AMCOR PLC (AMCR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AMCR - JE00BJ1F3079 - Common Stock
8.07 USD
+0.2 (+2.54%)
8.3 USD
+0.23 (+2.85%)
Taking everything into account, AMCR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AMCR was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMCR has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AMCR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMCR had positive earnings in the past year.
AMCR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years AMCR has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AMCR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
AMCR has a Return On Assets of 1.38%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMCR outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 4.36%, AMCR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.91% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.51%, AMCR is not doing good in the industry: 72.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AMCR is in line with the industry average of 7.60%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.38% | ||
| ROE | 4.36% | ||
| ROIC | 3.51% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
1.3 Margins
AMCR has a Profit Margin (3.40%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMCR has declined.
The Operating Margin of AMCR (8.77%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMCR has remained more or less at the same level.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 18.88%, AMCR is doing worse than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMCR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.4% | ||
| GM | 18.88% |
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMCR is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AMCR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
AMCR has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AMCR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.02, we must say that AMCR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AMCR's Altman-Z score of 1.02 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMCR is outperformed by 68.18% of its industry peers.
AMCR has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.40. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AMCR would need 17.40 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 17.40, AMCR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.19 is on the high side and indicates that AMCR has dependencies on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.19, AMCR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC4.1%
2.3 Liquidity
AMCR has a Current Ratio of 1.21. This is a normal value and indicates that AMCR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AMCR (1.21) is worse than 63.64% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.71 indicates that AMCR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.71, AMCR is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMCR shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -0.14%.
Measured over the past 5 years, AMCR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.22% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AMCR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.04% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.78% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.14%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%-5.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%43.76%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.29% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 12.16% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y16.33%
EPS Next 2Y13.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.65%
EPS Next 5Y7.29%
Revenue Next Year52.51%
Revenue Next 2Y24.22%
Revenue Next 3Y17.75%
Revenue Next 5Y12.16%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.53 indicates a reasonable valuation of AMCR.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AMCR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.27% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AMCR to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.13), we can say AMCR is valued rather cheaply.
AMCR is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.87.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMCR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMCR is cheaper than 81.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AMCR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.87 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMCR is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 77.27% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
AMCR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.37 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AMCR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.71
PEG (5Y)5.2
EPS Next 2Y13.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMCR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.50%, which is a nice return.
AMCR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.54. AMCR pays more dividend than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
AMCR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.39.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.5% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AMCR decreases each year by -1.15%.
AMCR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As AMCR did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
165.36% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AMCR. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP165.36%
EPS Next 2Y13.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.65%
8.07
+0.2 (+2.54%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners68.91%
Inst Owner Change-0.2%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change-3.61%
Market Cap18.63B
Revenue(TTM)15.01B
Net Income(TTM)511.00M
Analysts78.89
Price Target10.75 (33.21%)
Short Float %3.26%
Short Ratio3.42
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.5% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
DP165.36%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.16%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.73%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.93%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.5%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.29%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.31%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.16%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.16%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.67%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.73%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.24%
PT rev (1m)-1.61%
PT rev (3m)-5.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.6%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.22%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.87 | ||
| P/S | 1.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 23 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.4 | ||
| P/B | 1.59 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.37 |
EPS(TTM)0.7
EY8.67%
EPS(NY)0.82
Fwd EY10.13%
FCF(TTM)0.35
FCFY4.35%
OCF(TTM)0.6
OCFY7.46%
SpS6.5
BVpS5.08
TBVpS-3.01
PEG (NY)0.71
PEG (5Y)5.2
Graham Number8.95
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.38% | ||
| ROE | 4.36% | ||
| ROCE | 4.38% | ||
| ROIC | 3.51% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.61% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.93% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.4% | ||
| GM | 18.88% | ||
| FCFM | 5.4% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
ROICexc(3y)7.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.34%
ROICexgc(3y)17.83%
ROICexgc(5y)20.43%
ROCE(3y)8.76%
ROCE(5y)9.85%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.56%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.18%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.61%
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.4 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.85 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 80.33% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 68.2% | ||
| Profit Quality | 158.51% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
F-Score6
WACC4.1%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)84.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.66%
Profit Quality(3y)114.49%
Profit Quality(5y)112.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.14%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%-5.21%
EPS Next Y16.33%
EPS Next 2Y13.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.65%
EPS Next 5Y7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%43.76%
Revenue Next Year52.51%
Revenue Next 2Y24.22%
Revenue Next 3Y17.75%
Revenue Next 5Y12.16%
EBIT growth 1Y0.38%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.71%
EBIT growth 5Y3.46%
EBIT Next Year127.13%
EBIT Next 3Y36.14%
EBIT Next 5Y18.28%
FCF growth 1Y-2.29%
FCF growth 3Y-4.29%
FCF growth 5Y-3.83%
OCF growth 1Y5.22%
OCF growth 3Y-1.42%
OCF growth 5Y0.08%
AMCOR PLC / AMCR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMCR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMCR.
What is the valuation status of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMCOR PLC (AMCR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
AMCOR PLC (AMCR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AMCR stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is 11.53 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.59.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AMCR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is expected to grow by 16.33% in the next year.