AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:APEI - US02913V1035 - Common Stock
31.07 USD
+0.4 (+1.3%)
31.07 USD
0 (0%)
APEI gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 78 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. While APEI has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. APEI has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year APEI was profitable.
APEI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years APEI reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
APEI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
APEI's Return On Assets of 3.61% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 65.38% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.12%, APEI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.82% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of APEI (7.08%) is better than 76.92% of its industry peers.
APEI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.11%. This is significantly below the industry average of 9.50%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.11%) for APEI is below the current ROIC(7.08%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.61% | ||
| ROE | 7.12% | ||
| ROIC | 7.08% |
ROA(3y)-8.83%
ROA(5y)-3.79%
ROE(3y)-15.94%
ROE(5y)-7.48%
ROIC(3y)3.11%
ROIC(5y)3.6%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of APEI (3.01%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
APEI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
APEI's Operating Margin of 7.53% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 60.26% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of APEI has declined.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 53.39%, APEI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.10% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of APEI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.01% | ||
| GM | 53.39% |
OM growth 3Y-6.39%
OM growth 5Y-3%
PM growth 3Y-27.64%
PM growth 5Y-14.35%
GM growth 3Y-3.61%
GM growth 5Y-2.87%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so APEI is destroying value.
APEI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for APEI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for APEI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.00 indicates that APEI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
APEI's Altman-Z score of 3.00 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 76.92% of its industry peers.
APEI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.88. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.88 years to pay back of all of its debts.
APEI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.88. This is amongst the best in the industry. APEI outperforms 80.77% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that APEI is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.35, APEI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.28% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3 |
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC8.58%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.83 indicates that APEI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
APEI has a Current ratio of 2.83. This is amongst the best in the industry. APEI outperforms 85.90% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.83 indicates that APEI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 2.83, APEI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.83 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.83 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
APEI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 20.45%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -8.13% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.50% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 16.88% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)20.45%
EPS 3Y-10.67%
EPS 5Y-8.13%
EPS Q2Q%66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.5%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5Y16.88%
Sales Q2Q%6.46%
3.2 Future
APEI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 58.17% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y40.36%
EPS Next 2Y72.87%
EPS Next 3Y58.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.2%
Revenue Next 2Y4.87%
Revenue Next 3Y5.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 29.31 indicates a quite expensive valuation of APEI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of APEI is on the same level as its industry peers.
APEI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 25.83.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.44, which indicates a correct valuation of APEI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of APEI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: APEI is cheaper than 70.51% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of APEI to the average of the S&P500 Index (32.68), we can say APEI is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.44 |
4.2 Price Multiples
APEI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. APEI is cheaper than 79.49% of the companies in the same industry.
84.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than APEI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.18 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
APEI's earnings are expected to grow with 58.17% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y72.87%
EPS Next 3Y58.17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
APEI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
31.07
+0.4 (+1.3%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.56%
Inst Owner Change0.13%
Ins Owners4.06%
Ins Owner Change-22.37%
Market Cap561.43M
Revenue(TTM)644.55M
Net Income(TTM)19.37M
Analysts82.86
Price Target39.49 (27.1%)
Short Float %6.49%
Short Ratio4.9
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP29.63%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)123.5%
Min EPS beat(2)74.48%
Max EPS beat(2)172.52%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)77.28%
Min EPS beat(4)15.09%
Max EPS beat(4)172.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)36.65%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)-50.18%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)155.1%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-13.44%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-9.62%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7%
PT rev (1m)4.63%
PT rev (3m)13.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-137.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.81%
EPS NY rev (3m)-27.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.44 | ||
| P/S | 0.87 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.18 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.32 | ||
| P/B | 2.06 | ||
| P/tB | 3.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.18 |
EPS(TTM)1.06
EY3.41%
EPS(NY)2.15
Fwd EY6.92%
FCF(TTM)2.78
FCFY8.94%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY12.02%
SpS35.67
BVpS15.07
TBVpS10.21
PEG (NY)0.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number18.96
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.61% | ||
| ROE | 7.12% | ||
| ROCE | 10.68% | ||
| ROIC | 7.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.08% | ||
| OM | 7.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.01% | ||
| GM | 53.39% | ||
| FCFM | 7.79% |
ROA(3y)-8.83%
ROA(5y)-3.79%
ROE(3y)-15.94%
ROE(5y)-7.48%
ROIC(3y)3.11%
ROIC(5y)3.6%
ROICexc(3y)4.28%
ROICexc(5y)7.29%
ROICexgc(3y)5.95%
ROICexgc(5y)12.03%
ROCE(3y)4.69%
ROCE(5y)5.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.82%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.02%
OM growth 3Y-6.39%
OM growth 5Y-3%
PM growth 3Y-27.64%
PM growth 5Y-14.35%
GM growth 3Y-3.61%
GM growth 5Y-2.87%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.2
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.44 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 101.43% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.8 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 102.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 259.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.83 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3 |
F-Score8
WACC8.58%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)70.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)62.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)20.45%
EPS 3Y-10.67%
EPS 5Y-8.13%
EPS Q2Q%66.67%
EPS Next Y40.36%
EPS Next 2Y72.87%
EPS Next 3Y58.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.5%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5Y16.88%
Sales Q2Q%6.46%
Revenue Next Year4.2%
Revenue Next 2Y4.87%
Revenue Next 3Y5.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y32.47%
EBIT growth 3Y6.95%
EBIT growth 5Y13.38%
EBIT Next Year196.75%
EBIT Next 3Y55.39%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y1621.67%
FCF growth 3Y84.29%
FCF growth 5Y-2.23%
OCF growth 1Y447.29%
OCF growth 3Y44.29%
OCF growth 5Y4.96%
AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION / APEI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to APEI.
What is the valuation status of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION?
AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) is 29.31 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.06.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for APEI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) is expected to grow by 40.36% in the next year.