ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AMR - US0207641061 - Common Stock
202.11 USD
-3.29 (-1.6%)
203.8 USD
+1.69 (+0.84%)
Overall AMR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated AMR against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AMR has a great financial health rating, but its profitability evaluates not so good. AMR has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMR had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
AMR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AMR's Return On Assets of -1.98% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 46.79% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -2.92%, AMR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.98% | ||
| ROE | -2.92% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AMR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMR has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 10.75%, AMR is not doing good in the industry: 60.26% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMR has remained more or less at the same level.
AMR does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 10.75% |
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has more shares outstanding
AMR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AMR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.62 indicates that AMR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of AMR (4.62) is better than 60.90% of its industry peers.
AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.12. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.12 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.12. This is amongst the best in the industry. AMR outperforms 94.87% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that AMR is not too dependend on debt financing.
AMR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is in the better half of the industry: AMR outperforms 78.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.12 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.62 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.24%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.95 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AMR has a Current ratio of 3.95. This is in the better half of the industry: AMR outperforms 71.79% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.11 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AMR's Quick ratio of 3.11 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 70.51% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.95 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -112.98% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.85% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -32.53% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AMR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-112.98%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-244.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-32.53%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-21.6%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -1.55% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.61% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-124.91%
EPS Next 2Y0.11%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
EPS Next 5Y-1.55%
Revenue Next Year-27.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.61%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AMR. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.19, which indicates a correct valuation of AMR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AMR is cheaper than 67.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.35. AMR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.19 |
4.2 Price Multiples
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
67.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 62.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.06 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0.11%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AMR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.98.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AMR are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AMR will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-0.89%
EPS Next 2Y0.11%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
202.11
-3.29 (-1.6%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.93%
Inst Owner Change3.39%
Ins Owners6.04%
Ins Owner Change8.59%
Market Cap2.60B
Revenue(TTM)2.23B
Net Income(TTM)-46.55M
Analysts75
Price Target188.36 (-6.8%)
Short Float %13.22%
Short Ratio5.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-0.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)52.77%
Min EPS beat(2)20.79%
Max EPS beat(2)84.75%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(4)84.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-12%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.68%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.55%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.79%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.79%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.47%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.59%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.98%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)10.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-157.84%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-114.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)-37.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.19 | ||
| P/S | 1.17 | ||
| P/FCF | 62.87 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.26 | ||
| P/B | 1.63 | ||
| P/tB | 1.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.06 |
EPS(TTM)-3.56
EYN/A
EPS(NY)14.24
Fwd EY7.05%
FCF(TTM)3.21
FCFY1.59%
OCF(TTM)14.17
OCFY7.01%
SpS173.12
BVpS123.8
TBVpS121.02
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.98% | ||
| ROE | -2.92% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 10.75% | ||
| FCFM | 1.86% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)44.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.95
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 78.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.33% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 122.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.95 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.62 |
F-Score5
WACC10.24%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)137.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)126.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-112.98%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-244.83%
EPS Next Y-124.91%
EPS Next 2Y0.11%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
EPS Next 5Y-1.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-32.53%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-21.6%
Revenue Next Year-27.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.61%
EBIT growth 1Y-106.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.54%
EBIT growth 5Y64.18%
EBIT Next Year-33.15%
EBIT Next 3Y31.35%
EBIT Next 5Y31.75%
FCF growth 1Y-93.02%
FCF growth 3Y60.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-78.22%
OCF growth 3Y49.12%
OCF growth 5Y34.47%
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE / AMR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMR.
What is the valuation status for AMR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of AMR stock?
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is expected to decline by -124.91% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AMR stock?
The dividend rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 1 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -0.89%.