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ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AR - US03674X1063 - Common Stock

33.975 USD
+0.36 (+1.06%)
Last: 12/23/2025, 9:58:09 AM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall AR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated AR against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While AR is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AR had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years AR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

AR has a Return On Assets of 4.24%. This is in the better half of the industry: AR outperforms 60.48% of its industry peers.
AR has a Return On Equity of 7.46%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AR outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of AR (4.84%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AR is significantly below the industry average of 21.09%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.24%
ROE 7.46%
ROIC 4.84%
ROA(3y)5.12%
ROA(5y)0.87%
ROE(3y)10.6%
ROE(5y)1.31%
ROIC(3y)7.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

AR's Profit Margin of 10.88% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AR outperforms 60.95% of its industry peers.
AR has a Operating Margin of 13.47%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AR outperforms 46.19% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AR has declined.
AR has a better Gross Margin (71.08%) than 81.43% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.47%
PM (TTM) 10.88%
GM 71.08%
OM growth 3Y-21.28%
OM growth 5Y-30.85%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.22%
GM growth 5Y9.09%
AR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for AR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AR has more shares outstanding
AR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AR Yearly Shares OutstandingAR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
AR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

AR has an Altman-Z score of 1.75. This is a bad value and indicates that AR is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.75, AR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.81% of the companies in the same industry.
AR has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.66. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.66 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.66, AR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.19% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18 indicates that AR is not too dependend on debt financing.
AR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.18. This is in the better half of the industry: AR outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.18
Debt/FCF 1.66
Altman-Z 1.75
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC8.62%
AR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

AR has a Current Ratio of 0.31. This is a bad value and indicates that AR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AR has a Current ratio of 0.31. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AR underperforms 89.52% of its industry peers.
AR has a Quick Ratio of 0.31. This is a bad value and indicates that AR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AR (0.31) is worse than 89.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.31
Quick Ratio 0.31
AR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 18700.00% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -37.61% on average per year.
AR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 15.67%.
Measured over the past years, AR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.38% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18700%
EPS 3Y-37.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%225%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.17%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.38%
Sales Q2Q%15.72%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 44.92% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 43.58% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y448.16%
EPS Next 2Y241.48%
EPS Next 3Y140.34%
EPS Next 5Y44.92%
Revenue Next Year21.23%
Revenue Next 2Y20.83%
Revenue Next 3Y15.59%
Revenue Next 5Y43.58%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B
AR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 2 4

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.27, AR is valued on the expensive side.
AR's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AR to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.61), we can say AR is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.57, the valuation of AR can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AR is cheaper than 80.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.01, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.27
Fwd PE 8.57
AR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AR.
AR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AR is cheaper than 65.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.23
EV/EBITDA 7.82
AR Per share dataAR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AR's earnings are expected to grow with 140.34% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.04
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y241.48%
EPS Next 3Y140.34%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ANTERO RESOURCES CORP

NYSE:AR (12/23/2025, 9:58:09 AM)

33.975

+0.36 (+1.06%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-29 2025-10-29/amc
Earnings (Next)02-10 2026-02-10/amc
Inst Owners87.74%
Inst Owner Change-1.88%
Ins Owners6.44%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap10.48B
Revenue(TTM)5.03B
Net Income(TTM)547.74M
Analysts82.67
Price Target46.75 (37.6%)
Short Float %4.65%
Short Ratio2.67
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-34.09%
Min EPS beat(2)-45.15%
Max EPS beat(2)-23.03%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)1.27%
Min EPS beat(4)-45.15%
Max EPS beat(4)82.98%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.09%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)2.98%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.23%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.78%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.96%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.06%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.78%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.89%
PT rev (1m)4.42%
PT rev (3m)1.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.83%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-41.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.21%
EPS NY rev (3m)-29.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.31%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.27
Fwd PE 8.57
P/S 2.08
P/FCF 13.23
P/OCF 6.81
P/B 1.43
P/tB 1.43
EV/EBITDA 7.82
EPS(TTM)1.86
EY5.47%
EPS(NY)3.96
Fwd EY11.67%
FCF(TTM)2.57
FCFY7.56%
OCF(TTM)4.99
OCFY14.68%
SpS16.31
BVpS23.81
TBVpS23.81
PEG (NY)0.04
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number31.57
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.24%
ROE 7.46%
ROCE 5.88%
ROIC 4.84%
ROICexc 4.84%
ROICexgc 4.84%
OM 13.47%
PM (TTM) 10.88%
GM 71.08%
FCFM 15.74%
ROA(3y)5.12%
ROA(5y)0.87%
ROE(3y)10.6%
ROE(5y)1.31%
ROIC(3y)7.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.38%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)7.38%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-22.4%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-28.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y-22.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y-28.27%
OM growth 3Y-21.28%
OM growth 5Y-30.85%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.22%
GM growth 5Y9.09%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.18
Debt/FCF 1.66
Debt/EBITDA 0.88
Cap/Depr 91.5%
Cap/Sales 14.83%
Interest Coverage 7.37
Cash Conversion 103%
Profit Quality 144.59%
Current Ratio 0.31
Quick Ratio 0.31
Altman-Z 1.75
F-Score8
WACC8.62%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)131.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)118.34%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.9%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18700%
EPS 3Y-37.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%225%
EPS Next Y448.16%
EPS Next 2Y241.48%
EPS Next 3Y140.34%
EPS Next 5Y44.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.17%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.38%
Sales Q2Q%15.72%
Revenue Next Year21.23%
Revenue Next 2Y20.83%
Revenue Next 3Y15.59%
Revenue Next 5Y43.58%
EBIT growth 1Y310.18%
EBIT growth 3Y-22.98%
EBIT growth 5Y-31.11%
EBIT Next Year887.59%
EBIT Next 3Y135.41%
EBIT Next 5Y56.83%
FCF growth 1Y3328.46%
FCF growth 3Y-48.03%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y32.87%
OCF growth 3Y-20.02%
OCF growth 5Y11.91%

ANTERO RESOURCES CORP / AR FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AR.


Can you provide the valuation status for ANTERO RESOURCES CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) stock?

ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) is expected to grow by 448.16% in the next year.