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ALSTOM (ALO.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

EPA:ALO - Euronext Paris - Matif - FR0010220475 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

24.26  -1.76 (-6.76%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall ALO gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated ALO against 104 industry peers in the Machinery industry. ALO may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. ALO is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ALO had negative earnings in the past year.
ALO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years ALO reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years ALO reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
ALO.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALO.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B -2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

ALO has a worse Return On Assets (-0.76%) than 67.31% of its industry peers.
ALO has a worse Return On Equity (-2.47%) than 67.31% of its industry peers.
ALO has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.70%) than 66.35% of its industry peers.
ALO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.60%. This is significantly below the industry average of 8.40%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.70%) for ALO is above the 3 year average (1.60%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.76%
ROE -2.47%
ROIC 2.7%
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)0.24%
ROE(3y)-3.85%
ROE(5y)1.09%
ROIC(3y)1.6%
ROIC(5y)2.97%
ALO.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALO.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

ALO has a worse Operating Margin (3.16%) than 66.35% of its industry peers.
ALO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 12.67%, ALO is doing worse than 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
ALO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.16%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 12.67%
OM growth 3Y-16.25%
OM growth 5Y-16.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.3%
GM growth 5Y-6.66%
ALO.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALO.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30 40

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ALO is destroying value.
ALO has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
ALO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ALO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ALO.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingALO.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
ALO.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALO.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

ALO has an Altman-Z score of 0.88. This is a bad value and indicates that ALO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
ALO has a Altman-Z score of 0.88. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALO underperforms 68.27% of its industry peers.
ALO has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.15. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ALO would need 9.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ALO has a Debt to FCF ratio (9.15) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32 indicates that ALO is not too dependend on debt financing.
ALO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.32 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ALO outperforms 52.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 9.15
Altman-Z 0.88
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC6.8%
ALO.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALO.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

ALO has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that ALO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ALO has a worse Current ratio (0.96) than 87.50% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that ALO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.74, ALO is not doing good in the industry: 69.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.74
ALO.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALO.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ALO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -109.90%.
Looking at the last year, ALO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.21% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 16.90% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-109.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.21%
Revenue growth 3Y26.11%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ALO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.03% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.42% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.83%
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y23.16%
EPS Next 5Y15.03%
Revenue Next Year5%
Revenue Next 2Y4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y4.72%
Revenue Next 5Y5.42%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ALO.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALO.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
ALO.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALO.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ALO reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.87, which indicates a correct valuation of ALO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ALO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ALO is cheaper than 65.38% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.10. ALO is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 12.87
ALO.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALO.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ALO is on the same level as its industry peers.
ALO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.78
EV/EBITDA 9.09
ALO.PA Per share dataALO.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as ALO's earnings are expected to grow with 23.16% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y23.16%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.03%, ALO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.63, ALO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, ALO has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.03%

5.2 History

The dividend of ALO decreases each year by -15.03%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.03%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
ALO.PA Yearly Dividends per shareALO.PA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

ALO has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-7.39%
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y23.16%
ALO.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendALO.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B -2B 3B

ALSTOM

EPA:ALO (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

24.26

-1.76 (-6.76%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)01-16 2025-01-16
Earnings (Next)05-13 2025-05-13/amc
Inst Owners59.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap11.20B
Analysts72.17
Price Target23.75 (-2.1%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.03%
Yearly Dividend0.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.03%
DP-7.39%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.09%
PT rev (3m)3.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.78%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.04%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 12.87
P/S 0.62
P/FCF 28.78
P/OCF 12.01
P/B 1.08
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.09
EPS(TTM)-0.63
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.89
Fwd EY7.77%
FCF(TTM)0.84
FCFY3.47%
OCF(TTM)2.02
OCFY8.32%
SpS38.9
BVpS22.52
TBVpS-1.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.76%
ROE -2.47%
ROCE 3.68%
ROIC 2.7%
ROICexc 3.06%
ROICexgc 16.96%
OM 3.16%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 12.67%
FCFM 2.17%
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)0.24%
ROE(3y)-3.85%
ROE(5y)1.09%
ROIC(3y)1.6%
ROIC(5y)2.97%
ROICexc(3y)1.71%
ROICexc(5y)4.19%
ROICexgc(3y)19.32%
ROICexgc(5y)32.28%
ROCE(3y)2.18%
ROCE(5y)4.04%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-23.96%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y5.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-33.06%
OM growth 3Y-16.25%
OM growth 5Y-16.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.3%
GM growth 5Y-6.66%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 9.15
Debt/EBITDA 2.34
Cap/Depr 63.21%
Cap/Sales 3.02%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.31%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 0.88
F-Score5
WACC6.8%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)51.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)63.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.9%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-109.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y16.83%
EPS Next 2Y26.03%
EPS Next 3Y23.16%
EPS Next 5Y15.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.21%
Revenue growth 3Y26.11%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
Revenue Next Year5%
Revenue Next 2Y4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y4.72%
Revenue Next 5Y5.42%
EBIT growth 1Y11.59%
EBIT growth 3Y5.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.26%
EBIT Next Year102.47%
EBIT Next 3Y39.73%
EBIT Next 5Y25.4%
FCF growth 1Y-2.99%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y14.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A