ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AIN - US0123481089 - Common Stock
47.68 USD
+0.29 (+0.61%)
47.68 USD
0 (0%)
AIN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While AIN seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AIN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AIN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AIN had a positive cash flow from operations.
AIN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AIN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AIN has a Return On Assets of -3.15%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AIN underperforms 74.62% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AIN (-7.24%) is worse than 73.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AIN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN's Gross Margin of 20.41% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AIN is outperformed by 71.54% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AIN has declined.
AIN does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% |
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AIN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, AIN has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AIN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AIN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.60 indicates that AIN is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
AIN has a Altman-Z score of 2.60. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AIN outperforms 43.85% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AIN is 5.38, which is a neutral value as it means it would take AIN, 5.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AIN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.38. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AIN outperforms 53.85% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65 indicates that AIN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.65, AIN is doing worse than 63.85% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.6 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.94%
2.3 Liquidity
AIN has a Current Ratio of 2.34. This indicates that AIN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AIN (2.34) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AIN has a Quick Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that AIN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AIN's Quick ratio of 1.84 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AIN outperforms 73.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AIN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -32.02%.
Measured over the past years, AIN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -5.01% on average per year.
AIN shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -9.37%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.14% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
3.2 Future
AIN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.95% yearly.
AIN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.83% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.41, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AIN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AIN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AIN is cheaper than 73.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AIN to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.31), we can say AIN is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.66, AIN is valued correctly.
78.46% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AIN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.59, AIN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AIN is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 71.54% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AIN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AIN is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.75 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.17 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.44%, AIN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
In the last 3 months the price of AIN has falen by -24.93%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
AIN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.97. AIN pays more dividend than 86.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, AIN has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.44% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AIN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.66%!
AIN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AIN has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
5.3 Sustainability
AIN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
AIN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-61.38%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
47.68
+0.29 (+0.61%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.86%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change0.87%
Market Cap1.41B
Revenue(TTM)1.15B
Net Income(TTM)-53.54M
Analysts47.27
Price Target54.57 (14.45%)
Short Float %2.37%
Short Ratio1.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.44% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.66%
DP-61.38%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.22%
Max EPS beat(4)15.95%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)7.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)7.32%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)12.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.04%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.77%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.11%
PT rev (1m)-19.35%
PT rev (3m)-19.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-19.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-21.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.41%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.66 | ||
| P/S | 1.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.75 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.95 | ||
| P/B | 1.9 | ||
| P/tB | 2.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.17 |
EPS(TTM)2.59
EY5.43%
EPS(NY)3.49
Fwd EY7.32%
FCF(TTM)3.03
FCFY6.35%
OCF(TTM)5.33
OCFY11.18%
SpS38.93
BVpS25.06
TBVpS17.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.15% | ||
| ROE | -7.24% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 20.41% | ||
| FCFM | 7.78% |
ROA(3y)5.73%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)10.65%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)11.88%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.2%
OM growth 5Y-8.79%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-10.73%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-2.85%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.38 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 77.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 250.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.6 |
F-Score2
WACC8.94%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)113.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.75%
Profit Quality(3y)82.39%
Profit Quality(5y)96.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.02%
EPS 3Y-3.88%
EPS 5Y-5.01%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
EPS Next Y-6.65%
EPS Next 2Y4.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.14%
Sales Q2Q%-12.38%
Revenue Next Year-2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y1.52%
Revenue Next 5Y0.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-116.03%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.88%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.92%
EBIT Next Year59.67%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y112.11%
FCF growth 3Y-5.73%
FCF growth 5Y0.72%
OCF growth 1Y16.72%
OCF growth 3Y0.14%
OCF growth 5Y1.74%
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A / AIN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AIN.
What is the valuation status for AIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) stock?
The financial health rating of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALBANY INTL CORP-CL A (AIN) is expected to decline by -6.65% in the next year.