ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AMBP - LU2369833749 - Common Stock
3.75 USD
0 (0%)
3.75 USD
0 (0%)
Overall AMBP gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AMBP against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMBP has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AMBP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMBP had positive earnings in the past year.
AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AMBP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -0.15%, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AMBP's Return On Invested Capital of 5.45% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMBP is below the industry average of 7.62%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.21%) for AMBP is below the current ROIC(5.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.15% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 5.45% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
1.3 Margins
AMBP has a worse Operating Margin (5.18%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
AMBP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AMBP has a Gross Margin of 12.96%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AMBP underperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
AMBP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.96% |
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMBP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AMBP remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AMBP has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AMBP is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AMBP has an Altman-Z score of -0.21. This is a bad value and indicates that AMBP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.21, AMBP is doing worse than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMBP is 12.63, which is on the high side as it means it would take AMBP, 12.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 12.63, AMBP is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.09% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.21 |
ROIC/WACC1.04
WACC5.25%
2.3 Liquidity
AMBP has a Current Ratio of 1.13. This is a normal value and indicates that AMBP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AMBP has a worse Current ratio (1.13) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.86 indicates that AMBP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AMBP has a Quick ratio (0.86) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMBP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 31.25%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has grown by 10.34% in the past year. This is quite good.
AMBP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.34%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AMBP will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.65% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AMBP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.86% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.82%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.88%
Revenue Next 2Y7.32%
Revenue Next 3Y5.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.86, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AMBP.
AMBP's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AMBP to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.15), we can say AMBP is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.45, the valuation of AMBP can be described as correct.
AMBP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMBP to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.12), we can say AMBP is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.45 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AMBP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AMBP is cheaper than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AMBP is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.52 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AMBP's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
AMBP's earnings are expected to grow with 16.65% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMBP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.75%, which is a nice return.
AMBP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.50. AMBP pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, AMBP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.75% |
5.2 History
AMBP has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AMBP are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AMBP will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-3300%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
3.75
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners18.01%
Inst Owner Change1.46%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.24B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)-8.00M
Analysts53.85
Price Target4.35 (16%)
Short Float %4.4%
Short Ratio4.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.75% |
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-3300%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.19%
Min EPS beat(2)7.02%
Max EPS beat(2)11.36%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)175.99%
Min EPS beat(4)7.02%
Max EPS beat(4)645.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)202.02%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)128.72%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)99.97%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.27%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.04%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.01%
PT rev (1m)-2.77%
PT rev (3m)-2.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)68.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.16%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.27%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.3%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.19%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.45 | ||
| P/S | 0.42 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.25 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.81 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.52 |
EPS(TTM)0.21
EY5.6%
EPS(NY)0.24
Fwd EY6.47%
FCF(TTM)0.52
FCFY13.79%
OCF(TTM)0.78
OCFY20.79%
SpS8.94
BVpS-0.24
TBVpS-2.28
PEG (NY)1.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.15% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 6.9% | ||
| ROIC | 5.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.41% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10% | ||
| OM | 5.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.96% | ||
| FCFM | 5.78% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
ROICexc(3y)4.83%
ROICexc(5y)5.78%
ROICexgc(3y)7.69%
ROICexgc(5y)11.55%
ROCE(3y)5.33%
ROCE(5y)6.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.63%
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.15 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 34.13% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.94% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.23% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.21 |
F-Score5
WACC5.25%
ROIC/WACC1.04
Cap/Depr(3y)96.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.64%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y10.82%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.34%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
Revenue Next Year11.88%
Revenue Next 2Y7.32%
Revenue Next 3Y5.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y33.82%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.25%
EBIT growth 5Y0.92%
EBIT Next Year239.9%
EBIT Next 3Y55.15%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y2031.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y10.47%
OCF growth 1Y1.08%
OCF growth 3Y-0.59%
OCF growth 5Y3.6%
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA / AMBP FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMBP stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AMBP.
What is the valuation status of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) stock?
The financial health rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 2 / 10.
Is the dividend of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA sustainable?
The dividend rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -3300%.