ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AQN - CA0158571053 - Common Stock
5.88 USD
+0.02 (+0.34%)
5.88 USD
0 (0%)
Overall AQN gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AQN against 26 industry peers in the Multi-Utilities industry. Both the profitability and financial health of AQN have multiple concerns. AQN has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AQN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AQN had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AQN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
AQN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AQN (-0.27%) is worse than 92.31% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -0.80%, AQN is doing worse than 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
AQN has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.16%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AQN underperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AQN is in line with the industry average of 3.94%.
The 3 year average ROIC (2.36%) for AQN is below the current ROIC(3.16%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.27% | ||
| ROE | -0.8% | ||
| ROIC | 3.16% |
ROA(3y)-3.11%
ROA(5y)-0.39%
ROE(3y)-11.12%
ROE(5y)-2.83%
ROIC(3y)2.36%
ROIC(5y)2.31%
1.3 Margins
The Operating Margin of AQN (21.55%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AQN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AQN's Gross Margin of 73.94% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AQN outperforms 76.92% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AQN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 73.94% |
OM growth 3Y3.93%
OM growth 5Y-3.09%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y0.16%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AQN is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for AQN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AQN has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AQN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.31, we must say that AQN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AQN has a worse Altman-Z score (0.31) than 96.15% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.33 is on the high side and indicates that AQN has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.33, AQN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.31 |
ROIC/WACC0.55
WACC5.71%
2.3 Liquidity
AQN has a Current Ratio of 1.23. This is a normal value and indicates that AQN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 1.23, AQN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.03 indicates that AQN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 1.03, AQN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.23 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.03 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AQN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -29.79%.
Measured over the past years, AQN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.38% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AQN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -23.92% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.38% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.79%
EPS 3Y-19.53%
EPS 5Y-10.38%
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.92%
Revenue growth 3Y0.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.38%
Sales Q2Q%1.66%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.09% on average over the next years.
AQN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.30% yearly.
EPS Next Y-12.26%
EPS Next 2Y-0.67%
EPS Next 3Y6.57%
EPS Next 5Y4.09%
Revenue Next Year-9.53%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.01%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.37%
Revenue Next 5Y2.3%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.82, AQN is valued on the expensive side.
AQN's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
AQN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.11 indicates a correct valuation of AQN.
AQN's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
AQN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.78.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.11 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AQN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.67%
EPS Next 3Y6.57%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AQN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.46%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.54, AQN pays a better dividend. On top of this AQN pays more dividend than 84.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AQN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.46% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AQN has a limited annual growth rate of 0.06%.
AQN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AQN are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AQN will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
The dividend of AQN is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-569.86%
EPS Next 2Y-0.67%
EPS Next 3Y6.57%
5.88
+0.02 (+0.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryMulti-Utilities
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners74.44%
Inst Owner Change3.25%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.52B
Revenue(TTM)2.39B
Net Income(TTM)-37.22M
Analysts68.33
Price Target5.01 (-14.8%)
Short Float %1.22%
Short Ratio1.83
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.46% |
Yearly Dividend0.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.06%
DP-569.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)17.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.69%
Max EPS beat(2)35.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.84%
Min EPS beat(4)-25.74%
Max EPS beat(4)42.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)5.61%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)1.98%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.66%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.82%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.49%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.59%
PT rev (1m)4.04%
PT rev (3m)1.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.84%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.73%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.46%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.19%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.11 | ||
| P/S | 1.89 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 9.7 | ||
| P/B | 0.97 | ||
| P/tB | 1.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.93 |
EPS(TTM)0.33
EY5.61%
EPS(NY)0.37
Fwd EY6.21%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.61
OCFY10.31%
SpS3.11
BVpS6.04
TBVpS4.24
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.27% | ||
| ROE | -0.8% | ||
| ROCE | 4% | ||
| ROIC | 3.16% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.56% | ||
| OM | 21.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 73.94% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-3.11%
ROA(5y)-0.39%
ROE(3y)-11.12%
ROE(5y)-2.83%
ROIC(3y)2.36%
ROIC(5y)2.31%
ROICexc(3y)2.37%
ROICexc(5y)2.33%
ROICexgc(3y)2.6%
ROICexgc(5y)2.56%
ROCE(3y)2.99%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.14%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.63%
OM growth 3Y3.93%
OM growth 5Y-3.09%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y0.16%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 208.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 34.55% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 51.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.23 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.31 |
F-Score4
WACC5.71%
ROIC/WACC0.55
Cap/Depr(3y)213.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)245.17%
Cap/Sales(3y)39.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)45.08%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.79%
EPS 3Y-19.53%
EPS 5Y-10.38%
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
EPS Next Y-12.26%
EPS Next 2Y-0.67%
EPS Next 3Y6.57%
EPS Next 5Y4.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.92%
Revenue growth 3Y0.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.38%
Sales Q2Q%1.66%
Revenue Next Year-9.53%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.01%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.37%
Revenue Next 5Y2.3%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.87%
EBIT growth 3Y4.45%
EBIT growth 5Y4.06%
EBIT Next Year46.43%
EBIT Next 3Y20.94%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-47.31%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.45%
OCF growth 3Y45.17%
OCF growth 5Y-4.65%
ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES / AQN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AQN.
What is the valuation status of ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) stock?
ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) is expected to decline by -12.26% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) stock?
The dividend rating of ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -569.86%.