AMCOR PLC (AMCR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AMCR - JE00BJ1F3079 - Common Stock
8.61 USD
-0.04 (-0.46%)
8.61 USD
0 (0%)
AMCR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMCR may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AMCR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AMCR was profitable.
AMCR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years AMCR has been profitable.
AMCR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AMCR has a Return On Assets of 1.57%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AMCR underperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 4.97%, AMCR is not doing good in the industry: 63.64% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AMCR has a worse Return On Invested Capital (4.26%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AMCR is in line with the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.57% | ||
| ROE | 4.97% | ||
| ROIC | 4.26% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
1.3 Margins
AMCR has a Profit Margin (3.34%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMCR has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 8.82%, AMCR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMCR has remained more or less at the same level.
AMCR has a worse Gross Margin (18.96%) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
AMCR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.34% | ||
| GM | 18.96% |
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMCR is still creating some value.
AMCR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AMCR has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AMCR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AMCR has an Altman-Z score of 1.10. This is a bad value and indicates that AMCR is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AMCR's Altman-Z score of 1.10 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMCR is outperformed by 86.36% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMCR is 17.38, which is on the high side as it means it would take AMCR, 17.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 17.38, AMCR is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AMCR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
AMCR has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.10) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.1 |
ROIC/WACC1.03
WACC4.13%
2.3 Liquidity
AMCR has a Current Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that AMCR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.04, AMCR is doing worse than 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.62 indicates that AMCR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AMCR's Quick ratio of 0.62 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMCR is outperformed by 90.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.62 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMCR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.38%.
Measured over the past 5 years, AMCR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.22% on average per year.
AMCR shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 28.42%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.78% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.38%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%19.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)28.42%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%71.34%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AMCR will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.94% on average per year.
AMCR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 11.24% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.8%
EPS Next 2Y13.94%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
EPS Next 5Y7.94%
Revenue Next Year55.85%
Revenue Next 2Y25.64%
Revenue Next 3Y17.1%
Revenue Next 5Y11.24%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.79, the valuation of AMCR can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AMCR is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.25. AMCR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.43, which indicates a very decent valuation of AMCR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AMCR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMCR to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.98), we can say AMCR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.43 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AMCR indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AMCR is more expensive than 77.27% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AMCR is valued a bit cheaper than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.63 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.7
PEG (5Y)5.32
EPS Next 2Y13.94%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.00%, AMCR is a good candidate for dividend investing.
AMCR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.39. AMCR pays more dividend than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, AMCR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AMCR decreases each year by -1.15%.
AMCR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AMCR has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
164.78% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AMCR. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP164.78%
EPS Next 2Y13.94%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
8.61
-0.04 (-0.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners68.15%
Inst Owner Change0.3%
Ins Owners0.22%
Ins Owner Change7.45%
Market Cap19.87B
Revenue(TTM)17.40B
Net Income(TTM)582.00M
Analysts82.11
Price Target10.73 (24.62%)
Short Float %4.24%
Short Ratio4.26
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
DP164.78%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(2)2.17%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(4)2.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.58%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.1%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.16%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.99%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.16%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.69%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.11%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.46%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.46%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.43 | ||
| P/S | 1.14 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.3 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.02 | ||
| P/B | 1.7 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.63 |
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY8.48%
EPS(NY)0.91
Fwd EY10.6%
FCF(TTM)0.37
FCFY4.29%
OCF(TTM)0.66
OCFY7.68%
SpS7.54
BVpS5.08
TBVpS-2.97
PEG (NY)0.7
PEG (5Y)5.32
Graham Number9.13
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.57% | ||
| ROE | 4.97% | ||
| ROCE | 5.3% | ||
| ROIC | 4.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.38% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.82% | ||
| OM | 8.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.34% | ||
| GM | 18.96% | ||
| FCFM | 4.9% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
ROICexc(3y)7.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.34%
ROICexgc(3y)17.83%
ROICexgc(5y)20.43%
ROCE(3y)8.76%
ROCE(5y)9.85%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.56%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.18%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.61%
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 71.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.87% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 61.56% | ||
| Profit Quality | 146.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.1 |
F-Score5
WACC4.13%
ROIC/WACC1.03
Cap/Depr(3y)84.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.66%
Profit Quality(3y)114.49%
Profit Quality(5y)112.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.38%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%19.14%
EPS Next Y16.8%
EPS Next 2Y13.94%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
EPS Next 5Y7.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)28.42%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%71.34%
Revenue Next Year55.85%
Revenue Next 2Y25.64%
Revenue Next 3Y17.1%
Revenue Next 5Y11.24%
EBIT growth 1Y15.25%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.71%
EBIT growth 5Y3.46%
EBIT Next Year127.48%
EBIT Next 3Y35.46%
EBIT Next 5Y21.38%
FCF growth 1Y-1.61%
FCF growth 3Y-4.29%
FCF growth 5Y-3.83%
OCF growth 1Y11.79%
OCF growth 3Y-1.42%
OCF growth 5Y0.08%
AMCOR PLC / AMCR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMCR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMCR.
What is the valuation status for AMCR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMCOR PLC (AMCR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
AMCOR PLC (AMCR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the financial health of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
The financial health rating of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is 2 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is expected to grow by 16.8% in the next year.