AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AVB • US0534841012

Current stock price

173.35 USD
+2.04 (+1.19%)
At close:
173.35 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This AVB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. AVB Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AVB had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AVB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AVB has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AVB had a positive operating cash flow.
AVB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAVB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • AVB's Return On Assets of 4.73% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AVB outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • AVB has a better Return On Equity (9.04%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AVB (3.43%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • AVB had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.53%. This is in line with the industry average of 2.73%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.73%
ROE 9.04%
ROIC 3.43%
ROA(3y)4.78%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)8.65%
ROE(5y)9.04%
ROIC(3y)3.53%
ROIC(5y)3.26%
AVB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAVB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 34.51%, AVB is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AVB's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 30.25%, AVB belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AVB has remained more or less at the same level.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 63.14%, AVB belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AVB's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 30.25%
PM (TTM) 34.51%
GM 63.14%
OM growth 3Y-0.04%
OM growth 5Y-0.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.61%
PM growth 5Y-0.78%
GM growth 3Y-0.74%
GM growth 5Y-0.34%
AVB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAVB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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2

2. AVB Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AVB is destroying value.
  • AVB has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AVB has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AVB is higher compared to a year ago.
AVB Yearly Shares OutstandingAVB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M
AVB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAVB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • AVB has an Altman-Z score of 1.62. This is a bad value and indicates that AVB is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AVB's Altman-Z score of 1.62 is amongst the best of the industry. AVB outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
  • AVB has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.81. This is a neutral value indicating AVB is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of AVB (0.81) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.81
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.62
ROIC/WACC0.48
WACC7.13%
AVB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAVB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AVB has a Current Ratio of 0.19. This is a bad value and indicates that AVB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.19, AVB is not doing good in the industry: 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • AVB has a Quick Ratio of 0.19. This is a bad value and indicates that AVB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AVB has a worse Quick ratio (0.19) than 65.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.19
Quick Ratio 0.19
AVB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAVB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. AVB Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AVB have decreased by -2.64% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, AVB shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.64% on average per year.
  • AVB shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.36%.
  • Measured over the past years, AVB shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.73% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.64%
EPS 3Y1.53%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%-40.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.36%
Revenue growth 3Y5.45%
Revenue growth 5Y5.73%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -3.07% on average over the next years.
  • AVB is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.64% yearly.
EPS Next Y-32.26%
EPS Next 2Y-16.13%
EPS Next 3Y-8.88%
EPS Next 5Y-3.07%
Revenue Next Year3.47%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y2.56%
Revenue Next 5Y5.64%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
AVB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAVB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
AVB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAVB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6

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3

4. AVB Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.46 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AVB.
  • AVB's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AVB is cheaper than 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AVB is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • AVB is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.63.
  • AVB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AVB is cheaper than 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AVB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.62.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.46
Fwd PE 34.63
AVB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAVB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AVB.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 18.15
AVB Per share dataAVB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AVB has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • AVB's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.88% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)5.05
EPS Next 2Y-16.13%
EPS Next 3Y-8.88%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. AVB Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AVB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.20%, which is a nice return.
  • AVB's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 43.95.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, AVB pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.2%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AVB has a limited annual growth rate of 2.26%.
  • AVB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • AVB has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.26%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years27
AVB Yearly Dividends per shareAVB Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 94.57% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AVB. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • AVB's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP94.57%
EPS Next 2Y-16.13%
EPS Next 3Y-8.88%
AVB Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAVB Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B
AVB Dividend Payout.AVB Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AVB Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AVB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC

NYSE:AVB (4/23/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 173.35 0 (0%)

173.35

+2.04 (+1.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryResidential REITs
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners100.43%
Inst Owner Change-7.82%
Ins Owners0.41%
Ins Owner Change10.3%
Market Cap24.11B
Revenue(TTM)3.04B
Net Income(TTM)1.05B
Analysts68.89
Price Target197.31 (13.82%)
Short Float %3.27%
Short Ratio4.17
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.2%
Yearly Dividend7.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.26%
DP94.57%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years27
Ex-Date03-31
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)34.89%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.25%
Max EPS beat(2)84.04%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)35.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.25%
Max EPS beat(4)84.04%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.91%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)24.98%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)30.51%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.04%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.76%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.76%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.79%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.75%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.13%
PT rev (1m)-1.21%
PT rev (3m)-3.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.11%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.16%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.57%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.46
Fwd PE 34.63
P/S 7.93
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 14.43
P/B 2.08
P/tB 2.08
EV/EBITDA 18.15
EPS(TTM)7.39
EY4.26%
EPS(NY)5.01
Fwd EY2.89%
FCF(TTM)-3.49
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)12.01
OCFY6.93%
SpS21.86
BVpS83.47
TBVpS83.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)5.05
Graham Number117.808 (-32.04%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.73%
ROE 9.04%
ROCE 4.34%
ROIC 3.43%
ROICexc 3.46%
ROICexgc 3.46%
OM 30.25%
PM (TTM) 34.51%
GM 63.14%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.78%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)8.65%
ROE(5y)9.04%
ROIC(3y)3.53%
ROIC(5y)3.26%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.31%
ROICexgc(3y)3.57%
ROICexgc(5y)3.32%
ROCE(3y)4.46%
ROCE(5y)4.12%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.85%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.24%
OM growth 3Y-0.04%
OM growth 5Y-0.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.61%
PM growth 5Y-0.78%
GM growth 3Y-0.74%
GM growth 5Y-0.34%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.81
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 5.1
Cap/Depr 236.11%
Cap/Sales 70.92%
Interest Coverage 3.89
Cash Conversion 91.16%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.19
Quick Ratio 0.19
Altman-Z 1.62
F-Score5
WACC7.13%
ROIC/WACC0.48
Cap/Depr(3y)195.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)199.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)57.94%
Cap/Sales(5y)61.12%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.64%
EPS 3Y1.53%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%-40.91%
EPS Next Y-32.26%
EPS Next 2Y-16.13%
EPS Next 3Y-8.88%
EPS Next 5Y-3.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.36%
Revenue growth 3Y5.45%
Revenue growth 5Y5.73%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
Revenue Next Year3.47%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y2.56%
Revenue Next 5Y5.64%
EBIT growth 1Y0.44%
EBIT growth 3Y5.41%
EBIT growth 5Y5.3%
EBIT Next Year86.26%
EBIT Next 3Y27.45%
EBIT Next 5Y18.53%
FCF growth 1Y-8464.82%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.93%
OCF growth 3Y5.53%
OCF growth 5Y6.5%

AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC / AVB Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AVB.


What is the valuation status of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) stock?

AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AVB stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) is 23.46 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.08.


How sustainable is the dividend of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) stock?

The dividend rating of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 94.57%.