AMCOR PLC (AMCR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AMCR - JE00BJ1F3079 - Common Stock
8.41 USD
+0.07 (+0.84%)
8.45 USD
+0.04 (+0.48%)
Taking everything into account, AMCR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AMCR was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMCR may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AMCR is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMCR had positive earnings in the past year.
AMCR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AMCR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AMCR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
AMCR has a worse Return On Assets (1.57%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AMCR (4.97%) is worse than 63.64% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.26%, AMCR is not doing good in the industry: 72.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AMCR is in line with the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.57% | ||
| ROE | 4.97% | ||
| ROIC | 4.26% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of AMCR (3.34%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMCR has declined.
AMCR has a Operating Margin (8.82%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMCR has remained more or less at the same level.
With a Gross Margin value of 18.96%, AMCR is not doing good in the industry: 77.27% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMCR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.34% | ||
| GM | 18.96% |
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AMCR is creating some value.
AMCR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AMCR has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
AMCR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AMCR has an Altman-Z score of 1.09. This is a bad value and indicates that AMCR is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AMCR's Altman-Z score of 1.09 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMCR is outperformed by 86.36% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMCR is 17.38, which is on the high side as it means it would take AMCR, 17.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 17.38, AMCR is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AMCR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
AMCR has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.10) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.09 |
ROIC/WACC1.03
WACC4.12%
2.3 Liquidity
AMCR has a Current Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that AMCR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AMCR's Current ratio of 1.04 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMCR is outperformed by 90.91% of its industry peers.
AMCR has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that AMCR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AMCR has a worse Quick ratio (0.62) than 90.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.62 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMCR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.38%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.22% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has grown by 28.42% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.78% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.38%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%19.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)28.42%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%71.34%
3.2 Future
AMCR is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.94% yearly.
AMCR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 11.24% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.8%
EPS Next 2Y13.94%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
EPS Next 5Y7.94%
Revenue Next Year55.85%
Revenue Next 2Y25.64%
Revenue Next 3Y17.1%
Revenue Next 5Y11.24%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.52 indicates a reasonable valuation of AMCR.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AMCR is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
AMCR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.60.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.21 indicates a reasonable valuation of AMCR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMCR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMCR is cheaper than 86.36% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AMCR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.23.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.21 |
4.2 Price Multiples
77.27% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AMCR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AMCR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AMCR is cheaper than 63.64% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AMCR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)5.2
EPS Next 2Y13.94%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMCR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.30%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.52, AMCR pays a better dividend. On top of this AMCR pays more dividend than 95.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AMCR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.3% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AMCR decreases each year by -1.15%.
AMCR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As AMCR did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
AMCR pays out 164.78% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP164.78%
EPS Next 2Y13.94%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
8.41
+0.07 (+0.84%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners68.05%
Inst Owner Change0.74%
Ins Owners0.21%
Ins Owner Change7.45%
Market Cap19.41B
Revenue(TTM)17.40B
Net Income(TTM)582.00M
Analysts82.11
Price Target10.73 (27.59%)
Short Float %4.24%
Short Ratio4.26
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.3% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
DP164.78%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(2)2.17%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(4)2.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.58%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.1%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.16%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.99%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.16%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.69%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.11%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.46%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.35%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.21 | ||
| P/S | 1.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.76 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.72 | ||
| P/B | 1.66 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.38 |
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY8.68%
EPS(NY)0.91
Fwd EY10.85%
FCF(TTM)0.37
FCFY4.39%
OCF(TTM)0.66
OCFY7.86%
SpS7.54
BVpS5.08
TBVpS-2.97
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)5.2
Graham Number9.13
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.57% | ||
| ROE | 4.97% | ||
| ROCE | 5.3% | ||
| ROIC | 4.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.38% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.82% | ||
| OM | 8.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.34% | ||
| GM | 18.96% | ||
| FCFM | 4.9% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
ROICexc(3y)7.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.34%
ROICexgc(3y)17.83%
ROICexgc(5y)20.43%
ROCE(3y)8.76%
ROCE(5y)9.85%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.56%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.18%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.61%
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 71.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.87% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 61.56% | ||
| Profit Quality | 146.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.09 |
F-Score5
WACC4.12%
ROIC/WACC1.03
Cap/Depr(3y)84.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.66%
Profit Quality(3y)114.49%
Profit Quality(5y)112.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.38%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%19.14%
EPS Next Y16.8%
EPS Next 2Y13.94%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
EPS Next 5Y7.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)28.42%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%71.34%
Revenue Next Year55.85%
Revenue Next 2Y25.64%
Revenue Next 3Y17.1%
Revenue Next 5Y11.24%
EBIT growth 1Y15.25%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.71%
EBIT growth 5Y3.46%
EBIT Next Year127.48%
EBIT Next 3Y35.46%
EBIT Next 5Y21.38%
FCF growth 1Y-1.61%
FCF growth 3Y-4.29%
FCF growth 5Y-3.83%
OCF growth 1Y11.79%
OCF growth 3Y-1.42%
OCF growth 5Y0.08%
AMCOR PLC / AMCR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMCR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMCR.
What is the valuation status for AMCR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMCOR PLC (AMCR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
AMCOR PLC (AMCR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the financial health of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
The financial health rating of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is 2 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is expected to grow by 16.8% in the next year.