ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:ASTL - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0156581070 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to ASTL. ASTL was compared to 799 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ASTL has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. While showing a medium growth rate, ASTL is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ASTL had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year ASTL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In multiple years ASTL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
ASTL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
ASTL's Return On Assets of -8.84% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL outperforms 62.08% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of ASTL (-19.35%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.84% | ||
| ROE | -19.35% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ASTL has grown nicely.
ASTL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
ASTL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
ASTL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.24, we must say that ASTL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.24, ASTL is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.56% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42 indicates that ASTL is not too dependend on debt financing.
ASTL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.42. This is in the lower half of the industry: ASTL underperforms 71.59% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.24 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.25%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.31 indicates that ASTL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.31, ASTL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.08% of the companies in the same industry.
ASTL has a Quick Ratio of 1.66. This is a normal value and indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 1.66, ASTL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.44% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.66 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ASTL have decreased strongly by -999.18% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ASTL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.22% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.62% in the past year.
ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.71% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-999.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%20.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-4.08%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 56.12% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, ASTL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.77% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-409.33%
EPS Next 2Y41.08%
EPS Next 3Y56.12%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-4.58%
Revenue Next 2Y3.52%
Revenue Next 3Y5.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.74 indicates a reasonable valuation of ASTL.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ASTL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.49% of the companies are valued more expensively.
ASTL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.38, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 56.12% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y41.08%
EPS Next 3Y56.12%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.06%, ASTL is a good candidate for dividend investing.
The stock price of ASTL dropped by -43.90% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.00, ASTL pays a better dividend. On top of this ASTL pays more dividend than 98.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.51.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.06% |
5.2 History
ASTL has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
ASTL has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-7.97%
EPS Next 2Y41.08%
EPS Next 3Y56.12%
TSX:ASTL (4/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
7.13
-0.16 (-2.19%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners77.1%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.77%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap744.51M
AnalystsN/A
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.06% |
Yearly Dividend0.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-7.97%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-230.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-566.67%
Max EPS beat(2)106.63%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)15.27%
Min EPS beat(4)-566.67%
Max EPS beat(4)753.6%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)58.25%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)16.76%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)58.25%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-88.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)46.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)15.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.26%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.74 | ||
| P/S | 0.3 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 0.53 | ||
| P/tB | 0.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)-1.13
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.82
Fwd EY11.44%
FCF(TTM)-3.86
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.13
OCFYN/A
SpS23.38
BVpS13.54
TBVpS13.53
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.84% | ||
| ROE | -19.35% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)28.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 278.81% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 15.95% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.24 |
F-Score1
WACC8.25%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-999.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%20.51%
EPS Next Y-409.33%
EPS Next 2Y41.08%
EPS Next 3Y56.12%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-4.08%
Revenue Next Year-4.58%
Revenue Next 2Y3.52%
Revenue Next 3Y5.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3105.26%
EBIT growth 3Y73.56%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%
EBIT Next Year-78.5%
EBIT Next 3Y44.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-30.81%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y56.49%
OCF growth 3Y231.43%
OCF growth 5Y1.35%