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ALSTOM (AOMD.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:AOMD - Deutsche Boerse Ag - FR0010220475 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

24.45  -1.41 (-5.45%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to AOMD. AOMD was compared to 105 industry peers in the Machinery industry. Both the profitability and financial health of AOMD have multiple concerns. AOMD has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AOMD has reported negative net income.
AOMD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AOMD reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: AOMD reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
AOMD.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAOMD.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B -2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of AOMD (-0.76%) is worse than 68.27% of its industry peers.
AOMD has a Return On Equity of -2.47%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AOMD underperforms 68.27% of its industry peers.
AOMD has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.59%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AOMD underperforms 67.31% of its industry peers.
AOMD had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.53%. This is significantly below the industry average of 8.45%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.53%) for AOMD is below the current ROIC(2.59%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.76%
ROE -2.47%
ROIC 2.59%
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)0.24%
ROE(3y)-3.85%
ROE(5y)1.09%
ROIC(3y)1.53%
ROIC(5y)2.84%
AOMD.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAOMD.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.16%, AOMD is doing worse than 67.31% of the companies in the same industry.
AOMD's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AOMD has a Gross Margin of 12.67%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AOMD underperforms 88.46% of its industry peers.
AOMD's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.16%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 12.67%
OM growth 3Y-16.25%
OM growth 5Y-16.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.3%
GM growth 5Y-6.66%
AOMD.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAOMD.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30 40

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AOMD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AOMD has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AOMD has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AOMD is higher compared to a year ago.
AOMD.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingAOMD.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
AOMD.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAOMD.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.88, we must say that AOMD is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AOMD's Altman-Z score of 0.88 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AOMD is outperformed by 67.31% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AOMD is 9.15, which is on the high side as it means it would take AOMD, 9.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 9.15, AOMD perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.23% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32 indicates that AOMD is not too dependend on debt financing.
AOMD has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.32. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AOMD outperforms 51.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 9.15
Altman-Z 0.88
ROIC/WACC0.38
WACC6.76%
AOMD.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAOMD.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

AOMD has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that AOMD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AOMD has a Current ratio of 0.96. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AOMD underperforms 88.46% of its industry peers.
AOMD has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that AOMD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AOMD's Quick ratio of 0.74 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AOMD is outperformed by 70.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.74
AOMD.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAOMD.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AOMD shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -109.90%.
AOMD shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.21%.
Measured over the past years, AOMD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 16.90% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-109.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.21%
Revenue growth 3Y26.11%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%

3.2 Future

AOMD is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.03% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AOMD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.42% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.83%
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y23.16%
EPS Next 5Y15.03%
Revenue Next Year5%
Revenue Next 2Y4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y4.72%
Revenue Next 5Y5.42%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AOMD.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAOMD.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
AOMD.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAOMD.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AOMD. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.97 indicates a correct valuation of AOMD.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AOMD indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AOMD is cheaper than 63.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AOMD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.10.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 12.97
AOMD.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAOMD.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AOMD is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AOMD is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 29.01
EV/EBITDA 9.15
AOMD.DE Per share dataAOMD.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AOMD's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AOMD's earnings are expected to grow with 23.16% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y23.16%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AOMD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.03%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
AOMD's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.07.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, AOMD has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.03%

5.2 History

The dividend of AOMD decreases each year by -15.03%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.03%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
AOMD.DE Yearly Dividends per shareAOMD.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2021 2022 2023 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

AOMD has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-7.39%
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y23.16%
AOMD.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAOMD.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B -2B 3B

ALSTOM

FRA:AOMD (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

24.45

-1.41 (-5.45%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)01-16 2025-01-16
Earnings (Next)05-13 2025-05-13/amc
Inst Owners59.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap11.28B
Analysts72.17
Price Target23.76 (-2.82%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.03%
Yearly Dividend0.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.03%
DP-7.39%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.69%
PT rev (3m)7.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.78%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.04%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 12.97
P/S 0.63
P/FCF 29.01
P/OCF 12.11
P/B 1.09
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.15
EPS(TTM)-0.63
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.89
Fwd EY7.71%
FCF(TTM)0.84
FCFY3.45%
OCF(TTM)2.02
OCFY8.26%
SpS38.9
BVpS22.52
TBVpS-1.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.76%
ROE -2.47%
ROCE 3.68%
ROIC 2.59%
ROICexc 2.93%
ROICexgc 16.24%
OM 3.16%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 12.67%
FCFM 2.17%
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)0.24%
ROE(3y)-3.85%
ROE(5y)1.09%
ROIC(3y)1.53%
ROIC(5y)2.84%
ROICexc(3y)1.64%
ROICexc(5y)4.01%
ROICexgc(3y)18.51%
ROICexgc(5y)30.92%
ROCE(3y)2.18%
ROCE(5y)4.04%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-23.96%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y5.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-33.06%
OM growth 3Y-16.25%
OM growth 5Y-16.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.3%
GM growth 5Y-6.66%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 9.15
Debt/EBITDA 2.34
Cap/Depr 63.21%
Cap/Sales 3.02%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.31%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 0.88
F-Score5
WACC6.76%
ROIC/WACC0.38
Cap/Depr(3y)51.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)63.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.9%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-109.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y16.83%
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y23.16%
EPS Next 5Y15.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.21%
Revenue growth 3Y26.11%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
Revenue Next Year5%
Revenue Next 2Y4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y4.72%
Revenue Next 5Y5.42%
EBIT growth 1Y11.59%
EBIT growth 3Y5.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.26%
EBIT Next Year102.47%
EBIT Next 3Y39.73%
EBIT Next 5Y25.4%
FCF growth 1Y-2.99%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y14.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A