ALSTOM (ALO.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
EPA:ALO - Euronext Paris - Matif - FR0010220475 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR
ALO gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 102 industry peers in the Machinery industry. ALO may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. ALO has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ALO has reported negative net income.
In the past year ALO had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ALO reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years ALO reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
ALO's Return On Assets of -0.76% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALO is outperformed by 69.61% of its industry peers.
ALO has a worse Return On Equity (-2.47%) than 69.61% of its industry peers.
ALO has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.70%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALO underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ALO is significantly below the industry average of 8.38%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.70%) for ALO is above the 3 year average (1.60%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.76% | ||
| ROE | -2.47% | ||
| ROIC | 2.7% |
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)0.24%
ROE(3y)-3.85%
ROE(5y)1.09%
ROIC(3y)1.6%
ROIC(5y)2.97%
1.3 Margins
ALO has a worse Operating Margin (3.16%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
ALO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 12.67%, ALO is doing worse than 89.22% of the companies in the same industry.
ALO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.67% |
OM growth 3Y-16.25%
OM growth 5Y-16.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.3%
GM growth 5Y-6.66%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ALO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ALO has more shares outstanding
ALO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ALO is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.83, we must say that ALO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ALO has a Altman-Z score of 0.83. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALO underperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
ALO has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.15. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ALO would need 9.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ALO (9.15) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32 indicates that ALO is not too dependend on debt financing.
ALO has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.32) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.83 |
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC6.83%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that ALO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.96, ALO is not doing good in the industry: 87.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
ALO has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that ALO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ALO's Quick ratio of 0.74 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALO is outperformed by 72.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.74 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ALO have decreased strongly by -109.90% in the last year.
ALO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.21%.
The Revenue has been growing by 16.90% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-109.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.21%
Revenue growth 3Y26.11%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, ALO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.03% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, ALO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y29.45%
EPS Next 2Y24.96%
EPS Next 3Y23.65%
EPS Next 5Y15.03%
Revenue Next Year5%
Revenue Next 2Y4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y4.72%
Revenue Next 5Y3.76%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
ALO reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.13, which indicates a very decent valuation of ALO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ALO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ALO is cheaper than 69.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ALO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.65.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.13 |
4.2 Price Multiples
ALO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ALO is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 24.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ALO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as ALO's earnings are expected to grow with 23.65% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.96%
EPS Next 3Y23.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.03%, ALO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.71, ALO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.51, ALO has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.03% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ALO decreases each year by -15.03%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.03%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of ALO are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ALO will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-7.39%
EPS Next 2Y24.96%
EPS Next 3Y23.65%
EPA:ALO (4/25/2025, 1:39:36 PM)
20.63
+0.28 (+1.38%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners59.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap9.52B
Analysts70.43
Price Target24 (16.34%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.03% |
Yearly Dividend0.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.03%
DP-7.39%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.07%
PT rev (3m)4.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)10.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.28%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.13 | ||
| P/S | 0.53 | ||
| P/FCF | 24.48 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.22 | ||
| P/B | 0.92 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.82 |
EPS(TTM)-0.63
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.85
Fwd EY8.99%
FCF(TTM)0.84
FCFY4.09%
OCF(TTM)2.02
OCFY9.79%
SpS38.9
BVpS22.52
TBVpS-1.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.76% | ||
| ROE | -2.47% | ||
| ROCE | 3.68% | ||
| ROIC | 2.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.06% | ||
| ROICexgc | 16.96% | ||
| OM | 3.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.67% | ||
| FCFM | 2.17% |
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)0.24%
ROE(3y)-3.85%
ROE(5y)1.09%
ROIC(3y)1.6%
ROIC(5y)2.97%
ROICexc(3y)1.71%
ROICexc(5y)4.19%
ROICexgc(3y)19.32%
ROICexgc(5y)32.28%
ROCE(3y)2.18%
ROCE(5y)4.04%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-23.96%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y5.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-33.06%
OM growth 3Y-16.25%
OM growth 5Y-16.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.3%
GM growth 5Y-6.66%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.15 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.34 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 63.21% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 65.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.83 |
F-Score5
WACC6.83%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)51.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)63.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.9%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-109.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y29.45%
EPS Next 2Y24.96%
EPS Next 3Y23.65%
EPS Next 5Y15.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.21%
Revenue growth 3Y26.11%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%3.93%
Revenue Next Year5%
Revenue Next 2Y4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y4.72%
Revenue Next 5Y3.76%
EBIT growth 1Y11.59%
EBIT growth 3Y5.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.26%
EBIT Next Year99.13%
EBIT Next 3Y39.18%
EBIT Next 5Y23.38%
FCF growth 1Y-2.99%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y14.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A