ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ATO • US0495601058
Current stock price
190.36 USD
-1.93 (-1%)
At close:
190.36 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This ATO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ATO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- ATO had positive earnings in the past year.
- ATO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- ATO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- ATO had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.19%, ATO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a Return On Equity value of 8.75%, ATO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- ATO's Return On Invested Capital of 4.71% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ATO outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ATO is in line with the industry average of 6.19%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (4.71%) for ATO is above the 3 year average (4.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.19% | ||
| ROE | 8.75% | ||
| ROIC | 4.71% |
ROA(3y)4.1%
ROA(5y)3.84%
ROE(3y)8.52%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)4.53%
ROIC(5y)4.46%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 25.66%, ATO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ATO has grown nicely.
- ATO has a better Operating Margin (33.17%) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ATO has grown nicely.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 76.83%, ATO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ATO has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 33.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 25.66% | ||
| GM | 76.83% |
OM growth 3Y14.81%
OM growth 5Y2.57%
PM growth 3Y11.42%
PM growth 5Y3.65%
GM growth 3Y8.86%
GM growth 5Y0.18%
2. ATO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ATO is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for ATO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- ATO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ATO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- ATO has an Altman-Z score of 1.82. This is not the best score and indicates that ATO is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.82, ATO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67 indicates that ATO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- ATO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.67. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATO outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.82 |
ROIC/WACC0.61
WACC7.77%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that ATO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of ATO (1.13) is better than 93.33% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.02 indicates that ATO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With an excellent Quick ratio value of 1.02, ATO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 |
3. ATO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ATO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 10.16%, which is quite good.
- Measured over the past years, ATO shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.58% on average per year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -8.83% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, ATO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.76% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.16%
EPS 3Y9.79%
EPS 5Y9.58%
EPS Q2Q%9.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.83%
Revenue growth 3Y3.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.76%
Sales Q2Q%14.17%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, ATO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.34% on average per year.
- ATO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.60% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.21%
EPS Next 2Y9.02%
EPS Next 3Y8.65%
EPS Next 5Y8.34%
Revenue Next Year16.6%
Revenue Next 2Y13.43%
Revenue Next 3Y10.78%
Revenue Next 5Y9.6%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. ATO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 24.72, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ATO.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ATO is valued more expensive than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- ATO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.78.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.38, the valuation of ATO can be described as rather expensive.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ATO is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 73.33% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- ATO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.54.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.38 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ATO is valued expensively inside the industry as 93.33% of the companies are valued cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ATO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- ATO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.21
PEG (5Y)2.58
EPS Next 2Y9.02%
EPS Next 3Y8.65%
5. ATO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.18%, ATO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- With a Dividend Yield of 2.18, ATO pays less dividend than the industry average, which is at 3.69. 93.33% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than ATO!
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, ATO has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.18% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of ATO is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.68%!
- ATO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- ATO has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.68%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
- 46.32% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ATO. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- ATO's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP46.32%
EPS Next 2Y9.02%
EPS Next 3Y8.65%
ATO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
190.36
-1.93 (-1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryGas Utilities
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05
Inst Owners99.74%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change4.3%
Market Cap31.49B
Revenue(TTM)4.87B
Net Income(TTM)1.25B
Analysts68.42
Price Target183.44 (-3.64%)
Short Float %2.47%
Short Ratio2.81
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.18% |
Yearly Dividend3.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.68%
DP46.32%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-23 2026-02-23 (1)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.66%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(2)5.71%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(4)5.71%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)2.85%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)2.22%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.08%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.23%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.12%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.37%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-15.53%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-5.85%
PT rev (1m)0.65%
PT rev (3m)2.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.13%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.7%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.38 | ||
| P/S | 6.47 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 15.17 | ||
| P/B | 2.2 | ||
| P/tB | 2.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.38 |
EPS(TTM)7.7
EY4.04%
EPS(NY)8.9
Fwd EY4.68%
FCF(TTM)-9.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)12.55
OCFY6.59%
SpS29.43
BVpS86.33
TBVpS81.47
PEG (NY)2.21
PEG (5Y)2.58
Graham Number122.3
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.19% | ||
| ROE | 8.75% | ||
| ROCE | 5.7% | ||
| ROIC | 4.71% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.78% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.92% | ||
| OM | 33.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 25.66% | ||
| GM | 76.83% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.1%
ROA(5y)3.84%
ROE(3y)8.52%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)4.53%
ROIC(5y)4.46%
ROICexc(3y)4.57%
ROICexc(5y)4.49%
ROICexgc(3y)4.73%
ROICexgc(5y)4.67%
ROCE(3y)5.5%
ROCE(5y)5.41%
ROICexgc growth 3Y5.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y5.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.64%
OM growth 3Y14.81%
OM growth 5Y2.57%
PM growth 3Y11.42%
PM growth 5Y3.65%
GM growth 3Y8.86%
GM growth 5Y0.18%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.07 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 494.56% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 76.06% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.79% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.82 |
F-Score3
WACC7.77%
ROIC/WACC0.61
Cap/Depr(3y)462.48%
Cap/Depr(5y)451.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)70.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)65.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.16%
EPS 3Y9.79%
EPS 5Y9.58%
EPS Q2Q%9.42%
EPS Next Y11.21%
EPS Next 2Y9.02%
EPS Next 3Y8.65%
EPS Next 5Y8.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.83%
Revenue growth 3Y3.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.76%
Sales Q2Q%14.17%
Revenue Next Year16.6%
Revenue Next 2Y13.43%
Revenue Next 3Y10.78%
Revenue Next 5Y9.6%
EBIT growth 1Y-11%
EBIT growth 3Y19.2%
EBIT growth 5Y13.61%
EBIT Next Year60.48%
EBIT Next 3Y26.93%
EBIT Next 5Y22.49%
FCF growth 1Y-321.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-40.97%
OCF growth 3Y27.99%
OCF growth 5Y14.57%
ATMOS ENERGY CORP / ATO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for ATO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ATO.
What is the valuation status for ATO stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ATMOS ENERGY CORP?
ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for ATO stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) is 24.72 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.2.
Can you provide the financial health for ATO stock?
The financial health rating of ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) is 4 / 10.