ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AMR • US0207641061

Current stock price

205.58 USD
-2.56 (-1.23%)
Last:

This AMR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. AMR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AMR had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
  • AMR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AMR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAMR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • AMR has a Return On Assets of -2.70%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMR outperforms 46.50% of its industry peers.
  • AMR has a Return On Equity of -3.99%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMR outperforms 50.96% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.7%
ROE -3.99%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)11.66%
ROA(5y)22.64%
ROE(3y)17.75%
ROE(5y)41.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AMR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAMR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • AMR has a Gross Margin of 9.62%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMR outperforms 40.13% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMR has remained more or less at the same level.
  • AMR does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 9.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-39.88%
GM growth 5Y0.15%
AMR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAMR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

8

2. AMR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AMR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • AMR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AMR Yearly Shares OutstandingAMR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
AMR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAMR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.68 indicates that AMR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • AMR has a Altman-Z score of 4.68. This is in the better half of the industry: AMR outperforms 64.97% of its industry peers.
  • AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.75. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.75 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • AMR's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.75 is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 86.62% of its industry peers.
  • AMR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.01, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.75
Altman-Z 4.68
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC13.09%
AMR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAMR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AMR has a Current Ratio of 4.47. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AMR's Current ratio of 4.47 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 75.16% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.53 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.53, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.47
Quick Ratio 3.53
AMR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAMR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

3

3. AMR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -130.05% in the last year.
  • AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -27.99%.
  • Measured over the past years, AMR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.50% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-443.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.99%
Revenue growth 3Y-19.63%
Revenue growth 5Y8.5%
Sales Q2Q%-15.69%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 38.71% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.24% on average per year.
EPS Next Y330.71%
EPS Next 2Y167.52%
EPS Next 3Y100.9%
EPS Next 5Y38.71%
Revenue Next Year11.79%
Revenue Next 2Y12.74%
Revenue Next 3Y8.99%
Revenue Next 5Y5.24%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AMR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAMR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B 4B
AMR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAMR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 20 -20 40 60 80

4

4. AMR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AMR. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.87 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AMR.
  • AMR's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.13, AMR is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 20.87
AMR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAMR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMR is valued a bit cheaper than 63.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AMR.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 147.94
EV/EBITDA 18.64
AMR Per share dataAMR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AMR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMR's earnings are expected to grow with 100.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y167.52%
EPS Next 3Y100.9%

1

5. AMR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.16, AMR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.73, AMR pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.73%

5.2 History

  • AMR does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
AMR Yearly Dividends per shareAMR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • AMR has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-0.67%
EPS Next 2Y167.52%
EPS Next 3Y100.9%
AMR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAMR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

AMR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE

NYSE:AMR (4/7/2026, 10:26:22 AM)

205.58

-2.56 (-1.23%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-27
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners89.8%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners6.79%
Ins Owner Change6.93%
Market Cap2.63B
Revenue(TTM)2.13B
Net Income(TTM)-61.69M
Analysts49.09
Price Target204.68 (-0.44%)
Short Float %17.78%
Short Ratio6.51
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.73%
Yearly Dividend0.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-0.67%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.86%
Min EPS beat(2)14.92%
Max EPS beat(2)20.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.6%
Min EPS beat(4)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(4)84.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-15.45%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.64%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.16%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.79%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.34%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.5%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.97%
PT rev (1m)1.52%
PT rev (3m)8.66%
EPS NQ rev (1m)46.72%
EPS NQ rev (3m)222.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-30.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 20.87
P/S 1.23
P/FCF 147.94
P/OCF 18.14
P/B 1.7
P/tB 1.74
EV/EBITDA 18.64
EPS(TTM)-4.27
EYN/A
EPS(NY)9.85
Fwd EY4.79%
FCF(TTM)1.39
FCFY0.68%
OCF(TTM)11.33
OCFY5.51%
SpS166.5
BVpS120.84
TBVpS118.14
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.7%
ROE -3.99%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 9.62%
FCFM 0.83%
ROA(3y)11.66%
ROA(5y)22.64%
ROE(3y)17.75%
ROE(5y)41.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-39.88%
GM growth 5Y0.15%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.93
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.75
Debt/EBITDA 0.08
Cap/Depr 70.66%
Cap/Sales 5.97%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 122.21%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.47
Quick Ratio 3.53
Altman-Z 4.68
F-Score4
WACC13.09%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)117.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-443.75%
EPS Next Y330.71%
EPS Next 2Y167.52%
EPS Next 3Y100.9%
EPS Next 5Y38.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.99%
Revenue growth 3Y-19.63%
Revenue growth 5Y8.5%
Sales Q2Q%-15.69%
Revenue Next Year11.79%
Revenue Next 2Y12.74%
Revenue Next 3Y8.99%
Revenue Next 5Y5.24%
EBIT growth 1Y-126.93%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year707.23%
EBIT Next 3Y128.25%
EBIT Next 5Y78.4%
FCF growth 1Y-95.34%
FCF growth 3Y-76.21%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-75.01%
OCF growth 3Y-53.95%
OCF growth 5Y2.32%

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE / AMR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMR.


What is the valuation status of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the financial health of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?

The financial health rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 8 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is expected to grow by 330.71% in the next year.