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ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES INC (ALUR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:ALUR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US02008G1022 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.55  -0.05 (-1.39%)

After market: 3.41 -0.14 (-3.94%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to ALUR. ALUR was compared to 71 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. ALUR has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. ALUR is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ALUR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ALUR has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
ALUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M

1.2 Ratios

ALUR's Return On Assets of -80.87% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALUR is outperformed by 87.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -80.87%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-26.72%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ALUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400 -600 -800

1.3 Margins

ALUR has a Gross Margin of 76.20%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ALUR outperforms 90.63% of its industry peers.
ALUR does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 76.2%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ALUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100 -150

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ALUR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, ALUR has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, ALUR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ALUR Yearly Shares OutstandingALUR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
ALUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -9.90, we must say that ALUR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ALUR has a worse Altman-Z score (-9.90) than 82.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -9.9
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC24.7%
ALUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.71 indicates that ALUR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ALUR has a Current ratio of 1.71. This is in the better half of the industry: ALUR outperforms 64.06% of its industry peers.
ALUR has a Quick Ratio of 1.51. This is a normal value and indicates that ALUR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ALUR's Quick ratio of 1.51 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ALUR outperforms 59.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.71
Quick Ratio 1.51
ALUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ALUR shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -0.73%.
ALUR shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 267.18%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.73%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%91.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)267.18%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-9.21%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ALUR will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.01% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, ALUR will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 32.37% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-256.45%
EPS Next 2Y-80.12%
EPS Next 3Y-25.48%
EPS Next 5Y16.01%
Revenue Next Year-38.8%
Revenue Next 2Y-20.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.88%
Revenue Next 5Y32.37%

3.3 Evolution

ALUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 100M 200M 300M 400M
ALUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 -2 -4 -6 -8

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.65 indicates a correct valuation of ALUR.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ALUR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.63, ALUR is valued rather cheaply.
ALUR is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.65
Fwd PE N/A
ALUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ALUR Per share dataALUR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 -10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as ALUR's earnings are expected to decrease with -25.48% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-80.12%
EPS Next 3Y-25.48%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ALUR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES INC

NYSE:ALUR (2/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 3.41 -0.14 (-3.94%)

3.55

-0.05 (-1.39%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)11-13 2024-11-13/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-19 2025-03-19/bmo
Inst Owners35.07%
Inst Owner Change-11.37%
Ins Owners8.23%
Ins Owner Change20.86%
Market Cap17.00M
Analysts82
Price Target37.87 (966.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short Ratio0.18
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)107.76%
Min EPS beat(2)79.58%
Max EPS beat(2)135.95%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.92%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.83%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1756.25%
PT rev (3m)1463.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2400%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2420.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1883.64%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2786.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-19.65%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.65
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.36
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.26
EY7.32%
EPS(NY)-7.5
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-13.21
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-12.84
OCFYN/A
SpS9.93
BVpS-14.74
TBVpS-14.74
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -80.87%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 76.2%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-26.72%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 190.66%
Cap/Sales 3.65%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.71
Quick Ratio 1.51
Altman-Z -9.9
F-Score2
WACC24.7%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)171.89%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.73%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%91.49%
EPS Next Y-256.45%
EPS Next 2Y-80.12%
EPS Next 3Y-25.48%
EPS Next 5Y16.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)267.18%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-9.21%
Revenue Next Year-38.8%
Revenue Next 2Y-20.91%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.88%
Revenue Next 5Y32.37%
EBIT growth 1Y-257.76%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year48.71%
EBIT Next 3Y23.54%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-6180.34%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6008.09%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A