AMCOR PLC (AMCR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AMCR - JE00BJ1F3079 - Common Stock
8.41 USD
-0.05 (-0.59%)
8.5 USD
+0.09 (+1.07%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AMCR. AMCR was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMCR has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AMCR is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AMCR was profitable.
In the past year AMCR had a positive cash flow from operations.
AMCR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
AMCR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AMCR (1.57%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of AMCR (4.97%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.26%, AMCR is doing worse than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AMCR is in line with the industry average of 7.70%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.57% | ||
| ROE | 4.97% | ||
| ROIC | 4.26% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
1.3 Margins
AMCR has a Profit Margin (3.34%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMCR has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 8.82%, AMCR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMCR has remained more or less at the same level.
AMCR has a worse Gross Margin (18.96%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
AMCR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.34% | ||
| GM | 18.96% |
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMCR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
AMCR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AMCR has more shares outstanding
AMCR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.09, we must say that AMCR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AMCR has a Altman-Z score of 1.09. This is in the lower half of the industry: AMCR underperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMCR is 17.38, which is on the high side as it means it would take AMCR, 17.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMCR (17.38) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10 is on the high side and indicates that AMCR has dependencies on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.10, AMCR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.09 |
ROIC/WACC1.03
WACC4.12%
2.3 Liquidity
AMCR has a Current Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that AMCR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AMCR's Current ratio of 1.04 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMCR is outperformed by 81.82% of its industry peers.
AMCR has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that AMCR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AMCR's Quick ratio of 0.62 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMCR is outperformed by 81.82% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.62 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMCR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.38%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.22% on average over the past years.
AMCR shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 28.42%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.78% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.38%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%19.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)28.42%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%71.34%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.29% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, AMCR will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.39%
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
EPS Next 5Y7.29%
Revenue Next Year52.55%
Revenue Next 2Y24.23%
Revenue Next 3Y17.79%
Revenue Next 5Y11.38%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.52, which indicates a very decent valuation of AMCR.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AMCR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.27% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.34. AMCR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.26, the valuation of AMCR can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AMCR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.43, AMCR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
77.27% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AMCR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AMCR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AMCR is cheaper than 63.64% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.44 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AMCR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.7
PEG (5Y)5.2
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMCR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.18%, which is a nice return.
AMCR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.54. AMCR pays more dividend than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
AMCR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.18% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AMCR decreases each year by -1.15%.
AMCR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As AMCR did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
AMCR pays out 164.78% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP164.78%
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
8.41
-0.05 (-0.59%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners68.91%
Inst Owner Change4.07%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change2.82%
Market Cap19.41B
Revenue(TTM)17.40B
Net Income(TTM)582.00M
Analysts82.11
Price Target10.75 (27.82%)
Short Float %3.26%
Short Ratio3.42
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.18% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
DP164.78%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(2)2.17%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(4)2.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.58%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.1%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.16%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.99%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.16%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.69%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.11%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.46%
PT rev (1m)-1.22%
PT rev (3m)-6.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.06%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.57%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.26 | ||
| P/S | 1.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.76 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.72 | ||
| P/B | 1.66 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.44 |
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY8.68%
EPS(NY)0.91
Fwd EY10.8%
FCF(TTM)0.37
FCFY4.39%
OCF(TTM)0.66
OCFY7.86%
SpS7.54
BVpS5.08
TBVpS-2.97
PEG (NY)0.7
PEG (5Y)5.2
Graham Number9.13
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.57% | ||
| ROE | 4.97% | ||
| ROCE | 5.3% | ||
| ROIC | 4.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.38% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.82% | ||
| OM | 8.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.34% | ||
| GM | 18.96% | ||
| FCFM | 4.9% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
ROICexc(3y)7.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.34%
ROICexgc(3y)17.83%
ROICexgc(5y)20.43%
ROCE(3y)8.76%
ROCE(5y)9.85%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.56%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.18%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.61%
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 71.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.87% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 61.56% | ||
| Profit Quality | 146.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.09 |
F-Score5
WACC4.12%
ROIC/WACC1.03
Cap/Depr(3y)84.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.66%
Profit Quality(3y)114.49%
Profit Quality(5y)112.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.38%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%19.14%
EPS Next Y16.39%
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
EPS Next 5Y7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)28.42%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%71.34%
Revenue Next Year52.55%
Revenue Next 2Y24.23%
Revenue Next 3Y17.79%
Revenue Next 5Y11.38%
EBIT growth 1Y15.25%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.71%
EBIT growth 5Y3.46%
EBIT Next Year127.13%
EBIT Next 3Y36.06%
EBIT Next 5Y19.84%
FCF growth 1Y-1.61%
FCF growth 3Y-4.29%
FCF growth 5Y-3.83%
OCF growth 1Y11.79%
OCF growth 3Y-1.42%
OCF growth 5Y0.08%
AMCOR PLC / AMCR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMCR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMCR.
What is the valuation status of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMCOR PLC (AMCR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
AMCOR PLC (AMCR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AMCR stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is 11.52 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.66.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AMCR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is expected to grow by 16.39% in the next year.