Logo image of ATH.CA

ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:ATH - CA04682R1073 - Common Stock

7.72 CAD
+0.01 (+0.13%)
Last: 11/19/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, ATH scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ATH was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. ATH has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. ATH has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ATH had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ATH had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ATH reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years ATH 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

ATH has a Return On Assets of 18.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 96.70% of its industry peers.
ATH's Return On Equity of 26.00% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 98.11% of its industry peers.
ATH's Return On Invested Capital of 13.84% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 96.23% of its industry peers.
ATH had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.38%. This is above the industry average of 6.73%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (13.84%) for ATH is above the 3 year average (10.38%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.28%
ROE 26%
ROIC 13.84%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

ATH's Profit Margin of 33.84% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 95.28% of its industry peers.
ATH's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ATH has a Operating Margin of 30.10%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 82.55% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ATH has grown nicely.
ATH has a better Gross Margin (62.58%) than 79.25% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ATH has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 30.1%
PM (TTM) 33.84%
GM 62.58%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
ATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ATH is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ATH has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, ATH has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, ATH has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.15 indicates that ATH is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
ATH's Altman-Z score of 4.15 is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 84.43% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ATH is 0.92, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ATH, only 0.92 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ATH has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.92. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 91.98% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that ATH is not too dependend on debt financing.
ATH's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.11 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ATH outperforms 68.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.92
Altman-Z 4.15
ROIC/WACC1.74
WACC7.94%
ATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

ATH has a Current Ratio of 2.02. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ATH (2.02) is better than 79.72% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.84 indicates that ATH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ATH has a better Quick ratio (1.84) than 79.25% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.02
Quick Ratio 1.84
ATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 117.07% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 84.71% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.40% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 11.85% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)117.07%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.4%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-9.68%

3.2 Future

ATH is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.76% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ATH will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -65.23% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-37.76%
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.45%
EPS Next 5Y6.76%
Revenue Next Year-4.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-65.23%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
ATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 8.67, the valuation of ATH can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ATH indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ATH is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ATH is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.92, which indicates a correct valuation of ATH.
ATH's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
ATH is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.67
Fwd PE 15.92
ATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

79.72% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ATH, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ATH is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.09% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.65
EV/EBITDA 6.82
ATH.CA Per share dataATH.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ATH has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.1
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.45%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ATH!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ATHABASCA OIL CORP

TSX:ATH (11/19/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

7.72

+0.01 (+0.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-28 2025-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)03-03 2026-03-03/amc
Inst Owners15.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.80B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)462.85M
Analysts73.85
Price Target7.14 (-7.51%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-16.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)51.31%
Min EPS beat(4)-16.22%
Max EPS beat(4)230.03%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)14.22%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-60.64%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)159.72%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-28.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-23.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-29.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)-23.87%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-28.12%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)7.23%
PT rev (3m)8.15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.95%
EPS NY rev (3m)20.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)49.63%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.67
Fwd PE 15.92
P/S 2.78
P/FCF 17.65
P/OCF 7.03
P/B 2.13
P/tB 2.13
EV/EBITDA 6.82
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY11.53%
EPS(NY)0.48
Fwd EY6.28%
FCF(TTM)0.44
FCFY5.67%
OCF(TTM)1.1
OCFY14.23%
SpS2.78
BVpS3.62
TBVpS3.62
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.1
Graham Number8.51
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.28%
ROE 26%
ROCE 18.1%
ROIC 13.84%
ROICexc 16.23%
ROICexgc 16.23%
OM 30.1%
PM (TTM) 33.84%
GM 62.58%
FCFM 15.74%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.18%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.18%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.57%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexgc growth 5Y42.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.21%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.92
Debt/EBITDA 0.37
Cap/Depr 259.53%
Cap/Sales 23.8%
Interest Coverage 25.09
Cash Conversion 100.69%
Profit Quality 46.53%
Current Ratio 2.02
Quick Ratio 1.84
Altman-Z 4.15
F-Score7
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC1.74
Cap/Depr(3y)160.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)134.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.34%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)117.07%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
EPS Next Y-37.76%
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.45%
EPS Next 5Y6.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.4%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue Next Year-4.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-65.23%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y14.17%
EBIT growth 3Y63.22%
EBIT growth 5Y45.86%
EBIT Next Year101.36%
EBIT Next 3Y45.98%
EBIT Next 5Y27.84%
FCF growth 1Y36.73%
FCF growth 3Y41.42%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y99.14%
OCF growth 3Y42.1%
OCF growth 5Y43.2%

ATHABASCA OIL CORP / ATH.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ATH.CA.


What is the valuation status of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ATHABASCA OIL CORP?

ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ATH stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) is expected to decline by -37.76% in the next year.