ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AIN - US0123481089 - Common Stock
42.35 USD
+0.93 (+2.25%)
41.95 USD
-0.4 (-0.94%)
Overall AIN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated AIN against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. The financial health of AIN is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AIN is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AIN had positive earnings in the past year.
AIN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AIN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AIN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AIN (-3.15%) is worse than 75.38% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AIN (-7.24%) is worse than 73.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AIN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AIN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AIN has a worse Gross Margin (20.41%) than 71.54% of its industry peers.
AIN's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for AIN so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% |
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AIN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for AIN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
AIN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AIN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.49 indicates that AIN is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of AIN (2.49) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AIN is 5.38, which is a neutral value as it means it would take AIN, 5.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AIN's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.38 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AIN outperforms 53.85% of its industry peers.
AIN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating AIN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
AIN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.65) than 65.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.49 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.05%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.34 indicates that AIN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AIN (2.34) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.84 indicates that AIN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.84, AIN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AIN have decreased strongly by -32.02% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AIN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -5.01% on average per year.
AIN shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -9.37%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.14% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
3.2 Future
AIN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.95% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AIN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.83% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.35, the valuation of AIN can be described as correct.
76.92% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AIN, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AIN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.51), we can say AIN is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.14, AIN is valued correctly.
86.15% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AIN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.98, AIN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AIN is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 68.46% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AIN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.54% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.99 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 25.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AIN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.38%.
In the last 3 months the price of AIN has falen by -35.09%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.87, AIN pays a better dividend. On top of this AIN pays more dividend than 86.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, AIN has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.38% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AIN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.66%!
AIN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AIN has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
5.3 Sustainability
AIN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
The dividend of AIN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-61.38%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
42.35
+0.93 (+2.25%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.9%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change1.9%
Market Cap1.25B
Revenue(TTM)1.15B
Net Income(TTM)-53.54M
Analysts47.27
Price Target66.81 (57.76%)
Short Float %2.37%
Short Ratio1.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.38% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
DP-61.38%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(4)15.95%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)7.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)7.32%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)12.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.04%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.77%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.11%
PT rev (1m)-1.26%
PT rev (3m)-1.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.65%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.14 | ||
| P/S | 1.09 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.99 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.95 | ||
| P/B | 1.69 | ||
| P/tB | 2.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 25.36 |
EPS(TTM)2.59
EY6.12%
EPS(NY)3.49
Fwd EY8.24%
FCF(TTM)3.03
FCFY7.15%
OCF(TTM)5.33
OCFY12.59%
SpS38.93
BVpS25.06
TBVpS17.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% | ||
| FCFM | 7.78% |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)11.88%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 77.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 250.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.49 |
F-Score2
WACC9.05%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)113.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.75%
Profit Quality(3y)82.39%
Profit Quality(5y)96.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-116.03%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.88%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.92%
EBIT Next Year59.67%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y112.11%
FCF growth 3Y-5.73%
FCF growth 5Y0.72%
OCF growth 1Y16.72%
OCF growth 3Y0.14%
OCF growth 5Y1.74%
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A / AIN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AIN.
What is the valuation status for AIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
The financial health rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is expected to decline by -6.65% in the next year.