AUTOZONE INC (AZO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:AZO • US0533321024
Current stock price
3430.45 USD
-117.74 (-3.32%)
At close:
3430.45 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This AZO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AZO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- AZO had positive earnings in the past year.
- AZO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years AZO has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years AZO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of AZO (12.53%) is better than 89.52% of its industry peers.
- AZO has a better Return On Invested Capital (28.76%) than 96.77% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AZO is significantly above the industry average of 13.35%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (34.01%) for AZO is well above the current ROIC(28.76%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.53% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 28.76% |
ROA(3y)14.74%
ROA(5y)15.02%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)34.01%
ROIC(5y)34.88%
1.3 Margins
- AZO has a Profit Margin of 12.78%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AZO outperforms 94.35% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AZO has remained more or less at the same level.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 18.42%, AZO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.97% of the companies in the same industry.
- AZO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- AZO's Gross Margin of 52.15% is amongst the best of the industry. AZO outperforms 81.45% of its industry peers.
- AZO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.42% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.78% | ||
| GM | 52.15% |
OM growth 3Y-1.79%
OM growth 5Y-0.76%
PM growth 3Y-4.08%
PM growth 5Y-0.78%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.37%
2. AZO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AZO is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AZO has less shares outstanding
- AZO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AZO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.78 indicates that AZO is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- AZO has a Altman-Z score of 2.78. This is in the better half of the industry: AZO outperforms 63.71% of its industry peers.
- AZO has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.65. This is a neutral value as AZO would need 4.65 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.65, AZO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.94% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.65 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.78 |
ROIC/WACC3.51
WACC8.19%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.86 indicates that AZO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- AZO has a Current ratio of 0.86. This is in the lower half of the industry: AZO underperforms 79.84% of its industry peers.
- AZO has a Quick Ratio of 0.86. This is a bad value and indicates that AZO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.13, AZO is doing worse than 91.94% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.13 |
3. AZO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- AZO shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -4.25%.
- AZO shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.01% yearly.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.02% in the past year.
- AZO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.44% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.25%
EPS 3Y7.22%
EPS 5Y15.01%
EPS Q2Q%-2.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.23%
Revenue growth 5Y8.44%
Sales Q2Q%8.15%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, AZO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.89% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.30% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.21%
EPS Next 2Y10.37%
EPS Next 3Y10.92%
EPS Next 5Y11.89%
Revenue Next Year8.27%
Revenue Next 2Y7.99%
Revenue Next 3Y7.81%
Revenue Next 5Y7.3%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. AZO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 24.03, the valuation of AZO can be described as rather expensive.
- 62.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AZO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AZO to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.78), we can say AZO is valued inline with the index average.
- AZO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.44.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AZO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AZO is cheaper than 62.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- AZO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.54.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.44 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- AZO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- AZO's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AZO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- The excellent profitability rating of AZO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)7.48
PEG (5Y)1.6
EPS Next 2Y10.37%
EPS Next 3Y10.92%
5. AZO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- AZO does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
AZO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
3430.45
-117.74 (-3.32%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-03 2026-03-03/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-25 2026-05-25
Inst Owners94.16%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner Change0.39%
Market Cap56.67B
Revenue(TTM)19.61B
Net Income(TTM)2.46B
Analysts81.25
Price Target4310.9 (25.67%)
Short Float %1.98%
Short Ratio2.14
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.26%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.46%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.06%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.67%
Max EPS beat(4)-3.76%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.33%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.38%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)3.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.02%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.49%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.66%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.34%
PT rev (1m)-0.45%
PT rev (3m)-3.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.13%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.44 | ||
| P/S | 2.94 | ||
| P/FCF | 30.55 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.44 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.01 |
EPS(TTM)142.74
EY4.16%
EPS(NY)176.49
Fwd EY5.14%
FCF(TTM)112.31
FCFY3.27%
OCF(TTM)196.71
OCFY5.73%
SpS1167.54
BVpS-195.44
TBVpS-213.76
PEG (NY)7.48
PEG (5Y)1.6
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.53% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 36.07% | ||
| ROIC | 28.76% | ||
| ROICexc | 29.63% | ||
| ROICexgc | 30.59% | ||
| OM | 18.42% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.78% | ||
| GM | 52.15% | ||
| FCFM | 9.62% |
ROA(3y)14.74%
ROA(5y)15.02%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)34.01%
ROIC(5y)34.88%
ROICexc(3y)35.2%
ROICexc(5y)37.22%
ROICexgc(3y)36.57%
ROICexgc(5y)38.86%
ROCE(3y)42.65%
ROCE(5y)43.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.5%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.73%
OM growth 3Y-1.79%
OM growth 5Y-0.76%
PM growth 3Y-4.08%
PM growth 5Y-0.78%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.37%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.65 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.06 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 221.96% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.23% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 75.29% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.13 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.78 |
F-Score6
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC3.51
Cap/Depr(3y)190.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)175.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.15%
Profit Quality(3y)76.33%
Profit Quality(5y)93.39%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.25%
EPS 3Y7.22%
EPS 5Y15.01%
EPS Q2Q%-2.33%
EPS Next Y3.21%
EPS Next 2Y10.37%
EPS Next 3Y10.92%
EPS Next 5Y11.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.23%
Revenue growth 5Y8.44%
Sales Q2Q%8.15%
Revenue Next Year8.27%
Revenue Next 2Y7.99%
Revenue Next 3Y7.81%
Revenue Next 5Y7.3%
EBIT growth 1Y-6.03%
EBIT growth 3Y3.35%
EBIT growth 5Y7.61%
EBIT Next Year18.47%
EBIT Next 3Y12.37%
EBIT Next 5Y9.76%
FCF growth 1Y-9.93%
FCF growth 3Y-10.99%
FCF growth 5Y-4.58%
OCF growth 1Y9.14%
OCF growth 3Y-0.98%
OCF growth 5Y2.76%
AUTOZONE INC / AZO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AZO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AZO.
Can you provide the valuation status for AUTOZONE INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AUTOZONE INC (AZO). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is AUTOZONE INC (AZO) stock?
AUTOZONE INC (AZO) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for AUTOZONE INC (AZO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AUTOZONE INC (AZO) is expected to grow by 3.21% in the next year.