ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AMBP - LU2369833749 - Common Stock
3.79 USD
+0.04 (+1.07%)
3.7705 USD
-0.02 (-0.51%)
Taking everything into account, AMBP scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AMBP was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMBP may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AMBP has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AMBP was profitable.
AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AMBP reported negative net income in multiple years.
AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.15%, AMBP is doing worse than 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
AMBP has a Return On Invested Capital (5.45%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMBP is below the industry average of 7.62%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.21%) for AMBP is below the current ROIC(5.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.15% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 5.45% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
1.3 Margins
With a Operating Margin value of 5.18%, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 72.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AMBP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 12.96%, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 90.91% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AMBP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.96% |
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMBP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
AMBP has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AMBP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMBP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AMBP has an Altman-Z score of -0.21. This is a bad value and indicates that AMBP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AMBP (-0.21) is worse than 95.45% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMBP is 12.63, which is on the high side as it means it would take AMBP, 12.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMBP (12.63) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.21 |
ROIC/WACC1.04
WACC5.26%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that AMBP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.13, AMBP is doing worse than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
AMBP has a Quick Ratio of 1.13. This is a bad value and indicates that AMBP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AMBP (0.86) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMBP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 31.25%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, AMBP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.34% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.34%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AMBP will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.65% on average per year.
AMBP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.86% yearly.
EPS Next Y10.82%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.88%
Revenue Next 2Y7.32%
Revenue Next 3Y5.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.05, AMBP is valued on the expensive side.
AMBP's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.11. AMBP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
AMBP is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.61.
AMBP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
AMBP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 36.21.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.05 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.61 |
4.2 Price Multiples
81.82% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMBP, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AMBP indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMBP is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.33 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.52 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AMBP's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMBP's earnings are expected to grow with 16.65% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMBP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.67%, which is a nice return.
AMBP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.34. AMBP pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, AMBP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.67% |
5.2 History
AMBP has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
AMBP has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-3300%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
3.79
+0.04 (+1.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners18.01%
Inst Owner Change1.46%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.27B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)-8.00M
Analysts53.85
Price Target4.35 (14.78%)
Short Float %4.4%
Short Ratio4.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.67% |
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-3300%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.19%
Min EPS beat(2)7.02%
Max EPS beat(2)11.36%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)175.99%
Min EPS beat(4)7.02%
Max EPS beat(4)645.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)202.02%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)128.72%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)99.97%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.27%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.04%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.01%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.16%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.3%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.19%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.05 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.61 | ||
| P/S | 0.42 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.33 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.86 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.52 |
EPS(TTM)0.21
EY5.54%
EPS(NY)0.24
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)0.52
FCFY13.64%
OCF(TTM)0.78
OCFY20.57%
SpS8.94
BVpS-0.24
TBVpS-2.28
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.15% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 6.9% | ||
| ROIC | 5.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.41% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10% | ||
| OM | 5.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.96% | ||
| FCFM | 5.78% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
ROICexc(3y)4.83%
ROICexc(5y)5.78%
ROICexgc(3y)7.69%
ROICexgc(5y)11.55%
ROCE(3y)5.33%
ROCE(5y)6.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.63%
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.15 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 34.13% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.94% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.23% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.21 |
F-Score5
WACC5.26%
ROIC/WACC1.04
Cap/Depr(3y)96.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.64%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y10.82%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.34%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
Revenue Next Year11.88%
Revenue Next 2Y7.32%
Revenue Next 3Y5.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y33.82%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.25%
EBIT growth 5Y0.92%
EBIT Next Year239.9%
EBIT Next 3Y55.15%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y2031.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y10.47%
OCF growth 1Y1.08%
OCF growth 3Y-0.59%
OCF growth 5Y3.6%
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA / AMBP FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMBP stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AMBP.
What is the valuation status of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) stock?
The financial health rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 2 / 10.
Is the dividend of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA sustainable?
The dividend rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -3300%.