ARIS WATER SOLUTIONS INC-A (ARIS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:ARIS - US04041L1061 - Common Stock
23.69 USD
+0.24 (+1.02%)
23.6 USD
-0.09 (-0.38%)
Overall ARIS gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated ARIS against 62 industry peers in the Energy Equipment & Services industry. There are concerns on the financial health of ARIS while its profitability can be described as average. ARIS has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ARIS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ARIS had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ARIS reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years ARIS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 1.88%, ARIS is not doing good in the industry: 60.66% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
ARIS has a Return On Equity (7.65%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.39%, ARIS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ARIS is significantly below the industry average of 13.08%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.39%) for ARIS is above the 3 year average (5.83%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.88% | ||
| ROE | 7.65% | ||
| ROIC | 7.39% |
ROA(3y)1.1%
ROA(5y)0.45%
ROE(3y)4.51%
ROE(5y)1.92%
ROIC(3y)5.83%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
1.3 Margins
ARIS has a Profit Margin (5.61%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ARIS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ARIS has a Operating Margin of 23.95%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ARIS outperforms 90.16% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ARIS has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of ARIS (39.67%) is better than 78.69% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ARIS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 23.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.61% | ||
| GM | 39.67% |
OM growth 3Y6.73%
OM growth 5Y20.3%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-12.32%
GM growth 3Y6.48%
GM growth 5Y12.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ARIS is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ARIS has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
ARIS has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
ARIS has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.42, we must say that ARIS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.42, ARIS is not doing good in the industry: 65.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ARIS is 4.38, which is a neutral value as it means it would take ARIS, 4.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ARIS's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.38 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ARIS outperforms 50.82% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.27 is on the high side and indicates that ARIS has dependencies on debt financing.
ARIS has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.27. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ARIS underperforms 81.97% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.42 |
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC8.89%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.22 indicates that ARIS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.22, ARIS is doing worse than 83.61% of the companies in the same industry.
ARIS has a Quick Ratio of 1.22. This is a normal value and indicates that ARIS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ARIS (1.22) is worse than 67.21% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.22 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ARIS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 16.96%, which is quite good.
ARIS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 27.41% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 16.42% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 29.67% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.96%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y27.41%
EPS Q2Q%13.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.42%
Revenue growth 3Y23.83%
Revenue growth 5Y29.67%
Sales Q2Q%22.72%
3.2 Future
ARIS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.34% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ARIS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.30% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.05%
EPS Next 2Y10.24%
EPS Next 3Y15.21%
EPS Next 5Y19.34%
Revenue Next Year13.96%
Revenue Next 2Y8.75%
Revenue Next 3Y8.08%
Revenue Next 5Y6.3%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.08, the valuation of ARIS can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ARIS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.66% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.92, ARIS is valued a bit cheaper.
ARIS is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.47.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ARIS is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ARIS to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.46), we can say ARIS is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.47 |
4.2 Price Multiples
72.13% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than ARIS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ARIS is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.42 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ARIS's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
ARIS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
ARIS's earnings are expected to grow with 15.21% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.13
PEG (5Y)0.66
EPS Next 2Y10.24%
EPS Next 3Y15.21%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.36%, ARIS has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
ARIS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.30.
ARIS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.36% |
5.2 History
ARIS has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
ARIS pays out 111.96% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP111.96%
EPS Next 2Y10.24%
EPS Next 3Y15.21%
23.69
+0.24 (+1.02%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryEnergy Equipment & Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.35%
Inst Owner Change-8.29%
Ins Owners4.15%
Ins Owner Change-37.87%
Market Cap1.40B
Revenue(TTM)475.50M
Net Income(TTM)26.66M
Analysts71.25
Price Target27.09 (14.35%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.36% |
Yearly Dividend0.42
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP111.96%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.73%
Min EPS beat(2)10.74%
Max EPS beat(2)16.71%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.86%
Min EPS beat(4)-16.05%
Max EPS beat(4)16.71%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.16%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)9.68%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.8%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.35%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.5%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.11%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)4%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-9.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.41%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.47 | ||
| P/S | 2.95 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.62 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.5 | ||
| P/B | 4.02 | ||
| P/tB | 11.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.42 |
EPS(TTM)1.31
EY5.53%
EPS(NY)1.53
Fwd EY6.46%
FCF(TTM)1.74
FCFY7.34%
OCF(TTM)3.16
OCFY13.33%
SpS8.03
BVpS5.89
TBVpS2.01
PEG (NY)1.13
PEG (5Y)0.66
Graham Number13.18
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.88% | ||
| ROE | 7.65% | ||
| ROCE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 7.39% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.55% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.2% | ||
| OM | 23.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.61% | ||
| GM | 39.67% | ||
| FCFM | 21.65% |
ROA(3y)1.1%
ROA(5y)0.45%
ROE(3y)4.51%
ROE(5y)1.92%
ROIC(3y)5.83%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
ROICexc(3y)5.9%
ROICexc(5y)4.57%
ROICexgc(3y)7.47%
ROICexgc(5y)6.05%
ROCE(3y)6.84%
ROCE(5y)5.25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y14.01%
ROICexgc growth 5Y32.54%
ROICexc growth 3Y22.24%
ROICexc growth 5Y40.48%
OM growth 3Y6.73%
OM growth 5Y20.3%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-12.32%
GM growth 3Y6.48%
GM growth 5Y12.28%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.5 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.52% | ||
| Profit Quality | 386.19% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.42 |
F-Score9
WACC8.89%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)188.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)37.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)45.17%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.96%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y27.41%
EPS Q2Q%13.79%
EPS Next Y16.05%
EPS Next 2Y10.24%
EPS Next 3Y15.21%
EPS Next 5Y19.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.42%
Revenue growth 3Y23.83%
Revenue growth 5Y29.67%
Sales Q2Q%22.72%
Revenue Next Year13.96%
Revenue Next 2Y8.75%
Revenue Next 3Y8.08%
Revenue Next 5Y6.3%
EBIT growth 1Y14.41%
EBIT growth 3Y32.17%
EBIT growth 5Y55.99%
EBIT Next Year98.33%
EBIT Next 3Y31.41%
EBIT Next 5Y20.48%
FCF growth 1Y320.01%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y44.43%
OCF growth 3Y44.89%
OCF growth 5Y112.28%
ARIS WATER SOLUTIONS INC-A / ARIS FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ARIS WATER SOLUTIONS INC-A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ARIS.
What is the valuation status of ARIS WATER SOLUTIONS INC-A (ARIS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ARIS WATER SOLUTIONS INC-A (ARIS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ARIS WATER SOLUTIONS INC-A (ARIS) stock?
ARIS WATER SOLUTIONS INC-A (ARIS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of ARIS WATER SOLUTIONS INC-A (ARIS) stock?
The financial health rating of ARIS WATER SOLUTIONS INC-A (ARIS) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ARIS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ARIS WATER SOLUTIONS INC-A (ARIS) is expected to grow by 16.05% in the next year.