AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:AVAV • US0080731088

Current stock price

195.74 USD
-0.54 (-0.28%)
At close:
193.195 USD
-2.55 (-1.3%)
Pre-Market:

This AVAV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. AVAV Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AVAV had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AVAV had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years AVAV reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In multiple years AVAV reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
AVAV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAVAV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

  • AVAV's Return On Assets of -4.11% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AVAV is outperformed by 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • AVAV has a worse Return On Equity (-5.25%) than 65.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.11%
ROE -5.25%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-3.87%
ROA(5y)-1.91%
ROE(3y)-6.6%
ROE(5y)-3.34%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AVAV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAVAV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AVAV has declined.
  • AVAV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AVAV has a Gross Margin (24.74%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AVAV's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • AVAV does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.74%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-10.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-13.83%
GM growth 3Y7.02%
GM growth 5Y-1.41%
AVAV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAVAV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

5

2. AVAV Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AVAV does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • AVAV has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AVAV has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AVAV is higher compared to a year ago.
AVAV Yearly Shares OutstandingAVAV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
AVAV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAVAV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 5.61 indicates that AVAV is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • AVAV's Altman-Z score of 5.61 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AVAV outperforms 67.50% of its industry peers.
  • AVAV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.17, AVAV is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.75% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 5.61
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.88%
AVAV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAVAV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • AVAV has a Current Ratio of 5.51. This indicates that AVAV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 5.51, AVAV belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AVAV has a Quick Ratio of 4.54. This indicates that AVAV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AVAV has a better Quick ratio (4.54) than 87.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.51
Quick Ratio 4.54
AVAV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAVAV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

9

3. AVAV Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 44.02% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, AVAV shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.43% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, AVAV shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 116.86%.
  • Measured over the past years, AVAV shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 17.44% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.02%
EPS 3Y38.53%
EPS 5Y12.43%
EPS Q2Q%113.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)116.86%
Revenue growth 3Y22.57%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%143.41%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 21.82% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • AVAV is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 33.07% yearly.
EPS Next Y-10.1%
EPS Next 2Y13.84%
EPS Next 3Y18.52%
EPS Next 5Y21.82%
Revenue Next Year140.88%
Revenue Next 2Y66.36%
Revenue Next 3Y47.48%
Revenue Next 5Y33.07%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AVAV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAVAV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B
AVAV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAVAV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

1

4. AVAV Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 65.03, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AVAV.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AVAV is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • AVAV's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.15.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 46.19, AVAV can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AVAV.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AVAV to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.12), we can say AVAV is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 65.03
Fwd PE 46.19
AVAV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAVAV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AVAV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 60.7
AVAV Per share dataAVAV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AVAV's earnings are expected to grow with 18.52% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)5.23
EPS Next 2Y13.84%
EPS Next 3Y18.52%

0

5. AVAV Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AVAV does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

AVAV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AEROVIRONMENT INC

NASDAQ:AVAV (4/27/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

Premarket: 193.195 -2.55 (-1.3%)

195.74

-0.54 (-0.28%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)03-10
Earnings (Next)06-22
Inst Owners67.48%
Inst Owner Change0.51%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap9.91B
Revenue(TTM)1.61B
Net Income(TTM)-224.36M
Analysts83.2
Price Target321.93 (64.47%)
Short Float %11.43%
Short Ratio2.56
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-26.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.55%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.25%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-13.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.55%
Max EPS beat(4)13.42%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.97%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)33.07%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)3.83%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)-15.89%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.04%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-15.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.62%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.08%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.8%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.42%
PT rev (1m)-17.46%
PT rev (3m)-18.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-21.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)-15.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 65.03
Fwd PE 46.19
P/S 6.15
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.32
P/tB 11.2
EV/EBITDA 60.7
EPS(TTM)3.01
EY1.54%
EPS(NY)4.24
Fwd EY2.16%
FCF(TTM)-4.86
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-3.44
OCFYN/A
SpS31.82
BVpS84.41
TBVpS17.48
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)5.23
Graham Number75.6104 (-61.37%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.11%
ROE -5.25%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.74%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-3.87%
ROA(5y)-1.91%
ROE(3y)-6.6%
ROE(5y)-3.34%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-10.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-13.83%
GM growth 3Y7.02%
GM growth 5Y-1.41%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.53
Cap/Depr 33.18%
Cap/Sales 4.47%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 5.51
Quick Ratio 4.54
Altman-Z 5.61
F-Score2
WACC9.88%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)46.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)46.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.36%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.02%
EPS 3Y38.53%
EPS 5Y12.43%
EPS Q2Q%113.33%
EPS Next Y-10.1%
EPS Next 2Y13.84%
EPS Next 3Y18.52%
EPS Next 5Y21.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)116.86%
Revenue growth 3Y22.57%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%143.41%
Revenue Next Year140.88%
Revenue Next 2Y66.36%
Revenue Next 3Y47.48%
Revenue Next 5Y33.07%
EBIT growth 1Y-270.08%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y4.66%
EBIT Next Year267.83%
EBIT Next 3Y82.08%
EBIT Next 5Y56.18%
FCF growth 1Y-2714.34%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-689.15%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

AEROVIRONMENT INC / AVAV Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AVAV.


Can you provide the valuation status for AEROVIRONMENT INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AVAV stock?

AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


How financially healthy is AEROVIRONMENT INC?

The financial health rating of AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) is 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for AEROVIRONMENT INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) is expected to decline by -10.1% in the next year.