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AILERON THERAPEUTICS INC (ALRN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:ALRN - Nasdaq - US00887A2042 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

2.11  +0.18 (+9.33%)

After market: 2.11 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to ALRN. ALRN was compared to 572 industry peers in the Biotechnology industry. ALRN scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. ALRN is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ALRN had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year ALRN has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ALRN always reported negative net income.
In the past 5 years ALRN always reported negative operating cash flow.
ALRN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALRN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 -10M -20M -30M

1.2 Ratios

ALRN has a Return On Assets of -28.06%. This is in the better half of the industry: ALRN outperforms 70.55% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of -30.71%, ALRN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.06%
ROE -30.71%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-64.32%
ROA(5y)-86.69%
ROE(3y)-74.12%
ROE(5y)-115.87%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ALRN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALRN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 -100 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ALRN so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ALRN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALRN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The number of shares outstanding for ALRN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
ALRN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for ALRN. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
ALRN Yearly Shares OutstandingALRN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1M 2M 3M 4M
ALRN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALRN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.90, we must say that ALRN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ALRN has a Altman-Z score (-1.90) which is in line with its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for ALRN. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -1.9
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
ALRN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALRN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M

2.3 Liquidity

ALRN has a Current Ratio of 3.30. This indicates that ALRN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ALRN (3.30) is worse than 60.85% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.30 indicates that ALRN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
ALRN has a Quick ratio (3.30) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.3
Quick Ratio 3.3
ALRN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALRN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M

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0

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ALRN have decreased by -9.65% in the last year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%32.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 2.99% on average over the next years.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y-11.33%
EPS Next 2Y3.28%
EPS Next 3Y3.7%
EPS Next 5Y2.99%
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
ALRN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALRN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
ALRN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALRN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -10 -20 -30 -40

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ALRN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ALRN. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ALRN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALRN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ALRN Per share dataALRN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.28%
EPS Next 3Y3.7%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ALRN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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AILERON THERAPEUTICS INC

NASDAQ:ALRN (1/10/2025, 8:00:59 PM)

After market: 2.11 0 (0%)

2.11

+0.18 (+9.33%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryBiotechnology
Earnings (Last)11-14 2024-11-14/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners31.86%
Inst Owner Change-76.03%
Ins Owners0.65%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap45.72M
Analysts85
Price Target13.26 (528.44%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)15.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.04%
Max EPS beat(2)35.44%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-320.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-820.61%
Max EPS beat(4)35.44%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-118.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S N/A
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.48
P/tB 4.71
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-3.12
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.92
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.29
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.29
OCFYN/A
SpS0
BVpS4.39
TBVpS0.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.06%
ROE -30.71%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-64.32%
ROA(5y)-86.69%
ROE(3y)-74.12%
ROE(5y)-115.87%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.3
Quick Ratio 3.3
Altman-Z -1.9
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%32.52%
EPS Next Y-11.33%
EPS Next 2Y3.28%
EPS Next 3Y3.7%
EPS Next 5Y2.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-132.47%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-4.33%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-4.33%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A