AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:AVAV • US0080731088
Current stock price
196.28 USD
-5.63 (-2.79%)
At close:
196.5 USD
+0.22 (+0.11%)
After Hours:
This AVAV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AVAV Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AVAV was profitable.
- AVAV had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
- In multiple years AVAV reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- In multiple years AVAV reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- AVAV's Return On Assets of -4.11% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AVAV is outperformed by 70.00% of its industry peers.
- With a Return On Equity value of -5.25%, AVAV is not doing good in the industry: 65.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.11% | ||
| ROE | -5.25% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-3.87%
ROA(5y)-1.91%
ROE(3y)-6.6%
ROE(5y)-3.34%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AVAV has declined.
- AVAV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AVAV has a Gross Margin of 24.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AVAV outperforms 51.25% of its industry peers.
- AVAV's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- AVAV does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 24.74% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-10.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-13.83%
GM growth 3Y7.02%
GM growth 5Y-1.41%
2. AVAV Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- AVAV does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
- AVAV has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for AVAV has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AVAV has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- AVAV has an Altman-Z score of 5.77. This indicates that AVAV is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- AVAV has a better Altman-Z score (5.77) than 67.50% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17 indicates that AVAV is not too dependend on debt financing.
- AVAV has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.17) than 68.75% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.17 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.77 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.49%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 5.51 indicates that AVAV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- AVAV's Current ratio of 5.51 is amongst the best of the industry. AVAV outperforms 88.75% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 4.54 indicates that AVAV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- With an excellent Quick ratio value of 4.54, AVAV belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 4.54 |
3. AVAV Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- AVAV shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 44.02%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, AVAV shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.43% on average per year.
- AVAV shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 116.86%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 17.44% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.02%
EPS 3Y38.53%
EPS 5Y12.43%
EPS Q2Q%113.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)116.86%
Revenue growth 3Y22.57%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%143.41%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.79% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- AVAV is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 37.65% yearly.
EPS Next Y-10.1%
EPS Next 2Y13.84%
EPS Next 3Y18.52%
EPS Next 5Y22.79%
Revenue Next Year140.88%
Revenue Next 2Y66.36%
Revenue Next 3Y47.48%
Revenue Next 5Y37.65%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. AVAV Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 65.21, the valuation of AVAV can be described as expensive.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AVAV.
- AVAV's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 46.32, AVAV can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- AVAV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- AVAV is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.24, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 65.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 46.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- AVAV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 62.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- AVAV's earnings are expected to grow with 18.52% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)5.24
EPS Next 2Y13.84%
EPS Next 3Y18.52%
5. AVAV Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for AVAV!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
AVAV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
196.28
-5.63 (-2.79%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)03-10 2026-03-10/amc
Earnings (Next)06-22 2026-06-22/amc
Inst Owners67.48%
Inst Owner Change0.44%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner Change-0.17%
Market Cap9.93B
Revenue(TTM)1.61B
Net Income(TTM)-224.36M
Analysts83.2
Price Target321.93 (64.02%)
Short Float %12.09%
Short Ratio2.65
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-26.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.55%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.25%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-13.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.55%
Max EPS beat(4)13.42%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.97%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)33.07%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)3.83%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)-15.89%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.04%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-15.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.62%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.08%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.8%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.42%
PT rev (1m)-17.46%
PT rev (3m)-18.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-21.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)-15.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.15%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 65.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 46.32 | ||
| P/S | 6.17 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 2.33 | ||
| P/tB | 11.23 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 62.64 |
EPS(TTM)3.01
EY1.53%
EPS(NY)4.24
Fwd EY2.16%
FCF(TTM)-4.86
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-3.44
OCFYN/A
SpS31.82
BVpS84.41
TBVpS17.48
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)5.24
Graham Number75.6104 (-61.48%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.11% | ||
| ROE | -5.25% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 24.74% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-3.87%
ROA(5y)-1.91%
ROE(3y)-6.6%
ROE(5y)-3.34%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-10.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-13.83%
GM growth 3Y7.02%
GM growth 5Y-1.41%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.17 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 33.18% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.47% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 5.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 4.54 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.77 |
F-Score2
WACC10.49%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)46.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)46.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.36%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.02%
EPS 3Y38.53%
EPS 5Y12.43%
EPS Q2Q%113.33%
EPS Next Y-10.1%
EPS Next 2Y13.84%
EPS Next 3Y18.52%
EPS Next 5Y22.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)116.86%
Revenue growth 3Y22.57%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%143.41%
Revenue Next Year140.88%
Revenue Next 2Y66.36%
Revenue Next 3Y47.48%
Revenue Next 5Y37.65%
EBIT growth 1Y-270.08%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y4.66%
EBIT Next Year267.83%
EBIT Next 3Y82.08%
EBIT Next 5Y59.13%
FCF growth 1Y-2714.34%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-689.15%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
AEROVIRONMENT INC / AVAV Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AVAV.
Can you provide the valuation status for AEROVIRONMENT INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of AVAV stock?
AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
How financially healthy is AEROVIRONMENT INC?
The financial health rating of AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) is 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for AEROVIRONMENT INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) is expected to decline by -10.1% in the next year.