ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AMR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0207641061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, AMR scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AMR was compared to 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AMR gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. AMR is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMR had positive earnings in the past year.
AMR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AMR had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AMR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.69%, AMR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.42% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 11.37%, AMR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of AMR (9.08%) is better than 82.47% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AMR is significantly above the industry average of 11.67%.
The 3 year average ROIC (39.19%) for AMR is well above the current ROIC(9.08%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.69% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROIC | 9.08% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)39.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 6.34%, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.38% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AMR has a Operating Margin of 7.70%. This is in the better half of the industry: AMR outperforms 61.04% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMR has grown nicely.
AMR's Gross Margin of 17.10% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 51.30% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.34% | ||
| GM | 17.1% |
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AMR is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AMR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AMR has an Altman-Z score of 4.32. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AMR has a better Altman-Z score (4.32) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMR is 0.02, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AMR, only 0.02 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AMR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.02) than 96.10% of its industry peers.
AMR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AMR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.00) than 81.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.32 |
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC8.92%
2.3 Liquidity
AMR has a Current Ratio of 4.13. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 4.13, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a Quick Ratio of 3.45. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 3.45, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.97% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.45 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -95.13% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AMR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.85% on average per year.
AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -14.81%.
The Revenue has been growing by 8.12% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.13%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-127.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-38.44%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.57% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.70% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-99.86%
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y16.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-21.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.3%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.38%
Revenue Next 5Y0.7%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 58.81, AMR can be considered very expensive at the moment.
AMR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
AMR is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
AMR is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.20.
AMR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AMR is cheaper than 97.40% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 21.76.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 58.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.2 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AMR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AMR is cheaper than 98.70% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AMR is cheaper than 98.05% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.67 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of AMR may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMR's earnings are expected to grow with 16.57% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y16.57%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AMR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.98.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.42, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
1.64% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AMR. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP1.64%
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y16.57%
118.79
+13.8 (+13.14%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners85.72%
Inst Owner Change0.55%
Ins Owners5.23%
Ins Owner Change1.15%
Market Cap1.55B
Analysts76.67
Price Target184.62 (55.42%)
Short Float %14.65%
Short Ratio5.48
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP1.64%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-44.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(2)0.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(4)0.99%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.33%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.14%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.75%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.14%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.95%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.76%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.55%
PT rev (1m)-1.09%
PT rev (3m)-33.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-523.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)-99.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)-99.89%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-13.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 58.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.2 | ||
| P/S | 0.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.07 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.67 | ||
| P/B | 0.94 | ||
| P/tB | 0.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.67 |
EPS(TTM)2.02
EY1.7%
EPS(NY)28.28
Fwd EY23.81%
FCF(TTM)29.2
FCFY24.58%
OCF(TTM)44.44
OCFY37.41%
SpS226.61
BVpS126.4
TBVpS123.34
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.69% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROCE | 10.42% | ||
| ROIC | 9.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.92% | ||
| OM | 7.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.34% | ||
| GM | 17.1% | ||
| FCFM | 12.89% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)39.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)48.89%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)50.91%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)44.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-20%
ROICexcg growth 5Y64.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y65.48%
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.21
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 114.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 144.3% | ||
| Profit Quality | 203.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.32 |
F-Score6
WACC8.92%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)137.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)126.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.13%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-127.11%
EPS Next Y-99.86%
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y16.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-38.44%
Revenue Next Year-21.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.3%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.38%
Revenue Next 5Y0.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-73.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.54%
EBIT growth 5Y64.18%
EBIT Next Year-13.99%
EBIT Next 3Y34.68%
EBIT Next 5Y31.75%
FCF growth 1Y-37.09%
FCF growth 3Y60.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-31.87%
OCF growth 3Y49.12%
OCF growth 5Y34.47%