ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AMR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0207641061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
AMR gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 153 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AMR gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on AMR. This makes AMR very considerable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
AMR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AMR's Return On Assets of 7.69% is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 84.31% of its industry peers.
AMR's Return On Equity of 11.37% is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 82.35% of its industry peers.
AMR's Return On Invested Capital of 9.08% is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 82.35% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMR is significantly above the industry average of 8.53%.
The 3 year average ROIC (39.19%) for AMR is well above the current ROIC(9.08%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.69% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROIC | 9.08% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)39.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 6.34%, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.51% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMR has declined.
AMR has a Operating Margin of 7.70%. This is in the better half of the industry: AMR outperforms 61.44% of its industry peers.
AMR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AMR has a Gross Margin (17.10%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AMR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.34% | ||
| GM | 17.1% |
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMR is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AMR has an Altman-Z score of 4.38. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AMR has a Altman-Z score of 4.38. This is in the better half of the industry: AMR outperforms 71.24% of its industry peers.
AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.02. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.02 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMR's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.02 is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 94.77% of its industry peers.
AMR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AMR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.00) than 83.01% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.38 |
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC10.15%
2.3 Liquidity
AMR has a Current Ratio of 4.13. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AMR (4.13) is better than 78.43% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.45 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AMR's Quick ratio of 3.45 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 78.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.45 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -70.93% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AMR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.85% on average per year.
The Revenue for AMR has decreased by -14.81% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, AMR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-70.93%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-101.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-35.69%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.91% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
AMR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.70% yearly.
EPS Next Y-27.32%
EPS Next 2Y51.32%
EPS Next 3Y17.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-9.35%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y0.7%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 8.57 indicates a reasonable valuation of AMR.
97.39% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMR, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AMR to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.87), we can say AMR is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.79 indicates a reasonable valuation of AMR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AMR is cheaper than 78.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.38), we can say AMR is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.57 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMR is valued cheaper than 98.04% of the companies in the same industry.
96.73% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of AMR may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMR's earnings are expected to grow with 17.91% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y51.32%
EPS Next 3Y17.91%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
In the last 3 months the price of AMR has falen by -32.01%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.90, AMR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.46, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
AMR pays out 1.64% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP1.64%
EPS Next 2Y51.32%
EPS Next 3Y17.91%
NYSE:AMR (4/29/2025, 10:16:25 AM)
121.78
-2.76 (-2.22%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners88.54%
Inst Owner Change0.5%
Ins Owners5.34%
Ins Owner Change0.06%
Market Cap1.59B
Analysts76.67
Price Target186.66 (53.28%)
Short Float %11.56%
Short Ratio3.72
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP1.64%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-44.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(2)0.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(4)0.99%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.33%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.14%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.75%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.14%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.95%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.76%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.55%
PT rev (1m)-44.04%
PT rev (3m)-44.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-523.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-115.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)-43.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-71.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-9.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.57 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.79 | ||
| P/S | 0.54 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.17 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.74 | ||
| P/B | 0.96 | ||
| P/tB | 0.99 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.86 |
EPS(TTM)14.21
EY11.67%
EPS(NY)10.33
Fwd EY8.48%
FCF(TTM)29.2
FCFY23.98%
OCF(TTM)44.44
OCFY36.49%
SpS226.61
BVpS126.4
TBVpS123.34
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.69% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROCE | 10.42% | ||
| ROIC | 9.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.92% | ||
| OM | 7.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.34% | ||
| GM | 17.1% | ||
| FCFM | 12.89% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)39.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)48.89%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)50.91%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)44.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-20%
ROICexcg growth 5Y64.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y65.48%
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.21
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 114.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 144.3% | ||
| Profit Quality | 203.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.38 |
F-Score6
WACC10.15%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)137.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)126.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-70.93%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-101.23%
EPS Next Y-27.32%
EPS Next 2Y51.32%
EPS Next 3Y17.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-35.69%
Revenue Next Year-9.35%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y0.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-73.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.54%
EBIT growth 5Y64.18%
EBIT Next Year108.96%
EBIT Next 3Y35.37%
EBIT Next 5Y31.75%
FCF growth 1Y-37.09%
FCF growth 3Y60.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-31.87%
OCF growth 3Y49.12%
OCF growth 5Y34.47%