AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:APEI - US02913V1035 - Common Stock
34.8 USD
-0.37 (-1.05%)
34.8 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, APEI scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. APEI was compared to 79 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. APEI is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. APEI has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year APEI was profitable.
APEI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: APEI reported negative net income in multiple years.
APEI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
APEI's Return On Assets of 4.61% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 65.82% of its industry peers.
APEI's Return On Equity of 8.66% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 63.29% of its industry peers.
APEI's Return On Invested Capital of 8.88% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 78.48% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for APEI is significantly below the industry average of 10.08%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.88%) for APEI is above the 3 year average (3.11%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.61% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 8.88% |
ROA(3y)-8.83%
ROA(5y)-3.79%
ROE(3y)-15.94%
ROE(5y)-7.48%
ROIC(3y)3.11%
ROIC(5y)3.6%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of APEI (3.70%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of APEI has declined.
APEI has a better Operating Margin (8.88%) than 63.29% of its industry peers.
APEI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
APEI has a better Gross Margin (54.22%) than 63.29% of its industry peers.
APEI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.7% | ||
| GM | 54.22% |
OM growth 3Y-6.39%
OM growth 5Y-3%
PM growth 3Y-27.64%
PM growth 5Y-14.35%
GM growth 3Y-3.61%
GM growth 5Y-2.87%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
APEI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
APEI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for APEI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for APEI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
APEI has an Altman-Z score of 3.47. This indicates that APEI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
APEI has a better Altman-Z score (3.47) than 81.01% of its industry peers.
APEI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.58. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
APEI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.58. This is amongst the best in the industry. APEI outperforms 81.01% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34 indicates that APEI is not too dependend on debt financing.
APEI has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.34) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.47 |
ROIC/WACC1.01
WACC8.79%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.84 indicates that APEI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
APEI's Current ratio of 2.84 is amongst the best of the industry. APEI outperforms 87.34% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.84 indicates that APEI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 2.84, APEI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.61% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
APEI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 116.44%, which is quite impressive.
APEI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -8.13% yearly.
Looking at the last year, APEI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.75% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, APEI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 16.88% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)116.44%
EPS 3Y-10.67%
EPS 5Y-8.13%
EPS Q2Q%1300%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.75%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5Y16.88%
Sales Q2Q%6.59%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, APEI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 58.17% on average per year.
APEI is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.10% yearly.
EPS Next Y40.36%
EPS Next 2Y72.87%
EPS Next 3Y58.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.2%
Revenue Next 2Y4.87%
Revenue Next 3Y5.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.03, APEI is valued on the expensive side.
APEI's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
APEI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 25.45.
APEI is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.17.
67.09% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than APEI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.46, APEI is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.17 |
4.2 Price Multiples
APEI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. APEI is cheaper than 75.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, APEI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
APEI's earnings are expected to grow with 58.17% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.55
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y72.87%
EPS Next 3Y58.17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for APEI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
34.8
-0.37 (-1.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.56%
Inst Owner Change4.85%
Ins Owners4.06%
Ins Owner Change-26.03%
Market Cap628.84M
Revenue(TTM)654.64M
Net Income(TTM)24.20M
Analysts82.86
Price Target40.8 (17.24%)
Short Float %6.46%
Short Ratio3.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP17.4%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)384.01%
Min EPS beat(2)74.48%
Max EPS beat(2)693.54%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)238.91%
Min EPS beat(4)15.09%
Max EPS beat(4)693.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)101.44%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)5.82%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)209.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.37%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-13.38%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-9.64%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.72%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)11.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-222.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.81%
EPS NY rev (3m)-27.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.17 | ||
| P/S | 0.96 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.37 | ||
| P/B | 2.25 | ||
| P/tB | 3.28 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.23 |
EPS(TTM)1.58
EY4.54%
EPS(NY)2.15
Fwd EY6.18%
FCF(TTM)3.32
FCFY9.54%
OCF(TTM)4.16
OCFY11.95%
SpS36.23
BVpS15.46
TBVpS10.6
PEG (NY)0.55
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number23.44
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.61% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 13.39% | ||
| ROIC | 8.88% | ||
| ROICexc | 16.13% | ||
| ROICexgc | 25.5% | ||
| OM | 8.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.7% | ||
| GM | 54.22% | ||
| FCFM | 9.16% |
ROA(3y)-8.83%
ROA(5y)-3.79%
ROE(3y)-15.94%
ROE(5y)-7.48%
ROIC(3y)3.11%
ROIC(5y)3.6%
ROICexc(3y)4.28%
ROICexc(5y)7.29%
ROICexgc(3y)5.95%
ROICexgc(5y)12.03%
ROCE(3y)4.69%
ROCE(5y)5.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.82%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.02%
OM growth 3Y-6.39%
OM growth 5Y-3%
PM growth 3Y-27.64%
PM growth 5Y-14.35%
GM growth 3Y-3.61%
GM growth 5Y-2.87%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.25
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.28 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 95.35% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.31% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.92 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.51% | ||
| Profit Quality | 247.77% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.47 |
F-Score8
WACC8.79%
ROIC/WACC1.01
Cap/Depr(3y)70.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)62.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)116.44%
EPS 3Y-10.67%
EPS 5Y-8.13%
EPS Q2Q%1300%
EPS Next Y40.36%
EPS Next 2Y72.87%
EPS Next 3Y58.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.75%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5Y16.88%
Sales Q2Q%6.59%
Revenue Next Year4.2%
Revenue Next 2Y4.87%
Revenue Next 3Y5.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y69.04%
EBIT growth 3Y6.95%
EBIT growth 5Y13.38%
EBIT Next Year196.75%
EBIT Next 3Y55.39%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y463.58%
FCF growth 3Y84.29%
FCF growth 5Y-2.23%
OCF growth 1Y193.08%
OCF growth 3Y44.29%
OCF growth 5Y4.96%
AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION / APEI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to APEI.
What is the valuation status of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION?
AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) is 22.03 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.25.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for APEI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) is expected to grow by 40.36% in the next year.