ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AMR - US0207641061 - Common Stock
179.06 USD
-5.45 (-2.95%)
179.06 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, AMR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AMR was compared to 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. No worries on liquidiy or solvency for AMR as it has an excellent financial health rating, but there are worries on the profitability. AMR does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMR had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years AMR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AMR has a Return On Assets of -1.98%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMR outperforms 47.10% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AMR (-2.92%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.98% | ||
| ROE | -2.92% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AMR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMR has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of AMR (10.75%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMR has remained more or less at the same level.
AMR does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 10.75% |
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AMR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AMR has an Altman-Z score of 4.38. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.38, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.29% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.12. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.12 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMR's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.12 is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 94.84% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that AMR is not too dependend on debt financing.
AMR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 78.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.12 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.38 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.36%
2.3 Liquidity
AMR has a Current Ratio of 3.95. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AMR (3.95) is better than 71.61% of its industry peers.
AMR has a Quick Ratio of 3.11. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AMR has a better Quick ratio (3.11) than 70.32% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.95 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -112.98% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.85% on average over the past years.
AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -32.53%.
AMR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-112.98%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-244.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-32.53%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-21.6%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -1.55% on average over the next years.
AMR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.61% yearly.
EPS Next Y-123.33%
EPS Next 2Y-0.17%
EPS Next 3Y8.89%
EPS Next 5Y-1.55%
Revenue Next Year-27.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.61%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AMR. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
AMR is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.64.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AMR is valued a bit cheaper than 72.90% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMR is valued a bit cheaper than 68.39% of the companies in the same industry.
69.68% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 55.7 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.07 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.17%
EPS Next 3Y8.89%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AMR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.54.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
AMR has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-0.89%
EPS Next 2Y-0.17%
EPS Next 3Y8.89%
179.06
-5.45 (-2.95%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.93%
Inst Owner Change3.39%
Ins Owners6.04%
Ins Owner Change5.29%
Market Cap2.30B
Revenue(TTM)2.23B
Net Income(TTM)-46.55M
Analysts75
Price Target188.36 (5.19%)
Short Float %11.85%
Short Ratio4.79
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-0.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)52.77%
Min EPS beat(2)20.79%
Max EPS beat(2)84.75%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(4)84.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-12%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.68%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.55%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.79%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.79%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.47%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.59%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.98%
PT rev (1m)0.36%
PT rev (3m)10.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-136.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-110.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.67%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.64 | ||
| P/S | 1.03 | ||
| P/FCF | 55.7 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.64 | ||
| P/B | 1.45 | ||
| P/tB | 1.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.07 |
EPS(TTM)-3.56
EYN/A
EPS(NY)14.16
Fwd EY7.91%
FCF(TTM)3.21
FCFY1.8%
OCF(TTM)14.17
OCFY7.91%
SpS173.12
BVpS123.8
TBVpS121.02
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.98% | ||
| ROE | -2.92% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 10.75% | ||
| FCFM | 1.86% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)44.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.95
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 78.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.33% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 122.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.95 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.38 |
F-Score5
WACC10.36%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)137.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)126.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-112.98%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-244.83%
EPS Next Y-123.33%
EPS Next 2Y-0.17%
EPS Next 3Y8.89%
EPS Next 5Y-1.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-32.53%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-21.6%
Revenue Next Year-27.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.61%
EBIT growth 1Y-106.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.54%
EBIT growth 5Y64.18%
EBIT Next Year-32.96%
EBIT Next 3Y31.35%
EBIT Next 5Y31.75%
FCF growth 1Y-93.02%
FCF growth 3Y60.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-78.22%
OCF growth 3Y49.12%
OCF growth 5Y34.47%
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE / AMR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMR.
What is the valuation status for AMR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of AMR stock?
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is expected to decline by -123.33% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AMR stock?
The dividend rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 1 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -0.89%.