AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:AVB • US0534841012
Current stock price
165.24 USD
-0.87 (-0.52%)
At close:
165.24 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This AVB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AVB Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- AVB had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year AVB had a positive cash flow from operations.
- AVB had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years AVB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- AVB has a Return On Assets of 4.73%. This is in the better half of the industry: AVB outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.04%, AVB is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 3.43%, AVB is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AVB had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.53%. This is in line with the industry average of 2.74%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.73% | ||
| ROE | 9.04% | ||
| ROIC | 3.43% |
ROA(3y)4.78%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)8.65%
ROE(5y)9.04%
ROIC(3y)3.53%
ROIC(5y)3.26%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 34.51%, AVB is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AVB's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 30.25%, AVB belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AVB's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 63.14%, AVB belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AVB's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 30.25% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 34.51% | ||
| GM | 63.14% |
OM growth 3Y-0.04%
OM growth 5Y-0.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.61%
PM growth 5Y-0.78%
GM growth 3Y-0.74%
GM growth 5Y-0.34%
2. AVB Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AVB is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AVB has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, AVB has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
- AVB has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- AVB has an Altman-Z score of 1.57. This is a bad value and indicates that AVB is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AVB's Altman-Z score of 1.57 is amongst the best of the industry. AVB outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
- AVB has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.81. This is a neutral value indicating AVB is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.81, AVB is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.57 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC7.01%
2.3 Liquidity
- AVB has a Current Ratio of 0.19. This is a bad value and indicates that AVB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AVB has a worse Current ratio (0.19) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.19 indicates that AVB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.19, AVB is not doing good in the industry: 65.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.19 |
3. AVB Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AVB have decreased by -2.64% in the last year.
- AVB shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.64% yearly.
- AVB shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.36%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.64%
EPS 3Y1.53%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%-40.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.36%
Revenue growth 3Y5.45%
Revenue growth 5Y5.73%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -3.07% on average over the next years.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.64% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-31.18%
EPS Next 2Y-14.56%
EPS Next 3Y-8.66%
EPS Next 5Y-3.07%
Revenue Next Year4.02%
Revenue Next 2Y4.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.59%
Revenue Next 5Y5.64%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. AVB Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.36, AVB is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AVB is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.79, AVB is valued at the same level.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 32.49, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AVB.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AVB is valued cheaper than 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AVB to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.80), we can say AVB is valued slightly more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AVB is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.69 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of AVB may justify a higher PE ratio.
- AVB's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.66% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.82
EPS Next 2Y-14.56%
EPS Next 3Y-8.66%
5. AVB Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.16%, AVB is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 46.06, AVB is paying slightly less dividend.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, AVB pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.16% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AVB has a limited annual growth rate of 2.26%.
- AVB has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- AVB has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.26%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years26
5.3 Sustainability
- AVB pays out 94.57% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of AVB has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP94.57%
EPS Next 2Y-14.56%
EPS Next 3Y-8.66%
AVB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
165.24
-0.87 (-0.52%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryResidential REITs
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28/amc
Inst Owners99.5%
Inst Owner Change12.2%
Ins Owners0.35%
Ins Owner Change8.43%
Market Cap23.15B
Revenue(TTM)3.04B
Net Income(TTM)1.05B
Analysts69.63
Price Target199.72 (20.87%)
Short Float %3.36%
Short Ratio4.08
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.16% |
Yearly Dividend7.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.26%
DP94.57%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years26
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (1.78)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)34.89%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.25%
Max EPS beat(2)84.04%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)35.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.25%
Max EPS beat(4)84.04%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.91%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)24.98%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)30.51%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.04%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.76%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.76%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.79%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.75%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.13%
PT rev (1m)-1.01%
PT rev (3m)-3.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.75%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.49 | ||
| P/S | 7.61 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 13.85 | ||
| P/B | 1.99 | ||
| P/tB | 1.99 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.69 |
EPS(TTM)7.39
EY4.47%
EPS(NY)5.09
Fwd EY3.08%
FCF(TTM)-3.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)11.93
OCFY7.22%
SpS21.71
BVpS82.89
TBVpS82.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.82
Graham Number117.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.73% | ||
| ROE | 9.04% | ||
| ROCE | 4.34% | ||
| ROIC | 3.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.46% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.46% | ||
| OM | 30.25% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 34.51% | ||
| GM | 63.14% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.78%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)8.65%
ROE(5y)9.04%
ROIC(3y)3.53%
ROIC(5y)3.26%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.31%
ROICexgc(3y)3.57%
ROICexgc(5y)3.32%
ROCE(3y)4.46%
ROCE(5y)4.12%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.85%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.24%
OM growth 3Y-0.04%
OM growth 5Y-0.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.61%
PM growth 5Y-0.78%
GM growth 3Y-0.74%
GM growth 5Y-0.34%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 236.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 70.92% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 91.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.57 |
F-Score5
WACC7.01%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)195.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)199.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)57.94%
Cap/Sales(5y)61.12%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.64%
EPS 3Y1.53%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%-40.91%
EPS Next Y-31.18%
EPS Next 2Y-14.56%
EPS Next 3Y-8.66%
EPS Next 5Y-3.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.36%
Revenue growth 3Y5.45%
Revenue growth 5Y5.73%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
Revenue Next Year4.02%
Revenue Next 2Y4.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.59%
Revenue Next 5Y5.64%
EBIT growth 1Y0.44%
EBIT growth 3Y5.41%
EBIT growth 5Y5.3%
EBIT Next Year89.25%
EBIT Next 3Y28.56%
EBIT Next 5Y18.72%
FCF growth 1Y-8464.82%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.93%
OCF growth 3Y5.53%
OCF growth 5Y6.5%
AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC / AVB Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AVB.
What is the valuation status of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC?
AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the valuation of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) is 22.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.99.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AVB stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) is expected to decline by -31.18% in the next year.