ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AMR - US0207641061 - Common Stock
169.33 USD
-1.79 (-1.05%)
169.33 USD
0 (0%)
AMR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AMR has a great health rating, there are worries on its profitability. AMR has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMR had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
AMR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AMR (-1.57%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of AMR (-2.31%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.57% | ||
| ROE | -2.31% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AMR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMR has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 10.43%, AMR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.51% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMR has remained more or less at the same level.
AMR does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 10.43% |
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AMR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AMR has an Altman-Z score of 4.36. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AMR's Altman-Z score of 4.36 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.03. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.03 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.03) than 96.10% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that AMR is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.36 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.17%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 4.06 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AMR's Current ratio of 4.06 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.21 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AMR has a better Quick ratio (3.21) than 70.13% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.21 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -112.98% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.85% on average over the past years.
The Revenue for AMR has decreased by -14.81% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, AMR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-112.98%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-244.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-21.6%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -1.55% on average per year.
AMR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.61% yearly.
EPS Next Y-125.66%
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y5.82%
EPS Next 5Y-1.55%
Revenue Next Year-25.99%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.34%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.61%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AMR. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.39, the valuation of AMR can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AMR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.32% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AMR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 32.68.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.39 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AMR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AMR is cheaper than 70.13% of the companies in the same industry.
92.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.49 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y5.82%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AMR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.65.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AMR are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AMR will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-1.11%
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y5.82%
169.33
-1.79 (-1.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.82%
Inst Owner Change-1.22%
Ins Owners5.95%
Ins Owner Change5.74%
Market Cap2.21B
Revenue(TTM)2.96B
Net Income(TTM)-37.23M
Analysts75
Price Target187.68 (10.84%)
Short Float %11.31%
Short Ratio4.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-1.11%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-29.05%
Min EPS beat(2)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(2)84.75%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-36.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(4)84.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.36%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-10.77%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-6.53%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.79%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.79%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.98%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.43%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.11%
PT rev (1m)9.85%
PT rev (3m)26.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-63.68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)60.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)-41.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)-32.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.39 | ||
| P/S | 0.93 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.71 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.88 | ||
| P/B | 1.37 | ||
| P/tB | 1.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.49 |
EPS(TTM)-3.56
EYN/A
EPS(NY)14.86
Fwd EY8.78%
FCF(TTM)13.33
FCFY7.87%
OCF(TTM)24.61
OCFY14.53%
SpS181.72
BVpS123.66
TBVpS120.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.57% | ||
| ROE | -2.31% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 10.43% | ||
| FCFM | 7.33% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)44.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.03 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 82.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.21% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 206.08% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.36 |
F-Score5
WACC9.17%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)137.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)126.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-112.98%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-244.83%
EPS Next Y-125.66%
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y5.82%
EPS Next 5Y-1.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-21.6%
Revenue Next Year-25.99%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.34%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.61%
EBIT growth 1Y-104.09%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.54%
EBIT growth 5Y64.18%
EBIT Next Year-35.48%
EBIT Next 3Y24.71%
EBIT Next 5Y31.75%
FCF growth 1Y-81.75%
FCF growth 3Y60.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-72.7%
OCF growth 3Y49.12%
OCF growth 5Y34.47%
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE / AMR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMR.
What is the valuation status for AMR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AMR stock?
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is expected to decline by -125.66% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AMR stock?
The dividend rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 1 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -1.11%.