AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:AVAV • US0080731088

Current stock price

196.28 USD
-5.63 (-2.79%)
At close:
196.5 USD
+0.22 (+0.11%)
After Hours:

This AVAV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. AVAV Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AVAV was profitable.
  • AVAV had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years AVAV reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In multiple years AVAV reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
AVAV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAVAV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

  • AVAV's Return On Assets of -4.11% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AVAV is outperformed by 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -5.25%, AVAV is not doing good in the industry: 65.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.11%
ROE -5.25%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-3.87%
ROA(5y)-1.91%
ROE(3y)-6.6%
ROE(5y)-3.34%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AVAV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAVAV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AVAV has declined.
  • AVAV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AVAV has a Gross Margin of 24.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AVAV outperforms 51.25% of its industry peers.
  • AVAV's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • AVAV does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.74%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-10.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-13.83%
GM growth 3Y7.02%
GM growth 5Y-1.41%
AVAV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAVAV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

5

2. AVAV Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AVAV does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • AVAV has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AVAV has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AVAV has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AVAV Yearly Shares OutstandingAVAV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
AVAV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAVAV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • AVAV has an Altman-Z score of 5.77. This indicates that AVAV is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • AVAV has a better Altman-Z score (5.77) than 67.50% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17 indicates that AVAV is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • AVAV has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.17) than 68.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 5.77
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.49%
AVAV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAVAV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 5.51 indicates that AVAV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • AVAV's Current ratio of 5.51 is amongst the best of the industry. AVAV outperforms 88.75% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 4.54 indicates that AVAV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 4.54, AVAV belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.51
Quick Ratio 4.54
AVAV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAVAV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

9

3. AVAV Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AVAV shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 44.02%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, AVAV shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.43% on average per year.
  • AVAV shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 116.86%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 17.44% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.02%
EPS 3Y38.53%
EPS 5Y12.43%
EPS Q2Q%113.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)116.86%
Revenue growth 3Y22.57%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%143.41%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.79% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • AVAV is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 37.65% yearly.
EPS Next Y-10.1%
EPS Next 2Y13.84%
EPS Next 3Y18.52%
EPS Next 5Y22.79%
Revenue Next Year140.88%
Revenue Next 2Y66.36%
Revenue Next 3Y47.48%
Revenue Next 5Y37.65%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AVAV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAVAV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B
AVAV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAVAV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

1

4. AVAV Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 65.21, the valuation of AVAV can be described as expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AVAV.
  • AVAV's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 46.32, AVAV can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • AVAV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • AVAV is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.24, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 65.21
Fwd PE 46.32
AVAV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAVAV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AVAV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 62.64
AVAV Per share dataAVAV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AVAV's earnings are expected to grow with 18.52% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)5.24
EPS Next 2Y13.84%
EPS Next 3Y18.52%

0

5. AVAV Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AVAV!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

AVAV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AEROVIRONMENT INC

NASDAQ:AVAV (4/24/2026, 8:22:11 PM)

After market: 196.5 +0.22 (+0.11%)

196.28

-5.63 (-2.79%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)03-10
Earnings (Next)06-22
Inst Owners67.48%
Inst Owner Change0.44%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner Change-0.17%
Market Cap9.93B
Revenue(TTM)1.61B
Net Income(TTM)-224.36M
Analysts83.2
Price Target321.93 (64.02%)
Short Float %12.09%
Short Ratio2.65
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-26.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.55%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.25%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-13.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.55%
Max EPS beat(4)13.42%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.97%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)33.07%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)3.83%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)-15.89%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.04%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-15.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.62%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.08%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.8%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.42%
PT rev (1m)-17.46%
PT rev (3m)-18.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-21.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)-15.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 65.21
Fwd PE 46.32
P/S 6.17
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.33
P/tB 11.23
EV/EBITDA 62.64
EPS(TTM)3.01
EY1.53%
EPS(NY)4.24
Fwd EY2.16%
FCF(TTM)-4.86
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-3.44
OCFYN/A
SpS31.82
BVpS84.41
TBVpS17.48
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)5.24
Graham Number75.6104 (-61.48%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.11%
ROE -5.25%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.74%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-3.87%
ROA(5y)-1.91%
ROE(3y)-6.6%
ROE(5y)-3.34%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-10.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-13.83%
GM growth 3Y7.02%
GM growth 5Y-1.41%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.53
Cap/Depr 33.18%
Cap/Sales 4.47%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 5.51
Quick Ratio 4.54
Altman-Z 5.77
F-Score2
WACC10.49%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)46.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)46.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.36%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.02%
EPS 3Y38.53%
EPS 5Y12.43%
EPS Q2Q%113.33%
EPS Next Y-10.1%
EPS Next 2Y13.84%
EPS Next 3Y18.52%
EPS Next 5Y22.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)116.86%
Revenue growth 3Y22.57%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%143.41%
Revenue Next Year140.88%
Revenue Next 2Y66.36%
Revenue Next 3Y47.48%
Revenue Next 5Y37.65%
EBIT growth 1Y-270.08%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y4.66%
EBIT Next Year267.83%
EBIT Next 3Y82.08%
EBIT Next 5Y59.13%
FCF growth 1Y-2714.34%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-689.15%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

AEROVIRONMENT INC / AVAV Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AVAV.


Can you provide the valuation status for AEROVIRONMENT INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AVAV stock?

AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


How financially healthy is AEROVIRONMENT INC?

The financial health rating of AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) is 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for AEROVIRONMENT INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AEROVIRONMENT INC (AVAV) is expected to decline by -10.1% in the next year.