AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:AXL • US0240611030
8.22 USD
+0.24 (+3.01%)
At close: Feb 3, 2026
8.22 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/3/2026, 7:01:28 PM
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AXL. AXL was compared to 42 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. AXL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AXL has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AXL was profitable.
- AXL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AXL reported negative net income in multiple years.
- AXL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- AXL has a Return On Assets (0.75%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AXL's Return On Equity of 5.58% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AXL outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of AXL (4.97%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AXL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.62%. This is below the industry average of 9.05%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (4.62%) for AXL is below the current ROIC(4.97%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.75% | ||
| ROE | 5.58% | ||
| ROIC | 4.97% |
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
1.3 Margins
- AXL has a Profit Margin (0.69%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AXL has grown nicely.
- With a Operating Margin value of 4.39%, AXL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AXL has declined.
- AXL's Gross Margin of 12.31% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AXL is outperformed by 73.81% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AXL has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.69% | ||
| GM | 12.31% |
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AXL is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for AXL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, AXL has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, AXL has about the same debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.54, we must say that AXL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 1.54, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- AXL has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AXL would need 16.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- AXL has a Debt to FCF ratio (16.22) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.61 is on the high side and indicates that AXL has dependencies on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.61, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 85.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC7.99%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.77 indicates that AXL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of AXL (1.77) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that AXL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- AXL has a Quick ratio of 1.43. This is in the better half of the industry: AXL outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AXL have decreased strongly by -16.67% in the last year.
- AXL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -20.64% yearly.
- AXL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.02%.
- The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.28% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
3.2 Future
- AXL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 30.48% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, AXL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.46% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y12.08%
EPS Next 3Y22.31%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue Next Year-4.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.46%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.55, AXL is valued on the expensive side.
- AXL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.18, AXL is valued a bit cheaper.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.83, which indicates a correct valuation of AXL.
- AXL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- AXL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.55 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.83 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AXL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AXL is cheaper than 92.86% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- AXL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AXL is cheaper than 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.99 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as AXL's earnings are expected to grow with 22.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.08%
EPS Next 3Y22.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- AXL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
8.22
+0.24 (+3.01%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)11-07 2025-11-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-13 2026-02-13/amc
Inst Owners140.17%
Inst Owner Change0.31%
Ins Owners3.57%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap975.71M
Revenue(TTM)5.83B
Net Income(TTM)40.10M
Analysts70
Price Target7.61 (-7.42%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)23.15%
Min EPS beat(2)14.91%
Max EPS beat(2)31.39%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)77.08%
Min EPS beat(4)14.91%
Max EPS beat(4)227.01%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)213.37%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)17.6%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)36.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.68%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.37%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.28%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.36%
PT rev (1m)0.97%
PT rev (3m)9.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-245.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.88%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.55 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.83 | ||
| P/S | 0.17 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.05 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.21 | ||
| P/B | 1.36 | ||
| P/tB | 6.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.99 |
EPS(TTM)0.4
EY4.87%
EPS(NY)0.64
Fwd EY7.79%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY16.53%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY45.33%
SpS49.15
BVpS6.05
TBVpS1.25
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.38
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.75% | ||
| ROE | 5.58% | ||
| ROCE | 6.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.97% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.02% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.26% | ||
| OM | 4.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.69% | ||
| GM | 12.31% | ||
| FCFM | 2.77% |
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
ROICexc(3y)5.31%
ROICexc(5y)4.98%
ROICexgc(3y)6.63%
ROICexgc(5y)6.27%
ROCE(3y)5.85%
ROCE(5y)5.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.31%
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.43% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.56 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 61.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 402.24% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.54 |
F-Score8
WACC7.99%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)43.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y12.08%
EPS Next 3Y22.31%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
Revenue Next Year-4.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.46%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.31%
EBIT Next Year186.84%
EBIT Next 3Y44.38%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y-45.43%
FCF growth 3Y-16.99%
FCF growth 5Y10.25%
OCF growth 1Y-10.05%
OCF growth 3Y-5.43%
OCF growth 5Y-4.04%
AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS / AXL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AXL.
What is the valuation status for AXL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AXL stock?
AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 20.55 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.36.
How financially healthy is AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?
The financial health rating of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 2 / 10.