AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:AVB • US0534841012
Current stock price
171.16 USD
-0.13 (-0.08%)
Last:
This AVB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AVB Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AVB was profitable.
- AVB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- AVB had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years AVB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of AVB (4.73%) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
- AVB has a Return On Equity of 9.04%. This is in the better half of the industry: AVB outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 3.43%, AVB is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AVB had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.53%. This is in line with the industry average of 2.73%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.73% | ||
| ROE | 9.04% | ||
| ROIC | 3.43% |
ROA(3y)4.78%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)8.65%
ROE(5y)9.04%
ROIC(3y)3.53%
ROIC(5y)3.26%
1.3 Margins
- AVB's Profit Margin of 34.51% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AVB outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
- AVB's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- AVB's Operating Margin of 30.25% is amongst the best of the industry. AVB outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AVB has remained more or less at the same level.
- The Gross Margin of AVB (63.14%) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AVB has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 30.25% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 34.51% | ||
| GM | 63.14% |
OM growth 3Y-0.04%
OM growth 5Y-0.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.61%
PM growth 5Y-0.78%
GM growth 3Y-0.74%
GM growth 5Y-0.34%
2. AVB Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- AVB has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AVB has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for AVB remains at a similar level compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for AVB is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- AVB has an Altman-Z score of 1.61. This is a bad value and indicates that AVB is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AVB has a Altman-Z score of 1.61. This is amongst the best in the industry. AVB outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.81 indicates that AVB is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.81, AVB is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.61 |
ROIC/WACC0.48
WACC7.1%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.19 indicates that AVB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.19, AVB is not doing good in the industry: 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.19 indicates that AVB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- AVB's Quick ratio of 0.19 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AVB is outperformed by 65.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.19 |
3. AVB Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- AVB shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -2.64%.
- Measured over the past 5 years, AVB shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.64% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, AVB shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.36% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.64%
EPS 3Y1.53%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%-40.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.36%
Revenue growth 3Y5.45%
Revenue growth 5Y5.73%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -3.07% on average over the next years.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.64% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-32.26%
EPS Next 2Y-16.13%
EPS Next 3Y-8.88%
EPS Next 5Y-3.07%
Revenue Next Year3.47%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y2.58%
Revenue Next 5Y5.64%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. AVB Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 23.16, the valuation of AVB can be described as rather expensive.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AVB is valued cheaper than 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AVB's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.38.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.19 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AVB.
- AVB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AVB is cheaper than 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.20. AVB is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 34.19 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AVB.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.09 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- AVB has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- AVB's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.88% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.99
EPS Next 2Y-16.13%
EPS Next 3Y-8.88%
5. AVB Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- AVB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.23%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 44.66, AVB is paying slightly less dividend.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AVB pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.23% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AVB has a limited annual growth rate of 2.26%.
- AVB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- AVB has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.26%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years27
5.3 Sustainability
- 94.57% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AVB. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- AVB's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP94.57%
EPS Next 2Y-16.13%
EPS Next 3Y-8.88%
AVB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NYSE:AVB (4/16/2026, 11:37:44 AM)
171.16
-0.13 (-0.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryResidential REITs
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/amc
Inst Owners100.43%
Inst Owner Change-7.86%
Ins Owners0.41%
Ins Owner Change10.3%
Market Cap23.98B
Revenue(TTM)3.04B
Net Income(TTM)1.05B
Analysts68.89
Price Target197.31 (15.28%)
Short Float %3.27%
Short Ratio4.17
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.23% |
Yearly Dividend7.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.26%
DP94.57%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years27
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (1.78)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)34.89%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.25%
Max EPS beat(2)84.04%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)35.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.25%
Max EPS beat(4)84.04%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.91%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)24.98%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)30.51%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.04%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.76%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.76%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.79%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.75%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.13%
PT rev (1m)-1.21%
PT rev (3m)-4.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.53%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 34.19 | ||
| P/S | 7.88 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 14.35 | ||
| P/B | 2.06 | ||
| P/tB | 2.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.09 |
EPS(TTM)7.39
EY4.32%
EPS(NY)5.01
Fwd EY2.92%
FCF(TTM)-3.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)11.93
OCFY6.97%
SpS21.71
BVpS82.89
TBVpS82.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.99
Graham Number117.4 (-31.41%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.73% | ||
| ROE | 9.04% | ||
| ROCE | 4.34% | ||
| ROIC | 3.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.46% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.46% | ||
| OM | 30.25% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 34.51% | ||
| GM | 63.14% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.78%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)8.65%
ROE(5y)9.04%
ROIC(3y)3.53%
ROIC(5y)3.26%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.31%
ROICexgc(3y)3.57%
ROICexgc(5y)3.32%
ROCE(3y)4.46%
ROCE(5y)4.12%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.85%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.24%
OM growth 3Y-0.04%
OM growth 5Y-0.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.61%
PM growth 5Y-0.78%
GM growth 3Y-0.74%
GM growth 5Y-0.34%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 236.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 70.92% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 91.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.61 |
F-Score5
WACC7.1%
ROIC/WACC0.48
Cap/Depr(3y)195.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)199.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)57.94%
Cap/Sales(5y)61.12%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.64%
EPS 3Y1.53%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%-40.91%
EPS Next Y-32.26%
EPS Next 2Y-16.13%
EPS Next 3Y-8.88%
EPS Next 5Y-3.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.36%
Revenue growth 3Y5.45%
Revenue growth 5Y5.73%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
Revenue Next Year3.47%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y2.58%
Revenue Next 5Y5.64%
EBIT growth 1Y0.44%
EBIT growth 3Y5.41%
EBIT growth 5Y5.3%
EBIT Next Year86.26%
EBIT Next 3Y27.45%
EBIT Next 5Y18.53%
FCF growth 1Y-8464.82%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.93%
OCF growth 3Y5.53%
OCF growth 5Y6.5%
AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC / AVB Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AVB.
What is the valuation status of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) stock?
AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AVB stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) is 23.16 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.06.
How sustainable is the dividend of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) stock?
The dividend rating of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 94.57%.