ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:ATHCA04682R1073

Current stock price

9.1 CAD
+0.04 (+0.44%)
Last:

This ATH.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. ATH.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ATH was profitable.
  • In the past year ATH had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years ATH 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ATH had a positive operating cash flow.
ATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • ATH has a better Return On Assets (9.61%) than 93.78% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 13.82%, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATH has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.48%) than 96.65% of its industry peers.
  • ATH had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.56%. This is above the industry average of 6.63%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (12.48%) for ATH is above the 3 year average (11.56%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.61%
ROE 13.82%
ROIC 12.48%
ROA(3y)8.67%
ROA(5y)15.59%
ROE(3y)12.45%
ROE(5y)23.08%
ROIC(3y)11.56%
ROIC(5y)9.69%
ATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • ATH has a Profit Margin of 18.66%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ATH has declined.
  • ATH has a better Operating Margin (28.34%) than 83.25% of its industry peers.
  • ATH's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 62.86%, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ATH has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.34%
PM (TTM) 18.66%
GM 62.86%
OM growth 3Y15.44%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-26.37%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.81%
GM growth 5Y-0.11%
ATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

8

2. ATH.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ATH is still creating some value.
  • ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ATH has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • ATH has an Altman-Z score of 4.41. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 4.41, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATH has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.00. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.00 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.00, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that ATH is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of ATH (0.11) is better than 71.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 1
Altman-Z 4.41
ROIC/WACC1.57
WACC7.97%
ATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.78 indicates that ATH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ATH's Current ratio of 1.78 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ATH outperforms 77.99% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.62 indicates that ATH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ATH has a Quick ratio of 1.62. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 76.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.62
ATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

5

3. ATH.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ATH shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -43.02%.
  • Measured over the past years, ATH shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 26.86% on average per year.
  • ATH shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.07%.
  • ATH shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 21.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-43.02%
EPS 3Y26.86%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-80%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.07%
Revenue growth 3Y2.37%
Revenue growth 5Y21.12%
Sales Q2Q%-14.59%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ATH will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 31.73% on average per year.
  • ATH is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -42.17% yearly.
EPS Next Y-34.04%
EPS Next 2Y8.87%
EPS Next 3Y31.73%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.81%
Revenue Next 2Y-42.17%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
ATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

5

4. ATH.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ATH is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.57.
  • 67.46% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ATH, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • ATH's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.96.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.16, ATH can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • ATH's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ATH is cheaper than 60.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATH's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 24.04.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.57
Fwd PE 28.16
ATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ATH indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ATH is cheaper than 72.25% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ATH is valued a bit cheaper than 66.03% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.07
EV/EBITDA 8.44
ATH.CA Per share dataATH.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of ATH may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ATH's earnings are expected to grow with 31.73% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.87%
EPS Next 3Y31.73%

0

5. ATH.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ATH!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ATH.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ATHABASCA OIL CORP

TSX:ATH (3/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

9.1

+0.04 (+0.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners24.07%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.96%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.37B
Revenue(TTM)1.31B
Net Income(TTM)245.11M
Analysts75.38
Price Target8.02 (-11.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-26.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.99%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-12.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.66%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.99%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)16.51%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-62.78%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-52.28%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-30.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-37.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)-23.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-31.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-37.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-23.87%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-28.68%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.7%
PT rev (3m)6.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.51%
EPS NY rev (3m)-33.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.57
Fwd PE 28.16
P/S 3.33
P/FCF 22.07
P/OCF 8.39
P/B 2.46
P/tB 2.46
EV/EBITDA 8.44
EPS(TTM)0.49
EY5.38%
EPS(NY)0.32
Fwd EY3.55%
FCF(TTM)0.41
FCFY4.53%
OCF(TTM)1.08
OCFY11.91%
SpS2.74
BVpS3.7
TBVpS3.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.38
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.61%
ROE 13.82%
ROCE 16.4%
ROIC 12.48%
ROICexc 14.5%
ROICexgc 14.5%
OM 28.34%
PM (TTM) 18.66%
GM 62.86%
FCFM 15.06%
ROA(3y)8.67%
ROA(5y)15.59%
ROE(3y)12.45%
ROE(5y)23.08%
ROIC(3y)11.56%
ROIC(5y)9.69%
ROICexc(3y)13.7%
ROICexc(5y)11.35%
ROICexgc(3y)13.7%
ROICexgc(5y)11.35%
ROCE(3y)15.19%
ROCE(5y)12.73%
ROICexgc growth 3Y14.09%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y14.09%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y15.44%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-26.37%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.81%
GM growth 5Y-0.11%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 1
Debt/EBITDA 0.39
Cap/Depr 245.65%
Cap/Sales 24.55%
Interest Coverage 22.49
Cash Conversion 103.34%
Profit Quality 80.75%
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.62
Altman-Z 4.41
F-Score5
WACC7.97%
ROIC/WACC1.57
Cap/Depr(3y)201.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)164.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.82%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-43.02%
EPS 3Y26.86%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-80%
EPS Next Y-34.04%
EPS Next 2Y8.87%
EPS Next 3Y31.73%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.07%
Revenue growth 3Y2.37%
Revenue growth 5Y21.12%
Sales Q2Q%-14.59%
Revenue Next Year-2.81%
Revenue Next 2Y-42.17%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-10.06%
EBIT growth 3Y18.18%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year43.74%
EBIT Next 3Y43.07%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.52%
FCF growth 3Y5.57%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.65%
OCF growth 3Y18.15%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ATHABASCA OIL CORP / ATH.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ATH.CA.


What is the valuation status for ATH stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the valuation of ATHABASCA OIL CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) is 18.57 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.46.