ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ASTH • US03763A2078

Current stock price

24.52 USD
+0.18 (+0.74%)
At close:
24.52 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This ASTH fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. ASTH Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ASTH was profitable.
  • ASTH had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years ASTH has always been profitable.
  • ASTH had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ASTH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASTH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of ASTH (1.01%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 2.89%, ASTH perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.75%, ASTH is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ASTH is below the industry average of 8.74%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.01%
ROE 2.89%
ROIC 3.75%
ROA(3y)3.57%
ROA(5y)4.69%
ROE(3y)6.27%
ROE(5y)8.46%
ROIC(3y)5.51%
ROIC(5y)6.5%
ASTH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASTH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • ASTH has a Profit Margin (0.71%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ASTH has declined.
  • ASTH's Operating Margin of 3.08% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTH outperforms 54.00% of its industry peers.
  • ASTH's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 10.73%, ASTH is not doing good in the industry: 74.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ASTH has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.08%
PM (TTM) 0.71%
GM 10.73%
OM growth 3Y-30.31%
OM growth 5Y-23.43%
PM growth 3Y-43.64%
PM growth 5Y-33.68%
GM growth 3Y-14.93%
GM growth 5Y-13%
ASTH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASTH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

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3

2. ASTH Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ASTH is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ASTH has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ASTH has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for ASTH is higher compared to a year ago.
ASTH Yearly Shares OutstandingASTH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
ASTH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASTH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.41 indicates that ASTH is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ASTH's Altman-Z score of 2.41 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTH outperforms 59.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ASTH is 9.94, which is on the high side as it means it would take ASTH, 9.94 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • ASTH has a Debt to FCF ratio of 9.94. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASTH outperforms 42.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.27 is on the high side and indicates that ASTH has dependencies on debt financing.
  • ASTH has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.27. This is in the lower half of the industry: ASTH underperforms 64.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.27
Debt/FCF 9.94
Altman-Z 2.41
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC7.7%
ASTH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASTH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • ASTH has a Current Ratio of 1.40. This is a normal value and indicates that ASTH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ASTH has a Current ratio of 1.40. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASTH outperforms 53.00% of its industry peers.
  • ASTH has a Quick Ratio of 1.40. This is a normal value and indicates that ASTH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ASTH has a Quick ratio of 1.40. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASTH outperforms 59.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.4
Quick Ratio 1.4
ASTH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASTH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. ASTH Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ASTH have decreased strongly by -48.31% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for ASTH have been decreasing by -14.74% on average. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has grown by 56.39% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • ASTH shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 35.87% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.31%
EPS 3Y-24.29%
EPS 5Y-14.74%
EPS Q2Q%180%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)56.39%
Revenue growth 3Y40.62%
Revenue growth 5Y35.87%
Sales Q2Q%42.89%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ASTH will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 54.34% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.59% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y174.35%
EPS Next 2Y103.85%
EPS Next 3Y87.86%
EPS Next 5Y54.34%
Revenue Next Year25.65%
Revenue Next 2Y18.01%
Revenue Next 3Y13.68%
Revenue Next 5Y9.59%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ASTH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASTH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
ASTH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASTH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 1 2 3 4

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4

4. ASTH Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 53.30, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ASTH.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ASTH.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.35. ASTH is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.43 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ASTH.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ASTH is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ASTH to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.61), we can say ASTH is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 53.3
Fwd PE 19.43
ASTH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASTH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ASTH is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • 77.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ASTH, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.61
EV/EBITDA 12.6
ASTH Per share dataASTH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ASTH's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ASTH's earnings are expected to grow with 87.86% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y103.85%
EPS Next 3Y87.86%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. ASTH Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ASTH!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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ASTH Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ASTRANA HEALTH INC

NASDAQ:ASTH (3/31/2026, 8:20:07 PM)

After market: 24.52 0 (0%)

24.52

+0.18 (+0.74%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)03-02
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners59.72%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners9.87%
Ins Owner Change0.91%
Market Cap1.21B
Revenue(TTM)3.18B
Net Income(TTM)22.49M
Analysts84.71
Price Target36.72 (49.76%)
Short Float %6.77%
Short Ratio4.71
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0.16
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP35.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-43.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-97.78%
Max EPS beat(2)10.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-44.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-97.78%
Max EPS beat(4)10.99%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-50.25%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.47%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-9.93%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.56%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.57%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.83%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.78%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.93%
PT rev (3m)-4.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)28.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)28.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 53.3
Fwd PE 19.43
P/S 0.38
P/FCF 11.61
P/OCF 10.58
P/B 1.56
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.6
EPS(TTM)0.46
EY1.88%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY5.15%
FCF(TTM)2.11
FCFY8.61%
OCF(TTM)2.32
OCFY9.45%
SpS64.32
BVpS15.75
TBVpS-7.22
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.77
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.01%
ROE 2.89%
ROCE 6.12%
ROIC 3.75%
ROICexc 5.12%
ROICexgc 160.26%
OM 3.08%
PM (TTM) 0.71%
GM 10.73%
FCFM 3.28%
ROA(3y)3.57%
ROA(5y)4.69%
ROE(3y)6.27%
ROE(5y)8.46%
ROIC(3y)5.51%
ROIC(5y)6.5%
ROICexc(3y)8.45%
ROICexc(5y)10.18%
ROICexgc(3y)90.21%
ROICexgc(5y)71.8%
ROCE(3y)9%
ROCE(5y)10.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y64.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y30.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.45%
OM growth 3Y-30.31%
OM growth 5Y-23.43%
PM growth 3Y-43.64%
PM growth 5Y-33.68%
GM growth 3Y-14.93%
GM growth 5Y-13%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.27
Debt/FCF 9.94
Debt/EBITDA 6.89
Cap/Depr 22.09%
Cap/Sales 0.32%
Interest Coverage 2.14
Cash Conversion 79.65%
Profit Quality 464.67%
Current Ratio 1.4
Quick Ratio 1.4
Altman-Z 2.41
F-Score4
WACC7.7%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)70.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.45%
Profit Quality(3y)210.81%
Profit Quality(5y)167.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.31%
EPS 3Y-24.29%
EPS 5Y-14.74%
EPS Q2Q%180%
EPS Next Y174.35%
EPS Next 2Y103.85%
EPS Next 3Y87.86%
EPS Next 5Y54.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)56.39%
Revenue growth 3Y40.62%
Revenue growth 5Y35.87%
Sales Q2Q%42.89%
Revenue Next Year25.65%
Revenue Next 2Y18.01%
Revenue Next 3Y13.68%
Revenue Next 5Y9.59%
EBIT growth 1Y9.82%
EBIT growth 3Y-2%
EBIT growth 5Y4.04%
EBIT Next Year220.54%
EBIT Next 3Y60.15%
EBIT Next 5Y39.29%
FCF growth 1Y136.58%
FCF growth 3Y20.86%
FCF growth 5Y18.35%
OCF growth 1Y119.54%
OCF growth 3Y11.74%
OCF growth 5Y19.94%

ASTRANA HEALTH INC / ASTH Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ASTRANA HEALTH INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ASTH.


What is the valuation status of ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ASTRANA HEALTH INC?

ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ASTH stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) is expected to grow by 174.35% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ASTH stock?

The dividend rating of ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 35.06%.