ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDING (ALSN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ALSN • US01973R1014
Current stock price
113.39 USD
+0.57 (+0.51%)
At close:
113.39 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This ALSN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ALSN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- ALSN had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year ALSN had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years ALSN has been profitable.
- ALSN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- ALSN's Return On Assets of 10.24% is amongst the best of the industry. ALSN outperforms 82.44% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 33.37%, ALSN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- ALSN has a Return On Invested Capital of 13.63%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ALSN outperforms 84.73% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ALSN is significantly above the industry average of 10.18%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.24% | ||
| ROE | 33.37% | ||
| ROIC | 13.63% |
ROA(3y)12.45%
ROA(5y)11.72%
ROE(3y)44.08%
ROE(5y)52.54%
ROIC(3y)15.41%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 20.70%, ALSN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- ALSN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- ALSN has a better Operating Margin (32.03%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- ALSN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- ALSN has a Gross Margin of 48.60%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ALSN outperforms 89.31% of its industry peers.
- ALSN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 32.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.7% | ||
| GM | 48.6% |
OM growth 3Y4.52%
OM growth 5Y4.45%
PM growth 3Y2.58%
PM growth 5Y7.57%
GM growth 3Y1.24%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
2. ALSN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ALSN is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for ALSN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for ALSN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for ALSN is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.69 indicates that ALSN is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- ALSN has a Altman-Z score (2.69) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ALSN is 4.37, which is a neutral value as it means it would take ALSN, 4.37 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.37, ALSN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.25% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.55 is on the high side and indicates that ALSN has dependencies on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.55, ALSN is doing worse than 83.97% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.55 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.37 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.69 |
ROIC/WACC1.5
WACC9.08%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 4.85 indicates that ALSN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 4.85, ALSN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.08% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 4.17 indicates that ALSN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- ALSN's Quick ratio of 4.17 is amongst the best of the industry. ALSN outperforms 90.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 4.17 |
3. ALSN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ALSN shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.50%.
- ALSN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.30% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, ALSN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -6.67% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, ALSN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.5%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5Y22.3%
EPS Q2Q%-19.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.67%
Revenue growth 3Y2.82%
Revenue growth 5Y7.66%
Sales Q2Q%-7.41%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, ALSN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.61% on average per year.
- ALSN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 17.97% yearly.
EPS Next Y24.97%
EPS Next 2Y17.6%
EPS Next 3Y17.96%
EPS Next 5Y17.61%
Revenue Next Year56.05%
Revenue Next 2Y27.07%
Revenue Next 3Y29.97%
Revenue Next 5Y17.97%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. ALSN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- ALSN is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.59.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ALSN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.02% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- ALSN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.96.
- ALSN is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.68.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ALSN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.84% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- ALSN is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.04, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.59 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- ALSN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ALSN is cheaper than 80.92% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ALSN is valued cheaper than 87.02% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.87 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- ALSN has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as ALSN's earnings are expected to grow with 17.96% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.58
PEG (5Y)0.65
EPS Next 2Y17.6%
EPS Next 3Y17.96%
5. ALSN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.03%, ALSN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.18, ALSN pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- With a Dividend Yield of 1.03, ALSN pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.03% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of ALSN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.76%!
- ALSN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- ALSN has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.76%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years12
5.3 Sustainability
- ALSN pays out 14.61% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- ALSN's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP14.61%
EPS Next 2Y17.6%
EPS Next 3Y17.96%
ALSN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
113.39
+0.57 (+0.51%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-23 2026-02-23/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners103.99%
Inst Owner Change0.95%
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner Change5.92%
Market Cap9.39B
Revenue(TTM)3.01B
Net Income(TTM)623.00M
Analysts74.12
Price Target111.6 (-1.58%)
Short Float %2.56%
Short Ratio2.32
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.03% |
Yearly Dividend1.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.76%
DP14.61%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date03-09 2026-03-09 (0.29)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.27%
Max EPS beat(2)2.55%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.47%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.27%
Max EPS beat(4)7.34%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.14%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.72%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)6.97%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.97%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.86%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.09%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)13.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)11.15%
EPS NQ rev (3m)13.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.93%
EPS NY rev (3m)15.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)78%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)79.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)54.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)56.1%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.59 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.68 | ||
| P/S | 3.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.21 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.23 | ||
| P/B | 5.03 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.87 |
EPS(TTM)7.77
EY6.85%
EPS(NY)9.71
Fwd EY8.56%
FCF(TTM)7.98
FCFY7.04%
OCF(TTM)10.1
OCFY8.9%
SpS36.35
BVpS22.55
TBVpS-12.1
PEG (NY)0.58
PEG (5Y)0.65
Graham Number62.78
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.24% | ||
| ROE | 33.37% | ||
| ROCE | 17.15% | ||
| ROIC | 13.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 18.57% | ||
| ROICexgc | 60.91% | ||
| OM | 32.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.7% | ||
| GM | 48.6% | ||
| FCFM | 21.96% |
ROA(3y)12.45%
ROA(5y)11.72%
ROE(3y)44.08%
ROE(5y)52.54%
ROIC(3y)15.41%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
ROICexc(3y)18.87%
ROICexc(5y)17.21%
ROICexgc(3y)66.28%
ROICexgc(5y)64.07%
ROCE(3y)19.39%
ROCE(5y)18.71%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.86%
ROICexc growth 3Y5.99%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.58%
OM growth 3Y4.52%
OM growth 5Y4.45%
PM growth 3Y2.58%
PM growth 5Y7.57%
GM growth 3Y1.24%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.55 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.37 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 141.13% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.81% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.03 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 76.84% | ||
| Profit Quality | 106.1% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 4.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.69 |
F-Score6
WACC9.08%
ROIC/WACC1.5
Cap/Depr(3y)113.49%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.54%
Profit Quality(3y)98.01%
Profit Quality(5y)98.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.5%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5Y22.3%
EPS Q2Q%-19.4%
EPS Next Y24.97%
EPS Next 2Y17.6%
EPS Next 3Y17.96%
EPS Next 5Y17.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.67%
Revenue growth 3Y2.82%
Revenue growth 5Y7.66%
Sales Q2Q%-7.41%
Revenue Next Year56.05%
Revenue Next 2Y27.07%
Revenue Next 3Y29.97%
Revenue Next 5Y17.97%
EBIT growth 1Y-2.82%
EBIT growth 3Y7.46%
EBIT growth 5Y12.46%
EBIT Next Year50.4%
EBIT Next 3Y24.57%
EBIT Next 5Y18.39%
FCF growth 1Y0.46%
FCF growth 3Y10.49%
FCF growth 5Y8.19%
OCF growth 1Y4.37%
OCF growth 3Y8.36%
OCF growth 5Y8.31%
ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDING / ALSN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDING?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to ALSN.
What is the valuation status of ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDING (ALSN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDING (ALSN). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of ALSN stock?
ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDING (ALSN) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
How financially healthy is ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDING?
The financial health rating of ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDING (ALSN) is 6 / 10.
Is the dividend of ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDING sustainable?
The dividend rating of ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDING (ALSN) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 14.61%.