AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:AXL • US0240611030

8.22 USD
+0.24 (+3.01%)
At close: Feb 3, 2026
8.38 USD
+0.16 (+1.95%)
After Hours: 2/3/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, AXL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AXL was compared to 42 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. AXL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AXL is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AXL was profitable.
  • AXL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years AXL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • AXL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AXL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAXL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • AXL has a Return On Assets (0.75%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of AXL (5.58%) is better than 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AXL (4.97%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AXL is below the industry average of 9.05%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (4.62%) for AXL is below the current ROIC(4.97%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.75%
ROE 5.58%
ROIC 4.97%
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
AXL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAXL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of AXL (0.69%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AXL has grown nicely.
  • AXL has a Operating Margin of 4.39%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AXL outperforms 54.76% of its industry peers.
  • AXL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 12.31%, AXL is doing worse than 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AXL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.39%
PM (TTM) 0.69%
GM 12.31%
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
AXL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAXL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AXL is destroying value.
  • AXL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • AXL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AXL has remained at the same level compared to a year ago.
AXL Yearly Shares OutstandingAXL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AXL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAXL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.55, we must say that AXL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.55, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AXL is 16.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take AXL, 16.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • AXL has a Debt to FCF ratio (16.22) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.61 is on the high side and indicates that AXL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AXL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.61. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AXL underperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.61
Debt/FCF 16.22
Altman-Z 1.55
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC7.99%
AXL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAXL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AXL has a Current Ratio of 1.77. This is a normal value and indicates that AXL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.77, AXL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that AXL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AXL has a Quick ratio of 1.43. This is in the better half of the industry: AXL outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.43
AXL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAXL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AXL have decreased strongly by -16.67% in the last year.
  • AXL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -20.64% yearly.
  • AXL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.02%.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.28% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%

3.2 Future

  • AXL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 30.48% yearly.
  • AXL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.46% yearly.
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y12.08%
EPS Next 3Y22.31%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue Next Year-4.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.46%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AXL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAXL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B
AXL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAXL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2 3

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.55, AXL is valued on the expensive side.
  • AXL's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.18, AXL is valued a bit cheaper.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.83, the valuation of AXL can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AXL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • AXL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.51.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.55
Fwd PE 12.83
AXL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAXL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AXL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AXL is cheaper than 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AXL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AXL is cheaper than 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.05
EV/EBITDA 4.03
AXL Per share dataAXL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AXL's earnings are expected to grow with 22.31% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.08%
EPS Next 3Y22.31%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AXL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS

NYSE:AXL (2/3/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 8.38 +0.16 (+1.95%)

8.22

+0.24 (+3.01%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)11-07
Earnings (Next)02-13
Inst Owners140.17%
Inst Owner Change0.31%
Ins Owners3.57%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap975.71M
Revenue(TTM)5.83B
Net Income(TTM)40.10M
Analysts70
Price Target7.61 (-7.42%)
Short Float %24.05%
Short Ratio6.86
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)23.15%
Min EPS beat(2)14.91%
Max EPS beat(2)31.39%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)77.08%
Min EPS beat(4)14.91%
Max EPS beat(4)227.01%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)213.37%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)17.6%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)36.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.68%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.37%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.28%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.36%
PT rev (1m)0.97%
PT rev (3m)9.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-245.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.88%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.55
Fwd PE 12.83
P/S 0.17
P/FCF 6.05
P/OCF 2.21
P/B 1.36
P/tB 6.57
EV/EBITDA 4.03
EPS(TTM)0.4
EY4.87%
EPS(NY)0.64
Fwd EY7.79%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY16.53%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY45.33%
SpS49.15
BVpS6.05
TBVpS1.25
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.38
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.75%
ROE 5.58%
ROCE 6.29%
ROIC 4.97%
ROICexc 6.02%
ROICexgc 7.26%
OM 4.39%
PM (TTM) 0.69%
GM 12.31%
FCFM 2.77%
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
ROICexc(3y)5.31%
ROICexc(5y)4.98%
ROICexgc(3y)6.63%
ROICexgc(5y)6.27%
ROCE(3y)5.85%
ROCE(5y)5.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.31%
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.61
Debt/FCF 16.22
Debt/EBITDA 3.64
Cap/Depr 61.43%
Cap/Sales 4.82%
Interest Coverage 1.56
Cash Conversion 61.98%
Profit Quality 402.24%
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.43
Altman-Z 1.55
F-Score8
WACC7.99%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)43.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y12.08%
EPS Next 3Y22.31%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
Revenue Next Year-4.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.46%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.31%
EBIT Next Year186.84%
EBIT Next 3Y44.38%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y-45.43%
FCF growth 3Y-16.99%
FCF growth 5Y10.25%
OCF growth 1Y-10.05%
OCF growth 3Y-5.43%
OCF growth 5Y-4.04%

AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS / AXL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AXL.


What is the valuation status for AXL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AXL stock?

AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 20.55 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.36.


How financially healthy is AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?

The financial health rating of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 2 / 10.