ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AMBP - LU2369833749 - Common Stock
3.35 USD
-0.08 (-2.33%)
Overall AMBP gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AMBP against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMBP has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AMBP has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMBP had positive earnings in the past year.
AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AMBP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -0.31%, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.37%, AMBP is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.91% of the companies in the same industry.
AMBP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.21%. This is below the industry average of 7.60%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.37%) for AMBP is above the 3 year average (4.21%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.31% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 5.37% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
1.3 Margins
AMBP has a worse Operating Margin (5.22%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMBP has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 13.13%, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 86.36% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AMBP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.22% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.13% |
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AMBP is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AMBP remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
AMBP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AMBP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.26, we must say that AMBP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.26, AMBP is doing worse than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
AMBP has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.79. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AMBP would need 12.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMBP's Debt to FCF ratio of 12.79 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.26 |
ROIC/WACC1.04
WACC5.19%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that AMBP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.13, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 77.27% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.86 indicates that AMBP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AMBP (0.86) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMBP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 31.25%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.00% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
3.2 Future
AMBP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.04% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.51% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.46%
EPS Next 2Y14.57%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.44%
Revenue Next 2Y6.23%
Revenue Next 3Y5.51%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.95 indicates a correct valuation of AMBP.
AMBP's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.13. AMBP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
AMBP is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.18.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AMBP.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.35. AMBP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.18 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AMBP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AMBP is cheaper than 77.27% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AMBP indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMBP is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.56 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AMBP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
AMBP's earnings are expected to grow with 15.04% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)4.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.57%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMBP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.30%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.54, AMBP pays a better dividend. On top of this AMBP pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, AMBP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.3% |
5.2 History
AMBP has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AMBP are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AMBP will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-1552.94%
EPS Next 2Y14.57%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
NYSE:AMBP (11/6/2025, 1:05:06 PM)
3.35
-0.08 (-2.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners18.01%
Inst Owner Change-0.63%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.00B
Revenue(TTM)4.91B
Net Income(TTM)-17000000
Analysts53.33
Price Target4.35 (29.85%)
Short Float %2.72%
Short Ratio3.3
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.3% |
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-1552.94%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)326.28%
Min EPS beat(2)7.02%
Max EPS beat(2)645.54%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)176.05%
Min EPS beat(4)7.02%
Max EPS beat(4)645.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)202.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)125.22%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)102.99%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.38%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.38%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.1%
PT rev (1m)-2.77%
PT rev (3m)-1.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.99%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.14%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.18 | ||
| P/S | 0.38 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.56 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.41 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.38 |
EPS(TTM)0.21
EY6.27%
EPS(NY)0.24
Fwd EY7.05%
FCF(TTM)0.51
FCFY15.23%
OCF(TTM)0.76
OCFY22.67%
SpS8.75
BVpS-0.24
TBVpS-2.28
PEG (NY)4.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.31% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 6.8% | ||
| ROIC | 5.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.32% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.85% | ||
| OM | 5.22% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.13% | ||
| FCFM | 5.83% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
ROICexc(3y)4.83%
ROICexc(5y)5.78%
ROICexgc(3y)7.69%
ROICexgc(5y)11.55%
ROCE(3y)5.33%
ROCE(5y)6.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.63%
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.24 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 32.96% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 62.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.26 |
F-Score6
WACC5.19%
ROIC/WACC1.04
Cap/Depr(3y)96.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.64%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y3.46%
EPS Next 2Y14.57%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
Revenue Next Year10.44%
Revenue Next 2Y6.23%
Revenue Next 3Y5.51%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y44.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.25%
EBIT growth 5Y0.92%
EBIT Next Year239.9%
EBIT Next 3Y55.15%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y244.55%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y10.47%
OCF growth 1Y46.45%
OCF growth 3Y-0.59%
OCF growth 5Y3.6%
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA / AMBP FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMBP stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AMBP.
What is the valuation status of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) stock?
The financial health rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 2 / 10.
Is the dividend of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA sustainable?
The dividend rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -1552.94%.