ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO (AJG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AJG - US3635761097 - Common Stock
248.21 USD
-3.2 (-1.27%)
248.21 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, AJG scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AJG was compared to 147 industry peers in the Insurance industry. AJG scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. AJG shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AJG had positive earnings in the past year.
AJG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years AJG has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years AJG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.05%, AJG is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.70% of the companies in the same industry.
AJG has a worse Return On Equity (7.13%) than 70.07% of its industry peers.
AJG's Return On Invested Capital of 6.72% is amongst the best of the industry. AJG outperforms 87.76% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AJG is above the industry average of 4.52%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.05% | ||
| ROE | 7.13% | ||
| ROIC | 6.72% |
ROA(3y)2.35%
ROA(5y)2.69%
ROE(3y)9.48%
ROE(5y)10.47%
ROIC(3y)7.35%
ROIC(5y)7.18%
1.3 Margins
AJG has a better Profit Margin (13.16%) than 70.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AJG has grown nicely.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 25.44%, AJG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.12% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AJG has grown nicely.
AJG has a Gross Margin of 46.51%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AJG outperforms 93.88% of its industry peers.
AJG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 25.44% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.16% | ||
| GM | 46.51% |
OM growth 3Y13.45%
OM growth 5Y16.28%
PM growth 3Y4.65%
PM growth 5Y6.37%
GM growth 3Y6.97%
GM growth 5Y6.66%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AJG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AJG has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AJG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
AJG has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.28, we must say that AJG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AJG has a Altman-Z score of 1.28. This is amongst the best in the industry. AJG outperforms 80.27% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AJG is 6.54, which is on the high side as it means it would take AJG, 6.54 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AJG has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (6.54) than 68.03% of its industry peers.
AJG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53. This is a neutral value indicating AJG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.53, AJG is doing worse than 75.51% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.54 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.28 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC7.83%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.36 indicates that AJG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AJG has a better Current ratio (1.36) than 85.03% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.36 indicates that AJG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.36, AJG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.03% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.36 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.98% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AJG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.61% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AJG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 15.61% in the last year.
AJG shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.94% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.98%
EPS 3Y22.62%
EPS 5Y22.61%
EPS Q2Q%2.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.61%
Revenue growth 3Y12.07%
Revenue growth 5Y9.94%
Sales Q2Q%21.48%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AJG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.30% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 13.92% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y8.99%
EPS Next 2Y16.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.75%
EPS Next 5Y16.3%
Revenue Next Year22.11%
Revenue Next 2Y22.43%
Revenue Next 3Y17.77%
Revenue Next 5Y13.92%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AJG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.75.
76.19% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AJG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.65. AJG is around the same levels.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.17, the valuation of AJG can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AJG is valued a bit more expensive than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
AJG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 34.45.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.17 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AJG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AJG is more expensive than 62.59% of the companies in the same industry.
71.43% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AJG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 32.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.21 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
AJG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AJG's earnings are expected to grow with 14.75% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.64
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y16.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.75%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.05%, AJG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.46, AJG has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, AJG's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.05% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AJG has a limited annual growth rate of 5.46%.
AJG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AJG has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.46%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
AJG pays out 36.32% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AJG is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP36.32%
EPS Next 2Y16.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.75%
248.21
-3.2 (-1.27%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.89%
Inst Owner Change0.93%
Ins Owners0.6%
Ins Owner Change0.81%
Market Cap63.63B
Revenue(TTM)13.03B
Net Income(TTM)1.64B
Analysts75.83
Price Target325.35 (31.08%)
Short Float %1.49%
Short Ratio2.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.05% |
Yearly Dividend2.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.46%
DP36.32%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.57%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.57%
Max EPS beat(2)1.43%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.27%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.57%
Max EPS beat(4)3.69%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.38%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.62%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)0.38%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.86%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.81%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.32%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.52%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.13%
PT rev (1m)-6.61%
PT rev (3m)-5.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.68%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.65%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.57%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.17 | ||
| P/S | 5.1 | ||
| P/FCF | 32.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 30.02 | ||
| P/B | 2.76 | ||
| P/tB | 15.33 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.21 |
EPS(TTM)10.45
EY4.21%
EPS(NY)13.66
Fwd EY5.5%
FCF(TTM)7.69
FCFY3.1%
OCF(TTM)8.27
OCFY3.33%
SpS48.65
BVpS89.81
TBVpS16.19
PEG (NY)2.64
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham Number145.31
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.05% | ||
| ROE | 7.13% | ||
| ROCE | 8.44% | ||
| ROIC | 6.72% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.82% | ||
| ROICexgc | 55.53% | ||
| OM | 25.44% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.16% | ||
| GM | 46.51% | ||
| FCFM | 15.81% |
ROA(3y)2.35%
ROA(5y)2.69%
ROE(3y)9.48%
ROE(5y)10.47%
ROIC(3y)7.35%
ROIC(5y)7.18%
ROICexc(3y)9.13%
ROICexc(5y)8.37%
ROICexgc(3y)48.09%
ROICexgc(5y)40.27%
ROCE(3y)9.3%
ROCE(5y)9.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y31.7%
ROICexgc growth 5Y18.43%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.63%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.64%
OM growth 3Y13.45%
OM growth 5Y16.28%
PM growth 3Y4.65%
PM growth 5Y6.37%
GM growth 3Y6.97%
GM growth 5Y6.66%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.54 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 16.31% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.19% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.87 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 51.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 120.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.28 |
F-Score6
WACC7.83%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)25.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)23.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.65%
Profit Quality(3y)176.95%
Profit Quality(5y)182.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.98%
EPS 3Y22.62%
EPS 5Y22.61%
EPS Q2Q%2.65%
EPS Next Y8.99%
EPS Next 2Y16.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.75%
EPS Next 5Y16.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.61%
Revenue growth 3Y12.07%
Revenue growth 5Y9.94%
Sales Q2Q%21.48%
Revenue Next Year22.11%
Revenue Next 2Y22.43%
Revenue Next 3Y17.77%
Revenue Next 5Y13.92%
EBIT growth 1Y51.53%
EBIT growth 3Y27.14%
EBIT growth 5Y27.83%
EBIT Next Year67.25%
EBIT Next 3Y31.74%
EBIT Next 5Y20.35%
FCF growth 1Y21.9%
FCF growth 3Y15.71%
FCF growth 5Y20.01%
OCF growth 1Y17.9%
OCF growth 3Y14.87%
OCF growth 5Y18.21%
ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO / AJG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AJG.
What is the valuation status for AJG stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO (AJG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO (AJG) stock?
ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO (AJG) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
How financially healthy is ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO?
The financial health rating of ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO (AJG) is 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO (AJG) is expected to grow by 8.99% in the next year.