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AON PLC-CLASS A (AON) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AON - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - IE00BLP1HW54 - Common Stock

366.17  -1.94 (-0.53%)

After market: 366.17 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall AON gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated AON against 144 industry peers in the Insurance industry. AON scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AON is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AON had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AON had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years AON has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years AON always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AON Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAON Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

1.2 Ratios

AON's Return On Assets of 4.88% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AON outperforms 77.46% of its industry peers.
AON has a Return On Equity of 39.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AON outperforms 97.18% of its industry peers.
AON's Return On Invested Capital of 11.92% is amongst the best of the industry. AON outperforms 95.77% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AON is significantly above the industry average of 4.61%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.92%) for AON is well below the 3 year average (21.02%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AON had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.88%
ROE 39.01%
ROIC 11.92%
ROA(3y)6.47%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)21.02%
ROIC(5y)18.9%
AON Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAON Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400

1.3 Margins

AON has a Profit Margin of 16.32%. This is in the better half of the industry: AON outperforms 78.17% of its industry peers.
AON's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AON's Operating Margin of 26.61% is amongst the best of the industry. AON outperforms 89.44% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AON has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.61%
PM (TTM) 16.32%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y6.99%
OM growth 5Y8.5%
PM growth 3Y2.51%
PM growth 5Y12.73%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AON Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAON Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AON is creating value.
AON has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AON has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AON has about the same debt to assets ratio.
AON Yearly Shares OutstandingAON Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
AON Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAON Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.62, we must say that AON is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.62, AON belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.62% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AON is 5.93, which is a neutral value as it means it would take AON, 5.93 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AON's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.93 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AON is outperformed by 65.49% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.74 is on the high side and indicates that AON has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AON (2.74) is worse than 95.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.74
Debt/FCF 5.93
Altman-Z 1.62
ROIC/WACC1.76
WACC6.79%
AON Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAON Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.07 indicates that AON should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AON has a better Current ratio (1.07) than 78.87% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.07 indicates that AON should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.07, AON is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 1.07
AON Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAON Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.50% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.68% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has grown by 13.67% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.43% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.5%
EPS 3Y13.04%
EPS 5Y11.68%
EPS Q2Q%17.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.67%
Revenue growth 3Y6.52%
Revenue growth 5Y4.43%
Sales Q2Q%26.01%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AON will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.45% on average per year.
AON is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.29% yearly.
EPS Next Y10.37%
EPS Next 2Y11.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.98%
EPS Next 5Y10.45%
Revenue Next Year18%
Revenue Next 2Y14.51%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.29%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AON Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAON Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B 20B
AON Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAON Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5 10 15 20

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AON is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.09.
71.83% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AON, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AON to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.96), we can say AON is valued inline with the index average.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.83 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AON.
70.42% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AON, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
AON's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 24.11.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.09
Fwd PE 20.83
AON Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAON Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

AON's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
AON's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AON is more expensive than 66.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.46
EV/EBITDA 17.66
AON Per share dataAON EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AON may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.32
PEG (5Y)2.06
EPS Next 2Y11.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.98%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AON is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.13, AON is paying slightly less dividend.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.73, AON pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.33.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.73%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of AON grows each year by 9.13%, which is quite nice.
AON has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
As AON did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.13%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
AON Yearly Dividends per shareAON Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

22.13% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AON. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
AON's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP22.13%
EPS Next 2Y11.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.98%
AON Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAON Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B
AON Dividend Payout.AON Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AON Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AON PLC-CLASS A

NYSE:AON (1/17/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 366.17 0 (0%)

366.17

-1.94 (-0.53%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)10-25 2024-10-25/bmo
Earnings (Next)01-31 2025-01-31/amc
Inst Owners86.43%
Inst Owner Change-0.13%
Ins Owners1.07%
Ins Owner Change-0.38%
Market Cap79.19B
Analysts67.2
Price Target394.65 (7.78%)
Short Float %2.18%
Short Ratio4.49
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.73%
Yearly Dividend2.42
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.13%
DP22.13%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.42%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.88%
Max EPS beat(2)8.73%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.88%
Max EPS beat(4)8.73%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.75%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.43%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.54%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.39%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.02%
PT rev (1m)-1.16%
PT rev (3m)11.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.09
Fwd PE 20.83
P/S 5.31
P/FCF 27.46
P/OCF 25.58
P/B 12.68
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 17.66
EPS(TTM)15.2
EY4.15%
EPS(NY)17.58
Fwd EY4.8%
FCF(TTM)13.34
FCFY3.64%
OCF(TTM)14.32
OCFY3.91%
SpS69.02
BVpS28.87
TBVpS-74.71
PEG (NY)2.32
PEG (5Y)2.06
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.88%
ROE 39.01%
ROCE 14.29%
ROIC 11.92%
ROICexc 17.86%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 26.61%
PM (TTM) 16.32%
GM N/A
FCFM 19.32%
ROA(3y)6.47%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)21.02%
ROIC(5y)18.9%
ROICexc(3y)51.07%
ROICexc(5y)42.14%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)26.44%
ROCE(5y)23.44%
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y33.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y27.16%
OM growth 3Y6.99%
OM growth 5Y8.5%
PM growth 3Y2.51%
PM growth 5Y12.73%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.74
Debt/FCF 5.93
Debt/EBITDA 3.8
Cap/Depr 40.69%
Cap/Sales 1.42%
Interest Coverage 5.88
Cash Conversion 68.91%
Profit Quality 118.39%
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 1.07
Altman-Z 1.62
F-Score5
WACC6.79%
ROIC/WACC1.76
Cap/Depr(3y)71.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)57.75%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.53%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.58%
Profit Quality(3y)134.62%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.5%
EPS 3Y13.04%
EPS 5Y11.68%
EPS Q2Q%17.24%
EPS Next Y10.37%
EPS Next 2Y11.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.98%
EPS Next 5Y10.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.67%
Revenue growth 3Y6.52%
Revenue growth 5Y4.43%
Sales Q2Q%26.01%
Revenue Next Year18%
Revenue Next 2Y14.51%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.29%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.29%
EBIT growth 3Y13.97%
EBIT growth 5Y13.3%
EBIT Next Year21.51%
EBIT Next 3Y14.5%
EBIT Next 5Y9.43%
FCF growth 1Y-2.14%
FCF growth 3Y6.41%
FCF growth 5Y17.09%
OCF growth 1Y-0.39%
OCF growth 3Y7.27%
OCF growth 5Y15.3%