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ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:ATH - CA04682R1073 - Common Stock

6.92 CAD
-0.11 (-1.56%)
Last: 12/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to ATH. ATH was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making ATH a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. ATH has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ATH had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ATH had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years ATH reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years ATH 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

ATH has a Return On Assets of 18.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 97.17% of its industry peers.
ATH has a better Return On Equity (26.00%) than 97.64% of its industry peers.
ATH's Return On Invested Capital of 13.84% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 96.70% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ATH is above the industry average of 6.57%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (13.84%) for ATH is above the 3 year average (10.38%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.28%
ROE 26%
ROIC 13.84%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

ATH has a better Profit Margin (33.84%) than 96.23% of its industry peers.
ATH's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ATH has a Operating Margin of 30.10%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 84.91% of its industry peers.
ATH's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ATH has a Gross Margin of 62.58%. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 79.72% of its industry peers.
ATH's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 30.1%
PM (TTM) 33.84%
GM 62.58%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
ATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ATH is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ATH has less shares outstanding
ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
ATH has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.80 indicates that ATH is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
ATH's Altman-Z score of 3.80 is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 82.08% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ATH is 0.92, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ATH, only 0.92 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.92, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.40% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
ATH's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.11 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ATH outperforms 69.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.92
Altman-Z 3.8
ROIC/WACC1.75
WACC7.9%
ATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

ATH has a Current Ratio of 2.02. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
ATH has a Current ratio of 2.02. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 78.77% of its industry peers.
ATH has a Quick Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that ATH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.84, ATH is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.02
Quick Ratio 1.84
ATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ATH shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 117.07%, which is quite impressive.
ATH shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 84.71% yearly.
Looking at the last year, ATH shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.40% in the last year.
ATH shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.85% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)117.07%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.4%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-9.68%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.83% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -29.22% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-37.76%
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.85%
EPS Next 5Y6.83%
Revenue Next Year-4.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-29.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
ATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.78, the valuation of ATH can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ATH is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
ATH's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.57.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.27, the valuation of ATH can be described as correct.
64.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ATH, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ATH to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.04), we can say ATH is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.78
Fwd PE 14.27
ATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ATH is valued cheaper than 83.02% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ATH is cheaper than 70.28% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.62
EV/EBITDA 6.01
ATH.CA Per share dataATH.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of ATH may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.09
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.85%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ATH!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ATHABASCA OIL CORP

TSX:ATH (12/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

6.92

-0.11 (-1.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-28 2025-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)03-03 2026-03-03/amc
Inst Owners20.86%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.13%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.36B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)462.85M
Analysts73.85
Price Target7.54 (8.96%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-16.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)51.31%
Min EPS beat(4)-16.22%
Max EPS beat(4)230.03%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)14.22%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-60.64%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)159.72%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-28.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-23.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-29.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)-23.87%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-28.12%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)5.56%
PT rev (3m)13.19%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.78
Fwd PE 14.27
P/S 2.46
P/FCF 15.62
P/OCF 6.22
P/B 1.89
P/tB 1.89
EV/EBITDA 6.01
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY12.86%
EPS(NY)0.48
Fwd EY7.01%
FCF(TTM)0.44
FCFY6.4%
OCF(TTM)1.11
OCFY16.08%
SpS2.81
BVpS3.66
TBVpS3.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.09
Graham Number8.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.28%
ROE 26%
ROCE 18.1%
ROIC 13.84%
ROICexc 16.23%
ROICexgc 16.23%
OM 30.1%
PM (TTM) 33.84%
GM 62.58%
FCFM 15.74%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.18%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.18%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.57%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexgc growth 5Y42.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.21%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.92
Debt/EBITDA 0.37
Cap/Depr 259.53%
Cap/Sales 23.8%
Interest Coverage 25.09
Cash Conversion 100.69%
Profit Quality 46.53%
Current Ratio 2.02
Quick Ratio 1.84
Altman-Z 3.8
F-Score7
WACC7.9%
ROIC/WACC1.75
Cap/Depr(3y)160.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)134.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.34%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)117.07%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
EPS Next Y-37.76%
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.85%
EPS Next 5Y6.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.4%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue Next Year-4.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-29.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y14.17%
EBIT growth 3Y63.22%
EBIT growth 5Y45.86%
EBIT Next Year85.13%
EBIT Next 3Y32.51%
EBIT Next 5Y27.92%
FCF growth 1Y36.73%
FCF growth 3Y41.42%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y99.14%
OCF growth 3Y42.1%
OCF growth 5Y43.2%

ATHABASCA OIL CORP / ATH.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ATH.CA.


What is the valuation status of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ATHABASCA OIL CORP?

ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ATH stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) is expected to decline by -37.76% in the next year.