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AXA SA (AXA.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:AXA - Deutsche Boerse Ag - FR0000120628 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

37.04  +0.69 (+1.9%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, AXA scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AXA was compared to 32 industry peers in the Insurance industry. AXA has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. AXA has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AXA had positive earnings in the past year.
AXA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AXA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AXA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AXA.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAXA.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 1.12%, AXA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
AXA has a Return On Equity of 15.16%. This is in the better half of the industry: AXA outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 1.32%, AXA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AXA is in line with the industry average of 2.08%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.23%) for AXA is below the current ROIC(1.32%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.12%
ROE 15.16%
ROIC 1.32%
ROA(3y)1.01%
ROA(5y)0.77%
ROE(3y)12.73%
ROE(5y)9.51%
ROIC(3y)1.23%
ROIC(5y)1.01%
AXA.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAXA.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10

1.3 Margins

AXA's Profit Margin of 8.20% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AXA outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
AXA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AXA's Operating Margin of 11.69% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AXA outperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AXA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.69%
PM (TTM) 8.2%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y23.76%
OM growth 5Y4.76%
PM growth 3Y46.22%
PM growth 5Y36.38%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AXA.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAXA.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2 4 6 8 10

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AXA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AXA has less shares outstanding
AXA has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AXA has about the same debt to assets ratio.
AXA.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingAXA.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
AXA.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAXA.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200B 400B 600B 800B

2.2 Solvency

AXA has an Altman-Z score of 0.34. This is a bad value and indicates that AXA is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AXA has a Altman-Z score of 0.34. This is amongst the best in the industry. AXA outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AXA is 3.32, which is a good value as it means it would take AXA, 3.32 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AXA (3.32) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AXA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.57. This is a neutral value indicating AXA is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AXA (0.57) is better than 63.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.57
Debt/FCF 3.32
Altman-Z 0.34
ROIC/WACC0.13
WACC10.16%
AXA.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAXA.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

AXA has a Current Ratio of 1.00. This is a normal value and indicates that AXA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AXA's Current ratio of 1.00 is amongst the best of the industry. AXA outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that AXA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.00, AXA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 1
AXA.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAXA.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AXA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 17.49%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past years, AXA shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 32.03% on average per year.
AXA shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -11.35%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -4.60% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.49%
EPS 3Y35.79%
EPS 5Y32.03%
EPS Q2Q%4.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.14%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.6%
Sales Q2Q%-21.85%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.80% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.65% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y6.81%
EPS Next 2Y8.71%
EPS Next 3Y7.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.8%
Revenue Next Year-13.58%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.65%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AXA.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAXA.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
AXA.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAXA.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.47, the valuation of AXA can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AXA is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
AXA is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.22, which indicates a very decent valuation of AXA.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AXA is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AXA to the average of the S&P500 Index (92.74), we can say AXA is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.47
Fwd PE 9.22
AXA.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAXA.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AXA.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.15
EV/EBITDA N/A
AXA.DE Per share dataAXA.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of AXA may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.68
PEG (5Y)0.36
EPS Next 2Y8.71%
EPS Next 3Y7.94%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AXA has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.40%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.01, AXA has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
AXA's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.4%

5.2 History

The dividend of AXA has a limited annual growth rate of 4.19%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
AXA.DE Yearly Dividends per shareAXA.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

62.10% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AXA. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AXA is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP62.1%
EPS Next 2Y8.71%
EPS Next 3Y7.94%
AXA.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAXA.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B
AXA.DE Dividend Payout.AXA.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AXA.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AXA SA

FRA:AXA (2/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

37.04

+0.69 (+1.9%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)N/A N/A
Earnings (Next)02-27 2025-02-27/amc
Inst Owners41.04%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap82.01B
Analysts80.71
Price Target40.44 (9.18%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.4%
Yearly Dividend1.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
DP62.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.12%
PT rev (3m)2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.33%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.47
Fwd PE 9.22
P/S 0.94
P/FCF 10.15
P/OCF 9.58
P/B 1.73
P/tB 3.35
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)3.23
EY8.72%
EPS(NY)4.02
Fwd EY10.84%
FCF(TTM)3.65
FCFY9.85%
OCF(TTM)3.87
OCFY10.44%
SpS39.51
BVpS21.38
TBVpS11.07
PEG (NY)1.68
PEG (5Y)0.36
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.12%
ROE 15.16%
ROCE 1.63%
ROIC 1.32%
ROICexc 1.37%
ROICexgc 1.79%
OM 11.69%
PM (TTM) 8.2%
GM N/A
FCFM 9.24%
ROA(3y)1.01%
ROA(5y)0.77%
ROE(3y)12.73%
ROE(5y)9.51%
ROIC(3y)1.23%
ROIC(5y)1.01%
ROICexc(3y)1.28%
ROICexc(5y)1.05%
ROICexgc(3y)1.64%
ROICexgc(5y)1.33%
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)1.25%
ROICexcg growth 3Y24.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y6.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y21.16%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.2%
OM growth 3Y23.76%
OM growth 5Y4.76%
PM growth 3Y46.22%
PM growth 5Y36.38%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.57
Debt/FCF 3.32
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales 0.55%
Interest Coverage 1.51
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 112.61%
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z 0.34
F-Score7
WACC10.16%
ROIC/WACC0.13
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)0.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.36%
Profit Quality(3y)112.32%
Profit Quality(5y)257.76%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.49%
EPS 3Y35.79%
EPS 5Y32.03%
EPS Q2Q%4.47%
EPS Next Y6.81%
EPS Next 2Y8.71%
EPS Next 3Y7.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.14%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.6%
Sales Q2Q%-21.85%
Revenue Next Year-13.58%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.65%
EBIT growth 1Y4.29%
EBIT growth 3Y12.44%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.05%
EBIT Next Year26.06%
EBIT Next 3Y9.55%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y9.42%
FCF growth 3Y-33.47%
FCF growth 5Y-1.8%
OCF growth 1Y11.23%
OCF growth 3Y-32.45%
OCF growth 5Y-1.79%