ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AMR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0207641061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall AMR gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated AMR against 151 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AMR has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. AMR has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply. These ratings would make AMR suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AMR was profitable.
In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AMR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AMR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 14.75%, AMR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.41% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 22.16%, AMR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.10% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR's Return On Invested Capital of 17.70% is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 95.80% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMR is significantly above the industry average of 8.84%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (17.70%) for AMR is well below the 3 year average (44.23%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AMR had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 14.75% | ||
| ROE | 22.16% | ||
| ROIC | 17.7% |
ROA(3y)36.06%
ROA(5y)13.57%
ROE(3y)66.66%
ROE(5y)-13.76%
ROIC(3y)44.23%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AMR has a better Profit Margin (11.08%) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
AMR's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 13.07%, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMR has grown nicely.
AMR has a Gross Margin (21.82%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMR has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.07% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.08% | ||
| GM | 21.82% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y15.57%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y7.14%
GM growth 3Y49.86%
GM growth 5Y12.01%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMR is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AMR has less shares outstanding
AMR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AMR has an Altman-Z score of 4.95. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AMR has a Altman-Z score of 4.95. This is in the better half of the industry: AMR outperforms 69.93% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMR is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AMR, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AMR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.01) than 95.80% of its industry peers.
AMR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AMR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.00) than 81.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.95 |
ROIC/WACC1.67
WACC10.62%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.59 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AMR (3.59) is better than 71.33% of its industry peers.
AMR has a Quick Ratio of 2.93. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AMR's Quick ratio of 2.93 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 73.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.59 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -44.24% in the last year.
AMR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 31.38% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -1.05% in the past year.
AMR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.31% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-44.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y31.38%
EPS Q2Q%-95.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.05%
Revenue growth 3Y34.83%
Revenue growth 5Y11.31%
Sales Q2Q%-9.43%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -19.54% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.84% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-70.55%
EPS Next 2Y-17.67%
EPS Next 3Y-19.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-9.37%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.34%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.84%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 5.60 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AMR.
AMR's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AMR is cheaper than 98.60% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.63, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.64 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AMR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMR is cheaper than 99.30% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AMR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
97.90% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
99.30% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 3.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of AMR may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as AMR's earnings are expected to decrease with -19.54% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.18
EPS Next 2Y-17.67%
EPS Next 3Y-19.54%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
The stock price of AMR dropped by -37.38% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.16, AMR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.73, AMR pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.27.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
AMR pays out 4.48% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP4.48%
EPS Next 2Y-17.67%
EPS Next 3Y-19.54%
153.7
-7.46 (-4.63%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners88.54%
Inst Owner Change-93.91%
Ins Owners5.34%
Ins Owner Change1.33%
Market Cap2.00B
Analysts76.67
Price Target333.54 (117.01%)
Short Float %8.67%
Short Ratio5.29
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend7.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP4.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-44.94%
Min EPS beat(2)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.21%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-14.92%
Min EPS beat(4)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(4)42.49%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.98%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-4.37%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.44%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)8.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)19.31%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.58%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.44%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.99%
PT rev (1m)-1.51%
PT rev (3m)-1.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-109.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-109.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)-11.51%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.65%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.82%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.82%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.64 | ||
| P/S | 0.61 | ||
| P/FCF | 3.96 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.77 | ||
| P/B | 1.21 | ||
| P/tB | 1.24 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.51 |
EPS(TTM)27.43
EY17.85%
EPS(NY)33.13
Fwd EY21.56%
FCF(TTM)38.81
FCFY25.25%
OCF(TTM)55.53
OCFY36.13%
SpS253.45
BVpS126.78
TBVpS123.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.18
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 14.75% | ||
| ROE | 22.16% | ||
| ROCE | 19.83% | ||
| ROIC | 17.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.78% | ||
| ROICexgc | 23.35% | ||
| OM | 13.07% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.08% | ||
| GM | 21.82% | ||
| FCFM | 15.31% |
ROA(3y)36.06%
ROA(5y)13.57%
ROE(3y)66.66%
ROE(5y)-13.76%
ROIC(3y)44.23%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)53.68%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)56.04%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)49.54%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y30.57%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y32.97%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y15.57%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y7.14%
GM growth 3Y49.86%
GM growth 5Y12.01%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.33
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 123.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.6% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 119.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | 138.16% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.59 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.95 |
F-Score6
WACC10.62%
ROIC/WACC1.67
Cap/Depr(3y)121.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)104.4%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.05%
Profit Quality(3y)68.91%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-44.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y31.38%
EPS Q2Q%-95.64%
EPS Next Y-70.55%
EPS Next 2Y-17.67%
EPS Next 3Y-19.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.05%
Revenue growth 3Y34.83%
Revenue growth 5Y11.31%
Sales Q2Q%-9.43%
Revenue Next Year-9.37%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.34%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.84%
EBIT growth 1Y-50.13%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y28.64%
EBIT Next Year-49.81%
EBIT Next 3Y-11.95%
EBIT Next 5Y0.1%
FCF growth 1Y-60.43%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y51.26%
OCF growth 1Y-48.48%
OCF growth 3Y87.46%
OCF growth 5Y39.98%