ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AMR • US0207641061

Current stock price

182.37 USD
-4.08 (-2.19%)
At close:
182.37 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This AMR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. AMR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AMR had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
  • AMR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AMR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAMR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of AMR (-2.70%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AMR has a Return On Equity (-3.99%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.7%
ROE -3.99%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)11.66%
ROA(5y)22.64%
ROE(3y)17.75%
ROE(5y)41.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AMR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAMR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • With a Gross Margin value of 9.62%, AMR is not doing good in the industry: 61.35% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • AMR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for AMR so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 9.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-39.88%
GM growth 5Y0.15%
AMR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAMR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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8

2. AMR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AMR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • AMR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • AMR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AMR is higher compared to a year ago.
AMR Yearly Shares OutstandingAMR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
AMR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAMR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.41 indicates that AMR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.41, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.75. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.75 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • AMR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.75. This is amongst the best in the industry. AMR outperforms 86.50% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that AMR is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.01, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.75
Altman-Z 4.41
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC13.01%
AMR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAMR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 4.47 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • AMR's Current ratio of 4.47 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 76.69% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.53 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • AMR's Quick ratio of 3.53 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 71.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.47
Quick Ratio 3.53
AMR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAMR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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3

3. AMR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AMR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -130.05%.
  • The Revenue for AMR has decreased by -27.99% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • Measured over the past years, AMR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.50% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-443.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.99%
Revenue growth 3Y-19.63%
Revenue growth 5Y8.5%
Sales Q2Q%-15.69%

3.2 Future

  • AMR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 38.71% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.24% on average per year.
EPS Next Y251.45%
EPS Next 2Y131.75%
EPS Next 3Y84.94%
EPS Next 5Y38.71%
Revenue Next Year13.27%
Revenue Next 2Y14.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.99%
Revenue Next 5Y5.24%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AMR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAMR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B 4B
AMR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAMR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 20 -20 40 60 80

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4

4. AMR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AMR reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 28.20, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AMR.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.41, AMR is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 28.2
AMR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAMR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AMR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AMR is cheaper than 63.80% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AMR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AMR is cheaper than 61.35% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 131.14
EV/EBITDA 15.84
AMR Per share dataAMR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMR's earnings are expected to grow with 84.94% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y131.75%
EPS Next 3Y84.94%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

1

5. AMR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AMR has a yearly dividend return of 0.73%, which is pretty low.
  • AMR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.02.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.80, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.73%

5.2 History

  • AMR does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
AMR Yearly Dividends per shareAMR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of AMR are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AMR will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-0.67%
EPS Next 2Y131.75%
EPS Next 3Y84.94%
AMR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAMR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

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AMR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE

NYSE:AMR (5/1/2026, 8:09:31 PM)

After market: 182.37 0 (0%)

182.37

-4.08 (-2.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Industry Strength75.16
Industry Growth59.63
Earnings (Last)02-27
Earnings (Next)05-08
Inst Owners89.38%
Inst Owner Change0.09%
Ins Owners18.29%
Ins Owner Change6.93%
Market Cap2.33B
Revenue(TTM)2.13B
Net Income(TTM)-61.69M
Analysts49.09
Price Target208.05 (14.08%)
Short Float %17.5%
Short Ratio5.8
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.73%
Yearly Dividend0.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-0.67%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.86%
Min EPS beat(2)14.92%
Max EPS beat(2)20.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.6%
Min EPS beat(4)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(4)84.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-15.45%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.64%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.16%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.79%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.34%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.5%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.97%
PT rev (1m)1.65%
PT rev (3m)10.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-64.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)15.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)-34.35%
EPS NY rev (3m)-54.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 28.2
P/S 1.09
P/FCF 131.14
P/OCF 16.08
P/B 1.51
P/tB 1.54
EV/EBITDA 15.84
EPS(TTM)-4.27
EYN/A
EPS(NY)6.47
Fwd EY3.55%
FCF(TTM)1.39
FCFY0.76%
OCF(TTM)11.34
OCFY6.22%
SpS166.63
BVpS120.93
TBVpS118.24
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.7%
ROE -3.99%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 9.62%
FCFM 0.83%
ROA(3y)11.66%
ROA(5y)22.64%
ROE(3y)17.75%
ROE(5y)41.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-39.88%
GM growth 5Y0.15%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.93
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.75
Debt/EBITDA 0.08
Cap/Depr 70.66%
Cap/Sales 5.97%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 122.21%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.47
Quick Ratio 3.53
Altman-Z 4.41
F-Score4
WACC13.01%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)117.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-443.75%
EPS Next Y251.45%
EPS Next 2Y131.75%
EPS Next 3Y84.94%
EPS Next 5Y38.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.99%
Revenue growth 3Y-19.63%
Revenue growth 5Y8.5%
Sales Q2Q%-15.69%
Revenue Next Year13.27%
Revenue Next 2Y14.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.99%
Revenue Next 5Y5.24%
EBIT growth 1Y-126.93%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year717.1%
EBIT Next 3Y128.25%
EBIT Next 5Y78.4%
FCF growth 1Y-95.34%
FCF growth 3Y-76.21%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-75.01%
OCF growth 3Y-53.95%
OCF growth 5Y2.32%

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE / AMR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMR.


What is the valuation status of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?

The financial health rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 8 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is expected to grow by 251.45% in the next year.