ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:ATO • US0495601058

186.79 USD
+3.16 (+1.72%)
At close: Feb 27, 2026
186.79 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ATO. ATO was compared to 15 industry peers in the Gas Utilities industry. While ATO belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ATO is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ATO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ATO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ATO has been profitable.
  • ATO had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
ATO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • ATO's Return On Assets of 4.19% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ATO outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 8.75%, ATO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of ATO (4.71%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • ATO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.53%. This is in line with the industry average of 6.15%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (4.53%) for ATO is below the current ROIC(4.71%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.19%
ROE 8.75%
ROIC 4.71%
ROA(3y)4.1%
ROA(5y)3.84%
ROE(3y)8.52%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)4.53%
ROIC(5y)4.46%
ATO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 25.66%, ATO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATO's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • ATO's Operating Margin of 33.17% is amongst the best of the industry. ATO outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
  • ATO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of ATO (76.83%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • ATO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 25.66%
GM 76.83%
OM growth 3Y14.81%
OM growth 5Y2.57%
PM growth 3Y11.42%
PM growth 5Y3.65%
GM growth 3Y8.86%
GM growth 5Y0.18%
ATO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ATO is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ATO has more shares outstanding
  • ATO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ATO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ATO Yearly Shares OutstandingATO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
ATO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.78, we must say that ATO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • ATO's Altman-Z score of 1.78 is amongst the best of the industry. ATO outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
  • ATO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67. This is a neutral value indicating ATO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.67, ATO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.78
ROIC/WACC0.63
WACC7.5%
ATO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that ATO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of ATO (1.13) is better than 93.33% of its industry peers.
  • ATO has a Quick Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that ATO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ATO has a Quick ratio of 1.02. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATO outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.02
ATO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.16% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.58% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -8.83% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, ATO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.76% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.16%
EPS 3Y9.79%
EPS 5Y9.58%
EPS Q2Q%9.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.83%
Revenue growth 3Y3.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.76%
Sales Q2Q%14.17%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.34% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ATO will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.60% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.89%
EPS Next 2Y9.26%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
EPS Next 5Y8.34%
Revenue Next Year9.43%
Revenue Next 2Y11.06%
Revenue Next 3Y10.11%
Revenue Next 5Y9.6%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
ATO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B
ATO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8 10

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 24.26 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ATO.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ATO is valued expensively inside the industry as 80.00% of the companies are valued cheaper.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ATO to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.07), we can say ATO is valued inline with the index average.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.89, ATO is valued on the expensive side.
  • 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than ATO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ATO to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.05), we can say ATO is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.26
Fwd PE 20.89
ATO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ATO is valued more expensive than 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.99
ATO Per share dataATO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ATO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of ATO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.23
PEG (5Y)2.53
EPS Next 2Y9.26%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.18%, ATO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 2.18, ATO pays less dividend than the industry average, which is at 3.58. 86.67% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than ATO!
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, ATO has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.18%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of ATO grows each year by 8.68%, which is quite nice.
  • ATO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • ATO has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.68%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
ATO Yearly Dividends per shareATO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 46.32% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ATO. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • ATO's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP46.32%
EPS Next 2Y9.26%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
ATO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendATO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B -3B
ATO Dividend Payout.ATO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ATO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ATMOS ENERGY CORP

NYSE:ATO (2/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 186.79 0 (0%)

186.79

+3.16 (+1.72%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryGas Utilities
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners102.27%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners0.32%
Ins Owner Change4.11%
Market Cap30.90B
Revenue(TTM)4.87B
Net Income(TTM)1.25B
Analysts68.42
Price Target182.25 (-2.43%)
Short Float %2.34%
Short Ratio2.93
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.18%
Yearly Dividend3.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.68%
DP46.32%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-23
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.66%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(2)5.71%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(4)5.71%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)2.85%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)2.22%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.08%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.23%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.12%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.37%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-15.53%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-5.85%
PT rev (1m)2.31%
PT rev (3m)3.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.13%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.42%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.76%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.26
Fwd PE 20.89
P/S 6.35
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 14.89
P/B 2.16
P/tB 2.29
EV/EBITDA 16.99
EPS(TTM)7.7
EY4.12%
EPS(NY)8.94
Fwd EY4.79%
FCF(TTM)-9.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)12.55
OCFY6.72%
SpS29.43
BVpS86.33
TBVpS81.47
PEG (NY)2.23
PEG (5Y)2.53
Graham Number122.3
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.19%
ROE 8.75%
ROCE 5.7%
ROIC 4.71%
ROICexc 4.78%
ROICexgc 4.92%
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 25.66%
GM 76.83%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.1%
ROA(5y)3.84%
ROE(3y)8.52%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)4.53%
ROIC(5y)4.46%
ROICexc(3y)4.57%
ROICexc(5y)4.49%
ROICexgc(3y)4.73%
ROICexgc(5y)4.67%
ROCE(3y)5.5%
ROCE(5y)5.41%
ROICexgc growth 3Y5.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y5.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.64%
OM growth 3Y14.81%
OM growth 5Y2.57%
PM growth 3Y11.42%
PM growth 5Y3.65%
GM growth 3Y8.86%
GM growth 5Y0.18%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.07
Cap/Depr 494.56%
Cap/Sales 76.06%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 87.79%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.02
Altman-Z 1.78
F-Score3
WACC7.5%
ROIC/WACC0.63
Cap/Depr(3y)462.48%
Cap/Depr(5y)451.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)70.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)65.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.16%
EPS 3Y9.79%
EPS 5Y9.58%
EPS Q2Q%9.42%
EPS Next Y10.89%
EPS Next 2Y9.26%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
EPS Next 5Y8.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.83%
Revenue growth 3Y3.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.76%
Sales Q2Q%14.17%
Revenue Next Year9.43%
Revenue Next 2Y11.06%
Revenue Next 3Y10.11%
Revenue Next 5Y9.6%
EBIT growth 1Y-11%
EBIT growth 3Y19.2%
EBIT growth 5Y13.61%
EBIT Next Year60.48%
EBIT Next 3Y26.93%
EBIT Next 5Y22.49%
FCF growth 1Y-321.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-40.97%
OCF growth 3Y27.99%
OCF growth 5Y14.57%

ATMOS ENERGY CORP / ATO FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ATO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ATO.


What is the valuation status for ATO stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ATO stock?

ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) is expected to grow by 10.89% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ATO stock?

The dividend rating of ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 46.32%.