ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AIN - US0123481089 - Common Stock
47.47 USD
-0.21 (-0.44%)
47.47 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, AIN scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AIN was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. The financial health of AIN is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AIN is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AIN had positive earnings in the past year.
AIN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AIN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
AIN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AIN has a Return On Assets of -3.15%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AIN underperforms 74.62% of its industry peers.
AIN has a worse Return On Equity (-7.24%) than 73.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of AIN (20.41%) is worse than 72.31% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% |
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AIN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
AIN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AIN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AIN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AIN has an Altman-Z score of 2.57. This is not the best score and indicates that AIN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.57, AIN is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.85% of the companies in the same industry.
AIN has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.38. This is a neutral value as AIN would need 5.38 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AIN has a Debt to FCF ratio (5.38) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65 indicates that AIN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
AIN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.65) than 63.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.57 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.92%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.34 indicates that AIN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 2.34, AIN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.23% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.84 indicates that AIN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.84, AIN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AIN have decreased strongly by -32.02% in the last year.
AIN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -5.01% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AIN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -9.37% in the last year.
AIN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.14% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.95% on average over the next years.
AIN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.83% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.33, the valuation of AIN can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AIN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AIN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.11.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.60 indicates a correct valuation of AIN.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AIN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AIN is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.21, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AIN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AIN is more expensive than 71.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AIN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.23% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.6 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.28%, AIN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
The stock price of AIN dropped by -23.83% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
AIN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.90. AIN pays more dividend than 86.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, AIN has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.28% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AIN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.66%!
AIN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AIN has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AIN are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AIN will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
AIN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-61.38%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
47.47
-0.21 (-0.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.87%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change0.87%
Market Cap1.36B
Revenue(TTM)1.15B
Net Income(TTM)-53.54M
Analysts47.27
Price Target54.57 (14.96%)
Short Float %2.37%
Short Ratio1.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.28% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
DP-61.38%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(4)15.95%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)7.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)7.32%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)12.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.04%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.77%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.11%
PT rev (1m)-18.32%
PT rev (3m)-19.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-19.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-21.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.41%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.6 | ||
| P/S | 1.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.26 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.67 | ||
| P/B | 1.84 | ||
| P/tB | 2.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.6 |
EPS(TTM)2.59
EY5.46%
EPS(NY)3.49
Fwd EY7.35%
FCF(TTM)3.11
FCFY6.55%
OCF(TTM)5.48
OCFY11.54%
SpS40.02
BVpS25.76
TBVpS18.08
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.74
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% | ||
| FCFM | 7.78% |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)11.88%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 77.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 250.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.57 |
F-Score2
WACC8.92%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)113.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.75%
Profit Quality(3y)82.39%
Profit Quality(5y)96.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-116.03%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.88%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.92%
EBIT Next Year59.67%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y112.11%
FCF growth 3Y-5.73%
FCF growth 5Y0.72%
OCF growth 1Y16.72%
OCF growth 3Y0.14%
OCF growth 5Y1.74%
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A / AIN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AIN.
What is the valuation status for AIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
The financial health rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is expected to decline by -6.65% in the next year.