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APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT - APO 7 5/8 09/15/53 (APOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:APOS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US03769M2052

26.61  +0.01 (+0.04%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to APOS. APOS was compared to 101 industry peers in the Financial Services industry. While APOS is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. APOS scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year APOS was profitable.
APOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
APOS had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years APOS 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
APOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAPOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of APOS (1.51%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of APOS (31.13%) is better than 92.08% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 1.92%, APOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.51%
ROE 31.13%
ROIC 1.92%
ROA(3y)2.06%
ROA(5y)3.23%
ROE(3y)10.97%
ROE(5y)16.97%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
APOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAPOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

APOS's Profit Margin of 18.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APOS outperforms 71.29% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of APOS has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of APOS (29.35%) is better than 74.26% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of APOS has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.35%
PM (TTM) 18.74%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y-20.74%
OM growth 5Y-2.99%
PM growth 3Y46.16%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
APOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAPOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so APOS is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, APOS has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, APOS has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, APOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
APOS Yearly Shares OutstandingAPOS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
APOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAPOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100B 200B 300B

2.2 Solvency

APOS has an Altman-Z score of 0.17. This is a bad value and indicates that APOS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.17, APOS is doing worse than 62.38% of the companies in the same industry.
APOS has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.14. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as APOS would need 2.14 years to pay back of all of its debts.
APOS has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.14) than 71.29% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64 indicates that APOS is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
APOS has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.64) which is in line with its industry peers.
Although APOS does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 2.14
Altman-Z 0.17
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC8.54%
APOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAPOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

APOS has a Current Ratio of 0.06. This is a bad value and indicates that APOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of APOS (0.06) is worse than 80.20% of its industry peers.
APOS has a Quick Ratio of 0.06. This is a bad value and indicates that APOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.06, APOS is not doing good in the industry: 80.20% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.06
Quick Ratio 0.06
APOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAPOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.92% over the past year.
APOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 49.43% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 21.12% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 94.91% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.92%
EPS 3Y49.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.12%
Revenue growth 3Y134.55%
Revenue growth 5Y94.91%
Sales Q2Q%199.54%

3.2 Future

APOS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.14% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, APOS will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -11.56% on average per year.
EPS Next Y6.84%
EPS Next 2Y13.14%
EPS Next 3Y14.86%
EPS Next 5Y16.14%
Revenue Next Year20.69%
Revenue Next 2Y18.84%
Revenue Next 3Y18.01%
Revenue Next 5Y-11.56%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
APOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAPOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 10B 20B 30B
APOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAPOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 4 6 8 10

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9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 3.74, the valuation of APOS can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of APOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: APOS is cheaper than 98.02% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of APOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.29), we can say APOS is valued rather cheaply.
APOS is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 3.08.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of APOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: APOS is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
APOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 3.74
Fwd PE 3.08
APOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAPOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, APOS is valued cheaper than 97.03% of the companies in the same industry.
97.03% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than APOS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 2.83
EV/EBITDA 1.01
APOS Per share dataAPOS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as APOS's earnings are expected to grow with 14.86% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.55
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y13.14%
EPS Next 3Y14.86%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

APOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.11%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.66, APOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.11, APOS pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.11%

5.2 History

The dividend of APOS decreases each year by -3.87%.
APOS has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.87%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
APOS Yearly Dividends per shareAPOS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

APOS pays out 21.02% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP21.02%
EPS Next 2Y13.14%
EPS Next 3Y14.86%
APOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAPOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B 4B 6B
APOS Dividend Payout.APOS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.APOS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT - APO 7 5/8 09/15/53

NYSE:APOS (1/22/2025, 10:30:18 AM)

26.61

+0.01 (+0.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)11-05 2024-11-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-04 2025-02-04/amc
Inst Owners62.18%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.39%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.06B
Analysts79.2
Price Target29.06 (9.21%)
Short Float %0.02%
Short Ratio2.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.11%
Yearly Dividend1.82
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.87%
DP21.02%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-28 2025-02-28 (0.4766)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.7%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.59%
Max EPS beat(2)6.2%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.59%
Max EPS beat(4)9.67%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.07%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)0.65%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.09%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)70%
Min Revenue beat(2)53.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)86.31%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)106.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)53.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)202.3%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)113.02%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)104.56%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)108.57%
PT rev (1m)8.05%
PT rev (3m)1.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.41%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 3.74
Fwd PE 3.08
P/S 0.51
P/FCF 2.83
P/OCF 2.83
P/B 0.84
P/tB 1.11
EV/EBITDA 1.01
EPS(TTM)7.12
EY26.76%
EPS(NY)8.63
Fwd EY32.42%
FCF(TTM)9.4
FCFY35.34%
OCF(TTM)9.4
OCFY35.34%
SpS52.46
BVpS31.57
TBVpS23.91
PEG (NY)0.55
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.51%
ROE 31.13%
ROCE 2.43%
ROIC 1.92%
ROICexc 2.01%
ROICexgc 2.24%
OM 29.35%
PM (TTM) 18.74%
GM N/A
FCFM 17.93%
ROA(3y)2.06%
ROA(5y)3.23%
ROE(3y)10.97%
ROE(5y)16.97%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-22.92%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-17.56%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.72%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.5%
OM growth 3Y-20.74%
OM growth 5Y-2.99%
PM growth 3Y46.16%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 2.14
Debt/EBITDA 1.17
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 10.92
Cash Conversion 54.81%
Profit Quality 95.68%
Current Ratio 0.06
Quick Ratio 0.06
Altman-Z 0.17
F-Score6
WACC8.54%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.92%
EPS 3Y49.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
EPS Next Y6.84%
EPS Next 2Y13.14%
EPS Next 3Y14.86%
EPS Next 5Y16.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.12%
Revenue growth 3Y134.55%
Revenue growth 5Y94.91%
Sales Q2Q%199.54%
Revenue Next Year20.69%
Revenue Next 2Y18.84%
Revenue Next 3Y18.01%
Revenue Next 5Y-11.56%
EBIT growth 1Y81.84%
EBIT growth 3Y85.9%
EBIT growth 5Y89.08%
EBIT Next Year20.27%
EBIT Next 3Y15.05%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y338.29%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y51.22%
OCF growth 1Y325.32%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y50.67%