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AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:AXL - US0240611030 - Common Stock

6.135 USD
+0.04 (+0.74%)
Last: 11/18/2025, 1:53:06 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, AXL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AXL was compared to 82 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. AXL has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AXL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AXL was profitable.
In the past year AXL had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AXL reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years AXL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AXL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAXL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 0.78%, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 73.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AXL's Return On Equity of 6.08% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AXL is outperformed by 60.98% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of AXL (4.73%) is worse than 73.17% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AXL is below the industry average of 8.55%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.62%) for AXL is below the current ROIC(4.73%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.78%
ROE 6.08%
ROIC 4.73%
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
AXL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAXL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 0.70%, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 70.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AXL has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of AXL (4.15%) is worse than 71.95% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AXL has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 12.00%, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 86.59% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AXL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.15%
PM (TTM) 0.7%
GM 12%
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
AXL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAXL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AXL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AXL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AXL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, AXL has about the same debt to assets ratio.
AXL Yearly Shares OutstandingAXL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AXL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAXL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

AXL has an Altman-Z score of 1.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AXL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AXL (1.51) is worse than 80.49% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AXL is 16.82, which is on the high side as it means it would take AXL, 16.82 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 16.82, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 73.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.86 is on the high side and indicates that AXL has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.86, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 91.46% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.86
Debt/FCF 16.82
Altman-Z 1.51
ROIC/WACC0.64
WACC7.39%
AXL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAXL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

AXL has a Current Ratio of 1.77. This is a normal value and indicates that AXL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AXL has a worse Current ratio (1.77) than 76.83% of its industry peers.
AXL has a Quick Ratio of 1.40. This is a normal value and indicates that AXL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AXL has a better Quick ratio (1.40) than 81.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.4
AXL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAXL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AXL have decreased strongly by -16.67% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AXL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -20.64% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.75% in the past year.
AXL shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.75%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AXL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 30.48% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AXL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-7.74%
EPS Next 2Y14.97%
EPS Next 3Y28.52%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue Next Year-4.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.42%
Revenue Next 5Y0.85%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AXL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAXL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B
AXL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAXL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2 3

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 15.34, which indicates a correct valuation of AXL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AXL is on the same level as its industry peers.
AXL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.56, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.10, the valuation of AXL can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AXL is valued a bit cheaper than 69.51% of the companies in the same industry.
AXL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.62.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.34
Fwd PE 9.1
AXL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAXL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AXL is valued a bit cheaper than 79.27% of the companies in the same industry.
AXL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AXL is cheaper than 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.67
EV/EBITDA 3.94
AXL Per share dataAXL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as AXL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.52% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.97%
EPS Next 3Y28.52%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AXL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS

NYSE:AXL (11/18/2025, 1:53:06 PM)

6.135

+0.04 (+0.74%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)11-07 2025-11-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Inst Owners123.58%
Inst Owner Change12.3%
Ins Owners3.57%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap727.98M
Revenue(TTM)6.12B
Net Income(TTM)40.90M
Analysts69.23
Price Target6.97 (13.61%)
Short Float %23.9%
Short Ratio7.9
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)129.2%
Min EPS beat(2)31.39%
Max EPS beat(2)227.01%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)199.39%
Min EPS beat(4)31.39%
Max EPS beat(4)504.12%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)116.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)17.37%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)200.14%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.24%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.34%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.16%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.59%
PT rev (1m)6.73%
PT rev (3m)19.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)26.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.84%
EPS NY rev (3m)35.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.59%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.54%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.34
Fwd PE 9.1
P/S 0.12
P/FCF 4.67
P/OCF 1.64
P/B 1.08
P/tB 8.85
EV/EBITDA 3.94
EPS(TTM)0.4
EY6.52%
EPS(NY)0.67
Fwd EY10.99%
FCF(TTM)1.31
FCFY21.42%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY60.8%
SpS49.16
BVpS5.67
TBVpS0.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.78%
ROE 6.08%
ROCE 5.99%
ROIC 4.73%
ROICexc 5.53%
ROICexgc 6.67%
OM 4.15%
PM (TTM) 0.7%
GM 12%
FCFM 2.67%
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
ROICexc(3y)5.31%
ROICexc(5y)4.98%
ROICexgc(3y)6.63%
ROICexgc(5y)6.27%
ROCE(3y)5.85%
ROCE(5y)5.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.31%
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.86
Debt/FCF 16.82
Debt/EBITDA 3.71
Cap/Depr 62.6%
Cap/Sales 4.91%
Interest Coverage 1.45
Cash Conversion 63.2%
Profit Quality 381.17%
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.4
Altman-Z 1.51
F-Score8
WACC7.39%
ROIC/WACC0.64
Cap/Depr(3y)43.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
EPS Next Y-7.74%
EPS Next 2Y14.97%
EPS Next 3Y28.52%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.75%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
Revenue Next Year-4.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.42%
Revenue Next 5Y0.85%
EBIT growth 1Y2.58%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.31%
EBIT Next Year179.35%
EBIT Next 3Y52.39%
EBIT Next 5Y26.07%
FCF growth 1Y-23.47%
FCF growth 3Y-16.99%
FCF growth 5Y10.25%
OCF growth 1Y11.04%
OCF growth 3Y-5.43%
OCF growth 5Y-4.04%

AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS / AXL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AXL.


What is the valuation status of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) stock?

AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for AXL stock?

The financial health rating of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 2 / 10.