AMCOR PLC (AMCR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AMCR - JE00BJ1F3079 - Common Stock
8.28 USD
0 (0%)
8.28 USD
0 (0%)
Overall AMCR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated AMCR against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. While AMCR is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AMCR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMCR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AMCR had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years AMCR has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AMCR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
AMCR has a Return On Assets (1.38%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 4.36%, AMCR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.51%, AMCR is not doing good in the industry: 72.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AMCR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.02%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.26%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.38% | ||
| ROE | 4.36% | ||
| ROIC | 3.51% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
1.3 Margins
AMCR has a Profit Margin (3.40%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AMCR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 8.77%, AMCR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
AMCR's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
AMCR has a worse Gross Margin (18.88%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMCR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.4% | ||
| GM | 18.88% |
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMCR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMCR has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AMCR has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AMCR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.04, we must say that AMCR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AMCR (1.04) is worse than 72.73% of its industry peers.
AMCR has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.40. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AMCR would need 17.40 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMCR has a Debt to FCF ratio (17.40) which is in line with its industry peers.
AMCR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.19. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
AMCR's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.19 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMCR outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.04 |
ROIC/WACC0.85
WACC4.15%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.21 indicates that AMCR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AMCR has a Current ratio of 1.21. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMCR outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
AMCR has a Quick Ratio of 1.21. This is a bad value and indicates that AMCR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AMCR has a Quick ratio of 0.71. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMCR outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMCR have decreased by -0.14% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.22% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has grown by 10.04% in the past year. This is quite good.
AMCR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.78% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.14%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%-5.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%43.76%
3.2 Future
AMCR is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.29% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AMCR will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 12.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y18.13%
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y11.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.29%
Revenue Next Year56.3%
Revenue Next 2Y25.96%
Revenue Next 3Y17.79%
Revenue Next 5Y12.16%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AMCR is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.83.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AMCR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.82% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AMCR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.27, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
AMCR is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.97.
81.82% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMCR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.77. AMCR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.97 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMCR is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 77.27% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AMCR is valued a bit cheaper than 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AMCR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)5.34
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y11.83%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMCR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.12%, which is a nice return.
AMCR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.24. AMCR pays more dividend than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, AMCR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.12% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AMCR decreases each year by -1.15%.
AMCR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AMCR has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
AMCR pays out 165.36% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP165.36%
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y11.83%
8.28
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners45.74%
Inst Owner Change53.9%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change18.11%
Market Cap19.09B
Analysts78.89
Price Target10.93 (32%)
Short Float %3.11%
Short Ratio3.08
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.12% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
DP165.36%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.16%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.73%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.93%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.5%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.29%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.31%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.16%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.16%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.67%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.73%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.24%
PT rev (1m)-5.36%
PT rev (3m)-6.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.13%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.42%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.37%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)36.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.79%
Revenue NY rev (3m)13.73%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.97 | ||
| P/S | 1.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.57 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.73 | ||
| P/B | 1.63 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.82 |
EPS(TTM)0.7
EY8.45%
EPS(NY)0.83
Fwd EY10.03%
FCF(TTM)0.35
FCFY4.24%
OCF(TTM)0.6
OCFY7.28%
SpS6.51
BVpS5.09
TBVpS-3.02
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)5.34
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.38% | ||
| ROE | 4.36% | ||
| ROCE | 4.38% | ||
| ROIC | 3.51% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.61% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.93% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.4% | ||
| GM | 18.88% | ||
| FCFM | 5.4% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
ROICexc(3y)7.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.34%
ROICexgc(3y)17.83%
ROICexgc(5y)20.43%
ROCE(3y)8.76%
ROCE(5y)9.85%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-26.56%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-12.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.18%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.61%
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.4 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.85 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 80.33% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 68.2% | ||
| Profit Quality | 158.51% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.04 |
F-Score6
WACC4.15%
ROIC/WACC0.85
Cap/Depr(3y)84.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.66%
Profit Quality(3y)114.49%
Profit Quality(5y)112.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.14%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%-5.21%
EPS Next Y18.13%
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y11.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%43.76%
Revenue Next Year56.3%
Revenue Next 2Y25.96%
Revenue Next 3Y17.79%
Revenue Next 5Y12.16%
EBIT growth 1Y0.38%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.71%
EBIT growth 5Y3.46%
EBIT Next Year114.41%
EBIT Next 3Y35.53%
EBIT Next 5Y18.28%
FCF growth 1Y-2.29%
FCF growth 3Y-4.29%
FCF growth 5Y-3.83%
OCF growth 1Y5.22%
OCF growth 3Y-1.42%
OCF growth 5Y0.08%