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Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:ARCH - US03940R1077 - Common Stock

134.83 USD
+0.94 (+0.7%)
Last: 1/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM
133.13 USD
-1.7 (-1.26%)
After Hours: 1/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, ARCH scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ARCH was compared to 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making ARCH a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. ARCH is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. This makes ARCH very considerable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ARCH was profitable.
  • In the past year ARCH had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • ARCH had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years ARCH always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
ARCH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFARCH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of ARCH (7.57%) is better than 80.95% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of ARCH (12.43%) is better than 80.95% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of ARCH (8.85%) is better than 80.27% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ARCH is significantly above the industry average of 10.32%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (29.63%) for ARCH is well above the current ROIC(8.85%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.57%
ROE 12.43%
ROIC 8.85%
ROA(3y)29.78%
ROA(5y)16.37%
ROE(3y)59.38%
ROE(5y)18.66%
ROIC(3y)29.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ARCH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICARCH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 100 -100 150

1.3 Margins

  • ARCH has a better Profit Margin (6.69%) than 75.51% of its industry peers.
  • ARCH's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 7.76%, ARCH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ARCH has grown nicely.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 17.11%, ARCH perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ARCH's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.76%
PM (TTM) 6.69%
GM 17.11%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y8.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.96%
GM growth 3Y61.46%
GM growth 5Y3.54%
ARCH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsARCH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 60

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ARCH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ARCH has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ARCH has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ARCH Yearly Shares OutstandingARCH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M 20M
ARCH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsARCH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.29 indicates that ARCH is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of ARCH (4.29) is better than 65.99% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for ARCH. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.61
Altman-Z 4.29
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC11.21%
ARCH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFARCH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ARCH has a Current Ratio of 2.01. This indicates that ARCH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ARCH has a Current ratio (2.01) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.41 indicates that ARCH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ARCH has a Quick ratio (1.41) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.41
ARCH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesARCH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • ARCH shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -64.17%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 12.55% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • ARCH shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -17.03%.
  • ARCH shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-64.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y12.55%
EPS Q2Q%-89.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.03%
Revenue growth 3Y28.94%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%-17.02%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ARCH will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -5.93% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ARCH will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -7.19% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-81.89%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.78%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ARCH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesARCH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
ARCH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesARCH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 40

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7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.13 indicates a correct valuation of ARCH.
  • ARCH's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ARCH is cheaper than 79.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.60, ARCH is valued rather cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.77, the valuation of ARCH can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ARCH is valued cheaper than 89.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ARCH is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.13
Fwd PE 6.77
ARCH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsARCH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 77.55% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ARCH, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ARCH is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.76% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.58
EV/EBITDA 6.26
ARCH Per share dataARCH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of ARCH may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A cheap valuation may be justified as ARCH's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.74%, ARCH is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.02, ARCH pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.74, ARCH pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.74%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of ARCH is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 47.85%!
  • ARCH has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)47.85%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ARCH Yearly Dividends per shareARCH Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20 25

5.3 Sustainability

  • ARCH pays out 50.86% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The Dividend Rate of ARCH has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP50.86%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
ARCH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendARCH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B
ARCH Dividend Payout.ARCH Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ARCH Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Arch Resources Inc / ARCH FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ARCH stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ARCH.


Can you provide the valuation status for Arch Resources Inc?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to Arch Resources Inc (ARCH). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) stock?

Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) is 13.13 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.69.


How sustainable is the dividend of Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) stock?

The dividend rating of Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 50.86%.