ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:ATH • CA04682R1073

Current stock price

10.91 CAD
+0.11 (+1.02%)
Last:

This ATH.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. ATH.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ATH was profitable.
  • ATH had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years ATH 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ATH had a positive operating cash flow.
ATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 9.61%, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATH's Return On Equity of 13.82% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 90.95% of its industry peers.
  • ATH has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.48%) than 96.67% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ATH is above the industry average of 6.90%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.56%) for ATH is below the current ROIC(12.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.61%
ROE 13.82%
ROIC 12.48%
ROA(3y)8.67%
ROA(5y)15.59%
ROE(3y)12.45%
ROE(5y)23.08%
ROIC(3y)11.56%
ROIC(5y)9.69%
ATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 18.66%, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ATH has declined.
  • ATH's Operating Margin of 28.34% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 82.86% of its industry peers.
  • ATH's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 62.86%, ATH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATH's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.34%
PM (TTM) 18.66%
GM 62.86%
OM growth 3Y15.44%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-26.37%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.81%
GM growth 5Y-0.11%
ATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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8

2. ATH.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ATH is creating some value.
  • ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for ATH has been reduced compared to a year ago.
ATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 5.09 indicates that ATH is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of ATH (5.09) is better than 85.24% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ATH is 1.00, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ATH, only 1.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • ATH's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.00 is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that ATH is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of ATH (0.11) is better than 71.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 1
Altman-Z 5.09
ROIC/WACC1.59
WACC7.87%
ATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.78 indicates that ATH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ATH has a better Current ratio (1.78) than 76.67% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.62 indicates that ATH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ATH's Quick ratio of 1.62 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ATH outperforms 74.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.62
ATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. ATH.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ATH have decreased strongly by -43.02% in the last year.
  • ATH shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.86% yearly.
  • ATH shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.07%.
  • ATH shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 21.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-43.02%
EPS 3Y26.86%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-80%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.07%
Revenue growth 3Y2.37%
Revenue growth 5Y21.12%
Sales Q2Q%-14.59%

3.2 Future

  • ATH is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 31.73% yearly.
  • ATH is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -62.75% yearly.
EPS Next Y-34.04%
EPS Next 2Y8.87%
EPS Next 3Y31.73%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-20.76%
Revenue Next 3Y-62.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B
ATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

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4

4. ATH.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ATH is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.27.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ATH is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.10% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • ATH is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.21, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • ATH is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.76.
  • 62.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ATH, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • ATH is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.27
Fwd PE 33.76
ATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as ATH.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ATH is valued a bit cheaper than 67.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.46
EV/EBITDA 10.16
ATH.CA Per share dataATH.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of ATH may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ATH's earnings are expected to grow with 31.73% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.87%
EPS Next 3Y31.73%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. ATH.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ATH does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

ATH.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ATHABASCA OIL CORP

TSX:ATH (4/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

10.91

+0.11 (+1.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners24.07%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.96%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.24B
Revenue(TTM)1.31B
Net Income(TTM)245.11M
Analysts73.33
Price Target9.04 (-17.14%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-26.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.99%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-12.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.66%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.99%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)16.51%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-62.78%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-52.28%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-30.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-37.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)-23.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-31.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-37.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-23.87%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-28.68%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)12.72%
PT rev (3m)16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-33.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.86%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.27
Fwd PE 33.76
P/S 3.99
P/FCF 26.46
P/OCF 10.06
P/B 2.95
P/tB 2.95
EV/EBITDA 10.16
EPS(TTM)0.49
EY4.49%
EPS(NY)0.32
Fwd EY2.96%
FCF(TTM)0.41
FCFY3.78%
OCF(TTM)1.08
OCFY9.94%
SpS2.74
BVpS3.7
TBVpS3.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.38
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.61%
ROE 13.82%
ROCE 16.4%
ROIC 12.48%
ROICexc 14.5%
ROICexgc 14.5%
OM 28.34%
PM (TTM) 18.66%
GM 62.86%
FCFM 15.06%
ROA(3y)8.67%
ROA(5y)15.59%
ROE(3y)12.45%
ROE(5y)23.08%
ROIC(3y)11.56%
ROIC(5y)9.69%
ROICexc(3y)13.7%
ROICexc(5y)11.35%
ROICexgc(3y)13.7%
ROICexgc(5y)11.35%
ROCE(3y)15.19%
ROCE(5y)12.73%
ROICexgc growth 3Y14.09%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y14.09%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y15.44%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-26.37%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.81%
GM growth 5Y-0.11%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 1
Debt/EBITDA 0.39
Cap/Depr 245.65%
Cap/Sales 24.55%
Interest Coverage 22.49
Cash Conversion 103.34%
Profit Quality 80.75%
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.62
Altman-Z 5.09
F-Score5
WACC7.87%
ROIC/WACC1.59
Cap/Depr(3y)201.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)164.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.82%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-43.02%
EPS 3Y26.86%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-80%
EPS Next Y-34.04%
EPS Next 2Y8.87%
EPS Next 3Y31.73%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.07%
Revenue growth 3Y2.37%
Revenue growth 5Y21.12%
Sales Q2Q%-14.59%
Revenue Next Year-8.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-20.76%
Revenue Next 3Y-62.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-10.06%
EBIT growth 3Y18.18%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year43.74%
EBIT Next 3Y43.07%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.52%
FCF growth 3Y5.57%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.65%
OCF growth 3Y18.15%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ATHABASCA OIL CORP / ATH.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ATH.CA.


What is the valuation status for ATH stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of ATH stock?

ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ATH stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) is expected to decline by -34.04% in the next year.