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ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST (AHT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AHT - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0441037944 - REIT - Currency: USD

8.5  -0.05 (-0.58%)

After market: 8.5601 +0.06 (+0.71%)

Fundamental Rating

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AHT gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 129 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. Both the profitability and financial health of AHT have multiple concerns. AHT does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AHT has reported negative net income.
AHT had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years AHT always reported negative net income.
In multiple years AHT reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
AHT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAHT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.53%, AHT is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.41% of the companies in the same industry.
AHT has a worse Return On Invested Capital (1.83%) than 73.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.53%
ROE N/A
ROIC 1.83%
ROA(3y)-5.34%
ROA(5y)-6.66%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AHT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAHT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2K 4K 6K 8K

1.3 Margins

AHT has a Profit Margin (1.42%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 5.72%, AHT is doing worse than 87.30% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AHT has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of AHT (25.23%) is worse than 93.65% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AHT has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.72%
PM (TTM) 1.42%
GM 25.23%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-2.72%
AHT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAHT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AHT is destroying value.
AHT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AHT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AHT has remained at the same level compared to a year ago.
AHT Yearly Shares OutstandingAHT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M
AHT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAHT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

AHT has an Altman-Z score of -0.71. This is a bad value and indicates that AHT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AHT has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.71) than 93.65% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.71
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC7.19%
AHT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAHT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

AHT has a Current Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that AHT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AHT has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: AHT underperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.83 indicates that AHT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AHT has a Quick ratio of 0.83. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AHT outperforms 42.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.83
AHT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAHT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AHT have decreased by -8.00% in the last year.
AHT shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.86%.
Measured over the past years, AHT shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.90% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-522.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.86%
Revenue growth 3Y39.09%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.9%
Sales Q2Q%-19.36%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -175.86% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
AHT is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -8.50% yearly.
EPS Next Y-314.9%
EPS Next 2Y-175.86%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-15.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AHT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAHT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
AHT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAHT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1K -1K 2K -2K

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AHT reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year AHT is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
AHT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAHT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

63.49% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AHT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.95
AHT Per share dataAHT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AHT's earnings are expected to decrease with -175.86% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-175.86%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AHT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST

NYSE:AHT (2/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 8.5601 +0.06 (+0.71%)

8.5

-0.05 (-0.58%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-03 2025-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners55.37%
Inst Owner Change-73.42%
Ins Owners1.3%
Ins Owner Change22.89%
Market Cap47.94M
Analysts46.67
Price Target5.1 (-40%)
Short Float %2.27%
Short Ratio2.59
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.78
Dividend Growth(5Y)-61.9%
DP110.08%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-67.05%
Min EPS beat(2)-250.49%
Max EPS beat(2)116.4%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.48%
Min EPS beat(4)-250.49%
Max EPS beat(4)128.42%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.87%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)8.42%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)7.44%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.42%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.24%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.42%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.24%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.46%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.71%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.95%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-66.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-198.46%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-198.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2678.89%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.64%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.04
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.95
EPS(TTM)-7.02
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-43
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-32.75
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-10.51
OCFYN/A
SpS215.76
BVpS-23.68
TBVpS-23.82
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.53%
ROE N/A
ROCE 2.31%
ROIC 1.83%
ROICexc 1.9%
ROICexgc 1.92%
OM 5.72%
PM (TTM) 1.42%
GM 25.23%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-5.34%
ROA(5y)-6.66%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y7.49%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y7.36%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-2.72%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.37
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 13.26
Cap/Depr 77.27%
Cap/Sales 10.3%
Interest Coverage 0.24
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.83
Altman-Z -0.71
F-Score4
WACC7.19%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)47.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.66%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-522.61%
EPS Next Y-314.9%
EPS Next 2Y-175.86%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.86%
Revenue growth 3Y39.09%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.9%
Sales Q2Q%-19.36%
Revenue Next Year-15.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-42.84%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y0.96%
EBIT Next Year74.07%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-139.86%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-773.91%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-39.77%