ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AIN - US0123481089 - Common Stock
45.35 USD
-0.63 (-1.37%)
45.35 USD
0 (0%)
AIN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While AIN seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AIN is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AIN was profitable.
AIN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AIN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AIN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -3.15%, AIN is not doing good in the industry: 76.15% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AIN's Return On Equity of -7.24% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AIN is outperformed by 74.62% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AIN has declined.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN's Gross Margin of 20.41% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AIN is outperformed by 71.54% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% |
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AIN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for AIN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AIN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AIN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.57 indicates that AIN is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
AIN's Altman-Z score of 2.57 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AIN outperforms 43.08% of its industry peers.
AIN has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.38. This is a neutral value as AIN would need 5.38 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AIN has a Debt to FCF ratio (5.38) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AIN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating AIN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AIN (0.65) is worse than 65.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.57 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.03%
2.3 Liquidity
AIN has a Current Ratio of 2.34. This indicates that AIN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AIN has a Current ratio (2.34) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.84 indicates that AIN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AIN (1.84) is better than 73.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AIN have decreased strongly by -32.02% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AIN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -5.01% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AIN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -9.37% in the last year.
AIN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.14% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
3.2 Future
AIN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.95% yearly.
AIN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.83% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.51 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AIN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AIN is valued a bit cheaper than 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.91, AIN is valued a bit cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.00 indicates a correct valuation of AIN.
AIN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AIN is cheaper than 82.31% of the companies in the same industry.
AIN is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13 |
4.2 Price Multiples
71.54% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AIN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
AIN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AIN is cheaper than 78.46% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.98 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.5 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AIN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.37%.
The stock price of AIN dropped by -27.95% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
AIN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.86. AIN pays more dividend than 86.92% of the companies in the same industry.
AIN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AIN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.66%!
AIN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AIN has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
5.3 Sustainability
AIN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
AIN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-61.38%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
45.35
-0.63 (-1.37%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.47%
Inst Owner Change-2.03%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change0.87%
Market Cap1.34B
Revenue(TTM)1.15B
Net Income(TTM)-53.54M
Analysts47.27
Price Target66.81 (47.32%)
Short Float %2.28%
Short Ratio2.54
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
DP-61.38%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(4)15.95%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)7.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)7.32%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)12.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.04%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.77%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.11%
PT rev (1m)-1.26%
PT rev (3m)-1.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.35%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.65%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13 | ||
| P/S | 1.16 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.98 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.51 | ||
| P/B | 1.81 | ||
| P/tB | 2.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.5 |
EPS(TTM)2.59
EY5.71%
EPS(NY)3.49
Fwd EY7.69%
FCF(TTM)3.03
FCFY6.67%
OCF(TTM)5.33
OCFY11.75%
SpS38.93
BVpS25.06
TBVpS17.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% | ||
| FCFM | 7.78% |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)11.88%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 77.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 250.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.57 |
F-Score2
WACC9.03%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)113.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.75%
Profit Quality(3y)82.39%
Profit Quality(5y)96.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-116.03%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.88%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.92%
EBIT Next Year59.67%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y112.11%
FCF growth 3Y-5.73%
FCF growth 5Y0.72%
OCF growth 1Y16.72%
OCF growth 3Y0.14%
OCF growth 5Y1.74%
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A / AIN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AIN.
What is the valuation status for AIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
The financial health rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is expected to decline by -6.65% in the next year.