AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AXL - US0240611030 - Common Stock
6.175 USD
-0.06 (-0.88%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AXL. AXL was compared to 82 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. AXL has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AXL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AXL had positive earnings in the past year.
AXL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AXL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AXL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
AXL has a Return On Assets of 0.78%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AXL underperforms 73.17% of its industry peers.
AXL has a worse Return On Equity (6.08%) than 60.98% of its industry peers.
AXL has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.73%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AXL underperforms 73.17% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AXL is below the industry average of 8.52%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.62%) for AXL is below the current ROIC(4.73%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.78% | ||
| ROE | 6.08% | ||
| ROIC | 4.73% |
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
1.3 Margins
AXL has a worse Profit Margin (0.70%) than 70.73% of its industry peers.
AXL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 4.15%, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 71.95% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AXL has declined.
AXL's Gross Margin of 12.00% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AXL is outperformed by 86.59% of its industry peers.
AXL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.7% | ||
| GM | 12% |
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AXL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AXL has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AXL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AXL has about the same debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AXL has an Altman-Z score of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that AXL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AXL (1.52) is worse than 79.27% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AXL is 16.82, which is on the high side as it means it would take AXL, 16.82 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 16.82, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 73.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.86 is on the high side and indicates that AXL has dependencies on debt financing.
AXL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.86. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AXL underperforms 91.46% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.86 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
ROIC/WACC0.64
WACC7.42%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.77 indicates that AXL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AXL has a worse Current ratio (1.77) than 76.83% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.40 indicates that AXL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 1.40, AXL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AXL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -16.67%.
AXL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -20.64% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AXL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.75% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.28% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.75%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AXL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 30.48% on average per year.
AXL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y-7.74%
EPS Next 2Y14.97%
EPS Next 3Y28.52%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue Next Year-4.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.42%
Revenue Next 5Y0.85%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.44, AXL is valued correctly.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AXL.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.91. AXL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
AXL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.16.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AXL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AXL is cheaper than 70.73% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AXL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.44 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.16 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AXL is valued a bit cheaper than 79.27% of the companies in the same industry.
AXL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AXL is cheaper than 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.7 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AXL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.52% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.97%
EPS Next 3Y28.52%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for AXL!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
NYSE:AXL (11/14/2025, 11:51:12 AM)
6.175
-0.06 (-0.88%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners123.58%
Inst Owner Change-1.95%
Ins Owners3.57%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap732.73M
Revenue(TTM)6.12B
Net Income(TTM)40.90M
Analysts69.23
Price Target6.97 (12.87%)
Short Float %24.29%
Short Ratio7.82
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)129.2%
Min EPS beat(2)31.39%
Max EPS beat(2)227.01%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)199.39%
Min EPS beat(4)31.39%
Max EPS beat(4)504.12%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)116.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)17.37%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)200.14%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.24%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.34%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.16%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.59%
PT rev (1m)6.73%
PT rev (3m)19.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)45.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.84%
EPS NY rev (3m)35.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.59%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.54%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.44 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.16 | ||
| P/S | 0.13 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.7 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.66 | ||
| P/B | 1.09 | ||
| P/tB | 8.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.96 |
EPS(TTM)0.4
EY6.48%
EPS(NY)0.67
Fwd EY10.92%
FCF(TTM)1.31
FCFY21.28%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY60.4%
SpS49.16
BVpS5.67
TBVpS0.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.78% | ||
| ROE | 6.08% | ||
| ROCE | 5.99% | ||
| ROIC | 4.73% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.53% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.67% | ||
| OM | 4.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.7% | ||
| GM | 12% | ||
| FCFM | 2.67% |
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
ROICexc(3y)5.31%
ROICexc(5y)4.98%
ROICexgc(3y)6.63%
ROICexgc(5y)6.27%
ROCE(3y)5.85%
ROCE(5y)5.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.31%
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.86 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.82 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.71 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 62.6% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.45 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.2% | ||
| Profit Quality | 381.17% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
F-Score8
WACC7.42%
ROIC/WACC0.64
Cap/Depr(3y)43.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
EPS Next Y-7.74%
EPS Next 2Y14.97%
EPS Next 3Y28.52%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.75%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
Revenue Next Year-4.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.42%
Revenue Next 5Y0.85%
EBIT growth 1Y2.58%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.31%
EBIT Next Year179.35%
EBIT Next 3Y52.39%
EBIT Next 5Y26.07%
FCF growth 1Y-23.47%
FCF growth 3Y-16.99%
FCF growth 5Y10.25%
OCF growth 1Y11.04%
OCF growth 3Y-5.43%
OCF growth 5Y-4.04%
AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS / AXL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AXL.
What is the valuation status of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) stock?
AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for AXL stock?
The financial health rating of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 2 / 10.