AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:APEI • US02913V1035

Current stock price

57.28 USD
+1.63 (+2.93%)
Last:

This APEI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. APEI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year APEI was profitable.
  • In the past year APEI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: APEI reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years APEI had a positive operating cash flow.
APEI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAPEI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • APEI has a better Return On Assets (4.85%) than 61.64% of its industry peers.
  • APEI's Return On Equity of 8.58% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 60.27% of its industry peers.
  • APEI's Return On Invested Capital of 8.36% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 72.60% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for APEI is significantly below the industry average of 15.48%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (5.50%) for APEI is below the current ROIC(8.36%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.85%
ROE 8.58%
ROIC 8.36%
ROA(3y)-0.98%
ROA(5y)-3.84%
ROE(3y)-2.12%
ROE(5y)-6.99%
ROIC(3y)5.5%
ROIC(5y)4.31%
APEI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAPEI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.90%, APEI is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of APEI has declined.
  • APEI has a better Operating Margin (8.30%) than 64.38% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of APEI has remained more or less at the same level.
  • APEI has a Gross Margin of 54.22%. This is in the better half of the industry: APEI outperforms 64.38% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of APEI has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.3%
PM (TTM) 3.9%
GM 54.22%
OM growth 3Y58.66%
OM growth 5Y0.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-7.76%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-2.65%
APEI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAPEI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

7

2. APEI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), APEI is destroying value.
  • APEI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • APEI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for APEI is higher compared to a year ago.
APEI Yearly Shares OutstandingAPEI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M
APEI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAPEI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.68 indicates that APEI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • APEI has a Altman-Z score of 4.68. This is amongst the best in the industry. APEI outperforms 86.30% of its industry peers.
  • APEI has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.06. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as APEI would need 2.06 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • APEI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.06. This is amongst the best in the industry. APEI outperforms 80.82% of its industry peers.
  • APEI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of APEI (0.32) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 2.06
Altman-Z 4.68
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC8.79%
APEI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAPEI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

  • APEI has a Current Ratio of 3.46. This indicates that APEI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • APEI has a better Current ratio (3.46) than 91.78% of its industry peers.
  • APEI has a Quick Ratio of 3.46. This indicates that APEI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of APEI (3.46) is better than 91.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.46
Quick Ratio 3.46
APEI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAPEI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

6

3. APEI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 125.00% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.15% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, APEI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.89% in the last year.
  • APEI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 15.06% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)125%
EPS 3Y1.05%
EPS 5Y5.15%
EPS Q2Q%6.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.89%
Revenue growth 3Y2.29%
Revenue growth 5Y15.06%
Sales Q2Q%-3.52%

3.2 Future

  • APEI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 39.89% yearly.
  • APEI is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.22% yearly.
EPS Next Y58.15%
EPS Next 2Y39.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.44%
Revenue Next 2Y7.22%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
APEI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAPEI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M
APEI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAPEI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 -4 -6

4

4. APEI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 35.36, APEI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • APEI's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • APEI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
  • APEI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.36.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, APEI is valued a bit cheaper than 63.01% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.29. APEI is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 35.36
Fwd PE 22.36
APEI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAPEI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • APEI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 65.75% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than APEI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.87
EV/EBITDA 13.43
APEI Per share dataAPEI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as APEI's earnings are expected to grow with 39.89% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.61
PEG (5Y)6.86
EPS Next 2Y39.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. APEI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • APEI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

APEI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION

NASDAQ:APEI (4/27/2026, 11:28:28 AM)

57.28

+1.63 (+2.93%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners110.75%
Inst Owner Change0.15%
Ins Owners4.11%
Ins Owner Change-1.32%
Market Cap1.05B
Revenue(TTM)648.86M
Net Income(TTM)25.30M
Analysts82.86
Price Target58.58 (2.27%)
Short Float %14.01%
Short Ratio6.59
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP10.87%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)385.4%
Min EPS beat(2)77.26%
Max EPS beat(2)693.54%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)254.45%
Min EPS beat(4)74.48%
Max EPS beat(4)693.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)68.56%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)20.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)212.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.24%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.24%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.68%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-9.28%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.54%
PT rev (1m)22.94%
PT rev (3m)40.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.98%
EPS NQ rev (3m)40.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)11%
EPS NY rev (3m)14.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.64%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 35.36
Fwd PE 22.36
P/S 1.63
P/FCF 22.87
P/OCF 17.02
P/B 3.58
P/tB 5.1
EV/EBITDA 13.43
EPS(TTM)1.62
EY2.83%
EPS(NY)2.56
Fwd EY4.47%
FCF(TTM)2.5
FCFY4.37%
OCF(TTM)3.37
OCFY5.88%
SpS35.25
BVpS16.01
TBVpS11.24
PEG (NY)0.61
PEG (5Y)6.86
Graham Number24.1586 (-57.82%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.85%
ROE 8.58%
ROCE 12.07%
ROIC 8.36%
ROICexc 13.95%
ROICexgc 20.77%
OM 8.3%
PM (TTM) 3.9%
GM 54.22%
FCFM 7.1%
ROA(3y)-0.98%
ROA(5y)-3.84%
ROE(3y)-2.12%
ROE(5y)-6.99%
ROIC(3y)5.5%
ROIC(5y)4.31%
ROICexc(3y)8.41%
ROICexc(5y)6.36%
ROICexgc(3y)11.96%
ROICexgc(5y)10.57%
ROCE(3y)7.94%
ROCE(5y)6.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y80.58%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.55%
ROICexc growth 3Y87.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y-7.12%
OM growth 3Y58.66%
OM growth 5Y0.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-7.76%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-2.65%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 2.06
Debt/EBITDA 1.35
Cap/Depr 98.24%
Cap/Sales 2.44%
Interest Coverage 5.58
Cash Conversion 88.51%
Profit Quality 182.18%
Current Ratio 3.46
Quick Ratio 3.46
Altman-Z 4.68
F-Score8
WACC8.79%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)85.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.73%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)125%
EPS 3Y1.05%
EPS 5Y5.15%
EPS Q2Q%6.35%
EPS Next Y58.15%
EPS Next 2Y39.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.89%
Revenue growth 3Y2.29%
Revenue growth 5Y15.06%
Sales Q2Q%-3.52%
Revenue Next Year7.44%
Revenue Next 2Y7.22%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y38.88%
EBIT growth 3Y62.29%
EBIT growth 5Y15.95%
EBIT Next Year133.62%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y65.89%
FCF growth 3Y53.17%
FCF growth 5Y2.94%
OCF growth 1Y26.79%
OCF growth 3Y28.48%
OCF growth 5Y6.7%

AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION / APEI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to APEI.


Can you provide the valuation status for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of APEI stock?

AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) is 35.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.58.


Can you provide the financial health for APEI stock?

The financial health rating of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) is 7 / 10.