ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA)

CA04682R1073 - Common Stock

5.57  +0.05 (+0.91%)

Fundamental Rating

7

ATH gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 217 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making ATH a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on ATH. These ratings would make ATH suitable for value investing!



7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ATH had positive earnings in the past year.
ATH had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ATH reported negative net income in multiple years.
ATH had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

ATH has a better Return On Assets (10.33%) than 91.63% of its industry peers.
ATH's Return On Equity of 14.81% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 83.25% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 12.75%, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.61% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ATH is in line with the industry average of 7.68%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (12.75%) for ATH is above the 3 year average (6.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.33%
ROE 14.81%
ROIC 12.75%
ROA(3y)16.48%
ROA(5y)3.02%
ROE(3y)24.94%
ROE(5y)-4.18%
ROIC(3y)6.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 17.45%, ATH is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.38% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH has a Operating Margin of 27.26%. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 77.34% of its industry peers.
The Gross Margin of ATH (62.41%) is better than 74.38% of its industry peers.
ATH's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.26%
PM (TTM) 17.45%
GM 62.41%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.68%
GM growth 5Y4.92%

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ATH is still creating some value.
ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
ATH has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ATH has an improved debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

ATH has an Altman-Z score of 3.47. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
ATH's Altman-Z score of 3.47 is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 83.25% of its industry peers.
ATH has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.68. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ATH has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.68) than 93.60% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13 indicates that ATH is not too dependend on debt financing.
ATH's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.13 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ATH outperforms 65.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.13
Debt/FCF 0.68
Altman-Z 3.47
ROIC/WACC1.59
WACC8.02%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.54 indicates that ATH has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
ATH has a Current ratio of 2.54. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 81.77% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.32 indicates that ATH has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
ATH's Quick ratio of 2.32 is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 81.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.54
Quick Ratio 2.32

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 327.78% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, ATH shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 17.02% in the last year.
ATH shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.06% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)327.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%185.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.02%
Revenue growth 3Y32.68%
Revenue growth 5Y9.06%
Sales Q2Q%0.94%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ATH will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 76.08% on average per year.
ATH is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -52.54% yearly.
EPS Next Y460.23%
EPS Next 2Y157.8%
EPS Next 3Y90.52%
EPS Next 5Y76.08%
Revenue Next Year-11.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-52.54%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.59, which indicates a correct valuation of ATH.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ATH is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ATH to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.41), we can say ATH is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.99, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of ATH.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ATH indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ATH is cheaper than 62.56% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ATH is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.59
Fwd PE 7.99

4.2 Price Multiples

ATH's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ATH is cheaper than 74.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ATH is valued a bit cheaper than 69.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.14
EV/EBITDA 5.86

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ATH's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
ATH has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as ATH's earnings are expected to grow with 90.52% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y157.8%
EPS Next 3Y90.52%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ATH does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ATHABASCA OIL CORP

TSX:ATH (1/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

5.57

+0.05 (+0.91%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-30 2024-10-30/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners17.38%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.61%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.92B
Analysts75.71
Price Target6.45 (15.8%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.55%
Min EPS beat(2)-32.11%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.99%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.86%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.99%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.99%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-116.61%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)195.85%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-22.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)-26.67%
Max Revenue beat(2)-18.31%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-26.76%
Min Revenue beat(4)-33.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-18.31%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.4%
PT rev (3m)-3.62%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)28.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.59
Fwd PE 7.99
P/S 2.21
P/FCF 10.14
P/OCF 5.81
P/B 1.87
P/tB 1.87
EV/EBITDA 5.86
EPS(TTM)0.41
EY7.36%
EPS(NY)0.7
Fwd EY12.51%
FCF(TTM)0.55
FCFY9.86%
OCF(TTM)0.96
OCFY17.2%
SpS2.52
BVpS2.97
TBVpS2.97
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.33%
ROE 14.81%
ROCE 17.71%
ROIC 12.75%
ROICexc 15.26%
ROICexgc 15.26%
OM 27.26%
PM (TTM) 17.45%
GM 62.41%
FCFM 21.75%
ROA(3y)16.48%
ROA(5y)3.02%
ROE(3y)24.94%
ROE(5y)-4.18%
ROIC(3y)6.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.06%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.06%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.56%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.68%
GM growth 5Y4.92%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.13
Debt/FCF 0.68
Debt/EBITDA 0.42
Cap/Depr 195.82%
Cap/Sales 16.2%
Interest Coverage 13.86
Cash Conversion 106.8%
Profit Quality 124.63%
Current Ratio 2.54
Quick Ratio 2.32
Altman-Z 3.47
F-Score7
WACC8.02%
ROIC/WACC1.59
Cap/Depr(3y)114.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)118.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.51%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)327.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%185.71%
EPS Next Y460.23%
EPS Next 2Y157.8%
EPS Next 3Y90.52%
EPS Next 5Y76.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.02%
Revenue growth 3Y32.68%
Revenue growth 5Y9.06%
Sales Q2Q%0.94%
Revenue Next Year-11.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-52.54%
EBIT growth 1Y135.12%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year2677.83%
EBIT Next 3Y213.84%
EBIT Next 5Y146.88%
FCF growth 1Y64.64%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.31%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y29.53%