ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AIN - US0123481089 - Common Stock
45.41 USD
+1.09 (+2.46%)
45.41 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AIN. AIN was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. The financial health of AIN is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AIN is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AIN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AIN had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years AIN has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AIN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -3.15%, AIN is doing worse than 75.38% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -7.24%, AIN is not doing good in the industry: 73.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AIN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN has a worse Gross Margin (20.41%) than 71.54% of its industry peers.
AIN's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for AIN so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% |
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AIN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for AIN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AIN has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, AIN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AIN has an Altman-Z score of 2.54. This is not the best score and indicates that AIN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.54, AIN is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.38% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AIN is 5.38, which is a neutral value as it means it would take AIN, 5.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AIN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.38. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AIN outperforms 53.85% of its industry peers.
AIN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating AIN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.65, AIN is doing worse than 65.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.04%
2.3 Liquidity
AIN has a Current Ratio of 2.34. This indicates that AIN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AIN's Current ratio of 2.34 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AIN outperforms 56.92% of its industry peers.
AIN has a Quick Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that AIN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AIN (1.84) is better than 73.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AIN have decreased strongly by -32.02% in the last year.
AIN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -5.01% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -9.37% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, AIN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.14% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AIN will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.95% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.83% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AIN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.53.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AIN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AIN is cheaper than 73.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AIN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.45), we can say AIN is valued slightly cheaper.
AIN is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.01.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AIN is valued a bit cheaper than 78.46% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.46. AIN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AIN indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AIN is more expensive than 70.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
79.23% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AIN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 26.73 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AIN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.38%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of AIN has falen by -30.40%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.87, AIN pays a better dividend. On top of this AIN pays more dividend than 86.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AIN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.45.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.38% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AIN grows each year by 7.66%, which is quite nice.
AIN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AIN has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AIN are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AIN will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
AIN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-61.38%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
45.41
+1.09 (+2.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.9%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change1.9%
Market Cap1.34B
Revenue(TTM)1.15B
Net Income(TTM)-53.54M
Analysts47.27
Price Target66.81 (47.13%)
Short Float %2.37%
Short Ratio1.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.38% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
DP-61.38%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(4)15.95%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)7.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)7.32%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)12.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.04%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.77%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.11%
PT rev (1m)-1.26%
PT rev (3m)-1.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.65%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.01 | ||
| P/S | 1.17 | ||
| P/FCF | 15 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.52 | ||
| P/B | 1.81 | ||
| P/tB | 2.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 26.73 |
EPS(TTM)2.59
EY5.7%
EPS(NY)3.49
Fwd EY7.68%
FCF(TTM)3.03
FCFY6.67%
OCF(TTM)5.33
OCFY11.74%
SpS38.93
BVpS25.06
TBVpS17.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% | ||
| FCFM | 7.78% |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)11.88%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 77.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 250.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
F-Score2
WACC9.04%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)113.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.75%
Profit Quality(3y)82.39%
Profit Quality(5y)96.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-116.03%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.88%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.92%
EBIT Next Year59.67%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y112.11%
FCF growth 3Y-5.73%
FCF growth 5Y0.72%
OCF growth 1Y16.72%
OCF growth 3Y0.14%
OCF growth 5Y1.74%
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A / AIN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AIN.
What is the valuation status for AIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
The financial health rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is expected to decline by -6.65% in the next year.