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ALAMO GROUP INC (ALG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:ALG - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0113111076 - Common Stock

185.13  +2.78 (+1.52%)

After market: 185.13 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to ALG. ALG was compared to 131 industry peers in the Machinery industry. ALG is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. ALG is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ALG had positive earnings in the past year.
ALG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years ALG has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years ALG had a positive operating cash flow.
ALG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

ALG has a Return On Assets of 8.06%. This is in the better half of the industry: ALG outperforms 74.02% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 11.73%, ALG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.99% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 10.60%, ALG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.44% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ALG is in line with the industry average of 11.19%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.60%) for ALG is below the current ROIC(10.60%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.06%
ROE 11.73%
ROIC 10.6%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)6.89%
ROE(3y)12.98%
ROE(5y)11.82%
ROIC(3y)10.6%
ROIC(5y)9.26%
ALG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10

1.3 Margins

ALG's Profit Margin of 7.19% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ALG outperforms 59.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ALG has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of ALG (10.55%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ALG has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 25.87%, ALG is doing worse than 61.42% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ALG has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.55%
PM (TTM) 7.19%
GM 25.87%
OM growth 3Y12.87%
OM growth 5Y3.17%
PM growth 3Y17.5%
PM growth 5Y2.04%
GM growth 3Y2.08%
GM growth 5Y1.13%
ALG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20 25

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ALG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ALG has more shares outstanding
ALG has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ALG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ALG Yearly Shares OutstandingALG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M
ALG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 5.78 indicates that ALG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
ALG's Altman-Z score of 5.78 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ALG outperforms 77.17% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ALG is 1.44, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ALG, only 1.44 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ALG has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.44) than 87.40% of its industry peers.
ALG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
ALG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.21. This is in the better half of the industry: ALG outperforms 70.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF 1.44
Altman-Z 5.78
ROIC/WACC1.08
WACC9.82%
ALG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 4.15 indicates that ALG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ALG (4.15) is better than 87.40% of its industry peers.
ALG has a Quick Ratio of 2.39. This indicates that ALG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ALG (2.39) is better than 83.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.15
Quick Ratio 2.39
ALG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ALG have decreased strongly by -11.10% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ALG shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 13.92% on average per year.
ALG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.12%.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.87% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.1%
EPS 3Y31.29%
EPS 5Y13.92%
EPS Q2Q%-21.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.12%
Revenue growth 3Y13.24%
Revenue growth 5Y10.87%
Sales Q2Q%-4.37%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.68% on average over the next years.
ALG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y-15.07%
EPS Next 2Y-1.77%
EPS Next 3Y3.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 3Y0.58%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ALG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B
ALG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8 10

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.64, ALG is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ALG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.87% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ALG to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.29), we can say ALG is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.89, the valuation of ALG can be described as correct.
ALG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ALG is cheaper than 72.44% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ALG to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.44), we can say ALG is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.64
Fwd PE 16.89
ALG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ALG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ALG is cheaper than 77.17% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ALG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ALG is cheaper than 88.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.39
EV/EBITDA 10.04
ALG Per share dataALG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ALG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.34
EPS Next 2Y-1.77%
EPS Next 3Y3.68%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.66%, ALG is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.65, ALG has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, ALG's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.66%

5.2 History

The dividend of ALG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.85%!
ALG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
ALG has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.85%
Div Incr Years10
Div Non Decr Years24
ALG Yearly Dividends per shareALG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

ALG pays out 9.98% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
ALG's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP9.98%
EPS Next 2Y-1.77%
EPS Next 3Y3.68%
ALG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendALG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M
ALG Dividend Payout.ALG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ALG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ALAMO GROUP INC

NYSE:ALG (1/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 185.13 0 (0%)

185.13

+2.78 (+1.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)10-31 2024-10-31/amc
Earnings (Next)02-20 2025-02-20/amc
Inst Owners94.93%
Inst Owner Change-0.3%
Ins Owners1.02%
Ins Owner Change-0.83%
Market Cap2.23B
Analysts85
Price Target224.66 (21.35%)
Short Float %2.8%
Short Ratio3.25
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.66%
Yearly Dividend0.88
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.85%
DP9.98%
Div Incr Years10
Div Non Decr Years24
Ex-Date01-16 2025-01-16 (0.3)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.89%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.4%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.39%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.96%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.4%
Max EPS beat(4)4.65%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)4.88%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)3.49%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.92%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.72%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.61%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.09%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.22%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.66%
PT rev (1m)2.2%
PT rev (3m)1.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.93%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.64
Fwd PE 16.89
P/S 1.34
P/FCF 14.39
P/OCF 12.08
P/B 2.19
P/tB 3.41
EV/EBITDA 10.04
EPS(TTM)9.93
EY5.36%
EPS(NY)10.96
Fwd EY5.92%
FCF(TTM)12.87
FCFY6.95%
OCF(TTM)15.32
OCFY8.28%
SpS137.71
BVpS84.39
TBVpS54.3
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.34
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.06%
ROE 11.73%
ROCE 13.8%
ROIC 10.6%
ROICexc 11.91%
ROICexgc 17.56%
OM 10.55%
PM (TTM) 7.19%
GM 25.87%
FCFM 9.34%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)6.89%
ROE(3y)12.98%
ROE(5y)11.82%
ROIC(3y)10.6%
ROIC(5y)9.26%
ROICexc(3y)11.07%
ROICexc(5y)9.68%
ROICexgc(3y)17.12%
ROICexgc(5y)15.45%
ROCE(3y)13.8%
ROCE(5y)12.05%
ROICexcg growth 3Y12.64%
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.09%
OM growth 3Y12.87%
OM growth 5Y3.17%
PM growth 3Y17.5%
PM growth 5Y2.04%
GM growth 3Y2.08%
GM growth 5Y1.13%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.12
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF 1.44
Debt/EBITDA 0.92
Cap/Depr 56.73%
Cap/Sales 1.78%
Interest Coverage 7.3
Cash Conversion 81.27%
Profit Quality 129.98%
Current Ratio 4.15
Quick Ratio 2.39
Altman-Z 5.78
F-Score6
WACC9.82%
ROIC/WACC1.08
Cap/Depr(3y)67.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)69.64%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.07%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.11%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.1%
EPS 3Y31.29%
EPS 5Y13.92%
EPS Q2Q%-21.65%
EPS Next Y-15.07%
EPS Next 2Y-1.77%
EPS Next 3Y3.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.12%
Revenue growth 3Y13.24%
Revenue growth 5Y10.87%
Sales Q2Q%-4.37%
Revenue Next Year-3.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 3Y0.58%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-10.58%
EBIT growth 3Y27.82%
EBIT growth 5Y14.38%
EBIT Next Year10.46%
EBIT Next 3Y8.65%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y416.01%
FCF growth 3Y-17.51%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y1340.24%
OCF growth 3Y-10.72%
OCF growth 5Y59.02%