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ALSTOM (AOMD.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:AOMD - Deutsche Boerse Ag - FR0010220475 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

19.05  +0.02 (+0.08%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall AOMD gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated AOMD against 107 industry peers in the Machinery industry. Both the profitability and financial health of AOMD have multiple concerns. AOMD has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AOMD has reported negative net income.
AOMD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AOMD reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years AOMD reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
AOMD.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAOMD.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B -2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of AOMD (-0.76%) is worse than 69.31% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -2.47%, AOMD is not doing good in the industry: 70.30% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AOMD has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.59%) than 71.29% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AOMD is significantly below the industry average of 8.38%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.59%) for AOMD is above the 3 year average (1.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.76%
ROE -2.47%
ROIC 2.59%
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)0.24%
ROE(3y)-3.85%
ROE(5y)1.09%
ROIC(3y)1.53%
ROIC(5y)2.84%
AOMD.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAOMD.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

AOMD's Operating Margin of 3.16% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AOMD is outperformed by 68.32% of its industry peers.
AOMD's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AOMD has a worse Gross Margin (12.67%) than 94.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AOMD has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.16%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 12.67%
OM growth 3Y-16.25%
OM growth 5Y-16.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.3%
GM growth 5Y-6.66%
AOMD.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAOMD.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30 40

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AOMD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AOMD has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AOMD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AOMD has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AOMD.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingAOMD.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
AOMD.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAOMD.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

AOMD has an Altman-Z score of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that AOMD is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AOMD (0.82) is worse than 73.27% of its industry peers.
AOMD has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.15. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AOMD would need 9.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AOMD (9.15) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32 indicates that AOMD is not too dependend on debt financing.
AOMD has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.32. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AOMD outperforms 51.49% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 9.15
Altman-Z 0.82
ROIC/WACC0.41
WACC6.32%
AOMD.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAOMD.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that AOMD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.96, AOMD is not doing good in the industry: 90.10% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that AOMD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AOMD's Quick ratio of 0.74 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AOMD is outperformed by 72.28% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.74
AOMD.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAOMD.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AOMD have decreased strongly by -109.89% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, AOMD shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.21% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AOMD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 16.90% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-109.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.21%
Revenue growth 3Y26.11%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.03% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.42% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.83%
EPS Next 2Y25.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.23%
EPS Next 5Y15.03%
Revenue Next Year4.77%
Revenue Next 2Y4.79%
Revenue Next 3Y4.55%
Revenue Next 5Y5.42%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AOMD.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAOMD.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
AOMD.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAOMD.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AOMD reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.12, the valuation of AOMD can be described as reasonable.
AOMD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AOMD is cheaper than 71.29% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 92.74. AOMD is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 10.12
AOMD.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAOMD.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

AOMD's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
AOMD's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.6
EV/EBITDA 7.4
AOMD.DE Per share dataAOMD.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AOMD's earnings are expected to grow with 23.23% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.23%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AOMD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.03%.
AOMD's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.14.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, AOMD has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.03%

5.2 History

The dividend of AOMD decreases each year by -15.03%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.03%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
AOMD.DE Yearly Dividends per shareAOMD.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2021 2022 2023 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

AOMD has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-7.39%
EPS Next 2Y25.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.23%
AOMD.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAOMD.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B -2B 3B

ALSTOM

FRA:AOMD (2/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

19.05

+0.02 (+0.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)01-16 2025-01-16
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners58.52%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap8.79B
Analysts73.04
Price Target23.36 (22.62%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.03%
Yearly Dividend0.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.03%
DP-7.39%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.85%
PT rev (3m)10.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.78%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.78%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 10.12
P/S 0.49
P/FCF 22.6
P/OCF 9.43
P/B 0.85
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.4
EPS(TTM)-0.63
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.88
Fwd EY9.88%
FCF(TTM)0.84
FCFY4.42%
OCF(TTM)2.02
OCFY10.6%
SpS38.9
BVpS22.52
TBVpS-1.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.76%
ROE -2.47%
ROCE 3.68%
ROIC 2.59%
ROICexc 2.93%
ROICexgc 16.24%
OM 3.16%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 12.67%
FCFM 2.17%
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)0.24%
ROE(3y)-3.85%
ROE(5y)1.09%
ROIC(3y)1.53%
ROIC(5y)2.84%
ROICexc(3y)1.64%
ROICexc(5y)4.01%
ROICexgc(3y)18.51%
ROICexgc(5y)30.92%
ROCE(3y)2.18%
ROCE(5y)4.04%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-23.96%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y5.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-33.06%
OM growth 3Y-16.25%
OM growth 5Y-16.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.3%
GM growth 5Y-6.66%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 9.15
Debt/EBITDA 2.34
Cap/Depr 63.21%
Cap/Sales 3.02%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.31%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 0.82
F-Score5
WACC6.32%
ROIC/WACC0.41
Cap/Depr(3y)51.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)63.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.9%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-109.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y16.83%
EPS Next 2Y25.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.23%
EPS Next 5Y15.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.21%
Revenue growth 3Y26.11%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
Revenue Next Year4.77%
Revenue Next 2Y4.79%
Revenue Next 3Y4.55%
Revenue Next 5Y5.42%
EBIT growth 1Y11.59%
EBIT growth 3Y5.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.26%
EBIT Next Year102.47%
EBIT Next 3Y39.73%
EBIT Next 5Y25.4%
FCF growth 1Y-2.99%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y14.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A