ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AMBP - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - LU2369833749 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AMBP. AMBP was compared to 23 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMBP has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AMBP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AMBP was profitable.
In the past year AMBP had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AMBP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.49%, AMBP is doing worse than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of AMBP (4.39%) is worse than 69.57% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMBP is below the industry average of 7.71%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.39%) for AMBP is above the 3 year average (4.21%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.49% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 4.39% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
1.3 Margins
With a Operating Margin value of 4.54%, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 73.91% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AMBP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 13.16%, AMBP is doing worse than 91.30% of the companies in the same industry.
AMBP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.16% |
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMBP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AMBP has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AMBP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMBP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AMBP has an Altman-Z score of -0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that AMBP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.39, AMBP is doing worse than 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMBP is 13.79, which is on the high side as it means it would take AMBP, 13.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AMBP has a Debt to FCF ratio of 13.79. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMBP outperforms 56.52% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC5.3%
2.3 Liquidity
AMBP has a Current Ratio of 1.13. This is a normal value and indicates that AMBP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AMBP has a Current ratio of 1.13. This is in the lower half of the industry: AMBP underperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
AMBP has a Quick Ratio of 1.13. This is a bad value and indicates that AMBP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.86, AMBP is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMBP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 50.00%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, AMBP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.00% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AMBP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.98% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)50%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%5.57%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.61% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.97% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-11.2%
EPS Next 2Y6.52%
EPS Next 3Y10.61%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.79%
Revenue Next 2Y3.12%
Revenue Next 3Y2.97%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 20.00 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AMBP.
AMBP's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.92. AMBP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
AMBP is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.52.
69.57% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AMBP, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.65, AMBP is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.52 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMBP is valued cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMBP, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.37 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.52%
EPS Next 3Y10.61%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMBP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 14.81%, which is a nice return.
AMBP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.58. AMBP pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AMBP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.51.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 14.81% |
5.2 History
AMBP has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
AMBP has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-977.78%
EPS Next 2Y6.52%
EPS Next 3Y10.61%
3.6
+0.84 (+30.43%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners18.09%
Inst Owner Change0.27%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.15B
Analysts53.85
Price Target3.58 (-0.56%)
Short Float %3.43%
Short Ratio2.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 14.81% |
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-977.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)25.82%
Min EPS beat(2)11.58%
Max EPS beat(2)40.06%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)256.66%
Min EPS beat(4)11.58%
Max EPS beat(4)959.99%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)115.3%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)76.53%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.79%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.79%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.52%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.88%
PT rev (3m)-13.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)142.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-92.61%
EPS NY rev (1m)-24.89%
EPS NY rev (3m)-31.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.52 | ||
| P/S | 0.44 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.6 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.78 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.37 |
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY5%
EPS(NY)0.16
Fwd EY4.44%
FCF(TTM)0.47
FCFY13.15%
OCF(TTM)0.75
OCFY20.91%
SpS8.21
BVpS-0.24
TBVpS-2.28
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.49% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 5.56% | ||
| ROIC | 4.39% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.05% | ||
| OM | 4.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.16% | ||
| FCFM | 5.77% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
ROICexc(3y)4.83%
ROICexc(5y)5.78%
ROICexgc(3y)7.69%
ROICexgc(5y)11.55%
ROCE(3y)5.33%
ROCE(5y)6.22%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-24.64%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-15.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.63%
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 37.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.4% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.18 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.39 |
F-Score6
WACC5.3%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)96.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.64%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)50%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%200%
EPS Next Y-11.2%
EPS Next 2Y6.52%
EPS Next 3Y10.61%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%5.57%
Revenue Next Year3.79%
Revenue Next 2Y3.12%
Revenue Next 3Y2.97%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y22.53%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.25%
EBIT growth 5Y0.92%
EBIT Next Year224.6%
EBIT Next 3Y52.97%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y14.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y10.47%
OCF growth 1Y-26.95%
OCF growth 3Y-0.59%
OCF growth 5Y3.6%