/tB 19.39
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.53
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.78
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.09
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.08
OCFY2.59%
SpS1.35
BVpS0.72
TBVpS0.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -24.21%
ROE -173.88%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 41.77%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-33.26%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-128.88%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 93.75%
Cap/Sales 12.01%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z -1.73
F-Score4
WACC10.88%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)461.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1725.61%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%39.14%
EPS Next Y-817.64%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)459.15%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%12%
Revenue Next Year41.9%
Revenue Next 2Y35.79%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y68.95%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year170.97%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-540.34%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y652%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A