ASHLAND INC (ASH) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:ASH - US0441861046 - Common Stock
51.79 USD
+1.67 (+3.33%)
51.79 USD
0 (0%)
ASH gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 81 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. ASH has an average financial health and profitability rating. ASH has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ASH had positive earnings in the past year.
ASH had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years ASH 4 years were profitable.
Of the past 5 years ASH 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
ASH has a Return On Assets of -18.30%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ASH underperforms 85.19% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -44.33%, ASH is not doing good in the industry: 79.01% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
ASH has a Return On Invested Capital (3.75%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ASH is below the industry average of 6.08%.
The 3 year average ROIC (2.84%) for ASH is below the current ROIC(3.75%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -18.3% | ||
| ROE | -44.33% | ||
| ROIC | 3.75% |
ROA(3y)-4.11%
ROA(5y)1.18%
ROE(3y)-10.91%
ROE(5y)0.81%
ROIC(3y)2.84%
ROIC(5y)3.25%
1.3 Margins
ASH has a Operating Margin of 10.90%. This is in the better half of the industry: ASH outperforms 61.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASH has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 32.93%, ASH is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
ASH's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.9% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 32.93% |
OM growth 3Y-26.76%
OM growth 5Y-8.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.64%
GM growth 5Y0.26%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ASH is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ASH has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ASH has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for ASH is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ASH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.73. This is a neutral value indicating ASH is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.73, ASH perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC8.1%
2.3 Liquidity
ASH has a Current Ratio of 2.85. This indicates that ASH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
ASH has a Current ratio of 2.85. This is amongst the best in the industry. ASH outperforms 81.48% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.51 indicates that ASH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ASH has a better Quick ratio (1.51) than 60.49% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.51 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ASH shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -24.16%.
ASH shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.90% yearly.
ASH shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 76.98%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.16%
EPS 3Y-16.05%
EPS 5Y3.9%
EPS Q2Q%-14.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)76.98%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.98%
Sales Q2Q%-8.43%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.37% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, ASH will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.10% on average per year.
EPS Next Y28.1%
EPS Next 2Y22.9%
EPS Next 3Y22.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.06%
Revenue Next 2Y2.89%
Revenue Next 3Y3.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.28 indicates a correct valuation of ASH.
64.20% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ASH, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
ASH is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
ASH is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.93.
ASH's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ASH is cheaper than 69.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 35.79, ASH is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.28 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
69.14% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ASH, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.94 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
ASH's earnings are expected to grow with 22.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.54
PEG (5Y)3.92
EPS Next 2Y22.9%
EPS Next 3Y22.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.45%, ASH has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
ASH's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.16.
ASH's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.41.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.45% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ASH is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.49%!
ASH has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
ASH has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.49%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years15
5.3 Sustainability
ASH has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
The dividend of ASH is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-9%
EPS Next 2Y22.9%
EPS Next 3Y22.37%
51.79
+1.67 (+3.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.87%
Inst Owner Change-5.32%
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner Change3%
Market Cap2.37B
Revenue(TTM)1.82B
Net Income(TTM)-844.00M
Analysts77.65
Price Target63.27 (22.17%)
Short Float %4.72%
Short Ratio2.86
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.45% |
Yearly Dividend1.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.49%
DP-9%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.1%
Min EPS beat(2)-16.19%
Max EPS beat(2)-14%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)3.45%
Min EPS beat(4)-16.19%
Max EPS beat(4)55.09%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)19%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)8.65%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)7.96%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.5%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.36%
PT rev (1m)-2.36%
PT rev (3m)-2.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-27.31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-38.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.49%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.63%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.28 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.93 | ||
| P/S | 1.3 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 25.18 | ||
| P/B | 1.24 | ||
| P/tB | 3.72 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.94 |
EPS(TTM)3.39
EY6.55%
EPS(NY)4.34
Fwd EY8.39%
FCF(TTM)-0.09
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY3.97%
SpS39.93
BVpS41.65
TBVpS13.91
PEG (NY)0.54
PEG (5Y)3.92
Graham Number56.37
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -18.3% | ||
| ROE | -44.33% | ||
| ROCE | 4.75% | ||
| ROIC | 3.75% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.81% | ||
| OM | 10.9% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 32.93% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-4.11%
ROA(5y)1.18%
ROE(3y)-10.91%
ROE(5y)0.81%
ROIC(3y)2.84%
ROIC(5y)3.25%
ROICexc(3y)3.03%
ROICexc(5y)3.5%
ROICexgc(3y)5.23%
ROICexgc(5y)6.26%
ROCE(3y)3.59%
ROCE(5y)4.12%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-32.85%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.76%
ROICexc growth 3Y-27.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.2%
OM growth 3Y-26.76%
OM growth 5Y-8.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.64%
GM growth 5Y0.26%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.73 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 41.35% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.37% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 21.56% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score6
WACC8.1%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)53.76%
Cap/Depr(5y)50.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.16%
EPS 3Y-16.05%
EPS 5Y3.9%
EPS Q2Q%-14.29%
EPS Next Y28.1%
EPS Next 2Y22.9%
EPS Next 3Y22.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)76.98%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.98%
Sales Q2Q%-8.43%
Revenue Next Year2.06%
Revenue Next 2Y2.89%
Revenue Next 3Y3.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y106.76%
EBIT growth 3Y-33.08%
EBIT growth 5Y-10.59%
EBIT Next Year109.86%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-101.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-77.13%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-14.27%
ASHLAND INC / ASH FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ASHLAND INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ASH.
Can you provide the valuation status for ASHLAND INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ASHLAND INC (ASH). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ASHLAND INC?
ASHLAND INC (ASH) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of ASHLAND INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ASHLAND INC (ASH) is 15.28 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.24.
What is the earnings growth outlook for ASHLAND INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ASHLAND INC (ASH) is expected to grow by 28.1% in the next year.