ALSTOM (ALO.PA)
FR0010220475 - Common Stock
Overall ALO gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated ALO against 105 industry peers in the Machinery industry. ALO may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. ALO is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ALO had negative earnings in the past year.
ALO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ALO reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years ALO reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -0.76%, ALO is not doing good in the industry: 70.87% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Equity value of -2.47%, ALO is not doing good in the industry: 71.84% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
ALO has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.70%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALO underperforms 70.87% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ALO is significantly below the industry average of 8.54%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.60%) for ALO is below the current ROIC(2.70%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.76% | ||
| ROE | -2.47% | ||
| ROIC | 2.7% |
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)0.24%
ROE(3y)-3.85%
ROE(5y)1.09%
ROIC(3y)1.6%
ROIC(5y)2.97%
1.3 Margins
ALO has a Operating Margin of 3.16%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALO underperforms 68.93% of its industry peers.
ALO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ALO's Gross Margin of 12.67% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALO is outperformed by 94.17% of its industry peers.
ALO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.67% |
OM growth 3Y-16.25%
OM growth 5Y-16.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.3%
GM growth 5Y-6.66%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ALO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ALO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
ALO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
ALO has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.85, we must say that ALO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.85, ALO is doing worse than 74.76% of the companies in the same industry.
ALO has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.15. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ALO would need 9.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 9.15, ALO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.51% of the companies in the same industry.
ALO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.32, ALO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.34% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.85 |
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC6.47%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that ALO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ALO has a Current ratio of 0.96. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ALO underperforms 89.32% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that ALO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ALO (0.74) is worse than 72.82% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.74 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ALO have decreased strongly by -109.89% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, ALO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.21% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 16.90% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-109.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.21%
Revenue growth 3Y26.11%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.03% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
ALO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.17% yearly.
EPS Next Y25.34%
EPS Next 2Y27.05%
EPS Next 3Y26.41%
EPS Next 5Y15.03%
Revenue Next Year4.95%
Revenue Next 2Y4.76%
Revenue Next 3Y4.68%
Revenue Next 5Y5.17%
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ALO. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.44, the valuation of ALO can be described as reasonable.
ALO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ALO to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.83), we can say ALO is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.44 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as ALO.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ALO.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 26.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ALO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as ALO's earnings are expected to grow with 26.41% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y27.05%
EPS Next 3Y26.41%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ALO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.03%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
ALO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.34.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.24, ALO has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.03% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ALO decreases each year by -15.03%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.03%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
ALO has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-7.39%
EPS Next 2Y27.05%
EPS Next 3Y26.41%
ALSTOM
EPA:ALO (12/20/2024, 7:00:00 PM)
21.92
-0.06 (-0.27%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners58.52%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.12B
Analysts73.04
Price Target22.94 (4.65%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.03% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.03%
DP-7.39%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)8.78%
PT rev (3m)12.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.15%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.44 | ||
| P/S | 0.56 | ||
| P/FCF | 26.01 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.85 | ||
| P/B | 0.97 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.35 |
EPS(TTM)-0.63
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.92
Fwd EY8.74%
FCF(TTM)0.84
FCFY3.85%
OCF(TTM)2.02
OCFY9.21%
SpS38.9
BVpS22.52
TBVpS-1.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.76% | ||
| ROE | -2.47% | ||
| ROCE | 3.68% | ||
| ROIC | 2.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.06% | ||
| ROICexgc | 16.96% | ||
| OM | 3.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.67% | ||
| FCFM | 2.17% |
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)0.24%
ROE(3y)-3.85%
ROE(5y)1.09%
ROIC(3y)1.6%
ROIC(5y)2.97%
ROICexc(3y)1.71%
ROICexc(5y)4.19%
ROICexgc(3y)19.32%
ROICexgc(5y)32.28%
ROCE(3y)2.18%
ROCE(5y)4.04%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-23.96%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y5.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-33.06%
OM growth 3Y-16.25%
OM growth 5Y-16.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.3%
GM growth 5Y-6.66%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.15 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.34 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 63.21% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 65.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.85 |
F-Score5
WACC6.47%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)51.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)63.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.9%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-109.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y25.34%
EPS Next 2Y27.05%
EPS Next 3Y26.41%
EPS Next 5Y15.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.21%
Revenue growth 3Y26.11%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
Revenue Next Year4.95%
Revenue Next 2Y4.76%
Revenue Next 3Y4.68%
Revenue Next 5Y5.17%
EBIT growth 1Y11.59%
EBIT growth 3Y5.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.26%
EBIT Next Year102.47%
EBIT Next 3Y39.73%
EBIT Next 5Y24.66%
FCF growth 1Y-2.99%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y14.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A