AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:APEI • US02913V1035

Current stock price

58.54 USD
+2.36 (+4.2%)
At close:
58.54 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This APEI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. APEI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • APEI had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year APEI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: APEI reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years APEI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
APEI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAPEI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.85%, APEI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • APEI has a better Return On Equity (8.58%) than 63.01% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of APEI (8.36%) is better than 75.34% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for APEI is significantly below the industry average of 10.75%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (5.50%) for APEI is below the current ROIC(8.36%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.85%
ROE 8.58%
ROIC 8.36%
ROA(3y)-0.98%
ROA(5y)-3.84%
ROE(3y)-2.12%
ROE(5y)-6.99%
ROIC(3y)5.5%
ROIC(5y)4.31%
APEI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAPEI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • APEI's Profit Margin of 3.90% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 57.53% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of APEI has declined.
  • APEI has a Operating Margin of 8.30%. This is in the better half of the industry: APEI outperforms 65.75% of its industry peers.
  • APEI's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • APEI has a Gross Margin of 54.22%. This is in the better half of the industry: APEI outperforms 64.38% of its industry peers.
  • APEI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.3%
PM (TTM) 3.9%
GM 54.22%
OM growth 3Y58.66%
OM growth 5Y0.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-7.76%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-2.65%
APEI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAPEI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

7

2. APEI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • APEI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for APEI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, APEI has more shares outstanding
  • APEI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
APEI Yearly Shares OutstandingAPEI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M
APEI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAPEI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

  • APEI has an Altman-Z score of 4.70. This indicates that APEI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • APEI has a Altman-Z score of 4.70. This is amongst the best in the industry. APEI outperforms 86.30% of its industry peers.
  • APEI has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.06. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as APEI would need 2.06 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • APEI has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.06) than 82.19% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32 indicates that APEI is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • APEI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.32. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: APEI outperforms 54.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 2.06
Altman-Z 4.7
ROIC/WACC0.93
WACC9.01%
APEI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAPEI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.46 indicates that APEI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.46, APEI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.46 indicates that APEI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • APEI's Quick ratio of 3.46 is amongst the best of the industry. APEI outperforms 91.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.46
Quick Ratio 3.46
APEI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAPEI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

6

3. APEI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 125.00% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.15% on average over the past years.
  • APEI shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.89%.
  • APEI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 15.06% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)125%
EPS 3Y1.05%
EPS 5Y5.15%
EPS Q2Q%6.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.89%
Revenue growth 3Y2.29%
Revenue growth 5Y15.06%
Sales Q2Q%-3.52%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, APEI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 30.80% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.26% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y42.49%
EPS Next 2Y30.8%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.34%
Revenue Next 2Y7.26%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
APEI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAPEI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M
APEI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAPEI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 -4 -6

4

4. APEI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • APEI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 36.14.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of APEI is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of APEI to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.50), we can say APEI is valued slightly more expensively.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.36 indicates a quite expensive valuation of APEI.
  • APEI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of APEI to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.67), we can say APEI is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.14
Fwd PE 25.36
APEI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAPEI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • APEI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, APEI is valued a bit cheaper than 65.75% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.34
EV/EBITDA 13.55
APEI Per share dataAPEI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • APEI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • APEI's earnings are expected to grow with 30.80% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.85
PEG (5Y)7.01
EPS Next 2Y30.8%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. APEI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for APEI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

APEI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION

NASDAQ:APEI (3/25/2026, 4:30:00 PM)

After market: 58.54 0 (0%)

58.54

+2.36 (+4.2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners114.41%
Inst Owner Change4.79%
Ins Owners3.55%
Ins Owner Change3.23%
Market Cap1.08B
Revenue(TTM)648.86M
Net Income(TTM)25.30M
Analysts82.86
Price Target47.65 (-18.6%)
Short Float %9.6%
Short Ratio5.38
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP10.87%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)385.4%
Min EPS beat(2)77.26%
Max EPS beat(2)693.54%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)254.45%
Min EPS beat(4)74.48%
Max EPS beat(4)693.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)68.56%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)20.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)212.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.24%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.24%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.68%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-9.28%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.54%
PT rev (1m)6.51%
PT rev (3m)13.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)43.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.53%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.33%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.14
Fwd PE 25.36
P/S 1.66
P/FCF 23.34
P/OCF 17.36
P/B 3.65
P/tB 5.2
EV/EBITDA 13.55
EPS(TTM)1.62
EY2.77%
EPS(NY)2.31
Fwd EY3.94%
FCF(TTM)2.51
FCFY4.28%
OCF(TTM)3.37
OCFY5.76%
SpS35.3
BVpS16.04
TBVpS11.26
PEG (NY)0.85
PEG (5Y)7.01
Graham Number24.18
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.85%
ROE 8.58%
ROCE 12.07%
ROIC 8.36%
ROICexc 13.95%
ROICexgc 20.77%
OM 8.3%
PM (TTM) 3.9%
GM 54.22%
FCFM 7.1%
ROA(3y)-0.98%
ROA(5y)-3.84%
ROE(3y)-2.12%
ROE(5y)-6.99%
ROIC(3y)5.5%
ROIC(5y)4.31%
ROICexc(3y)8.41%
ROICexc(5y)6.36%
ROICexgc(3y)11.96%
ROICexgc(5y)10.57%
ROCE(3y)7.94%
ROCE(5y)6.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y80.58%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.55%
ROICexc growth 3Y87.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y-7.12%
OM growth 3Y58.66%
OM growth 5Y0.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-7.76%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-2.65%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 2.06
Debt/EBITDA 1.35
Cap/Depr 98.24%
Cap/Sales 2.44%
Interest Coverage 5.58
Cash Conversion 88.51%
Profit Quality 182.18%
Current Ratio 3.46
Quick Ratio 3.46
Altman-Z 4.7
F-Score8
WACC9.01%
ROIC/WACC0.93
Cap/Depr(3y)85.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.73%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)125%
EPS 3Y1.05%
EPS 5Y5.15%
EPS Q2Q%6.35%
EPS Next Y42.49%
EPS Next 2Y30.8%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.89%
Revenue growth 3Y2.29%
Revenue growth 5Y15.06%
Sales Q2Q%-3.52%
Revenue Next Year7.34%
Revenue Next 2Y7.26%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y38.88%
EBIT growth 3Y62.29%
EBIT growth 5Y15.95%
EBIT Next Year123.77%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y65.89%
FCF growth 3Y53.17%
FCF growth 5Y2.94%
OCF growth 1Y26.79%
OCF growth 3Y28.48%
OCF growth 5Y6.7%

AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION / APEI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to APEI.


Can you provide the valuation status for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION?

AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) stock?

The financial health rating of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) is 7 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) is expected to grow by 42.49% in the next year.