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AVADEL PHARMACEUTICALS (AVDL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:AVDL - Nasdaq - IE00BDGMC594 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

8.25  +0.07 (+0.86%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AVDL. AVDL was compared to 195 industry peers in the Pharmaceuticals industry. While AVDL seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. While showing a medium growth rate, AVDL is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AVDL has reported negative net income.
In the past year AVDL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years AVDL reported 4 times negative net income.
In the past 5 years AVDL always reported negative operating cash flow.
AVDL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAVDL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

AVDL's Return On Assets of -45.86% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AVDL is outperformed by 61.29% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AVDL (-97.20%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -45.86%
ROE -97.2%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-77.37%
ROA(5y)-50.36%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AVDL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAVDL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -1K -2K -3K

1.3 Margins

AVDL has a Gross Margin of 91.92%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AVDL outperforms 95.70% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AVDL has grown nicely.
AVDL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 91.92%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.29%
GM growth 5Y3.15%
AVDL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAVDL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AVDL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, AVDL has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AVDL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for AVDL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AVDL Yearly Shares OutstandingAVDL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
AVDL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAVDL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

AVDL has an Altman-Z score of -1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that AVDL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AVDL (-1.49) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AVDL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -1.49
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.07%
AVDL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAVDL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M -100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.97 indicates that AVDL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AVDL has a Current ratio (2.97) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.60 indicates that AVDL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AVDL has a Quick ratio (2.60) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.97
Quick Ratio 2.6
AVDL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAVDL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AVDL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 65.14%, which is quite impressive.
AVDL shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1523.50%.
AVDL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -22.99% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)65.14%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%92.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1523.5%
Revenue growth 3Y7.78%
Revenue growth 5Y-22.99%
Sales Q2Q%613.22%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AVDL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 27.72% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AVDL will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 76.67% on average per year.
EPS Next Y74.6%
EPS Next 2Y42.93%
EPS Next 3Y33.73%
EPS Next 5Y27.72%
Revenue Next Year530.17%
Revenue Next 2Y206.75%
Revenue Next 3Y133.3%
Revenue Next 5Y76.67%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AVDL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAVDL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
AVDL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAVDL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AVDL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
AVDL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 95.48.
AVDL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AVDL is cheaper than 73.66% of the companies in the same industry.
AVDL is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 92.74, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 95.48
AVDL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAVDL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AVDL Per share dataAVDL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
AVDL's earnings are expected to grow with 33.73% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.93%
EPS Next 3Y33.73%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AVDL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AVADEL PHARMACEUTICALS

NASDAQ:AVDL (2/5/2025, 10:46:06 AM)

8.25

+0.07 (+0.86%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryPharmaceuticals
Earnings (Last)11-12 2024-11-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners79.53%
Inst Owner Change-0.25%
Ins Owners4.77%
Ins Owner Change0.88%
Market Cap747.26M
Analysts86.25
Price Target18.77 (127.52%)
Short Float %13.35%
Short Ratio8.26
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)29.25%
Min EPS beat(2)11.79%
Max EPS beat(2)46.72%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.83%
Min EPS beat(4)-41.55%
Max EPS beat(4)46.72%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-25.46%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-30.42%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-19.03%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)8.41%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.41%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-21.03%
PT rev (3m)-25.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-223.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)-11.96%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.78%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 95.48
P/S 5.41
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 10.01
P/tB 12.92
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.76
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.09
Fwd EY1.05%
FCF(TTM)-0.91
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.91
OCFYN/A
SpS1.53
BVpS0.82
TBVpS0.64
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -45.86%
ROE -97.2%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 91.92%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-77.37%
ROA(5y)-50.36%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.29%
GM growth 5Y3.15%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.97
Quick Ratio 2.6
Altman-Z -1.49
F-Score4
WACC7.07%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)17.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)11.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)65.14%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%92.68%
EPS Next Y74.6%
EPS Next 2Y42.93%
EPS Next 3Y33.73%
EPS Next 5Y27.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1523.5%
Revenue growth 3Y7.78%
Revenue growth 5Y-22.99%
Sales Q2Q%613.22%
Revenue Next Year530.17%
Revenue Next 2Y206.75%
Revenue Next 3Y133.3%
Revenue Next 5Y76.67%
EBIT growth 1Y53%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year87.89%
EBIT Next 3Y49.37%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.95%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.93%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A