ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AMBP - LU2369833749 - Common Stock
4.06 USD
0 (0%)
4.06 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, AMBP scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AMBP was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMBP may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AMBP has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AMBP was profitable.
AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AMBP reported negative net income in multiple years.
AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -0.15%, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AMBP's Return On Invested Capital of 5.45% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
AMBP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.21%. This is below the industry average of 7.62%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.21%) for AMBP is below the current ROIC(5.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.15% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 5.45% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 5.18%, AMBP is doing worse than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
AMBP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AMBP's Gross Margin of 12.96% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP is outperformed by 90.91% of its industry peers.
AMBP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.96% |
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMBP is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AMBP remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AMBP has less shares outstanding
AMBP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AMBP has an Altman-Z score of -0.19. This is a bad value and indicates that AMBP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AMBP has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.19) than 95.45% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMBP is 12.63, which is on the high side as it means it would take AMBP, 12.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMBP (12.63) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.19 |
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC5.34%
2.3 Liquidity
AMBP has a Current Ratio of 1.13. This is a normal value and indicates that AMBP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AMBP's Current ratio of 1.13 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP is outperformed by 81.82% of its industry peers.
AMBP has a Quick Ratio of 1.13. This is a bad value and indicates that AMBP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.86, AMBP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 31.25% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, AMBP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.34% in the last year.
AMBP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.34%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AMBP will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.65% on average per year.
AMBP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.86% yearly.
EPS Next Y10.82%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.88%
Revenue Next 2Y7.32%
Revenue Next 3Y5.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.33, AMBP is valued on the expensive side.
AMBP's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.57, AMBP is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.72, the valuation of AMBP can be described as correct.
AMBP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMBP to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.04), we can say AMBP is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMBP is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.82% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AMBP is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.77 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMBP's earnings are expected to grow with 16.65% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.79
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMBP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.85%, which is a nice return.
AMBP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.52. AMBP pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AMBP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.85% |
5.2 History
AMBP has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
AMBP has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-3300%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
4.06
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners18.39%
Inst Owner Change1.47%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.43B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)-8.00M
Analysts53.85
Price Target4.39 (8.13%)
Short Float %2.9%
Short Ratio3.09
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.85% |
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-3300%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.19%
Min EPS beat(2)7.02%
Max EPS beat(2)11.36%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)175.99%
Min EPS beat(4)7.02%
Max EPS beat(4)645.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)202.02%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)128.72%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)99.97%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.27%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.04%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.01%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)38.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.19%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.72 | ||
| P/S | 0.45 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.85 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.21 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.77 |
EPS(TTM)0.21
EY5.17%
EPS(NY)0.24
Fwd EY5.98%
FCF(TTM)0.52
FCFY12.73%
OCF(TTM)0.78
OCFY19.2%
SpS8.94
BVpS-0.24
TBVpS-2.28
PEG (NY)1.79
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.15% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 6.9% | ||
| ROIC | 5.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.41% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10% | ||
| OM | 5.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.96% | ||
| FCFM | 5.78% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
ROICexc(3y)4.83%
ROICexc(5y)5.78%
ROICexgc(3y)7.69%
ROICexgc(5y)11.55%
ROCE(3y)5.33%
ROCE(5y)6.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.63%
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.15 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 34.13% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.94% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.23% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.19 |
F-Score5
WACC5.34%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)96.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.64%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y10.82%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.34%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
Revenue Next Year11.88%
Revenue Next 2Y7.32%
Revenue Next 3Y5.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y33.82%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.25%
EBIT growth 5Y0.92%
EBIT Next Year244.05%
EBIT Next 3Y55.15%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y2031.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y10.47%
OCF growth 1Y1.08%
OCF growth 3Y-0.59%
OCF growth 5Y3.6%
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA / AMBP FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMBP stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AMBP.
What is the valuation status of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) stock?
The financial health rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 2 / 10.
Is the dividend of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA sustainable?
The dividend rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -3300%.