ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ASTH • US03763A2078

Current stock price

24.26 USD
+1.01 (+4.34%)
At close:
24.26 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This ASTH fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. ASTH Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ASTH was profitable.
  • ASTH had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • ASTH had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years ASTH 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ASTH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASTH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

  • ASTH has a Return On Assets (0.43%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • ASTH has a Return On Equity of 1.23%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASTH outperforms 55.45% of its industry peers.
  • ASTH has a Return On Invested Capital (2.95%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ASTH is in line with the industry average of 8.98%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (7.07%) for ASTH is well above the current ROIC(2.95%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.43%
ROE 1.23%
ROIC 2.95%
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.42%
ROE(3y)8.09%
ROE(5y)10.17%
ROIC(3y)7.07%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ASTH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASTH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of ASTH (0.33%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ASTH has declined.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 2.59%, ASTH perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.49% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ASTH's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 10.25%, ASTH is not doing good in the industry: 73.27% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ASTH has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.59%
PM (TTM) 0.33%
GM 10.25%
OM growth 3Y-29.78%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-38.02%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-16.57%
GM growth 5YN/A
ASTH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASTH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

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3

2. ASTH Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ASTH is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for ASTH. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
ASTH Yearly Shares OutstandingASTH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M
ASTH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASTH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.21 indicates that ASTH is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ASTH has a Altman-Z score (2.21) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ASTH is 10.83, which is on the high side as it means it would take ASTH, 10.83 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • ASTH has a Debt to FCF ratio of 10.83. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASTH outperforms 43.56% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.29 is on the high side and indicates that ASTH has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.29, ASTH is doing worse than 65.35% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.29
Debt/FCF 10.83
Altman-Z 2.21
ROIC/WACC0.36
WACC8.23%
ASTH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASTH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • ASTH has a Current Ratio of 1.40. This is a normal value and indicates that ASTH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ASTH has a Current ratio (1.40) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • ASTH has a Quick Ratio of 1.40. This is a normal value and indicates that ASTH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.40, ASTH is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.4
Quick Ratio 1.4
ASTH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASTH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. ASTH Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ASTH have decreased strongly by -48.31% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for ASTH have been decreasing by -24.29% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.31%
EPS 3Y-24.29%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%180%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%42.89%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ASTH will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 54.34% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.59% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y174.35%
EPS Next 2Y103.85%
EPS Next 3Y87.86%
EPS Next 5Y54.34%
Revenue Next Year25.22%
Revenue Next 2Y17.78%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y9.59%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
ASTH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASTH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
ASTH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASTH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 1 2 3 4

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4

4. ASTH Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ASTH is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 52.74.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ASTH is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.70, ASTH is valued quite expensively.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.22, ASTH is valued on the expensive side.
  • 63.37% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ASTH, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • ASTH is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 52.74
Fwd PE 19.22
ASTH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASTH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ASTH is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • 79.21% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ASTH, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.55
EV/EBITDA 15.55
ASTH Per share dataASTH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ASTH's earnings are expected to grow with 87.86% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y103.85%
EPS Next 3Y87.86%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. ASTH Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ASTH does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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ASTH Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ASTRANA HEALTH INC

NASDAQ:ASTH (3/13/2026, 8:10:27 PM)

After market: 24.26 0 (0%)

24.26

+1.01 (+4.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)03-02
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners59.72%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners9.87%
Ins Owner Change0.85%
Market Cap1.22B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)9.54M
Analysts84.71
Price Target36.38 (49.96%)
Short Float %7.27%
Short Ratio4.94
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP86.52%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-73.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-97.78%
Max EPS beat(2)-48.7%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-104%
Min EPS beat(4)-225.16%
Max EPS beat(4)-44.39%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-42.64%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-21.5%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-9.93%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.57%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.56%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.66%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.99%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-2.13%
PT rev (3m)-11.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.34%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 52.74
Fwd PE 19.22
P/S 0.42
P/FCF 12.55
P/OCF 11.42
P/B 1.57
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.55
EPS(TTM)0.46
EY1.9%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY5.2%
FCF(TTM)1.93
FCFY7.97%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY8.75%
SpS57.74
BVpS15.46
TBVpS-7.43
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.65
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.43%
ROE 1.23%
ROCE 4.68%
ROIC 2.95%
ROICexc 4.15%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 2.59%
PM (TTM) 0.33%
GM 10.25%
FCFM 3.35%
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.42%
ROE(3y)8.09%
ROE(5y)10.17%
ROIC(3y)7.07%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)11.13%
ROICexc(5y)11.73%
ROICexgc(3y)50.18%
ROICexgc(5y)49.73%
ROCE(3y)11.21%
ROCE(5y)11.68%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-13.47%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.27%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-29.78%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-38.02%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-16.57%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.29
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.29
Debt/FCF 10.83
Debt/EBITDA 8.9
Cap/Depr 25.55%
Cap/Sales 0.33%
Interest Coverage 2.01
Cash Conversion 94.59%
Profit Quality 1016.69%
Current Ratio 1.4
Quick Ratio 1.4
Altman-Z 2.21
F-Score3
WACC8.23%
ROIC/WACC0.36
Cap/Depr(3y)106.76%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.42%
Profit Quality(3y)99.59%
Profit Quality(5y)98.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.31%
EPS 3Y-24.29%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%180%
EPS Next Y174.35%
EPS Next 2Y103.85%
EPS Next 3Y87.86%
EPS Next 5Y54.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%42.89%
Revenue Next Year25.22%
Revenue Next 2Y17.78%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y9.59%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.33%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.09%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year101.88%
EBIT Next 3Y45.21%
EBIT Next 5Y30.45%
FCF growth 1Y11.26%
FCF growth 3Y-4.75%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-23.49%
OCF growth 3Y-9.46%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ASTRANA HEALTH INC / ASTH Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ASTRANA HEALTH INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to ASTH.


What is the valuation status of ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) stock?

ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of ASTRANA HEALTH INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) is 52.74 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.57.


Can you provide the financial health for ASTH stock?

The financial health rating of ASTRANA HEALTH INC (ASTH) is 3 / 10.