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ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:ATH - CA04682R1073 - Common Stock

6.53 CAD
-0.01 (-0.15%)
Last: 9/18/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

Taking everything into account, ATH scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ATH was compared to 216 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. ATH has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. ATH has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. These ratings could make ATH a good candidate for quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ATH was profitable.
In the past year ATH had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ATH reported negative net income in multiple years.
ATH had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
ATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

ATH has a better Return On Assets (18.66%) than 96.30% of its industry peers.
ATH has a Return On Equity of 26.06%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 97.69% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 14.10%, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.30% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.38%. This is above the industry average of 6.93%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.38%) for ATH is below the current ROIC(14.10%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.66%
ROE 26.06%
ROIC 14.1%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

ATH has a better Profit Margin (32.99%) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ATH has grown nicely.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 29.77%, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.02% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of ATH (63.49%) is better than 79.63% of its industry peers.
ATH's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.77%
PM (TTM) 32.99%
GM 63.49%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
ATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ATH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for ATH has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ATH has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

ATH has an Altman-Z score of 3.88. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.88, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ATH is 0.68, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ATH, only 0.68 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ATH has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.68. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 93.52% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that ATH is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of ATH (0.11) is better than 69.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.68
Altman-Z 3.88
ROIC/WACC1.72
WACC8.19%
ATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

ATH has a Current Ratio of 2.34. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 2.34, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.02% of the companies in the same industry.
ATH has a Quick Ratio of 2.15. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
ATH has a better Quick ratio (2.15) than 81.94% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.34
Quick Ratio 2.15
ATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 480.00% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 84.71% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
ATH shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.92%.
ATH shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.85% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)480%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%-35.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.92%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-6.71%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ATH will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.12% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -62.90% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-38.34%
EPS Next 2Y-23.37%
EPS Next 3Y14.85%
EPS Next 5Y13.12%
Revenue Next Year-0.74%
Revenue Next 2Y2.89%
Revenue Next 3Y-62.9%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
ATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ATH is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.51.
ATH's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ATH is cheaper than 79.63% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.41. ATH is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
ATH is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.93.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ATH indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ATH is cheaper than 62.96% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.88, ATH is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.51
Fwd PE 12.93
ATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ATH indicates a rather cheap valuation: ATH is cheaper than 82.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
75.93% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ATH, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.06
EV/EBITDA 5.75
ATH.CA Per share dataATH.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of ATH may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as ATH's earnings are expected to grow with 14.85% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.09
EPS Next 2Y-23.37%
EPS Next 3Y14.85%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ATH!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ATHABASCA OIL CORP

TSX:ATH (9/18/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

6.53

-0.01 (-0.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)07-24 2025-07-24/amc
Earnings (Next)10-28 2025-10-28
Inst Owners18.07%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.22B
Analysts73.85
Price Target6.66 (1.99%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.91%
Min EPS beat(2)-16.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.59%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)43.53%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.11%
Max EPS beat(4)230.03%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-9.33%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-50.74%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)173.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-31.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-30.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-30.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)-26.67%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.86%
PT rev (3m)6.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)19.32%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)54.78%
Revenue NY rev (3m)49.54%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.51
Fwd PE 12.93
P/S 2.3
P/FCF 11.06
P/OCF 5.63
P/B 1.81
P/tB 1.81
EV/EBITDA 5.75
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY13.32%
EPS(NY)0.51
Fwd EY7.73%
FCF(TTM)0.59
FCFY9.04%
OCF(TTM)1.16
OCFY17.75%
SpS2.84
BVpS3.6
TBVpS3.6
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.09
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.66%
ROE 26.06%
ROCE 18.44%
ROIC 14.1%
ROICexc 16.29%
ROICexgc 16.29%
OM 29.77%
PM (TTM) 32.99%
GM 63.49%
FCFM 20.76%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.18%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.18%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.57%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexcg growth 5Y42.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.21%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.68
Debt/EBITDA 0.36
Cap/Depr 225.51%
Cap/Sales 20%
Interest Coverage 20.32
Cash Conversion 105.47%
Profit Quality 62.92%
Current Ratio 2.34
Quick Ratio 2.15
Altman-Z 3.88
F-Score7
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC1.72
Cap/Depr(3y)160.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)134.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.34%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)480%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%-35.29%
EPS Next Y-38.34%
EPS Next 2Y-23.37%
EPS Next 3Y14.85%
EPS Next 5Y13.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.92%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-6.71%
Revenue Next Year-0.74%
Revenue Next 2Y2.89%
Revenue Next 3Y-62.9%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y63.22%
EBIT growth 5Y45.86%
EBIT Next Year105.64%
EBIT Next 3Y39.96%
EBIT Next 5Y34.13%
FCF growth 1Y139%
FCF growth 3Y41.42%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y124.03%
OCF growth 3Y42.1%
OCF growth 5Y43.2%