ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:ALRM • US0116421050
Current stock price
44.44 USD
-0.6 (-1.33%)
At close:
44.44 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This ALRM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ALRM Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ALRM was profitable.
- ALRM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- ALRM had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- ALRM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 6.20%, ALRM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 15.63%, ALRM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.62% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.43%, ALRM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ALRM is significantly below the industry average of 11.04%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (7.43%) for ALRM is above the 3 year average (5.52%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.2% | ||
| ROE | 15.63% | ||
| ROIC | 7.43% |
ROA(3y)5.97%
ROA(5y)5.28%
ROE(3y)14.83%
ROE(5y)12.48%
ROIC(3y)5.52%
ROIC(5y)4.95%
1.3 Margins
- ALRM's Profit Margin of 13.11% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ALRM outperforms 77.94% of its industry peers.
- ALRM's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- ALRM's Operating Margin of 13.22% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ALRM outperforms 79.78% of its industry peers.
- ALRM's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- ALRM has a Gross Margin (66.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ALRM has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.22% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.11% | ||
| GM | 66.15% |
OM growth 3Y29.73%
OM growth 5Y7.72%
PM growth 3Y25.19%
PM growth 5Y0.79%
GM growth 3Y3.69%
GM growth 5Y0.92%
2. ALRM Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ALRM is destroying value.
- ALRM has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for ALRM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for ALRM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- ALRM has an Altman-Z score of 2.41. This is not the best score and indicates that ALRM is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- ALRM has a Altman-Z score (2.41) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ALRM is 7.29, which is on the high side as it means it would take ALRM, 7.29 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 7.29, ALRM is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.26% of the companies in the same industry.
- ALRM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.58. This is a neutral value indicating ALRM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.58, ALRM is not doing good in the industry: 69.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.58 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.41 |
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC9.45%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.92 indicates that ALRM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- ALRM has a Current ratio (1.92) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.78 indicates that ALRM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- ALRM has a Quick ratio of 1.78. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ALRM outperforms 52.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.92 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.78 |
3. ALRM Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ALRM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 14.91%, which is quite good.
- ALRM shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.16% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, ALRM shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.59% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, ALRM shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.35% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.91%
EPS 3Y10.16%
EPS 5Y8.16%
EPS Q2Q%24.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.59%
Revenue growth 3Y6.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.35%
Sales Q2Q%8.02%
3.2 Future
- ALRM is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.70% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, ALRM will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.95% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.57%
EPS Next 2Y7.91%
EPS Next 3Y6.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.08%
Revenue Next 2Y5.3%
Revenue Next 3Y4.95%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. ALRM Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.96, ALRM is valued correctly.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ALRM indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ALRM is cheaper than 74.26% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.54. ALRM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- ALRM is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.62.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ALRM is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.68, ALRM is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.96 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.62 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- ALRM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ALRM is cheaper than 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
- ALRM's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ALRM is cheaper than 78.31% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.78 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ALRM does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- The decent profitability rating of ALRM may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.98
PEG (5Y)2.08
EPS Next 2Y7.91%
EPS Next 3Y6.7%
5. ALRM Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for ALRM!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ALRM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
44.44
-0.6 (-1.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Industry Strength6.21
Industry Growth67.7
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07
Inst Owners99.16%
Inst Owner Change0.42%
Ins Owners1.66%
Ins Owner Change1.02%
Market Cap2.21B
Revenue(TTM)1.01B
Net Income(TTM)132.57M
Analysts76.92
Price Target62.83 (41.38%)
Short Float %4.9%
Short Ratio4.79
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.98%
Min EPS beat(2)10.12%
Max EPS beat(2)21.85%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.89%
Min EPS beat(4)10.12%
Max EPS beat(4)21.85%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.29%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)19.73%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)18.75%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.21%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.14%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.28%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.28%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.89%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.35%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.5%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-10.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.96 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.62 | ||
| P/S | 2.18 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.26 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.4 | ||
| P/B | 2.6 | ||
| P/tB | 4.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.78 |
EPS(TTM)2.62
EY5.9%
EPS(NY)2.84
Fwd EY6.4%
FCF(TTM)2.73
FCFY6.15%
OCF(TTM)3.09
OCFY6.95%
SpS20.36
BVpS17.08
TBVpS10.55
PEG (NY)1.98
PEG (5Y)2.08
Graham Number31.7274 (-28.61%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.2% | ||
| ROE | 15.63% | ||
| ROCE | 9.07% | ||
| ROIC | 7.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 21.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 58.06% | ||
| OM | 13.22% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.11% | ||
| GM | 66.15% | ||
| FCFM | 13.42% |
ROA(3y)5.97%
ROA(5y)5.28%
ROE(3y)14.83%
ROE(5y)12.48%
ROIC(3y)5.52%
ROIC(5y)4.95%
ROICexc(3y)15.04%
ROICexc(5y)13.14%
ROICexgc(3y)32.02%
ROICexgc(5y)27.27%
ROCE(3y)6.74%
ROCE(5y)6.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y63%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y40.45%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.42%
OM growth 3Y29.73%
OM growth 5Y7.72%
PM growth 3Y25.19%
PM growth 5Y0.79%
GM growth 3Y3.69%
GM growth 5Y0.92%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.58 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.29 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 57.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.74% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.88 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 93.23% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.39% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.92 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.41 |
F-Score8
WACC9.45%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)48.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.04%
Profit Quality(3y)136.11%
Profit Quality(5y)125.3%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.91%
EPS 3Y10.16%
EPS 5Y8.16%
EPS Q2Q%24.14%
EPS Next Y8.57%
EPS Next 2Y7.91%
EPS Next 3Y6.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.59%
Revenue growth 3Y6.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.35%
Sales Q2Q%8.02%
Revenue Next Year6.08%
Revenue Next 2Y5.3%
Revenue Next 3Y4.95%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y23.11%
EBIT growth 3Y37.86%
EBIT growth 5Y18.87%
EBIT Next Year21.58%
EBIT Next 3Y12.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-29.74%
FCF growth 3Y68.65%
FCF growth 5Y10.71%
OCF growth 1Y-25.72%
OCF growth 3Y39.16%
OCF growth 5Y8.47%
ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC / ALRM Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ALRM.
Can you provide the valuation status for ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) stock?
ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ALRM stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) is expected to grow by 8.57% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ALRM stock?
The dividend rating of ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.