ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AIN - US0123481089 - Common Stock
45.13 USD
-0.22 (-0.49%)
45.13 USD
0 (0%)
Overall AIN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated AIN against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While AIN seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AIN is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AIN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AIN had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years AIN has always been profitable.
AIN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AIN has a worse Return On Assets (-3.15%) than 75.38% of its industry peers.
AIN's Return On Equity of -7.24% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AIN is outperformed by 73.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of AIN (20.41%) is worse than 71.54% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AIN has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for AIN so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% |
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AIN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
AIN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AIN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
AIN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AIN has an Altman-Z score of 2.55. This is not the best score and indicates that AIN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.55, AIN is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.08% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AIN is 5.38, which is a neutral value as it means it would take AIN, 5.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 5.38, AIN is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.85% of the companies in the same industry.
AIN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating AIN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
AIN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.65. This is in the lower half of the industry: AIN underperforms 65.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.55 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.16%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.34 indicates that AIN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AIN has a Current ratio (2.34) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.84 indicates that AIN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AIN has a better Quick ratio (1.84) than 73.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AIN have decreased strongly by -32.02% in the last year.
AIN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -5.01% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AIN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -9.37% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.14% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AIN will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.95% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.83% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.42, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AIN.
AIN's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AIN is cheaper than 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.89, AIN is valued a bit cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.93 indicates a correct valuation of AIN.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AIN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.59. AIN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AIN indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AIN is more expensive than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AIN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AIN is cheaper than 79.23% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.11 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AIN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.38%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of AIN has falen by -28.30%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
AIN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.87. AIN pays more dividend than 86.15% of the companies in the same industry.
AIN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.38% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AIN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.66%!
AIN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AIN has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AIN are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AIN will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
The dividend of AIN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-61.38%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
45.13
-0.22 (-0.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.9%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change1.9%
Market Cap1.33B
Revenue(TTM)1.15B
Net Income(TTM)-53.54M
Analysts47.27
Price Target66.81 (48.04%)
Short Float %2.28%
Short Ratio2.54
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.38% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
DP-61.38%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(4)15.95%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)7.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)7.32%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)12.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.04%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.77%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.11%
PT rev (1m)-1.26%
PT rev (3m)-1.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.65%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.93 | ||
| P/S | 1.16 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.91 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.47 | ||
| P/B | 1.8 | ||
| P/tB | 2.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.11 |
EPS(TTM)2.59
EY5.74%
EPS(NY)3.49
Fwd EY7.73%
FCF(TTM)3.03
FCFY6.71%
OCF(TTM)5.33
OCFY11.81%
SpS38.93
BVpS25.06
TBVpS17.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% | ||
| FCFM | 7.78% |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)11.88%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 77.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 250.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.55 |
F-Score2
WACC9.16%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)113.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.75%
Profit Quality(3y)82.39%
Profit Quality(5y)96.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-116.03%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.88%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.92%
EBIT Next Year59.67%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y112.11%
FCF growth 3Y-5.73%
FCF growth 5Y0.72%
OCF growth 1Y16.72%
OCF growth 3Y0.14%
OCF growth 5Y1.74%
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A / AIN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AIN.
What is the valuation status for AIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
The financial health rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is expected to decline by -6.65% in the next year.