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AMERICAN HOMES 4 RENT- A (AMH) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AMH - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US02665T3068 - REIT

35.43  +0.24 (+0.68%)

After market: 35.43 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AMH. AMH was compared to 20 industry peers in the Residential REITs industry. While AMH has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. AMH is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AMH was profitable.
In the past year AMH had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years AMH has been profitable.
In the past 5 years AMH always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AMH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAMH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.58%, AMH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of AMH (6.55%) is better than 65.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.42%, AMH is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AMH is in line with the industry average of 2.61%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.42%) for AMH is above the 3 year average (2.26%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.58%
ROE 6.55%
ROIC 3.42%
ROA(3y)2.05%
ROA(5y)1.6%
ROE(3y)3.77%
ROE(5y)2.88%
ROIC(3y)2.26%
ROIC(5y)2.19%
AMH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAMH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2 -2 4

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of AMH (21.64%) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMH has grown nicely.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 23.64%, AMH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AMH's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AMH's Gross Margin of 56.01% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMH is outperformed by 70.00% of its industry peers.
AMH's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.64%
PM (TTM) 21.64%
GM 56.01%
OM growth 3Y3.52%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y45.84%
PM growth 5Y59.33%
GM growth 3Y0.95%
GM growth 5Y0.33%
AMH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAMH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMH is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for AMH has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AMH has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AMH has been reduced compared to a year ago.
AMH Yearly Shares OutstandingAMH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
AMH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAMH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.50, we must say that AMH is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.50, AMH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64 indicates that AMH is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
AMH has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.64. This is amongst the best in the industry. AMH outperforms 95.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.5
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC7.46%
AMH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAMH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

AMH has a Current Ratio of 0.17. This is a bad value and indicates that AMH is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AMH (0.17) is worse than 65.00% of its industry peers.
AMH has a Quick Ratio of 0.17. This is a bad value and indicates that AMH is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AMH has a worse Quick ratio (0.17) than 65.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.17
Quick Ratio 0.17
AMH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAMH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AMH have decreased by -7.69% in the last year.
AMH shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 39.40% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 33.12% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 8.64% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.69%
EPS 3Y52.86%
EPS 5Y39.4%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.12%
Revenue growth 3Y11.46%
Revenue growth 5Y8.64%
Sales Q2Q%5.54%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AMH will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -10.13% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.71% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-13.98%
EPS Next 2Y-20.31%
EPS Next 3Y-10.13%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.61%
Revenue Next 2Y5.72%
Revenue Next 3Y5.25%
Revenue Next 5Y5.71%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AMH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAMH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
AMH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAMH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.2 -0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 36.91, the valuation of AMH can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AMH is on the same level as its industry peers.
AMH is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 55.79 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AMH.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AMH is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AMH is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.44, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.91
Fwd PE 55.79
AMH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAMH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

AMH's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AMH is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 17.97
AMH Per share dataAMH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AMH has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
AMH's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.13% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.94
EPS Next 2Y-20.31%
EPS Next 3Y-10.13%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AMH has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.98%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.29, AMH's dividend is way lower than its industry peers. On top of this 80.00% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than AMH!
AMH's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.98%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of AMH grows each year by 16.62%, which is quite nice.
AMH has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AMH has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.62%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
AMH Yearly Dividends per shareAMH Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

82.90% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AMH. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
AMH's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP82.9%
EPS Next 2Y-20.31%
EPS Next 3Y-10.13%
AMH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAMH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -500M -1B
AMH Dividend Payout.AMH Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AMH Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AMERICAN HOMES 4 RENT- A

NYSE:AMH (1/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 35.43 0 (0%)

35.43

+0.24 (+0.68%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryResidential REITs
Earnings (Last)10-29 2024-10-29/amc
Earnings (Next)02-20 2025-02-20/amc
Inst Owners91.25%
Inst Owner Change-0.07%
Ins Owners6.15%
Ins Owner Change-0.2%
Market Cap13.09B
Analysts76.3
Price Target42.14 (18.94%)
Short Float %2.99%
Short Ratio4.33
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.98%
Yearly Dividend0.93
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.62%
DP82.9%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)67.08%
Min EPS beat(2)49.45%
Max EPS beat(2)84.72%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)74.19%
Min EPS beat(4)49.45%
Max EPS beat(4)106.27%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)104.86%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)80.74%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)71.09%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.36%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.67%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.64%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.27%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.07%
PT rev (1m)0.09%
PT rev (3m)-1.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.39%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.86%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.91
Fwd PE 55.79
P/S 6.16
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 15.88
P/B 1.87
P/tB 1.9
EV/EBITDA 17.97
EPS(TTM)0.96
EY2.71%
EPS(NY)0.64
Fwd EY1.79%
FCF(TTM)-0.81
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.23
OCFY6.3%
SpS5.75
BVpS18.98
TBVpS18.65
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.94
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.58%
ROE 6.55%
ROCE 4.33%
ROIC 3.42%
ROICexc 3.47%
ROICexgc 3.55%
OM 23.64%
PM (TTM) 21.64%
GM 56.01%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.05%
ROA(5y)1.6%
ROE(3y)3.77%
ROE(5y)2.88%
ROIC(3y)2.26%
ROIC(5y)2.19%
ROICexc(3y)2.27%
ROICexc(5y)2.21%
ROICexgc(3y)2.32%
ROICexgc(5y)2.25%
ROCE(3y)2.86%
ROCE(5y)2.78%
ROICexcg growth 3Y5.57%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y5.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.77%
OM growth 3Y3.52%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y45.84%
PM growth 5Y59.33%
GM growth 3Y0.95%
GM growth 5Y0.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.65
Cap/Depr 240%
Cap/Sales 52.96%
Interest Coverage 3.73
Cash Conversion 84.93%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.17
Quick Ratio 0.17
Altman-Z 1.5
F-Score6
WACC7.46%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)395.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)322.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)112.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)92.44%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.69%
EPS 3Y52.86%
EPS 5Y39.4%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-13.98%
EPS Next 2Y-20.31%
EPS Next 3Y-10.13%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.12%
Revenue growth 3Y11.46%
Revenue growth 5Y8.64%
Sales Q2Q%5.54%
Revenue Next Year5.61%
Revenue Next 2Y5.72%
Revenue Next 3Y5.25%
Revenue Next 5Y5.71%
EBIT growth 1Y40.67%
EBIT growth 3Y15.39%
EBIT growth 5Y10.64%
EBIT Next Year148.76%
EBIT Next 3Y42.04%
EBIT Next 5Y33.21%
FCF growth 1Y78.3%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y18.86%
OCF growth 3Y15.93%
OCF growth 5Y12.45%