Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:ARCH • US03940R1077

134.83 USD
+0.94 (+0.7%)
At close: Jan 13, 2025
133.13 USD
-1.7 (-1.26%)
After Hours: 1/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, ARCH scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ARCH was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ARCH gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. ARCH is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. This makes ARCH very considerable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ARCH was profitable.
  • In the past year ARCH had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years ARCH 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years ARCH always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
ARCH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFARCH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 7.57%, ARCH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 12.43%, ARCH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.85%, ARCH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ARCH had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 29.63%. This is significantly above the industry average of 11.13%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (8.85%) for ARCH is well below the 3 year average (29.63%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that ARCH had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.57%
ROE 12.43%
ROIC 8.85%
ROA(3y)29.78%
ROA(5y)16.37%
ROE(3y)59.38%
ROE(5y)18.66%
ROIC(3y)29.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ARCH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICARCH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 100 -100 150

1.3 Margins

  • ARCH has a Profit Margin of 6.69%. This is in the better half of the industry: ARCH outperforms 75.51% of its industry peers.
  • ARCH's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of ARCH (7.76%) is better than 62.59% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ARCH has grown nicely.
  • ARCH has a Gross Margin of 17.11%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ARCH outperforms 52.38% of its industry peers.
  • ARCH's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.76%
PM (TTM) 6.69%
GM 17.11%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y8.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.96%
GM growth 3Y61.46%
GM growth 5Y3.54%
ARCH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsARCH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 60

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ARCH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • ARCH has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • ARCH has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ARCH Yearly Shares OutstandingARCH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M 20M
ARCH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsARCH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.29 indicates that ARCH is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ARCH has a better Altman-Z score (4.29) than 65.99% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for ARCH. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.61
Altman-Z 4.29
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC11.21%
ARCH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFARCH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ARCH has a Current Ratio of 2.01. This indicates that ARCH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of ARCH (2.01) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.41 indicates that ARCH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ARCH has a Quick ratio (1.41) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.41
ARCH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesARCH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • ARCH shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -64.17%.
  • Measured over the past years, ARCH shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.55% on average per year.
  • The Revenue for ARCH has decreased by -17.03% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • Measured over the past years, ARCH shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.11% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-64.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y12.55%
EPS Q2Q%-89.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.03%
Revenue growth 3Y28.94%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%-17.02%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -5.93% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -7.19% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-81.89%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.78%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ARCH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesARCH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
ARCH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesARCH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 40

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.13, ARCH is valued correctly.
  • ARCH's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ARCH is cheaper than 79.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.64, ARCH is valued rather cheaply.
  • ARCH is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.77.
  • ARCH's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ARCH is cheaper than 89.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ARCH to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.75), we can say ARCH is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.13
Fwd PE 6.77
ARCH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsARCH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150 200

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ARCH is valued a bit cheaper than 77.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 87.76% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ARCH, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.58
EV/EBITDA 6.26
ARCH Per share dataARCH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of ARCH may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • ARCH's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.93% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.74%, ARCH is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.98, ARCH pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.80, ARCH's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.74%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of ARCH grows each year by 47.85%, which is quite nice.
  • ARCH has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)47.85%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ARCH Yearly Dividends per shareARCH Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20 25

5.3 Sustainability

  • 50.86% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ARCH. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • ARCH's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP50.86%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
ARCH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendARCH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B
ARCH Dividend Payout.ARCH Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ARCH Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

Arch Resources Inc

NYSE:ARCH (1/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 133.13 -1.7 (-1.26%)

134.83

+0.94 (+0.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)02-13
Inst Owners99.38%
Inst Owner Change-100%
Ins Owners2.44%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.44B
Revenue(TTM)2.68B
Net Income(TTM)179.45M
Analysts76.67
Price Target168.3 (24.82%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.74%
Yearly Dividend11.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)47.85%
DP50.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-64.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-78%
Max EPS beat(2)-51.83%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-41.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-78%
Max EPS beat(4)-16.39%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-25.89%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-19.32%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-17.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.61%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.14%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.78%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.31%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)10.33%
Revenue beat(16)16
Avg Revenue beat(16)11.04%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-85.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-64.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-18.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.13
Fwd PE 6.77
P/S 0.91
P/FCF 11.58
P/OCF 6.2
P/B 1.69
P/tB 1.69
EV/EBITDA 6.26
EPS(TTM)10.27
EY7.62%
EPS(NY)19.9
Fwd EY14.76%
FCF(TTM)11.65
FCFY8.64%
OCF(TTM)21.75
OCFY16.13%
SpS148.03
BVpS79.73
TBVpS79.73
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.57%
ROE 12.43%
ROCE 10.52%
ROIC 8.85%
ROICexc 10.16%
ROICexgc 10.16%
OM 7.76%
PM (TTM) 6.69%
GM 17.11%
FCFM 7.87%
ROA(3y)29.78%
ROA(5y)16.37%
ROE(3y)59.38%
ROE(5y)18.66%
ROIC(3y)29.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)35.22%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)35.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)35.22%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.66%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y3.66%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y8.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.96%
GM growth 3Y61.46%
GM growth 5Y3.54%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.13
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.61
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 117.1%
Cap/Sales 6.83%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 108.14%
Profit Quality 117.55%
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.41
Altman-Z 4.29
F-Score5
WACC11.21%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)152.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)186.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.54%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-64.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y12.55%
EPS Q2Q%-89.51%
EPS Next Y-81.89%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.03%
Revenue growth 3Y28.94%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%-17.02%
Revenue Next Year-19.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.78%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-66.72%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y13.72%
EBIT Next Year-51.62%
EBIT Next 3Y-1.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.58%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y7.3%
OCF growth 1Y-66.1%
OCF growth 3Y118.27%
OCF growth 5Y8.74%

Arch Resources Inc / ARCH FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ARCH stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ARCH.


Can you provide the valuation status for Arch Resources Inc?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to Arch Resources Inc (ARCH). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) stock?

Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) is 13.13 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.69.


How sustainable is the dividend of Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) stock?

The dividend rating of Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 50.86%.