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ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD (ALV.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX-V:ALV - TSX Venture Exchange - CA02255Q2099 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

4.83  -0.04 (-0.92%)

Fundamental Rating

7

Taking everything into account, ALV scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ALV was compared to 215 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. ALV has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. ALV scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. These ratings would make ALV suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ALV had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ALV had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years ALV 4 years were profitable.
Of the past 5 years ALV 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ALV.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALV.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

ALV has a Return On Assets of 13.39%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ALV outperforms 95.65% of its industry peers.
ALV's Return On Equity of 16.81% is amongst the best of the industry. ALV outperforms 91.30% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 28.63%, ALV belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 99.03% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ALV is significantly above the industry average of 7.58%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (28.63%) for ALV is well below the 3 year average (34.26%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that ALV had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.39%
ROE 16.81%
ROIC 28.63%
ROA(3y)21.94%
ROA(5y)14.16%
ROE(3y)28.28%
ROE(5y)18.8%
ROIC(3y)34.26%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ALV.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALV.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

ALV's Profit Margin of 28.86% is amongst the best of the industry. ALV outperforms 89.37% of its industry peers.
ALV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ALV has a better Operating Margin (62.50%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ALV has grown nicely.
ALV has a Gross Margin of 91.67%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ALV outperforms 98.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ALV has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 62.5%
PM (TTM) 28.86%
GM 91.67%
OM growth 3Y22.62%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.06%
GM growth 5YN/A
ALV.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALV.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ALV is creating value.
ALV has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
ALV has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
ALV has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ALV.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingALV.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
ALV.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALV.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 5.40 indicates that ALV is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of ALV (5.40) is better than 88.89% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ALV is 0.40, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ALV, only 0.40 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ALV's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.40 is amongst the best of the industry. ALV outperforms 95.17% of its industry peers.
ALV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
ALV's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.08 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ALV outperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 0.4
Altman-Z 5.4
ROIC/WACC3.79
WACC7.56%
ALV.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALV.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M 40M 60M 80M

2.3 Liquidity

ALV has a Current Ratio of 2.10. This indicates that ALV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
ALV has a Current ratio of 2.10. This is in the better half of the industry: ALV outperforms 79.71% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.10 indicates that ALV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
ALV has a better Quick ratio (2.10) than 80.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.1
Quick Ratio 2.1
ALV.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALV.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ALV shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -55.68%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 103.64% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, ALV shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -16.35% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ALV shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 149.72% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.68%
EPS 3Y103.64%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%26.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.35%
Revenue growth 3Y77.8%
Revenue growth 5Y149.72%
Sales Q2Q%4.02%

3.2 Future

ALV is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.63% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ALV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.46% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-33.59%
EPS Next 2Y-6.14%
EPS Next 3Y7.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-17.11%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.77%
Revenue Next 3Y5.83%
Revenue Next 5Y3.46%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ALV.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALV.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20M 40M 60M
ALV.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALV.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.78, which indicates a very decent valuation of ALV.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ALV is valued a bit cheaper than 68.12% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ALV to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.62), we can say ALV is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.08, the valuation of ALV can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ALV is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.44% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.70, ALV is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.78
Fwd PE 5.08
ALV.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALV.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

91.30% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ALV, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
ALV's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ALV is cheaper than 85.02% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.16
EV/EBITDA 2.72
ALV.CA Per share dataALV.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of ALV may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-6.14%
EPS Next 3Y7.63%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ALV has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.62%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.37, ALV pays a better dividend. On top of this ALV pays more dividend than 97.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ALV's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.62%

5.2 History

ALV has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
ALV.CA Yearly Dividends per shareALV.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

ALV pays out 114.53% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP114.53%
EPS Next 2Y-6.14%
EPS Next 3Y7.63%
ALV.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendALV.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M 30M
ALV.CA Dividend Payout.ALV.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ALV.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD

TSX-V:ALV (2/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

4.83

-0.04 (-0.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)03-20 2025-03-20/amc
Inst Owners1.83%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners9.29%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap176.15M
Analysts84.44
Price Target7.91 (63.77%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.62%
Yearly Dividend0.54
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP114.53%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-20.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-73.52%
Max EPS beat(2)31.76%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-42.95%
Min EPS beat(4)-91.37%
Max EPS beat(4)31.76%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-22.46%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.22%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-38.4%
Min Revenue beat(2)-43.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-33.34%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-28.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-43.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.93%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-13.29%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-9.72%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.55%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-29.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-29.41%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.08%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.78
Fwd PE 5.08
P/S 2.44
P/FCF 6.16
P/OCF 3.48
P/B 1.42
P/tB 1.42
EV/EBITDA 2.72
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY11.39%
EPS(NY)0.95
Fwd EY19.68%
FCF(TTM)0.78
FCFY16.23%
OCF(TTM)1.39
OCFY28.76%
SpS1.98
BVpS3.4
TBVpS3.4
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.39%
ROE 16.81%
ROCE 33.35%
ROIC 28.63%
ROICexc 38.52%
ROICexgc 38.52%
OM 62.5%
PM (TTM) 28.86%
GM 91.67%
FCFM 39.52%
ROA(3y)21.94%
ROA(5y)14.16%
ROE(3y)28.28%
ROE(5y)18.8%
ROIC(3y)34.26%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)43.08%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)43.08%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)39.91%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y112%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y112%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y22.62%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.06%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 0.4
Debt/EBITDA 0.18
Cap/Depr 200.48%
Cap/Sales 30.54%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 90.13%
Profit Quality 136.93%
Current Ratio 2.1
Quick Ratio 2.1
Altman-Z 5.4
F-Score6
WACC7.56%
ROIC/WACC3.79
Cap/Depr(3y)256.86%
Cap/Depr(5y)996.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)33.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)497.96%
Profit Quality(3y)165.39%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.68%
EPS 3Y103.64%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%26.67%
EPS Next Y-33.59%
EPS Next 2Y-6.14%
EPS Next 3Y7.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.35%
Revenue growth 3Y77.8%
Revenue growth 5Y149.72%
Sales Q2Q%4.02%
Revenue Next Year-17.11%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.77%
Revenue Next 3Y5.83%
Revenue Next 5Y3.46%
EBIT growth 1Y-25.42%
EBIT growth 3Y118.02%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-12.17%
EBIT Next 3Y10.63%
EBIT Next 5Y7.12%
FCF growth 1Y-8.21%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-15.54%
OCF growth 3Y149.78%
OCF growth 5YN/A