ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AMR • US0207641061

Current stock price

190.04 USD
-5.35 (-2.74%)
At close:
190.04 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This AMR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. AMR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AMR had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years AMR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AMR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAMR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • AMR has a Return On Assets of -2.70%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMR outperforms 46.01% of its industry peers.
  • AMR has a Return On Equity (-3.99%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.7%
ROE -3.99%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)11.66%
ROA(5y)22.64%
ROE(3y)17.75%
ROE(5y)41.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AMR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAMR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • AMR's Gross Margin of 9.62% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMR is outperformed by 61.35% of its industry peers.
  • AMR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for AMR so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 9.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-39.88%
GM growth 5Y0.15%
AMR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAMR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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8

2. AMR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AMR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AMR has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AMR Yearly Shares OutstandingAMR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
AMR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAMR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.54 indicates that AMR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • AMR's Altman-Z score of 4.54 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 61.35% of its industry peers.
  • AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.75. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.75 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • AMR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.75. This is amongst the best in the industry. AMR outperforms 86.50% of its industry peers.
  • AMR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • AMR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.01) than 70.55% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.75
Altman-Z 4.54
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC13%
AMR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAMR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AMR has a Current Ratio of 4.47. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 4.47, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.69% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.53 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • AMR has a Quick ratio of 3.53. This is in the better half of the industry: AMR outperforms 71.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.47
Quick Ratio 3.53
AMR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAMR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. AMR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AMR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -130.05%.
  • Looking at the last year, AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -27.99% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 8.50% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-443.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.99%
Revenue growth 3Y-19.63%
Revenue growth 5Y8.5%
Sales Q2Q%-15.69%

3.2 Future

  • AMR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 38.71% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.24% on average per year.
EPS Next Y251.45%
EPS Next 2Y131.75%
EPS Next 3Y84.94%
EPS Next 5Y38.71%
Revenue Next Year13.27%
Revenue Next 2Y14.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.99%
Revenue Next 5Y5.24%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AMR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAMR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B 4B
AMR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAMR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 20 -20 40 60 80

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4

4. AMR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AMR reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • AMR is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.39.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.99), we can say AMR is valued slightly more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 29.39
AMR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAMR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMR is valued a bit cheaper than 62.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 60.12% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 136.65
EV/EBITDA 17.25
AMR Per share dataAMR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • AMR's earnings are expected to grow with 84.94% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y131.75%
EPS Next 3Y84.94%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

1

5. AMR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.05, AMR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.73, AMR pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.73%

5.2 History

  • AMR is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
AMR Yearly Dividends per shareAMR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of AMR are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AMR will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-0.67%
EPS Next 2Y131.75%
EPS Next 3Y84.94%
AMR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAMR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

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AMR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE

NYSE:AMR (4/29/2026, 4:15:00 PM)

After market: 190.04 0 (0%)

190.04

-5.35 (-2.74%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Industry Strength77.64
Industry Growth50.31
Earnings (Last)02-27
Earnings (Next)05-08
Inst Owners89.38%
Inst Owner Change0.31%
Ins Owners18.29%
Ins Owner Change6.93%
Market Cap2.43B
Revenue(TTM)2.13B
Net Income(TTM)-61.69M
Analysts49.09
Price Target204.68 (7.7%)
Short Float %17.5%
Short Ratio5.8
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.73%
Yearly Dividend0.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-0.67%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.86%
Min EPS beat(2)14.92%
Max EPS beat(2)20.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.6%
Min EPS beat(4)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(4)84.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-15.45%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.64%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.16%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.79%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.34%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.5%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.97%
PT rev (1m)1.52%
PT rev (3m)8.66%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-14.68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)175.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)-34.35%
EPS NY rev (3m)-54.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 29.39
P/S 1.14
P/FCF 136.65
P/OCF 16.76
P/B 1.57
P/tB 1.61
EV/EBITDA 17.25
EPS(TTM)-4.27
EYN/A
EPS(NY)6.47
Fwd EY3.4%
FCF(TTM)1.39
FCFY0.73%
OCF(TTM)11.34
OCFY5.97%
SpS166.63
BVpS120.93
TBVpS118.24
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.7%
ROE -3.99%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 9.62%
FCFM 0.83%
ROA(3y)11.66%
ROA(5y)22.64%
ROE(3y)17.75%
ROE(5y)41.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-39.88%
GM growth 5Y0.15%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.93
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.75
Debt/EBITDA 0.08
Cap/Depr 70.66%
Cap/Sales 5.97%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 122.21%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.47
Quick Ratio 3.53
Altman-Z 4.54
F-Score4
WACC13%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)117.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-443.75%
EPS Next Y251.45%
EPS Next 2Y131.75%
EPS Next 3Y84.94%
EPS Next 5Y38.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.99%
Revenue growth 3Y-19.63%
Revenue growth 5Y8.5%
Sales Q2Q%-15.69%
Revenue Next Year13.27%
Revenue Next 2Y14.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.99%
Revenue Next 5Y5.24%
EBIT growth 1Y-126.93%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year717.1%
EBIT Next 3Y128.25%
EBIT Next 5Y78.4%
FCF growth 1Y-95.34%
FCF growth 3Y-76.21%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-75.01%
OCF growth 3Y-53.95%
OCF growth 5Y2.32%

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE / AMR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMR.


What is the valuation status of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?

The financial health rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 8 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is expected to grow by 251.45% in the next year.