AMCOR PLC (AMCR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AMCR - JE00BJ1F3079 - Common Stock
8.62 USD
+0.11 (+1.29%)
8.6 USD
-0.02 (-0.23%)
Taking everything into account, AMCR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AMCR was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMCR may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AMCR has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMCR had positive earnings in the past year.
AMCR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years AMCR has always been profitable.
AMCR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AMCR has a worse Return On Assets (1.57%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AMCR (4.97%) is worse than 63.64% of its industry peers.
AMCR's Return On Invested Capital of 4.26% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMCR is outperformed by 72.73% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMCR is in line with the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.57% | ||
| ROE | 4.97% | ||
| ROIC | 4.26% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of AMCR (3.34%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMCR has declined.
The Operating Margin of AMCR (8.82%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AMCR's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of AMCR (18.96%) is worse than 77.27% of its industry peers.
AMCR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.34% | ||
| GM | 18.96% |
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMCR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AMCR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AMCR has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, AMCR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.10, we must say that AMCR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AMCR (1.10) is worse than 86.36% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMCR is 17.38, which is on the high side as it means it would take AMCR, 17.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMCR (17.38) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10 is on the high side and indicates that AMCR has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AMCR (1.10) is better than 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.1 |
ROIC/WACC1.03
WACC4.13%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.04 indicates that AMCR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.04, AMCR is not doing good in the industry: 86.36% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AMCR has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that AMCR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AMCR (0.62) is worse than 86.36% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.62 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMCR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.38%.
AMCR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.22% yearly.
AMCR shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 28.42%.
AMCR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.78% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.38%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%19.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)28.42%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%71.34%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AMCR will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.29% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AMCR will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.39%
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
EPS Next 5Y7.29%
Revenue Next Year52.55%
Revenue Next 2Y24.23%
Revenue Next 3Y17.79%
Revenue Next 5Y11.38%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.81 indicates a reasonable valuation of AMCR.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AMCR is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
AMCR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.15, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.49 indicates a reasonable valuation of AMCR.
86.36% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMCR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
AMCR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 36.12.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMCR is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 77.27% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AMCR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.64% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.33 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.72
PEG (5Y)5.33
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMCR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.22%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.50, AMCR pays a better dividend. On top of this AMCR pays more dividend than 95.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, AMCR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.22% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AMCR decreases each year by -1.15%.
AMCR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AMCR has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
AMCR pays out 164.78% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP164.78%
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
8.62
+0.11 (+1.29%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners68.91%
Inst Owner Change0.65%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change4.71%
Market Cap19.90B
Revenue(TTM)17.40B
Net Income(TTM)582.00M
Analysts82.11
Price Target10.73 (24.48%)
Short Float %3.59%
Short Ratio3.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.22% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
DP164.78%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(2)2.17%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(4)2.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.58%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.1%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.16%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.99%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.16%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.69%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.11%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.46%
PT rev (1m)-1.41%
PT rev (3m)-2.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.49 | ||
| P/S | 1.14 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.33 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.04 | ||
| P/B | 1.7 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.64 |
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY8.47%
EPS(NY)0.91
Fwd EY10.54%
FCF(TTM)0.37
FCFY4.29%
OCF(TTM)0.66
OCFY7.67%
SpS7.54
BVpS5.08
TBVpS-2.97
PEG (NY)0.72
PEG (5Y)5.33
Graham Number9.13
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.57% | ||
| ROE | 4.97% | ||
| ROCE | 5.3% | ||
| ROIC | 4.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.38% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.82% | ||
| OM | 8.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.34% | ||
| GM | 18.96% | ||
| FCFM | 4.9% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
ROICexc(3y)7.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.34%
ROICexgc(3y)17.83%
ROICexgc(5y)20.43%
ROCE(3y)8.76%
ROCE(5y)9.85%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.56%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.18%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.61%
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 71.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.87% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 61.56% | ||
| Profit Quality | 146.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.1 |
F-Score5
WACC4.13%
ROIC/WACC1.03
Cap/Depr(3y)84.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.66%
Profit Quality(3y)114.49%
Profit Quality(5y)112.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.38%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%19.14%
EPS Next Y16.39%
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
EPS Next 5Y7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)28.42%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%71.34%
Revenue Next Year52.55%
Revenue Next 2Y24.23%
Revenue Next 3Y17.79%
Revenue Next 5Y11.38%
EBIT growth 1Y15.25%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.71%
EBIT growth 5Y3.46%
EBIT Next Year127.13%
EBIT Next 3Y36.06%
EBIT Next 5Y19.84%
FCF growth 1Y-1.61%
FCF growth 3Y-4.29%
FCF growth 5Y-3.83%
OCF growth 1Y11.79%
OCF growth 3Y-1.42%
OCF growth 5Y0.08%
AMCOR PLC / AMCR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMCR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMCR.
What is the valuation status of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMCOR PLC (AMCR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
AMCOR PLC (AMCR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AMCR stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is 11.81 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.7.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AMCR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is expected to grow by 16.39% in the next year.