AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AVB • US0534841012

177.89 USD
-1.4 (-0.78%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
177.89 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This AVB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, AVB scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AVB was compared to 20 industry peers in the Residential REITs industry. AVB has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. AVB does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. AVB Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AVB was profitable.
  • AVB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years AVB has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AVB had a positive operating cash flow.
AVB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAVB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.31%, AVB is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AVB has a better Return On Equity (9.77%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • AVB has a better Return On Invested Capital (3.46%) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AVB is in line with the industry average of 2.73%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (3.44%) for AVB is below the current ROIC(3.46%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.31%
ROE 9.77%
ROIC 3.46%
ROA(3y)5.06%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)9%
ROE(5y)8.77%
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)3.18%
AVB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAVB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • AVB has a better Profit Margin (38.71%) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AVB has grown nicely.
  • AVB has a better Operating Margin (30.35%) than 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • AVB's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AVB's Gross Margin of 62.81% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AVB outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AVB has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 30.35%
PM (TTM) 38.71%
GM 62.81%
OM growth 3Y5.59%
OM growth 5Y-2.68%
PM growth 3Y-5.32%
PM growth 5Y1.91%
GM growth 3Y0.2%
GM growth 5Y-1.16%
AVB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAVB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

2

2. AVB Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AVB is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AVB has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AVB remains at a similar level compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AVB has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AVB Yearly Shares OutstandingAVB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M
AVB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAVB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.79, we must say that AVB is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 1.79, AVB belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AVB has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.73. This is a neutral value indicating AVB is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.73, AVB belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.73
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.79
ROIC/WACC0.48
WACC7.17%
AVB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAVB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.12 indicates that AVB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.12, AVB is doing worse than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.12 indicates that AVB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AVB has a Quick ratio of 0.12. This is in the lower half of the industry: AVB underperforms 65.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.12
Quick Ratio 0.12
AVB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAVB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

1

3. AVB Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AVB shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -2.64%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, AVB shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.64% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.64%
EPS 3Y1.53%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%-40.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%3.93%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -3.07% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AVB will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.64% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-28.27%
EPS Next 2Y-13.46%
EPS Next 3Y-7.99%
EPS Next 5Y-3.07%
Revenue Next Year3.63%
Revenue Next 2Y4.32%
Revenue Next 3Y2.19%
Revenue Next 5Y5.64%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AVB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAVB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
AVB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAVB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. AVB Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 24.07 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AVB.
  • AVB's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AVB is cheaper than 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.29, AVB is valued at the same level.
  • AVB is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.56.
  • AVB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AVB is cheaper than 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AVB to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.57), we can say AVB is valued slightly more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.07
Fwd PE 33.56
AVB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAVB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AVB indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AVB is more expensive than 60.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 18.79
AVB Per share dataAVB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of AVB may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • AVB's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.99% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)5.19
EPS Next 2Y-13.46%
EPS Next 3Y-7.99%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. AVB Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AVB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.97%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • AVB's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 44.15.
  • AVB's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.97%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AVB has a limited annual growth rate of 2.26%.
  • AVB has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • AVB has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.26%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years26
AVB Yearly Dividends per shareAVB Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • AVB pays out 84.41% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of AVB has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP84.41%
EPS Next 2Y-13.46%
EPS Next 3Y-7.99%
AVB Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAVB Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B
AVB Dividend Payout.AVB Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AVB Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

AVB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC

NYSE:AVB (3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 177.89 0 (0%)

177.89

-1.4 (-0.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryResidential REITs
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners99.5%
Inst Owner Change3.45%
Ins Owners0.35%
Ins Owner Change0.13%
Market Cap24.92B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)1.17B
Analysts69.63
Price Target199.72 (12.27%)
Short Float %3.69%
Short Ratio4.55
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.97%
Yearly Dividend7.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.26%
DP84.41%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years26
Ex-Date03-31
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)65.62%
Min EPS beat(2)47.2%
Max EPS beat(2)84.04%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)48.94%
Min EPS beat(4)23.58%
Max EPS beat(4)84.04%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)42.89%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)27.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)40.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.07%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.86%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.96%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.78%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.11%
PT rev (1m)-2.62%
PT rev (3m)-5.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.66%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.95%
EPS NY rev (3m)17.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.07
Fwd PE 33.56
P/S 8.36
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 15.75
P/B 2.11
P/tB 2.11
EV/EBITDA 18.79
EPS(TTM)7.39
EY4.15%
EPS(NY)5.3
Fwd EY2.98%
FCF(TTM)-4.12
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)11.3
OCFY6.35%
SpS21.28
BVpS84.31
TBVpS84.31
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)5.19
Graham Number118.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.31%
ROE 9.77%
ROCE 4.38%
ROIC 3.46%
ROICexc 3.48%
ROICexgc 3.63%
OM 30.35%
PM (TTM) 38.71%
GM 62.81%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)5.06%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)9%
ROE(5y)8.77%
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)3.18%
ROICexc(3y)3.5%
ROICexc(5y)3.24%
ROICexgc(3y)3.51%
ROICexgc(5y)3.24%
ROCE(3y)4.35%
ROCE(5y)4.03%
ROICexgc growth 3Y11.75%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y11.82%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.06%
OM growth 3Y5.59%
OM growth 5Y-2.68%
PM growth 3Y-5.32%
PM growth 5Y1.91%
GM growth 3Y0.2%
GM growth 5Y-1.16%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.73
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.83
Cap/Depr 243.72%
Cap/Sales 72.43%
Interest Coverage 3.79
Cash Conversion 88.36%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.12
Quick Ratio 0.12
Altman-Z 1.79
F-Score6
WACC7.17%
ROIC/WACC0.48
Cap/Depr(3y)183.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)179.75%
Cap/Sales(3y)55.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)55.46%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.64%
EPS 3Y1.53%
EPS 5Y4.64%
EPS Q2Q%-40.91%
EPS Next Y-28.27%
EPS Next 2Y-13.46%
EPS Next 3Y-7.99%
EPS Next 5Y-3.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
Revenue Next Year3.63%
Revenue Next 2Y4.32%
Revenue Next 3Y2.19%
Revenue Next 5Y5.64%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.11%
EBIT growth 3Y14.34%
EBIT growth 5Y1.82%
EBIT Next Year79.4%
EBIT Next 3Y24.63%
EBIT Next 5Y17.18%
FCF growth 1Y-309.73%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y2.84%
OCF growth 3Y10.15%
OCF growth 5Y4%

AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC / AVB FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AVB.


What is the valuation status of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC?

AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the valuation of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) is 24.07 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.11.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AVB stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB) is expected to decline by -28.27% in the next year.