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ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:ATH - CA04682R1073 - Common Stock

7.37 CAD
+0.32 (+4.54%)
Last: 11/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to ATH. ATH was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. ATH scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. ATH has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ATH had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ATH had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ATH reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years ATH 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 18.28%, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.73% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH has a better Return On Equity (26.00%) than 98.13% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 13.84%, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.26% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ATH is above the industry average of 6.73%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.38%) for ATH is below the current ROIC(13.84%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.28%
ROE 26%
ROIC 13.84%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

ATH has a better Profit Margin (33.84%) than 95.33% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ATH has grown nicely.
ATH's Operating Margin of 30.10% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 82.71% of its industry peers.
ATH's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ATH has a Gross Margin of 62.58%. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 78.97% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ATH has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 30.1%
PM (TTM) 33.84%
GM 62.58%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
ATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ATH is still creating some value.
ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
ATH has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

ATH has an Altman-Z score of 4.01. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.01, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.11% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.92. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.92 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ATH (0.92) is better than 92.06% of its industry peers.
ATH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
ATH has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.11) than 68.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.92
Altman-Z 4.01
ROIC/WACC1.74
WACC7.94%
ATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.02 indicates that ATH has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
ATH has a Current ratio of 2.02. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 79.44% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.84 indicates that ATH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.84, ATH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.97% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.02
Quick Ratio 1.84
ATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ATH shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 117.07%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 84.71% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, ATH shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.40% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ATH shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.85% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)117.07%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.4%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-9.68%

3.2 Future

ATH is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.76% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -65.23% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-37.76%
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.45%
EPS Next 5Y6.76%
Revenue Next Year-4.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-65.23%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
ATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.28, the valuation of ATH can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ATH is valued a bit cheaper than 79.44% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ATH to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.89), we can say ATH is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.20, ATH is valued correctly.
ATH's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.59. ATH is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.28
Fwd PE 15.2
ATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ATH is valued a bit cheaper than 79.91% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ATH is cheaper than 65.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.85
EV/EBITDA 6.5
ATH.CA Per share dataATH.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of ATH may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.1
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.45%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ATH!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ATHABASCA OIL CORP

TSX:ATH (11/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

7.37

+0.32 (+4.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-28 2025-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)03-03 2026-03-03/amc
Inst Owners15.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.63B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)462.85M
Analysts73.85
Price Target7.14 (-3.12%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-16.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)51.31%
Min EPS beat(4)-16.22%
Max EPS beat(4)230.03%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)14.22%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-60.64%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)159.72%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-28.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-23.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-29.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)-23.87%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-28.12%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)7.23%
PT rev (3m)8.15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.95%
EPS NY rev (3m)20.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)49.63%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.28
Fwd PE 15.2
P/S 2.65
P/FCF 16.85
P/OCF 6.71
P/B 2.04
P/tB 2.04
EV/EBITDA 6.5
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY12.08%
EPS(NY)0.48
Fwd EY6.58%
FCF(TTM)0.44
FCFY5.93%
OCF(TTM)1.1
OCFY14.9%
SpS2.78
BVpS3.62
TBVpS3.62
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.1
Graham Number8.51
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.28%
ROE 26%
ROCE 18.1%
ROIC 13.84%
ROICexc 16.23%
ROICexgc 16.23%
OM 30.1%
PM (TTM) 33.84%
GM 62.58%
FCFM 15.74%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.18%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.18%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.57%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexgc growth 5Y42.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.21%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.92
Debt/EBITDA 0.37
Cap/Depr 259.53%
Cap/Sales 23.8%
Interest Coverage 25.09
Cash Conversion 100.69%
Profit Quality 46.53%
Current Ratio 2.02
Quick Ratio 1.84
Altman-Z 4.01
F-Score7
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC1.74
Cap/Depr(3y)160.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)134.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.34%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)117.07%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
EPS Next Y-37.76%
EPS Next 2Y-24.92%
EPS Next 3Y-1.45%
EPS Next 5Y6.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.4%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue Next Year-4.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-65.23%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y14.17%
EBIT growth 3Y63.22%
EBIT growth 5Y45.86%
EBIT Next Year101.36%
EBIT Next 3Y45.98%
EBIT Next 5Y27.84%
FCF growth 1Y36.73%
FCF growth 3Y41.42%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y99.14%
OCF growth 3Y42.1%
OCF growth 5Y43.2%

ATHABASCA OIL CORP / ATH.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ATH.CA.


What is the valuation status of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ATHABASCA OIL CORP?

ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ATH stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) is expected to decline by -37.76% in the next year.