ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AQN • CA0158571053

Current stock price

6.25 USD
+0.11 (+1.79%)
Last:

This AQN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. AQN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AQN was profitable.
  • AQN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AQN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AQN had a positive operating cash flow.
AQN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAQN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • AQN has a Return On Assets of 1.20%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AQN underperforms 88.46% of its industry peers.
  • AQN has a Return On Equity of 3.67%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AQN underperforms 92.31% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AQN (3.19%) is worse than 84.62% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AQN is in line with the industry average of 3.74%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (2.59%) for AQN is below the current ROIC(3.19%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.2%
ROE 3.67%
ROIC 3.19%
ROA(3y)-2.3%
ROA(5y)-1.32%
ROE(3y)-8.49%
ROE(5y)-5.07%
ROIC(3y)2.59%
ROIC(5y)2.46%
AQN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAQN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 7.00%, AQN is not doing good in the industry: 88.46% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • AQN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AQN has a Operating Margin (21.49%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • AQN's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • AQN has a better Gross Margin (73.71%) than 76.92% of its industry peers.
  • AQN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.49%
PM (TTM) 7%
GM 73.71%
OM growth 3Y5.14%
OM growth 5Y-1.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-31.43%
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
AQN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAQN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

3

2. AQN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AQN is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AQN has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AQN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AQN is higher compared to a year ago.
AQN Yearly Shares OutstandingAQN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
AQN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAQN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.30, we must say that AQN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AQN has a Altman-Z score of 0.30. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AQN underperforms 96.15% of its industry peers.
  • AQN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.33. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.33, AQN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.33
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.3
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC5.48%
AQN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAQN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.00 indicates that AQN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AQN's Current ratio of 1.00 is amongst the best of the industry. AQN outperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that AQN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of AQN (0.85) is better than 80.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 0.85
AQN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAQN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

3

3. AQN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AQN have decreased strongly by -10.81% in the last year.
  • AQN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -12.41% yearly.
  • AQN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -20.38%.
  • AQN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.81%
EPS 3Y-22.17%
EPS 5Y-12.41%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.38%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.17%
Revenue growth 5Y7.73%
Sales Q2Q%7.85%

3.2 Future

  • AQN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.59% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.69% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y10.95%
EPS Next 2Y16.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.59%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y4.3%
Revenue Next 3Y6.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
AQN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAQN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
AQN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAQN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.2 0.4 0.6

2

4. AQN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.94, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AQN.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AQN is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.58, AQN is valued a bit cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.07 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AQN.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AQN is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • AQN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.94
Fwd PE 17.07
AQN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAQN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AQN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.15
AQN Per share dataAQN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.59%

5

5. AQN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.23%, AQN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • AQN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.45. AQN pays more dividend than 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AQN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.23%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AQN decreases each year by -10.03%.
  • AQN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.03%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
AQN Yearly Dividends per shareAQN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • AQN pays out 124.37% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP124.37%
EPS Next 2Y16.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.59%
AQN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAQN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B
AQN Dividend Payout.AQN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AQN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AQN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES

NYSE:AQN (4/1/2026, 11:37:09 AM)

6.25

+0.11 (+1.79%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryMulti-Utilities
Earnings (Last)03-06
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners74.49%
Inst Owner Change3.3%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.80B
Revenue(TTM)2.43B
Net Income(TTM)170.30M
Analysts71.67
Price Target4.99 (-20.16%)
Short Float %1.42%
Short Ratio2.2
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.23%
Yearly Dividend0.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.03%
DP124.37%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-31
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)34.87%
Min EPS beat(2)34.13%
Max EPS beat(2)35.61%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)27.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.69%
Max EPS beat(4)42.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)9.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)3.81%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.75%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.8%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.44%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.44%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.96%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.42%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.56%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.1%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.94
Fwd PE 17.07
P/S 1.97
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.09
P/B 1.03
P/tB 1.48
EV/EBITDA 12.15
EPS(TTM)0.33
EY5.28%
EPS(NY)0.37
Fwd EY5.86%
FCF(TTM)-0.23
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.77
OCFY12.36%
SpS3.17
BVpS6.04
TBVpS4.23
PEG (NY)1.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.7
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.2%
ROE 3.67%
ROCE 4.04%
ROIC 3.19%
ROICexc 3.2%
ROICexgc 3.59%
OM 21.49%
PM (TTM) 7%
GM 73.71%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-2.3%
ROA(5y)-1.32%
ROE(3y)-8.49%
ROE(5y)-5.07%
ROIC(3y)2.59%
ROIC(5y)2.46%
ROICexc(3y)2.6%
ROICexc(5y)2.47%
ROICexgc(3y)2.87%
ROICexgc(5y)2.72%
ROCE(3y)3.28%
ROCE(5y)3.12%
ROICexgc growth 3Y9.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y5.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.24%
OM growth 3Y5.14%
OM growth 5Y-1.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-31.43%
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.33
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.68
Cap/Depr 192.83%
Cap/Sales 31.72%
Interest Coverage 1.68
Cash Conversion 64.28%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z 0.3
F-Score6
WACC5.48%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)198.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)233.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)37.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)42.05%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.81%
EPS 3Y-22.17%
EPS 5Y-12.41%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y10.95%
EPS Next 2Y16.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.59%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.38%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.17%
Revenue growth 5Y7.73%
Sales Q2Q%7.85%
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y4.3%
Revenue Next 3Y6.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-11.94%
EBIT growth 3Y0.76%
EBIT growth 5Y6.49%
EBIT Next Year117.32%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y54.36%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y23.23%
OCF growth 3Y-1.39%
OCF growth 5Y3.28%

ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES / AQN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AQN.


Can you provide the valuation status for ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES?

ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for AQN stock?

The financial health rating of ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) is 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES (AQN) is expected to grow by 10.95% in the next year.