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ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:ATH - CA04682R1073 - Common Stock

7.81 CAD
-0.07 (-0.89%)
Last: 12/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Overall ATH gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated ATH against 218 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. ATH scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. ATH is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ATH was profitable.
ATH had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years ATH reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
ATH had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
ATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 18.28%, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.25% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH's Return On Equity of 26.00% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 98.17% of its industry peers.
ATH's Return On Invested Capital of 13.84% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 96.79% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ATH is above the industry average of 6.53%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (13.84%) for ATH is above the 3 year average (10.38%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.28%
ROE 26%
ROIC 13.84%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 33.84%, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.87% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ATH has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 30.10%, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.03% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ATH has a Gross Margin of 62.58%. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 78.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ATH has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 30.1%
PM (TTM) 33.84%
GM 62.58%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
ATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ATH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ATH has less shares outstanding
ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ATH has been reduced compared to a year ago.
ATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.14 indicates that ATH is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
ATH has a better Altman-Z score (4.14) than 83.49% of its industry peers.
ATH has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.92. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.92 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ATH has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.92) than 94.04% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that ATH is not too dependend on debt financing.
ATH has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.11. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 70.64% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.92
Altman-Z 4.14
ROIC/WACC1.76
WACC7.85%
ATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.02 indicates that ATH has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
ATH has a Current ratio of 2.02. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 79.36% of its industry peers.
ATH has a Quick Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that ATH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ATH's Quick ratio of 1.84 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ATH outperforms 79.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.02
Quick Ratio 1.84
ATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 117.07% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, ATH shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 84.71% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.40% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 11.85% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)117.07%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.4%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-9.68%

3.2 Future

ATH is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.83% yearly.
ATH is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -29.22% yearly.
EPS Next Y-37.76%
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.85%
EPS Next 5Y6.83%
Revenue Next Year-4.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-29.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
ATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.78, which indicates a very decent valuation of ATH.
77.98% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ATH, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ATH to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.49), we can say ATH is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.11 indicates a correct valuation of ATH.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ATH is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.09% of the companies are valued more expensively.
ATH's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.69.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.78
Fwd PE 16.11
ATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ATH indicates a rather cheap valuation: ATH is cheaper than 81.65% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ATH is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.14% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.63
EV/EBITDA 6.81
ATH.CA Per share dataATH.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ATH has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.1
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.85%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ATH does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ATHABASCA OIL CORP

TSX:ATH (12/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

7.81

-0.07 (-0.89%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-28 2025-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)03-03 2026-03-03/amc
Inst Owners20.86%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.13%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.80B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)462.85M
Analysts73.85
Price Target7.54 (-3.46%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-16.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)51.31%
Min EPS beat(4)-16.22%
Max EPS beat(4)230.03%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)14.22%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-60.64%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)159.72%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-28.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-23.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-29.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)-23.87%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-28.12%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)5.56%
PT rev (3m)13.19%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)14.3%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.78
Fwd PE 16.11
P/S 2.78
P/FCF 17.63
P/OCF 7.02
P/B 2.13
P/tB 2.13
EV/EBITDA 6.81
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY11.4%
EPS(NY)0.48
Fwd EY6.21%
FCF(TTM)0.44
FCFY5.67%
OCF(TTM)1.11
OCFY14.25%
SpS2.81
BVpS3.66
TBVpS3.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.1
Graham Number8.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.28%
ROE 26%
ROCE 18.1%
ROIC 13.84%
ROICexc 16.23%
ROICexgc 16.23%
OM 30.1%
PM (TTM) 33.84%
GM 62.58%
FCFM 15.74%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.18%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.18%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.57%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexgc growth 5Y42.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.21%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.92
Debt/EBITDA 0.37
Cap/Depr 259.53%
Cap/Sales 23.8%
Interest Coverage 25.09
Cash Conversion 100.69%
Profit Quality 46.53%
Current Ratio 2.02
Quick Ratio 1.84
Altman-Z 4.14
F-Score7
WACC7.85%
ROIC/WACC1.76
Cap/Depr(3y)160.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)134.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.34%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)117.07%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
EPS Next Y-37.76%
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.85%
EPS Next 5Y6.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.4%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue Next Year-4.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-29.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y14.17%
EBIT growth 3Y63.22%
EBIT growth 5Y45.86%
EBIT Next Year85.13%
EBIT Next 3Y32.51%
EBIT Next 5Y27.92%
FCF growth 1Y36.73%
FCF growth 3Y41.42%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y99.14%
OCF growth 3Y42.1%
OCF growth 5Y43.2%

ATHABASCA OIL CORP / ATH.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ATH.CA.


What is the valuation status of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ATHABASCA OIL CORP?

ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ATH stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) is expected to decline by -37.76% in the next year.