ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AIN - US0123481089 - Common Stock
50.46 USD
0 (0%)
50.46 USD
0 (0%)
AIN gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. The financial health of AIN is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AIN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AIN was profitable.
AIN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AIN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AIN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AIN's Return On Assets of -3.15% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AIN is outperformed by 75.38% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -7.24%, AIN is doing worse than 74.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AIN has declined.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN has a worse Gross Margin (20.41%) than 72.31% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AIN has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for AIN so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% |
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AIN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, AIN has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AIN has less shares outstanding
AIN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AIN has an Altman-Z score of 2.63. This is not the best score and indicates that AIN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
AIN has a Altman-Z score (2.63) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AIN is 5.38, which is a neutral value as it means it would take AIN, 5.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AIN has a Debt to FCF ratio (5.38) which is in line with its industry peers.
AIN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating AIN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AIN (0.65) is worse than 63.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.63 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.19%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.34 indicates that AIN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AIN (2.34) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AIN has a Quick Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that AIN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.84, AIN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.85% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AIN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -32.02%.
AIN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -5.01% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AIN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -9.37% in the last year.
AIN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.14% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -2.04% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.83% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-13.76%
EPS Next 2Y-2.31%
EPS Next 3Y-2.04%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.29%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.85%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.48, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AIN.
AIN's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AIN is cheaper than 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
AIN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.38, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.68, which indicates a correct valuation of AIN.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AIN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.83. AIN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AIN is valued a bit more expensive than 71.54% of the companies in the same industry.
78.46% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AIN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.97 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as AIN's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.04% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-2.31%
EPS Next 3Y-2.04%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AIN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.22%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
AIN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.00. AIN pays more dividend than 85.38% of the companies in the same industry.
AIN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.22% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AIN grows each year by 7.66%, which is quite nice.
AIN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AIN has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
5.3 Sustainability
AIN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-61.38%
EPS Next 2Y-2.31%
EPS Next 3Y-2.04%
50.46
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners109.83%
Inst Owner Change-0.87%
Ins Owners0.69%
Ins Owner Change0.87%
Market Cap1.45B
Revenue(TTM)1.15B
Net Income(TTM)-53.54M
Analysts47.27
Price Target54.57 (8.15%)
Short Float %2.42%
Short Ratio1.66
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.22% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
DP-61.38%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(4)15.95%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)7.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)7.32%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)12.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.04%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.77%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.11%
PT rev (1m)-18.32%
PT rev (3m)-19.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-22.16%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-21.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.68 | ||
| P/S | 1.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.22 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.21 | ||
| P/B | 1.96 | ||
| P/tB | 2.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.97 |
EPS(TTM)2.59
EY5.13%
EPS(NY)3.02
Fwd EY5.99%
FCF(TTM)3.11
FCFY6.17%
OCF(TTM)5.48
OCFY10.86%
SpS40.02
BVpS25.76
TBVpS18.08
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.74
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% | ||
| FCFM | 7.78% |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)11.88%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 77.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 250.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.63 |
F-Score2
WACC9.19%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)113.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.75%
Profit Quality(3y)82.39%
Profit Quality(5y)96.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
EPS Next Y-13.76%
EPS Next 2Y-2.31%
EPS Next 3Y-2.04%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
Revenue Next Year-6.29%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.85%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-116.03%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.88%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.92%
EBIT Next Year49.71%
EBIT Next 3Y15%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y112.11%
FCF growth 3Y-5.73%
FCF growth 5Y0.72%
OCF growth 1Y16.72%
OCF growth 3Y0.14%
OCF growth 5Y1.74%
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A / AIN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AIN.
What is the valuation status for AIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
The financial health rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is expected to decline by -13.76% in the next year.