AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:AXL • US0240611030

7.98 USD
+0.01 (+0.13%)
At close: Feb 2, 2026
7.98 USD
0 (0%)
Pre-Market: 2/3/2026, 8:10:22 AM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AXL. AXL was compared to 42 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AXL while its profitability can be described as average. AXL has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AXL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AXL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years AXL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • AXL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AXL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAXL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.75%, AXL is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 5.58%, AXL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AXL's Return On Invested Capital of 4.97% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AXL outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AXL is below the industry average of 9.05%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (4.62%) for AXL is below the current ROIC(4.97%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.75%
ROE 5.58%
ROIC 4.97%
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
AXL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAXL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • AXL's Profit Margin of 0.69% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AXL outperforms 52.38% of its industry peers.
  • AXL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • AXL has a Operating Margin of 4.39%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AXL outperforms 54.76% of its industry peers.
  • AXL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 12.31%, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 73.81% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AXL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.39%
PM (TTM) 0.69%
GM 12.31%
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
AXL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAXL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AXL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AXL has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AXL has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for AXL has remained at the same level compared to a year ago.
AXL Yearly Shares OutstandingAXL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AXL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAXL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.54, we must say that AXL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.54, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AXL is 16.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take AXL, 16.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 16.22, AXL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.61 is on the high side and indicates that AXL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AXL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.61. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AXL underperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.61
Debt/FCF 16.22
Altman-Z 1.54
ROIC/WACC0.63
WACC7.93%
AXL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAXL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AXL has a Current Ratio of 1.77. This is a normal value and indicates that AXL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AXL (1.77) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that AXL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AXL's Quick ratio of 1.43 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AXL outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.43
AXL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAXL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • AXL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -16.67%.
  • The earnings per share for AXL have been decreasing by -20.64% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, AXL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -6.02% in the last year.
  • AXL shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 30.48% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AXL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.46% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y12.08%
EPS Next 3Y22.31%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue Next Year-4.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.46%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AXL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAXL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B
AXL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAXL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2 3

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AXL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.95.
  • AXL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AXL to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.41), we can say AXL is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.46 indicates a correct valuation of AXL.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AXL.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AXL to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.64), we can say AXL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.95
Fwd PE 12.46
AXL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAXL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AXL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AXL is valued cheaper than 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.87
EV/EBITDA 3.99
AXL Per share dataAXL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AXL's earnings are expected to grow with 22.31% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.08%
EPS Next 3Y22.31%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AXL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS

NYSE:AXL (2/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 7.98 0 (0%)

7.98

+0.01 (+0.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)11-07
Earnings (Next)02-13
Inst Owners140.17%
Inst Owner Change0.31%
Ins Owners3.57%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap947.23M
Revenue(TTM)5.83B
Net Income(TTM)40.10M
Analysts70
Price Target7.61 (-4.64%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)23.15%
Min EPS beat(2)14.91%
Max EPS beat(2)31.39%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)77.08%
Min EPS beat(4)14.91%
Max EPS beat(4)227.01%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)213.37%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)17.6%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)36.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.68%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.37%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.28%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.36%
PT rev (1m)0.97%
PT rev (3m)9.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-245.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.88%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.95
Fwd PE 12.46
P/S 0.16
P/FCF 5.87
P/OCF 2.14
P/B 1.32
P/tB 6.38
EV/EBITDA 3.99
EPS(TTM)0.4
EY5.01%
EPS(NY)0.64
Fwd EY8.03%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY17.03%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY46.69%
SpS49.15
BVpS6.05
TBVpS1.25
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.38
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.75%
ROE 5.58%
ROCE 6.29%
ROIC 4.97%
ROICexc 6.02%
ROICexgc 7.26%
OM 4.39%
PM (TTM) 0.69%
GM 12.31%
FCFM 2.77%
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
ROICexc(3y)5.31%
ROICexc(5y)4.98%
ROICexgc(3y)6.63%
ROICexgc(5y)6.27%
ROCE(3y)5.85%
ROCE(5y)5.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.31%
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.61
Debt/FCF 16.22
Debt/EBITDA 3.64
Cap/Depr 61.43%
Cap/Sales 4.82%
Interest Coverage 1.56
Cash Conversion 61.98%
Profit Quality 402.24%
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.43
Altman-Z 1.54
F-Score8
WACC7.93%
ROIC/WACC0.63
Cap/Depr(3y)43.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y12.08%
EPS Next 3Y22.31%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
Revenue Next Year-4.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.46%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.31%
EBIT Next Year186.84%
EBIT Next 3Y44.38%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y-45.43%
FCF growth 3Y-16.99%
FCF growth 5Y10.25%
OCF growth 1Y-10.05%
OCF growth 3Y-5.43%
OCF growth 5Y-4.04%

AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS / AXL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AXL.


What is the valuation status for AXL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AXL stock?

AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 19.95 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.32.


How financially healthy is AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?

The financial health rating of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 2 / 10.