AYA GOLD & SILVER INC(TSX:AYA) stock Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Rating

AYA gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 820 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of AYA get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. AYA shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AYA was profitable.

In the past year AYA has reported a negative cash flow from operations.

The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AYA reported negative net income in multiple years.

Each year in the past 5 years AYA had a positive operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.80%, AYA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.84% of the companies in the same industry.

AYA's Return On Equity of 2.78% is amongst the best of the industry. AYA outperforms 88.11% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	1.8%
ROE	2.78%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)N/A

ROA(5y)N/A

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 19.17%, AYA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.68% of the companies in the same industry.

AYA's Gross Margin of 29.18% is amongst the best of the industry. AYA outperforms 90.95% of its industry peers.

In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AYA has grown nicely.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	19.17%
GM	29.18%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y8.06%

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AYA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

There is no outstanding debt for AYA. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.44 indicates that AYA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.

AYA has a better Altman-Z score (4.44) than 64.59% of its industry peers.

AYA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.

AYA has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.35) than 76.89% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.35
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	4.44

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC9.37%

2.3 Liquidity

AYA has a Current Ratio of 2.06. This indicates that AYA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.

With a Current ratio value of 2.06, AYA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.03% of the companies in the same industry.

AYA has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that AYA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

AYA's Quick ratio of 1.53 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AYA outperforms 48.24% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	2.06
Quick Ratio	1.53

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

AYA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 130.77%, which is quite impressive.

The Revenue has decreased by -9.41% in the past year.

The Revenue has been growing by 45.82% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!

EPS 1Y (TTM)130.77%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%-100%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.41%

Revenue growth 3Y45.82%

Revenue growth 5YN/A

Sales Q2Q%-5.89%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AYA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 79.40% on average per year.

AYA is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 55.85% yearly.

EPS Next Y-88.38%

EPS Next 2Y157.45%

EPS Next 3Y131.18%

EPS Next 5Y79.4%

Revenue Next Year9.7%

Revenue Next 2Y104.31%

Revenue Next 3Y74.28%

Revenue Next 5Y55.85%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 134.89, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AYA.

AYA's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AYA is cheaper than 85.54% of the companies in the same industry.

When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AYA to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.63), we can say AYA is valued expensively.

Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.81, the valuation of AYA can be described as expensive.

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AYA indicates a rather cheap valuation: AYA is cheaper than 87.57% of the companies listed in the same industry.

AYA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.68.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	134.89
Fwd PE	25.81

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as AYA's earnings are expected to grow with 131.18% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y157.45%

EPS Next 3Y131.18%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AYA does not give a dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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AYA GOLD & SILVER INC

TSX:AYA (2/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

12.14

-0.42 (-3.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorMaterials

GICS IndustryGroupMaterials

GICS IndustryMetals & Mining

Earnings (Last)11-14 2024-11-14/bmo

Earnings (Next)03-28 2025-03-28/amc

Inst Owners43.51%

Inst Owner ChangeN/A

Ins Owners10.17%

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap1.59B

Analysts78.33

Price Target21.01 (73.06%)

Short Float %N/A

Short RatioN/A

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Yearly DividendN/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DPN/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)1

Avg EPS beat(2)643.32%

Min EPS beat(2)-100%

Max EPS beat(2)1386.64%

EPS beat(4)2

Avg EPS beat(4)745.55%

Min EPS beat(4)-100%

Max EPS beat(4)1705.57%

EPS beat(8)5

Avg EPS beat(8)439.54%

EPS beat(12)7

Avg EPS beat(12)290%

EPS beat(16)8

Avg EPS beat(16)220.03%

Revenue beat(2)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A

Min Revenue beat(2)N/A

Max Revenue beat(2)N/A

Revenue beat(4)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A

Min Revenue beat(4)N/A

Max Revenue beat(4)N/A

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)-6.5%

PT rev (3m)-6.15%

EPS NQ rev (1m)-66.05%

EPS NQ rev (3m)-77.37%

EPS NY rev (1m)-78.03%

EPS NY rev (3m)-92.45%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%

Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.28%

Revenue NY rev (3m)-33.34%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	134.89
Fwd PE	25.81
P/S	27.38
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	3.97
P/tB	3.97
EV/EBITDA	N/A

EPS(TTM)0.09

EY0.74%

EPS(NY)0.47

Fwd EY3.88%

FCF(TTM)-1.21

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.06

OCFYN/A

SpS0.44

BVpS3.06

TBVpS3.06

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	1.8%
ROE	2.78%
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	19.17%
GM	29.18%
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)N/A

ROA(5y)N/A

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)N/A

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y8.06%

GM growth 5YN/A

F-Score3

Asset Turnover0.09

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.35
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	N/A
Cap/Depr	6849.48%
Cap/Sales	260.24%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	2.06
Quick Ratio	1.53
Altman-Z	4.44

F-Score3

WACC9.37%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)1287.85%

Cap/Depr(5y)884.99%

Cap/Sales(3y)156.6%

Cap/Sales(5y)119.83%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)130.77%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%-100%

EPS Next Y-88.38%

EPS Next 2Y157.45%

EPS Next 3Y131.18%

EPS Next 5Y79.4%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.41%

Revenue growth 3Y45.82%

Revenue growth 5YN/A

Sales Q2Q%-5.89%

Revenue Next Year9.7%

Revenue Next 2Y104.31%

Revenue Next 3Y74.28%

Revenue Next 5Y55.85%

EBIT growth 1Y-144.79%

EBIT growth 3YN/A

EBIT growth 5YN/A

EBIT Next Year320.73%

EBIT Next 3Y212.27%

EBIT Next 5Y116.43%

FCF growth 1Y-325.95%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y-168.84%

OCF growth 3Y154.86%

OCF growth 5YN/A

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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