Logo image of ASTL

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:ASTL - CA0156581070 - Common Stock

4.4 USD
-0.06 (-1.35%)
Last: 12/17/2025, 1:34:55 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall ASTL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated ASTL against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ASTL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. ASTL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ASTL had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year ASTL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ASTL reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years ASTL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ASTL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASTL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

ASTL's Return On Assets of -28.19% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL is outperformed by 85.90% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -78.53%, ASTL is not doing good in the industry: 88.46% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.19%
ROE -78.53%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASTL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASTL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ASTL has grown nicely.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASTL has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ASTL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASTL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has more shares outstanding
ASTL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
ASTL Yearly Shares OutstandingASTL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
ASTL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASTL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.73, we must say that ASTL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ASTL has a Altman-Z score of 0.73. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ASTL underperforms 82.69% of its industry peers.
ASTL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84. This is a neutral value indicating ASTL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.84, ASTL is doing worse than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.73
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.15%
ASTL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASTL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

ASTL has a Current Ratio of 2.29. This indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 2.29, ASTL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.79% of the companies in the same industry.
ASTL has a Quick Ratio of 2.29. This is a bad value and indicates that ASTL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ASTL has a Quick ratio of 0.76. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ASTL underperforms 82.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.29
Quick Ratio 0.76
ASTL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASTL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ASTL have decreased strongly by -1858.57% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.22% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
ASTL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.69%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.71% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1858.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%121.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.69%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-14.87%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ASTL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.54% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, ASTL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.03% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-755.57%
EPS Next 2Y-151.24%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23.16%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.26%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
ASTL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASTL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B
ASTL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASTL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4 6 8 10

0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year ASTL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASTL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASTL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASTL Per share dataASTL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.54% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-151.24%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ASTL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.60%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.03. ASTL pays more dividend than 82.69% of the companies in the same industry.
ASTL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.6%

5.2 History

ASTL has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
ASTL Yearly Dividends per shareASTL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of ASTL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ASTL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-3.22%
EPS Next 2Y-151.24%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
ASTL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendASTL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:ASTL (12/17/2025, 1:34:55 PM)

4.4

-0.06 (-1.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)10-29 2025-10-29/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners77.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.88%
Ins Owners4.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap461.69M
Revenue(TTM)2.22B
Net Income(TTM)-686.70M
Analysts43.33
Price Target10.2 (131.82%)
Short Float %5.92%
Short Ratio2.6
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.6%
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-3.22%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date05-13 2025-05-13 (0.05)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)13.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(2)120.08%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)184.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(4)753.6%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)107.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)107.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)14.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-18.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.78%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.29
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.73
P/tB 0.73
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.61
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.28
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-3.81
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.97
OCFYN/A
SpS15.38
BVpS6.06
TBVpS6.05
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.19%
ROE -78.53%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)28.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.91
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 272.76%
Cap/Sales 18.48%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.29
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 0.73
F-Score2
WACC8.15%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1858.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%121.79%
EPS Next Y-755.57%
EPS Next 2Y-151.24%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.69%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-14.87%
Revenue Next Year-23.16%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.26%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-156.81%
EBIT growth 3Y73.56%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%
EBIT Next Year-248.56%
EBIT Next 3Y31%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-112.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-251.35%
OCF growth 3Y231.43%
OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC / ASTL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ASTL.


Can you provide the valuation status for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL) is expected to decline by -755.57% in the next year.