AAR CORP (AIR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AIR - US0003611052 - Common Stock
81.13 USD
-1.57 (-1.9%)
81.13 USD
0 (0%)
Overall AIR gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated AIR against 72 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of AIR get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. AIR has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AIR was profitable.
AIR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AIR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AIR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
AIR has a Return On Assets of 0.99%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AIR outperforms 48.61% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 2.31%, AIR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AIR's Return On Invested Capital of 8.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AIR outperforms 76.39% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AIR is in line with the industry average of 8.58%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.36%) for AIR is below the current ROIC(8.79%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.99% | ||
| ROE | 2.31% | ||
| ROIC | 8.79% |
ROA(3y)2.32%
ROA(5y)2.84%
ROE(3y)4.33%
ROE(5y)4.83%
ROIC(3y)7.36%
ROIC(5y)6.95%
1.3 Margins
AIR has a Profit Margin (1.01%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AIR's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AIR's Operating Margin of 9.31% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AIR outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
AIR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 19.04%, AIR is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AIR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.01% | ||
| GM | 19.04% |
OM growth 3Y14.65%
OM growth 5Y34.25%
PM growth 3Y-52.86%
PM growth 5Y16.72%
GM growth 3Y3.32%
GM growth 5Y7.87%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AIR is destroying value.
AIR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AIR has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AIR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.34 indicates that AIR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
AIR's Altman-Z score of 3.34 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AIR outperforms 47.22% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82 indicates that AIR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
AIR has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.82) than 70.83% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.82 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.34 |
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC9.87%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.91 indicates that AIR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.91, AIR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
AIR has a Quick Ratio of 1.31. This is a normal value and indicates that AIR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.31, AIR is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.06% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.31 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 21.83% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AIR shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.75% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AIR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 17.59% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AIR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.06% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.83%
EPS 3Y17.57%
EPS 5Y12.75%
EPS Q2Q%27.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.59%
Revenue growth 3Y15.17%
Revenue growth 5Y6.06%
Sales Q2Q%11.77%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AIR will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.89% on average per year.
AIR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.07% yearly.
EPS Next Y15.97%
EPS Next 2Y16.76%
EPS Next 3Y15.89%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year14.2%
Revenue Next 2Y11.66%
Revenue Next 3Y9.32%
Revenue Next 5Y1.07%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.64, AIR is valued on the expensive side.
AIR's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AIR is cheaper than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.34. AIR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.26, the valuation of AIR can be described as correct.
91.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AIR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.56. AIR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AIR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AIR is cheaper than 93.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.13 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AIR's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
AIR has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AIR's earnings are expected to grow with 15.89% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.23
PEG (5Y)1.54
EPS Next 2Y16.76%
EPS Next 3Y15.89%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for AIR!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
81.13
-1.57 (-1.9%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.95%
Inst Owner Change7.13%
Ins Owners2.08%
Ins Owner Change-1.95%
Market Cap3.21B
Revenue(TTM)2.86B
Net Income(TTM)28.90M
Analysts82
Price Target90.09 (11.04%)
Short Float %2.8%
Short Ratio2.04
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.36%
Min EPS beat(2)8.56%
Max EPS beat(2)14.17%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.56%
Min EPS beat(4)1.68%
Max EPS beat(4)14.17%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.59%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)4.86%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)4.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.38%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.93%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.38%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.16%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.16%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.63%
PT rev (1m)1.44%
PT rev (3m)5.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.28%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.26 | ||
| P/S | 1.12 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 327.5 | ||
| P/B | 2.57 | ||
| P/tB | 6.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.13 |
EPS(TTM)4.13
EY5.09%
EPS(NY)5.32
Fwd EY6.55%
FCF(TTM)-0.65
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.25
OCFY0.31%
SpS72.25
BVpS31.58
TBVpS12.14
PEG (NY)1.23
PEG (5Y)1.54
Graham Number54.17
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.99% | ||
| ROE | 2.31% | ||
| ROCE | 11.13% | ||
| ROIC | 8.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.64% | ||
| OM | 9.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.01% | ||
| GM | 19.04% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)2.32%
ROA(5y)2.84%
ROE(3y)4.33%
ROE(5y)4.83%
ROIC(3y)7.36%
ROIC(5y)6.95%
ROICexc(3y)7.68%
ROICexc(5y)7.26%
ROICexgc(3y)10.94%
ROICexgc(5y)9.53%
ROCE(3y)9.32%
ROCE(5y)8.8%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.86%
ROICexgc growth 5Y36.52%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.16%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.07%
OM growth 3Y14.65%
OM growth 5Y34.25%
PM growth 3Y-52.86%
PM growth 5Y16.72%
GM growth 3Y3.32%
GM growth 5Y7.87%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.82 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 64.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.24% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.6 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 3.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.34 |
F-Score6
WACC9.87%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)80.23%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.83%
EPS 3Y17.57%
EPS 5Y12.75%
EPS Q2Q%27.06%
EPS Next Y15.97%
EPS Next 2Y16.76%
EPS Next 3Y15.89%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.59%
Revenue growth 3Y15.17%
Revenue growth 5Y6.06%
Sales Q2Q%11.77%
Revenue Next Year14.2%
Revenue Next 2Y11.66%
Revenue Next 3Y9.32%
Revenue Next 5Y1.07%
EBIT growth 1Y75.48%
EBIT growth 3Y32.05%
EBIT growth 5Y42.38%
EBIT Next Year44.66%
EBIT Next 3Y21.14%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y24.63%
FCF growth 3Y-71.08%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y545.46%
OCF growth 3Y-21.7%
OCF growth 5YN/A
AAR CORP / AIR FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AAR CORP (AIR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AIR.
Can you provide the valuation status for AAR CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AAR CORP (AIR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for AAR CORP?
AAR CORP (AIR) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of AAR CORP (AIR) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AAR CORP (AIR) is 19.64 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.57.
What is the financial health of AAR CORP (AIR) stock?
The financial health rating of AAR CORP (AIR) is 4 / 10.