ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AIN - US0123481089 - Common Stock
47.68 USD
+0.29 (+0.61%)
47.68 USD
0 (0%)
Overall AIN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated AIN against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While AIN seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AIN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AIN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AIN had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years AIN has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AIN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -3.15%, AIN is not doing good in the industry: 74.62% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -7.24%, AIN is doing worse than 73.85% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AIN's Gross Margin of 20.41% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AIN is outperformed by 71.54% of its industry peers.
AIN's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AIN does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% |
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AIN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
AIN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AIN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AIN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AIN has an Altman-Z score of 2.58. This is not the best score and indicates that AIN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
AIN's Altman-Z score of 2.58 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AIN outperforms 43.85% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AIN is 5.38, which is a neutral value as it means it would take AIN, 5.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AIN has a Debt to FCF ratio (5.38) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AIN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating AIN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.65, AIN is doing worse than 63.85% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.92%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.34 indicates that AIN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AIN (2.34) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.84 indicates that AIN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AIN (1.84) is better than 73.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AIN have decreased strongly by -32.02% in the last year.
AIN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -5.01% yearly.
AIN shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -9.37%.
Measured over the past years, AIN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.14% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.95% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, AIN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.83% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.41, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AIN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AIN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.85% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AIN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.31, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.66, AIN is valued correctly.
77.69% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AIN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AIN to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.56), we can say AIN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AIN is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 70.77% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AIN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.32 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.7 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.28%, AIN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
The stock price of AIN dropped by -24.93% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.90, AIN pays a better dividend. On top of this AIN pays more dividend than 86.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AIN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.28% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AIN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.66%!
AIN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AIN has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AIN are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AIN will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
The dividend of AIN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-61.38%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
47.68
+0.29 (+0.61%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.87%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change0.87%
Market Cap1.37B
Revenue(TTM)1.15B
Net Income(TTM)-53.54M
Analysts47.27
Price Target54.57 (14.45%)
Short Float %2.37%
Short Ratio1.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.28% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
DP-61.38%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(4)15.95%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)7.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)7.32%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)12.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.04%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.77%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.11%
PT rev (1m)-18.32%
PT rev (3m)-19.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-19.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-21.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.41%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.66 | ||
| P/S | 1.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.32 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.7 | ||
| P/B | 1.85 | ||
| P/tB | 2.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.7 |
EPS(TTM)2.59
EY5.43%
EPS(NY)3.49
Fwd EY7.32%
FCF(TTM)3.11
FCFY6.53%
OCF(TTM)5.48
OCFY11.49%
SpS40.02
BVpS25.76
TBVpS18.08
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.74
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% | ||
| FCFM | 7.78% |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)11.88%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 77.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 250.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
F-Score2
WACC8.92%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)113.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.75%
Profit Quality(3y)82.39%
Profit Quality(5y)96.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-116.03%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.88%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.92%
EBIT Next Year59.67%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y112.11%
FCF growth 3Y-5.73%
FCF growth 5Y0.72%
OCF growth 1Y16.72%
OCF growth 3Y0.14%
OCF growth 5Y1.74%
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A / AIN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AIN.
What is the valuation status for AIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
The financial health rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is expected to decline by -6.65% in the next year.