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ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A (ALYA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:ALYA - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA01643B1067 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

1.89  +0.09 (+5%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall ALYA gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated ALYA against 14 industry peers in the IT Services industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of ALYA get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. ALYA has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ALYA had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ALYA had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ALYA always reported negative net income.
ALYA had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
ALYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

ALYA has a Return On Assets of -1.05%. This is in the better half of the industry: ALYA outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
ALYA has a Return On Equity of -2.52%. This is in the better half of the industry: ALYA outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
ALYA has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.11%. This is in the better half of the industry: ALYA outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.05%
ROE -2.52%
ROIC 2.11%
ROA(3y)-4.65%
ROA(5y)-7.29%
ROE(3y)-11.12%
ROE(5y)-16.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ALYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

ALYA has a Operating Margin of 1.98%. This is in the better half of the industry: ALYA outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
ALYA's Gross Margin of 31.75% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ALYA outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ALYA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.98%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.75%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.75%
GM growth 5Y3.24%
ALYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ALYA is destroying value.
ALYA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ALYA has more shares outstanding
ALYA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ALYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingALYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
ALYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

ALYA has an Altman-Z score of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that ALYA is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.14, ALYA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ALYA is 3.30, which is a good value as it means it would take ALYA, 3.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ALYA has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.30) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
ALYA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.68. This is a neutral value indicating ALYA is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
ALYA has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.68. This is in the better half of the industry: ALYA outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.68
Debt/FCF 3.3
Altman-Z 1.14
ROIC/WACC0.24
WACC8.82%
ALYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

ALYA has a Current Ratio of 1.28. This is a normal value and indicates that ALYA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.28, ALYA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.28 indicates that ALYA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ALYA (1.28) is better than 64.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.28
Quick Ratio 1.28
ALYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 116.00% over the past year.
ALYA shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -7.52%.
Measured over the past years, ALYA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.58% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)116%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%290.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.52%
Revenue growth 3Y19.53%
Revenue growth 5Y18.58%
Sales Q2Q%-1.84%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ALYA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 41.80% on average per year.
ALYA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.02% yearly.
EPS Next Y82.55%
EPS Next 2Y53.26%
EPS Next 3Y41.93%
EPS Next 5Y41.8%
Revenue Next Year-5.77%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.65%
Revenue Next 5Y5.02%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ALYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 200M 400M 600M
ALYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 0.2 -0.2

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 27.00 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ALYA.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ALYA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.35. ALYA is around the same levels.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 28.51, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ALYA.
ALYA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ALYA is cheaper than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
ALYA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 22.10.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27
Fwd PE 28.51
ALYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

ALYA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ALYA is cheaper than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ALYA indicates a rather cheap valuation: ALYA is cheaper than 85.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.35
EV/EBITDA 8.88
ALYA.CA Per share dataALYA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ALYA's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
ALYA's earnings are expected to grow with 41.93% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.33
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y53.26%
EPS Next 3Y41.93%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ALYA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A

TSX:ALYA (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

1.89

+0.09 (+5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)02-13 2025-02-13/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-11 2025-06-11/amc
Inst Owners71.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.75%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap173.94M
Analysts80
Price Target2.81 (48.68%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)941.72%
Min EPS beat(2)100%
Max EPS beat(2)1783.45%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)481.37%
Min EPS beat(4)-145.1%
Max EPS beat(4)1783.45%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)109.99%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)70.05%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)58.59%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.27%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.77%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.51%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.93%
PT rev (1m)-2.49%
PT rev (3m)-2.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-200%
EPS NY rev (1m)-39.31%
EPS NY rev (3m)-132.14%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.03%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27
Fwd PE 28.51
P/S 0.37
P/FCF 4.35
P/OCF 4.23
P/B 0.99
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.88
EPS(TTM)0.07
EY3.7%
EPS(NY)0.07
Fwd EY3.51%
FCF(TTM)0.43
FCFY23%
OCF(TTM)0.45
OCFY23.63%
SpS5.09
BVpS1.92
TBVpS-0.96
PEG (NY)0.33
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.05%
ROE -2.52%
ROCE 2.93%
ROIC 2.11%
ROICexc 2.21%
ROICexgc 17.62%
OM 1.98%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.75%
FCFM 8.54%
ROA(3y)-4.65%
ROA(5y)-7.29%
ROE(3y)-11.12%
ROE(5y)-16.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.75%
GM growth 5Y3.24%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.68
Debt/FCF 3.3
Debt/EBITDA 3.65
Cap/Depr 4.61%
Cap/Sales 0.23%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 125.14%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.28
Quick Ratio 1.28
Altman-Z 1.14
F-Score7
WACC8.82%
ROIC/WACC0.24
Cap/Depr(3y)5.69%
Cap/Depr(5y)12.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.65%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)116%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%290.6%
EPS Next Y82.55%
EPS Next 2Y53.26%
EPS Next 3Y41.93%
EPS Next 5Y41.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.52%
Revenue growth 3Y19.53%
Revenue growth 5Y18.58%
Sales Q2Q%-1.84%
Revenue Next Year-5.77%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.65%
Revenue Next 5Y5.02%
EBIT growth 1Y153.12%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year728.82%
EBIT Next 3Y121.04%
EBIT Next 5Y73.38%
FCF growth 1Y90.61%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y77.52%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A