ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AIN - US0123481089 - Common Stock
54 USD
-0.59 (-1.08%)
54 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to AIN. AIN was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. AIN has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. AIN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AIN was profitable.
In the past year AIN had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years AIN has been profitable.
AIN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AIN has a Return On Assets of 3.61%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AIN outperforms 47.69% of its industry peers.
AIN has a Return On Equity of 7.00%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AIN outperforms 44.62% of its industry peers.
AIN's Return On Invested Capital of 5.58% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AIN outperforms 41.54% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AIN is below the industry average of 10.24%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.61% | ||
| ROE | 7% | ||
| ROIC | 5.58% |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)8.07%
ROIC(5y)8.6%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of AIN (5.25%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AIN has declined.
The Operating Margin of AIN (9.77%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN has a Gross Margin of 31.61%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AIN outperforms 51.54% of its industry peers.
AIN's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.25% | ||
| GM | 31.61% |
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AIN is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AIN has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AIN has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AIN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AIN has an Altman-Z score of 3.33. This indicates that AIN is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AIN has a Altman-Z score (3.33) which is in line with its industry peers.
AIN has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.67. This is a neutral value as AIN would need 4.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AIN (4.67) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AIN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50. This is a neutral value indicating AIN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.50, AIN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.33 |
ROIC/WACC0.61
WACC9.21%
2.3 Liquidity
AIN has a Current Ratio of 3.51. This indicates that AIN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AIN has a better Current ratio (3.51) than 84.62% of its industry peers.
AIN has a Quick Ratio of 2.78. This indicates that AIN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AIN has a better Quick ratio (2.78) than 86.92% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.78 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AIN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -32.02%.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -5.01% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, AIN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.20% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AIN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.14% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.39%
3.2 Future
AIN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.95% yearly.
AIN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.83% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AIN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.85.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AIN is valued a bit cheaper than 65.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.67, AIN is valued at the same level.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.47, which indicates a correct valuation of AIN.
73.85% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AIN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 31.86. AIN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.47 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AIN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AIN is cheaper than 79.23% of the companies in the same industry.
AIN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AIN is cheaper than 74.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.58 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.96%, AIN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.83, AIN pays a better dividend. On top of this AIN pays more dividend than 83.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AIN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.40.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.96% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AIN grows each year by 7.66%, which is quite nice.
AIN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AIN has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
5.3 Sustainability
AIN pays out 52.92% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
AIN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP52.92%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
54
-0.59 (-1.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.47%
Inst Owner Change-2.09%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change0.87%
Market Cap1.59B
Revenue(TTM)1.23B
Net Income(TTM)62.25M
Analysts47.27
Price Target66.81 (23.72%)
Short Float %2.28%
Short Ratio2.54
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.96% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
DP52.92%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(2)15.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)4.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(4)39.45%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)9.35%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)10.31%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)13.55%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.14%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.04%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.72%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.43%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.32%
PT rev (1m)-1.26%
PT rev (3m)-8.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.98%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.1%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.47 | ||
| P/S | 1.34 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.94 | ||
| P/B | 1.79 | ||
| P/tB | 2.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.58 |
EPS(TTM)2.59
EY4.8%
EPS(NY)3.49
Fwd EY6.46%
FCF(TTM)3.23
FCFY5.98%
OCF(TTM)5.43
OCFY10.06%
SpS40.19
BVpS30.12
TBVpS22.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.61% | ||
| ROE | 7% | ||
| ROCE | 7.71% | ||
| ROIC | 5.58% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.01% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.14% | ||
| OM | 9.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.25% | ||
| GM | 31.61% | ||
| FCFM | 8.03% |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)8.07%
ROIC(5y)8.6%
ROICexc(3y)9.38%
ROICexc(5y)10.33%
ROICexgc(3y)11.32%
ROICexgc(5y)12.76%
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)11.88%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.51%
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.67 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.19 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 74.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.77% | ||
| Profit Quality | 152.95% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.33 |
F-Score3
WACC9.21%
ROIC/WACC0.61
Cap/Depr(3y)113.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.75%
Profit Quality(3y)82.39%
Profit Quality(5y)96.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.39%
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-31.15%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.88%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.92%
EBIT Next Year59.67%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y861.65%
FCF growth 3Y-5.73%
FCF growth 5Y0.72%
OCF growth 1Y52.36%
OCF growth 3Y0.14%
OCF growth 5Y1.74%
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A / AIN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AIN.
What is the valuation status for AIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the financial health of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
The financial health rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is expected to decline by -6.65% in the next year.