ASPEN TECHNOLOGY INC (AZPN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:AZPN • US29109X1063

Current stock price

264.33 USD
+0.03 (+0.01%)
At close:
264.6 USD
+0.27 (+0.1%)
After Hours:

This AZPN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. AZPN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AZPN was profitable.
  • AZPN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years AZPN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years AZPN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AZPN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAZPN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • AZPN has a Return On Assets of -0.07%. This is in the better half of the industry: AZPN outperforms 60.85% of its industry peers.
  • AZPN has a better Return On Equity (-0.08%) than 62.28% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.07%
ROE -0.08%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-0.15%
ROA(5y)8.06%
ROE(3y)-0.17%
ROE(5y)17.74%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AZPN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAZPN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 66.07%, AZPN is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.40% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AZPN has declined.
  • AZPN does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 66.07%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.29%
GM growth 5Y-6.06%
AZPN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAZPN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

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9

2. AZPN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AZPN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AZPN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AZPN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • There is no outstanding debt for AZPN. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AZPN Yearly Shares OutstandingAZPN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
AZPN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAZPN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 8.76 indicates that AZPN is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of AZPN (8.76) is better than 82.21% of its industry peers.
  • AZPN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 8.76
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.78%
AZPN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAZPN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.33 indicates that AZPN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • AZPN has a better Current ratio (3.33) than 76.87% of its industry peers.
  • AZPN has a Quick Ratio of 3.33. This indicates that AZPN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AZPN has a Quick ratio of 3.33. This is in the better half of the industry: AZPN outperforms 76.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.33
Quick Ratio 3.33
AZPN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAZPN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. AZPN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 22.03% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, AZPN shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.94% on average per year.
  • AZPN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.98%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 13.57% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.03%
EPS 3Y8.27%
EPS 5Y9.94%
EPS Q2Q%50.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.98%
Revenue growth 3Y16.7%
Revenue growth 5Y13.57%
Sales Q2Q%18.04%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AZPN will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.03% on average per year.
  • AZPN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.75% yearly.
EPS Next Y17.25%
EPS Next 2Y11.33%
EPS Next 3Y10.88%
EPS Next 5Y7.03%
Revenue Next Year7.88%
Revenue Next 2Y7.71%
Revenue Next 3Y7.91%
Revenue Next 5Y8.75%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AZPN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAZPN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
AZPN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAZPN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6 8 10

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. AZPN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 37.87 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AZPN.
  • 61.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AZPN, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • AZPN is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.31, AZPN can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • 64.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AZPN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • AZPN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.87
Fwd PE 32.31
AZPN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAZPN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AZPN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AZPN is cheaper than 68.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AZPN's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 54.42
EV/EBITDA 40.9
AZPN Per share dataAZPN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AZPN does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.2
PEG (5Y)3.81
EPS Next 2Y11.33%
EPS Next 3Y10.88%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. AZPN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AZPN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

AZPN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ASPEN TECHNOLOGY INC

NASDAQ:AZPN (3/11/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 264.6 +0.27 (+0.1%)

264.33

+0.03 (+0.01%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners46.66%
Inst Owner Change-100%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap16.73B
Revenue(TTM)1.13B
Net Income(TTM)-9.77M
Analysts73.75
Price Target272.83 (3.22%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-19.3%
Min EPS beat(2)-46.89%
Max EPS beat(2)8.29%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-46.89%
Max EPS beat(4)14.53%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-11%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-6.65%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.89%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.99%
Min Revenue beat(2)-20.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.94%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-20.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.27%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.74%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-13.98%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-17.24%
PT rev (1m)3.03%
PT rev (3m)9.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.73%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.87
Fwd PE 32.31
P/S 14.84
P/FCF 54.42
P/OCF 51.21
P/B 1.31
P/tB 36.33
EV/EBITDA 40.9
EPS(TTM)6.98
EY2.64%
EPS(NY)8.18
Fwd EY3.09%
FCF(TTM)4.86
FCFY1.84%
OCF(TTM)5.16
OCFY1.95%
SpS17.81
BVpS201.82
TBVpS7.28
PEG (NY)2.2
PEG (5Y)3.81
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.07%
ROE -0.08%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 66.07%
FCFM 27.27%
ROA(3y)-0.15%
ROA(5y)8.06%
ROE(3y)-0.17%
ROE(5y)17.74%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.29%
GM growth 5Y-6.06%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 3.91%
Cap/Sales 1.71%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 80.75%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.33
Quick Ratio 3.33
Altman-Z 8.76
F-Score8
WACC10.78%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)2.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)9.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)1%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.03%
EPS 3Y8.27%
EPS 5Y9.94%
EPS Q2Q%50.36%
EPS Next Y17.25%
EPS Next 2Y11.33%
EPS Next 3Y10.88%
EPS Next 5Y7.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.98%
Revenue growth 3Y16.7%
Revenue growth 5Y13.57%
Sales Q2Q%18.04%
Revenue Next Year7.88%
Revenue Next 2Y7.71%
Revenue Next 3Y7.91%
Revenue Next 5Y8.75%
EBIT growth 1Y51.1%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year21.32%
EBIT Next 3Y18.97%
EBIT Next 5Y7.32%
FCF growth 1Y194.26%
FCF growth 3Y5.65%
FCF growth 5Y6.4%
OCF growth 1Y203.73%
OCF growth 3Y7.17%
OCF growth 5Y7.36%

ASPEN TECHNOLOGY INC / AZPN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AZPN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AZPN.


What is the valuation status of ASPEN TECHNOLOGY INC (AZPN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to ASPEN TECHNOLOGY INC (AZPN). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AZPN stock?

ASPEN TECHNOLOGY INC (AZPN) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for AZPN stock?

The financial health rating of ASPEN TECHNOLOGY INC (AZPN) is 9 / 10.